Search Climate Insights Directory
469 results
Cementing California’s Future
The report analyzes four technology pathways for decarbonizing California's cement industry—CCS only, electrification with CCS, blended cement (LC3) with CCS, and blended cement with alternative fuels and CCS. It finds that while significant reductions are possible, reaching net-zero will require higher capture rates, grid decarbonization, and additional carbon removal. To bridge cost and regulatory gaps, the authors recommend establishing a State Revolving Loan Fund, implementing a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), and creating statewide Best Available Control Technology (BACT) guidelines for CCS projects.
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Document type: Report
South Sudan: Conclusion and Recommendations
The report evaluates South Sudan's development prospects through 2043, contrasting a 'Current Path' of gradual improvement with a 'Combined scenario' of integrated reforms. While the current path is deemed insufficient to meet the goals of the SSDP 2026–2036, the combined approach suggests that coordinated investments in agriculture, human capital, and infrastructure can accelerate poverty reduction and economic diversification. Key recommendations include scaling solar energy, implementing climate-smart agriculture, and leveraging the AfCFTA to reduce reliance on the oil sector.
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Document type: Report
Tripartite Contracting for Clean Electricity
The report proposes a tripartite contracting model for Europe, where a state-backed intermediary connects clean energy suppliers and industrial consumers. This mechanism aims to solve structural barriers in bilateral Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), such as creditworthiness requirements for SMEs and the mismatch between variable renewable generation and industrial baseload demand. By pooling diverse technologies—including renewables, storage, and clean firm capacity—the intermediary can offer 24/7 clean power products and absorb counterparty risk. The document outlines an implementation roadmap involving the European Commission and Member States, emphasizing the need for harmonized Guarantees of Origin, improved two-sided Contracts for Difference (CfDs) design, and integrated grid planning.
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Document type: Report
NIGERIA’S FOSSIL FUEL DEPENDENCY AND THE PATH TO ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION
Nigeria's economy is heavily reliant on oil, which accounts for roughly 50% of the national budget and over 90% of foreign exchange earnings. This dependency has led to 'Dutch Disease', severe environmental degradation in the Niger Delta, and fiscal fragility due to oil price volatility. With global oil demand projected to peak by 2030, the report argues for an urgent transition. It recommends diversifying into solar and hydro power, agro-processing, green manufacturing, and the digital economy. Key policy proposals include establishing a National Economic Diversification Master Plan, redirecting fossil fuel subsidy savings toward green investment, and joining a Fossil Fuel Treaty to secure transition finance and debt resolution.
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Document type: Report
DR Congo
The report examines the Democratic Republic of the Congo's current development path and simulates eight sectoral scenarios to identify pathways toward inclusive growth by 2043. It highlights the country's extreme poverty and dependence on commodity exports, while projecting that a combined policy push across manufacturing, governance, and agriculture could significantly increase GDP and reduce poverty.
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Document type: Report
Benin Development Futures
The report forecasts Benin's development to 2043, predicting a population increase to 21.2 million and GDP growth to US$66.3 billion under the Current Path. While GDP per capita is expected to rise to US$4,685, absolute poverty is projected to increase to 11 million people. Sectoral scenarios suggest that Free Trade and Leapfrogging have the highest potential for economic growth, while the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario could double the economy to US$117.2 billion but would increase carbon emissions to 10.1 million tons.
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Document type: Report
Burundi Development Futures
The report analyzes Burundi's development prospects, highlighting a 'Current Path' characterized by slow growth, high poverty, and governance challenges. It models eight sectoral scenarios—Governance, Demographics and Health, Education, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Agriculture, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, and Financial Flows—to demonstrate how targeted interventions could improve GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty. A 'Combined scenario' suggests that an integrated policy push could dramatically increase GDP to US$17.2 billion by 2043 and reduce the extreme poverty rate by 49 percentage points compared to the Current Path, though this would result in higher carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
Rüzgar ve Güneş
Turkey experienced record growth in wind and solar energy capacity in 2025, with combined new installations reaching 6.5 GW and total installed capacity for both sources hitting approximately 40 GW. Solar electricity generation doubled between 2023 and 2025, rising from 18.4 TWh to 37.3 TWh. While Turkey leads in its immediate region, its overall renewable energy share of electricity production (43% in 2025) remains below the European Union average of 48%.
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Document type: Report
Book and Claim Framework for the Iron and Steel Sector
The RMI framework establishes rules for the issuance, transfer, and retirement of Book-and-Claim Units (BCUs) for low-emissions iron and steel. It introduces a dual functional-unit system (iron and crude steel) with eligibility thresholds anchored to ResponsibleSteel's Decarbonization Progress Level 3 (DPL3). To prevent fossil lock-in, the framework mandates route-specific criteria, including a 2035/2040 phase-out for BF-BOF eligibility and strict 90% capture rates for CCS/CCUS. It defines rigorous accounting methods—direct and enhanced substitution—to prevent over-claiming and double counting, while prohibiting on-product claims to maintain the incentive for physical green steel procurement.
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Document type: Report
India’s Clean Cooking Shift
The document argues that while India has expanded clean cooking via LPG subsidies, this pathway creates fiscal burdens and import dependencies. It advocates for a shift toward biogas in rural regions and e-cooking in urban areas, noting that both are more cost-effective over their lifecycles than LPG. The brief provides evidence from fieldwork in several Indian states and cities, highlighting that e-cooking could save the government over INR 2 trillion in subsidies by 2050. Key barriers identified include high upfront costs and inadequate maintenance services, which the authors suggest addressing through redirected subsidies and decentralized service centers.
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Document type: Policy brief
How California Can Seize Momentum to Advance Carbon Dioxide Removal
Despite the veto of SB 643, California can leverage SB 840 and the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund to scale its carbon dioxide removal industry, ensuring it meets its 2030 and 2045 targets while preventing homegrown companies from relocating.
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Document type: Statement
ATLAS DE SUELOS ENERGÉTICOS DE BARRANCABERMEJA
The Atlas of Energy Soils of Barrancabermeja identifies solar energy as the most viable renewable resource for the municipality due to high and homogeneous irradiation levels. While the resource is abundant, 62% of the territory is restricted by environmental and regulatory factors, primarily related to the region's complex hydrological network and protected areas. The analysis validates four planned solar farm polygons (Galias 1, 2, 3, and El Tiburón) as being located in unrestricted areas. The document recommends updating the municipal Land Use Plan (POT) to formally integrate energy planning and the identified solar potential.
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Document type: Executive summary
Near-term actions for Indian companies to scale clean solutions
The document serves as a 'starter' guide for Indian businesses to transition from fossil fuels to clean energy solutions over a two-to-five-year horizon. It emphasizes a three-pronged approach: prioritizing energy demand reduction, acting immediately while improving performance over time, and continuously improving data quality. The guide provides detailed frameworks for measuring energy consumption, conducting energy audits, and benchmarking performance. A significant portion of the document is dedicated to 'Process Heat' (up to 400°C), offering a phased transition plan that includes mapping heat demand, improving efficiency, evaluating clean technologies (such as industrial heat pumps, electric boilers, and solar thermal), and calculating the total cost of ownership. It also includes case studies from companies like Epic Group and DCM Shriram to demonstrate the technical and financial viability of electrification in industrial laundry and steam applications.
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Document type: Guide
Agriculture and the Green Transition
The paper explores the bidirectional relationship between agriculture and industrial policy. It highlights how agriculture's long experience with subsidies and market distortions can inform current green industrial strategies, while detailing how the transition to a bioeconomy and green energy affects agricultural inputs and land use. The author emphasizes the need for 'sustainable productivity' metrics and warns of fiscal asymmetries between high-income and low-income countries during this transition.
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Document type: Research paper
Mapping opportunities to decarbonize the U.S. pulp and paper industry
The U.S. pulp and paper industry, which accounts for 9% of industrial energy consumption, offers significant potential for net-negative emissions through CCS due to its reliance on waste biomass. A new mapping tool evaluates facilities based on capture costs, capture potential, storage costs, infrastructure clustering, and co-benefits. The analysis identifies the Gulf Coast—specifically Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas—as having the highest opportunity scores. While private sector interest is growing, the document argues that the 45Q tax credit requires enhancement and regulatory certainty for transport infrastructure is needed to scale these technologies.
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Document type: Briefing
Country snapshots and opportunities
Viet Nam, Indonesia, and the Philippines collectively drive nearly 60% of ASEAN’s power demand and emissions, with a heavy historical reliance on coal. While coal still dominates their energy mixes, all three nations are pivoting toward clean energy, attracting $4.6 billion in investment in 2024. Each country aims for renewables to exceed 50% of their installed capacity mix by 2030–2034. Viet Nam has led the region in new wind and solar generation, the Philippines operates a fully liberalised electricity market to attract FDI, and Indonesia is leveraging its mineral industrialisation to build an electric vehicle ecosystem while planning significant solar expansions.
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Document type: Report
From emission-intensive to investment hotspots: Championing renewables in 3 ASEAN economies
Viet Nam, the Philippines, and Indonesia are transitioning from coal-reliant economies to renewable energy hotspots, collectively accounting for nearly 60% of ASEAN's power demand and emissions. While all three have set ambitious 2030 targets for renewables to exceed 50% of installed capacity, they face bottlenecks in permitting, grid infrastructure, and financial risk. The report highlights that solar-plus-battery integration significantly improves internal rates of return (IRR), particularly in Indonesia, and emphasizes the role of market reforms—such as Viet Nam's Direct Power Purchase Agreements and the Philippines' removal of foreign ownership restrictions—in attracting private capital.
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Document type: Report
South Africa’s Energy Subsidies Inventory, 2025 Data, Definitions, and References Annex
The report inventories quantified energy subsidies in South Africa, detailing nominal and real values from FY 2018 to FY 2025. It identifies a wide range of support mechanisms, including VAT zero-rating for liquid fuels, Eskom bailouts, and carbon tax exemptions, while also listing specific incentives for renewable energy and energy storage. The document applies the World Trade Organization's definition of subsidies to categorize these financial contributions and provides a breakdown of government guarantees as contingent liabilities.
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Document type: Report
Biodiversity-based Biotechnology in Brazil: Regulatory and Institutional Challenges
The report identifies that while Brazil has immense biological potential, biodiversity-based biotechnology is constrained by a complex and fragmented regulatory environment. The Access and Benefit-Sharing (ABS) framework, particularly the SISGEN system and benefit-sharing rules, is described as a barrier to innovation that creates legal uncertainty and discourages investment. In the Amazon, these hurdles are compounded by infrastructure gaps and weak institutional coordination. The authors argue that the forthcoming National Bioeconomy Development Plan (PNDBIO) is a critical opportunity to explicitly integrate biodiversity-based biotechnology into Brazil's national strategy to unlock economic value and support conservation.
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Document type: Report
Decarbonising to Compete: Towards a Low-Carbon Cement and Steel Industry in Brazil
The report examines the decarbonisation of Brazil's cement and steel sectors, highlighting the role of low-carbon hydrogen, carbon capture and storage, and green finance in achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.
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Document type: Report