DATOS PARA EXIGIR UNA HOJA DE RUTA DE SALIDA ORDENADA Y JUSTA DE COMBUSTIBLES FÓSILES EN 2026
Summary
This fact sheet by Transforma, published in April 2026, argues for an orderly and just transition away from fossil fuels in Latin America and the Caribbean. It highlights the region's extreme climate vulnerability, the economic risks of stranded assets, and the persistence of fossil fuel subsidies despite the region possessing the world's cleanest electricity matrix. The document calls for binding roadmaps for fossil fuel exit, particularly in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico, and emphasizes the need for a 'Just Transition Mechanism' to support territories and workers.
Key insights
- Latin America and the Caribbean face extreme climate vulnerability, including prolonged droughts in the Amazon and Pantanal, forest fires, floods in the Southern Cone, and atypical hurricanes. The region's economic growth has historically been tied to "patrones extractivistas y colonialistas de nuestro territorio".
- The region faces significant economic risks due to fossil fuel dependence. The IEA (2025) warns that in a net-zero emissions scenario by 2050, oil prices could drop to $25-33 USD/barrel, creating a risk of "activos varados (Stranded Assets)". Furthermore, continuing to invest in exploration is viewed as a poor economic decision because it creates "infraestructuras costosas que no se usarán en 10 ó 15 años".
- Fossil fuel subsidies remain prevalent across analyzed countries. In 2024, the region invested USD 52.8 billion in these subsidies. Colombia specifically allocated USD 10.7 billion to these subsidies in 2024, representing a 32% increase over 2023.
- There is a contradiction between the region's renewable potential and its fossil fuel production. While the region has the "matriz eléctrica más limpia del mundo", production and consumption of fossils continue to rise. For example, Brazil's renewable electricity matrix is 85%, yet its fossil production reached a record 8,575 PJ in 2023, a 54% increase since 2012.
- Several countries lack binding exit roadmaps for fossil fuels, specifically Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico. While Chile has a goal to exit coal in thermoelectric plants by 2040 and Colombia has not signed new exploration contracts since 2023, the document stresses that the "Mecanismo de Transición Justa" established at COP30 must be a real mechanism for territories starting in 2026.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Transforma (2026). DATOS PARA EXIGIR UNA HOJA DE RUTA DE SALIDA ORDENADA Y JUSTA DE COMBUSTIBLES FÓSILES EN 2026. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/20260424-Salida_combustibles_fosiles-infografia.pdf
- Chicago
- Transforma. DATOS PARA EXIGIR UNA HOJA DE RUTA DE SALIDA ORDENADA Y JUSTA DE COMBUSTIBLES FÓSILES EN 2026. 2026. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/20260424-Salida_combustibles_fosiles-infografia.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Transforma |title=DATOS PARA EXIGIR UNA HOJA DE RUTA DE SALIDA ORDENADA Y JUSTA DE COMBUSTIBLES FÓSILES EN 2026 |date=April 2026 |url=https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/20260424-Salida_combustibles_fosiles-infografia.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{transforma2026datos, author = {{Transforma}}, title = {{DATOS PARA EXIGIR UNA HOJA DE RUTA DE SALIDA ORDENADA Y JUSTA DE COMBUSTIBLES FÓSILES EN 2026}}, institution = {Transforma}, year = {2026}, month = apr, url = {https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/20260424-Salida_combustibles_fosiles-infografia.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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