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A report by Zero Carbon Analytics quantifies the economic risk to Europe-bound Brazilian soy exports caused by declining river levels in the Amazon. The analysis indicates that by mid-century, up to USD 1 billion in annual soy trade passing through the ports of Manaus and Santarém could be exposed to disruption due to critically low river flows driven by climate change and deforestation.

This report provides a framework of priority actions for companies across the mining and mineral value chain to halt and reverse forest loss and degradation by 2030. It categorizes the sector into upstream, midstream, and downstream companies, offering specific guidance on nature-positive practices, traceability, and the protection of Indigenous rights to mitigate operational and reputational risks.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) provides 33 recommendations to reorient the Brazilian Harvest Plan (Plano Safra) 2026/2027 toward higher social, environmental, and productive returns. The authors argue that public resources should be prioritized for sustainable, low-carbon agriculture and the most vulnerable producers, while strengthening socio-environmental safeguards to prevent the financing of illegal deforestation and land grabbing.

This report analyzes the Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) case ADPF 743 as a study of how judicial decisions can catalyze institutional cooperation and accelerate land governance policies. While originally focused on combating deforestation and fires in the Amazon and Pantanal, the case evolved into a 'structural process' that mandates the integration of environmental, land, and registry databases to improve land administration and environmental control.

This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics explains the mechanisms of El Niño, its interaction with climate change, and its global socio-economic and environmental impacts. It highlights a 61% chance of an El Niño event emerging between May and July 2026, noting that human-caused warming is likely increasing the frequency and severity of such events, while simultaneously making them harder to predict.

This briefing by the World Resources Institute examines the capacity of various forest types to withstand and recover from wildfires, noting that while some ecosystems are fire-adapted, increasing fire frequency and intensity driven by climate change are undermining this resilience. The document details the drivers of vulnerability, the environmental and economic impacts of recent record-breaking fires, and strategies for strengthening forest resilience through protection, restoration, and the support of Indigenous land rights.

This fact sheet by Transforma, published in April 2026, argues for an orderly and just transition away from fossil fuels in Latin America and the Caribbean. It highlights the region's extreme climate vulnerability, the economic risks of stranded assets, and the persistence of fossil fuel subsidies despite the region possessing the world's cleanest electricity matrix. The document calls for binding roadmaps for fossil fuel exit, particularly in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico, and emphasizes the need for a 'Just Transition Mechanism' to support territories and workers.

The Indigenous Advisory Group (IAG) of the Banks and Biodiversity Initiative calls on financial institutions to maintain the zero-deforestation criteria of the Amazon Soy Moratorium (ASM) to mitigate biodiversity loss, protect Indigenous Peoples' rights, and manage financial risks.

The 'Déclaration du Sommet des Peuples vers la COP30' is a statement issued by a gathering of over 70,000 people from diverse social movements in Belém do Pará, Brazil, in November 2025. The document identifies the capitalist mode of production and transnational corporations as the primary drivers of the climate crisis and calls for a systemic transition based on popular sovereignty, feminist ethics, and the protection of common goods.

The 'Final declaration of the Peoples’ Summit towards COP30' is a statement issued by a gathering of over 70,000 people in Belém do Pará, Brazil, in November 2025. The document identifies the capitalist mode of production and transnational corporations as the primary drivers of the climate crisis and calls for a 'just, sovereign and popular transition' based on the recognition of common goods, ancestral knowledge, and feminist justice.

The 'Declaración de la Cumbre de los pueblos hacia la COP30' is a statement issued by the People's Summit, which gathered over 70,000 representatives of diverse social movements in Belém do Pará, Brazil, from November 12 to 16, 2025. The document identifies the capitalist mode of production and transnational corporations as the primary drivers of the climate crisis and calls for a transition based on popular sovereignty, feminist justice, and the protection of common goods rather than market-based solutions.

This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the systemic lack of transparency and consistency in reporting oil accidents across the Americas. It highlights that while the region contains three of the world's largest oil producers and consumers, most nations fail to provide open, updated datasets, hindering risk assessment for future drilling and environmental governance.

This report by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the systemic lack of transparency and consistency in reporting oil-related accidents across the Americas. It highlights that while Brazil, Canada, and the United States are the only countries with regularly updated open databases, these records still contain significant gaps regarding ecological damage, human casualties, and responsible parties. The document emphasizes that this data scarcity obscures the true gravity of industrial risks, particularly in ecologically sensitive regions like the Amazon.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative and PUC-RIO analyzes the potential for carbon sequestration and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon through forest restoration. It proposes the Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM) as a jurisdictional, results-based payment system to complement existing conservation funds, estimating that natural regeneration could capture up to 26 GtCO2 and mobilize significant international finance.

This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the concept of 'temperature overshoot'—where global warming exceeds 1.5°C to 2°C before returning to those levels—and the associated risks of triggering irreversible climate tipping points. It argues that while the chance of limiting warming to 1.5°C by 2100 is now 'virtually zero', minimizing the magnitude and duration of overshoot is critical to avoid catastrophic Earth system collapses. The document contrasts dangerous climate tipping points with 'positive socio-economic tipping points' that can accelerate decarbonization, while warning that reliance on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and geoengineering introduces severe risks and does not replace the need for immediate, deep emissions cuts.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative and the Amazon 2030 project analyzes the regulatory and institutional barriers hindering biodiversity-based biotechnology in Brazil, with a specific focus on the Amazon region. It identifies the Access and Benefit-Sharing (ABS) framework as a primary obstacle to innovation and investment, and suggests that the forthcoming National Bioeconomy Development Plan (PNDBIO) is a critical opportunity to integrate biotechnology into the national strategy.

This report analyzes the convergence of nature-based solutions (NbS) and climate adaptation and resilience (A&R) finance, highlighting a massive funding gap where annual nature flows (USD 200 billion) and adaptation funding for developing countries (gap of USD 194-366 billion) are insufficient. Through case studies like Forest Carbon in Southeast Asia and Wildfire Resilience Insurance in the US, the report demonstrates that NbS can reduce adaptation costs and lower insurance premiums. However, scaling these solutions is hindered by difficulties in impact measurement, a lack of standardized metrics, and perverse government subsidies totaling USD 1.8 trillion annually. The authors argue for a shift from reactive to preventive investment strategies and the development of credible, localized impact metrics to unlock private capital.

This policy brief examines climate financing mechanisms in Brazil and South Africa, focusing on carbon pricing, green bonds, green taxonomies, and central bank regulations. It argues that these two BRICS nations are well-positioned to lead the Global South in advocating for a reformed global financial architecture—specifically the restructuring of the World Bank and IMF—to ensure more affordable and equitable climate finance for developing economies.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-RIO) introduces a new economic-based methodology to assess the additionality of REDD (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) carbon projects in the Brazilian Amazon. The study finds that 77% of the carbon traded in these projects is additional, meaning the forests would have been cleared without the projects' incentives. The report highlights regional variations in additionality and discusses the impact of land tenure issues and low agricultural productivity on project integrity, specifically citing the case of Portel, Pará.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative/PUC-Rio proposes a new economic-based methodology to evaluate the additionality of REDD (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) carbon projects in the Brazilian Amazon. The study finds that while 77% of carbon traded in these projects is additional, significant regional variations exist, and some projects in isolated areas with low agricultural productivity lack additionality.