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Soy and UK food system
The UK imports over 3 million metric tons of soy annually, primarily from Argentina, Brazil, and the US, with 90% used as livestock feed. The poultry sector is identified as the most vulnerable to supply or price shocks due to its high dependency on soy. The primary risk is deforestation and associated Scope 3 emissions. Recommendations include industry collaboration via the UK Soy Manifesto, aligned due diligence legislation, and long-term contracts for sustainable soy.
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Document type: Policy brief
G7 economies increasingly exposed to climate risks through globalised supply chain
The report argues that G7 economies face significant economic risks due to the interconnectedness of global supply chains, where climate-driven disruptions in production hubs—particularly in Africa, Asia, and Latin America—transmit shocks to industrialised nations. It cites examples such as the 2011 Thailand floods and recent flooding in Durban, South Africa, to illustrate how extreme weather causes global price spikes and production delays. Specific analyses for the US, Germany, UK, and Japan reveal vulnerabilities in sectors ranging from ICT and automotive manufacturing to food security. The document concludes that because labour cost differentials continue to drive the offshoring of production, G7 nations must cooperate globally and fulfill adaptation funding commitments to secure their own supply chains.
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Document type: Report
Misinformation Alert: Green Infrastructure
The document identifies green infrastructure as a subject of diverse conversations that can impact climate communications, particularly for those working in construction, green jobs, and levelling up. It specifies that organisations engaging with a wide range of demographics, from Millennials to older rural communities, may require assistance in managing misinformation. The briefing provides guidance on identifying at-risk audiences, establishing facts through trusted sources, and crafting effective messaging.
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Document type: Briefing
The Nuclear Sea-Launched Cruise Missile
The briefing outlines three primary risks of reintroducing nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missiles (SLCM-N) to the U.S. Navy: operational complications and costs, the 'discrimination problem' where adversaries cannot distinguish nuclear from conventional strikes, and the risk of incentivizing other states to pursue similar capabilities, thereby lowering the threshold for nuclear use.
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Document type: Briefing
Nordic Perspectives on Transboundary Climate Risk
The report examines transboundary climate risks—indirect, cascading, and cross-border impacts—and their specific relevance to the Nordic region, which is highly exposed to international connections. It suggests that building resilience requires deepened cooperation between Nordic governments, businesses, and international stakeholders to address risks such as food price volatility, supply chain disruptions, and forced migration.
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Document type: Report
Renewed multilateralism to alleviate chronic risks and enhance human security
The document examines the failure of existing multilateral systems to address global-scale chronic risks, such as the climate crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic. It highlights the stark disparity in climate-related deaths and GDP losses between high-income and low-income groups, noting that the Global North bears significant historical responsibility for emissions while the Global South suffers the most severe consequences. The authors propose 'de minimis multilateralism'—focusing on common aversions—and the creation of a Global Resilience Reserve Fund and a Climate Risk Atlas for Developing Countries to enhance human security and financial resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
The Climate-Conflict Nexus in Africa: A Conflict-Sensitive Approach
The document examines the relationship between climate change and conflict in Africa, asserting that climate change functions as a 'risk multiplier' that exacerbates existing political, social, and economic tensions. It highlights that while some regions like the Horn of Africa, the Sahel, and the Lake Chad Basin are particularly vulnerable, the path from climate impact to violence is indirect, often mediated by resource scarcity, forced migration, and institutional weakness. The report calls for the Global North to fulfill climate finance commitments and for African nations to adopt evidence-based, community-informed adaptation strategies that are sensitive to local conflict dynamics to prevent future instability.
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Document type: Report
Testimony of Carroll Muffett President & CEO, Center for International Environmental Law Before the US House Committee on Natural Resources Subcommittee on Energy and Mineral Resources
The testimony asserts that CCUS is not a viable climate solution, citing its failure to meet capture targets, high costs compared to renewables, and the risk of increasing lifecycle emissions. It highlights that most captured carbon is used for Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR), which produces more CO2 than it captures. The author warns of significant safety risks from CO2 pipelines and the environmental dangers of offshore storage in the Gulf of Mexico, where legacy oil and gas wells increase the likelihood of leaks and ocean acidification.
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Document type: Statement
Gender and Mediation
The document outlines the structural, sociocultural, and physical risks women face when participating in peace mediation, arguing that traditional security frameworks often overlook these gender-specific vulnerabilities. It highlights risks ranging from exclusion in pre-negotiations and reputational attacks to digital divide issues and psychological trauma. The briefing concludes that meaningful inclusion requires gender-sensitive security provisions, early involvement of women, and the recognition of informal mediation contributions.
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Document type: Briefing
Quelle sera notre réponse à la menace qui se profile pour les infrastructures canadiennes ?
The document highlights the vulnerability of Canadian infrastructure to climate change, noting that current construction often relies on outdated climate data. It proposes four key actions: improving climate risk information, integrating climate considerations into all government infrastructure decisions, requiring risk disclosure from owners and investors, and increasing financial support for municipalities to fund resilience projects.
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Document type: Statement
Wetter Rainfall Hours in a Warming Climate
Climate Central's analysis of 150 U.S. weather stations shows that 90% experienced an increase in hourly rainfall intensity between 1970 and 2021, with an overall average increase of 13%. This trend is linked to the Clausius-Clapeyron equation, where warmer air holds more moisture, increasing the frequency and intensity of heavy downpours. Such extremes contribute significantly to flash flood risks, accounting for approximately one-third of U.S. flood damages ($73 billion) from 1988 to 2017. Future projections suggest that U.S. flash floods could intensify by 8% by 2100 under high-emission scenarios, with the Southwest and central U.S. identified as high-risk areas.
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Document type: Report
CLIMATE CHANGE, SECURITY, AND POLITICAL COHERENCE IN THE SOUTH AND EAST CHINA SEAS: A SCENARIOS-BASED ASSESSMENT
The report examines the security implications of climate change in the South and East China Seas, focusing on the interplay between regional political cohesion and food prices. It presents four scenarios—ranging from high cooperation and low prices to high fragmentation and food insecurity—to illustrate potential risks, including social unrest, the failure of governance, and increased Chinese maritime aggression. The analysis emphasizes that climate change acts as a threat multiplier, exacerbating existing geopolitical tensions and socio-economic inequalities in Southeast and East Asia.
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Document type: Report
Scenario-based Analysis: Levant
The report assesses the climate security landscape of the Levant, focusing on the interplay between governance, cooperation, and technology. It identifies severe heatwaves, rainfall reduction, and water scarcity as primary physical risks. Through four scenarios, the authors argue that while large-scale projects require stable governance and cross-border agreements, the widespread availability of small-scale adaptive technologies could provide a critical resilience pathway for populations in states with poor or predatory governance.
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Document type: Report
Nuclear Threats in Ukraine Today and Their Implications for Global Security Tomorrow
The authors argue that the seizure of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant and threats to the Chernobyl site demonstrate the extreme dangers of nuclear facilities in conflict zones. They suggest the United States must develop a strategy to provide alternatives to Russian nuclear exports, monitor how these events affect global public perception of nuclear energy's role in climate mitigation, and adopt a more holistic approach to risk assessment that incorporates extreme climate projections and converging security threats.
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Document type: Statement
Societal and Security Implications of Ecosystem Services Declines
The report examines how the decline of pollination and seed dispersal services threatens global food security, economic stability, and political order. It highlights that while global production tonnage may only drop by 5-8%, the impact is acute for pollinator-dependent nations and critical for nutritional health. The document also warns that seed dispersal failure undermines forest integrity and carbon sinks, potentially destabilizing fragile states where populations are highly dependent on forest resources.
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Document type: Report
Strengthening Climate Resilience and Adaptation in Togo through a Multi-Risk Early Warning Mechanism
The project aims to establish a comprehensive multi-risk early warning system in Togo, targeting 100% of the population (approximately 8.28 million direct beneficiaries). It addresses critical gaps in hydrometeorological monitoring, data processing, and dissemination. The initiative is structured around four components: institutional development, operational capacity improvement for monitoring agencies, infrastructure modernization (including low-cost automated weather stations), and the creation of a sustainable financial framework involving public-private partnerships. The project seeks $10 million in GCF grants with an equal amount in co-financing for a total cost of $20 million over four years.
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Document type: Report
Exploring the Potential Role of the IMF in Supporting South Africa’s Just Transition
The report examines the intersection of the IMF's expanding climate mandate and South Africa's transition from a coal-dependent economy. It highlights the risks of the IMF's traditional austerity-driven policy toolkit and recommends a more inclusive, transparent approach that prioritizes social justice and long-term stability over short-term fiscal consolidation.
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Document type: Report
Methodology for the Assessment of Bioplastic Feedstocks
The Bioplastic Feedstock Alliance (BFA) methodology establishes a two-tier screening process—Executive Level and Survey Level—to evaluate biobased plastic feedstocks across 13 environmental and social indicators. The tool aims to decouple plastic production from fossil fuels while mitigating risks related to biodiversity loss, food security, and human rights. It emphasizes regional specificity, climate resilience, and the use of science-based indicators to identify trade-offs and mitigation strategies for both traditional agricultural and novel feedstocks.
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Document type: Guide
Climate change amplifies risks of violent conflicts in Africa
Climate change is intensifying risks of violent conflict across Africa by aggravating food and water insecurity, driving human displacement, and increasing competition over natural resources. The document highlights specific crises, such as the shrinking of Lake Chad and farmer-herder conflicts in the Sahel and Horn of Africa, to illustrate how environmental stressors exacerbate existing vulnerabilities. It calls for the integration of climate-sensitive planning into peacekeeping, reconstruction, and development efforts, emphasizing nature-based solutions and climate-resilient agriculture as key to strengthening resilience and security.
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Document type: Briefing
A closer look at the DRC’s nascent lithium sector
The document identifies significant risks in the DRC's emerging lithium sector, including a lack of public environmental impact assessments, the involvement of politically exposed persons (PEPs) in mining concessions, and a lack of transparency regarding contracts and beneficial ownership. It highlights the role of companies like AVZ Minerals, Tantalex Resources, and Critical Resources, and argues that the energy transition must not be underpinned by predatory economic models or environmental harm. The report recommends that companies and the Congolese government adopt OECD due diligence standards and ensure full transparency of payments and ownership to prevent corruption and human rights abuses.
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Document type: Briefing