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Three key near-term actions could bring
The analysis finds that tripling renewable energy capacity, doubling energy efficiency improvements, and cutting methane emissions by 2030 and beyond would significantly reduce the rate of global warming and lower projected century-end warming from 2.6°C to 1.7°C.
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Document type: Briefing
Will Canadian LNG increase or decrease emissions?
Expanding Canadian LNG capacity is projected to increase domestic emissions, potentially raising British Columbia's total emissions by nearly 20% by 2035. The impact on global emissions is described as ambiguous, as there are no guarantees that Canadian LNG will displace higher-emission fuels like coal or other LNG sources, especially given the rapid growth of renewables in key markets like China, India, and Japan. The author argues that LNG exports should not be viewed as a substitute for domestic climate policy and recommends stringent methane regulations, transparent industrial carbon pricing, and the avoidance of public subsidies for LNG projects.
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Document type: Research paper
Fastest-Warming Seasons
Analysis of 244 U.S. cities shows that winters are the fastest-warming season for most of the country, with average temperatures increasing by 3.9°F since 1970. This trend is characterized by fewer freezing nights, shorter cold streaks, and a significant increase in warmer-than-normal winter days, particularly in the Northeast and Upper Midwest. These changes threaten mountain snowpack, crop yields for the $27 billion fruit and nut industry, and the winter recreation economy, while potentially increasing pest-related health risks and allergy durations.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Climate change enhanced intensity of Hurricane Melissa: testing limits of adaptation in Jamaica and eastern Cuba
Hurricane Melissa, a Category 5 storm, caused widespread destruction and 61 deaths across Jamaica, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic in October 2025. Analysis indicates that climate change increased the likelihood of the extreme conditions that fueled the storm by a factor of about 6 and increased the intensity of associated rainfall by more than 9%. In Jamaica, 5-day rainfall events are now about 30% more intense and twice as likely, while in eastern Cuba, intensity increased by 50% and frequency by a factor of 9. The storm's maximum wind speeds are estimated to be approximately 7% more intense due to warming. Despite financial risk strategies like catastrophe bonds, damages in Jamaica are estimated to be at least an order of magnitude larger than available finance.
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Document type: Research paper
Why Once-Scarce Water Is Coming Back in North Mecha, Ethiopia
A three-year restoration project in North Mecha, Ethiopia, has successfully revived local water sources and improved food security through community-led land management. By implementing revegetation and soil conservation practices across 400 hectares, the project increased groundwater levels, extended stream flow into the dry season, and boosted crop production for 321 households.
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Document type: Case study
Digital distortion
The report examines the role of social media platforms in spreading climate disinformation, highlighting how algorithmic systems and revenue-sharing models incentivise misleading content. It specifically assesses the compliance of Very Large Online Platforms (VLOPs) with the EU Digital Services Act (DSA), concluding that most have failed to identify or mitigate climate disinformation as a systemic risk.
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Document type: Report
A decade of global climate action
The Green Climate Fund (GCF) reports a portfolio of USD 19.3 billion since 2015, having reduced greenhouse gas emissions by 96 million tonnes of CO2e and reached 249 million people through adaptation projects. To address the escalating climate crisis, the GCF has launched the '50by30' vision, aiming for a USD 50 billion portfolio by 2030, with annual programming targets rising to USD 15 billion by 2035. The Fund emphasizes a balanced approach, currently allocating 59% of its portfolio to adaptation and 41% to mitigation, with a strong focus on Least Developed Countries (LDCs), Small Island Developing States (SIDS), and African states. Key operational achievements include the Readiness Programme, which has provided 874 grants worth USD 752 million to 142 developing countries, and the 'Efficient GCF' programme, which reduced the median time from project approval to disbursement to 6 months in 2024.
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Document type: Executive summary
A decade of global climate action: Building resilience, transforming lives
The Green Climate Fund (GCF) reports a portfolio of USD 19.3 billion and USD 59.3 billion in co-financing over its first ten years, reaching 249 million people through adaptation projects. The Fund is pursuing a '50by30' vision to manage a USD 50 billion portfolio by 2030, with a programming target of USD 8-9 billion in 2030. Key achievements include reducing 95.9 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent and restoring 33.2 million hectares of ecosystems. The report highlights ten case studies across various sectors, including wind energy in Djibouti, coastal protection in Tuvalu, and climate-smart agriculture in the Aral Sea Basin, emphasizing a shift toward systemic, locally-led transformation.
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Document type: Report
CEO Note: Results from a milestone in deforestation monitoring
Mighty Earth's Rapid Response program uses remote sensing and supply chain monitoring to identify deforestation at the 10-hectare level, prompting agribusinesses to act within 48 hours. The program has contributed to a 90% decline in commodity deforestation in Southeast Asia and parts of the Congo Basin, resulting in over 275 supplier suspensions in the palm oil sector and nearly 1,000 suspensions in Latin America and Africa.
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Document type: Statement
Urban Heat Hot Spots in 65 Cities
Climate Central analysis of 221 marathons indicates that the probability of optimal, cool race-day temperatures is decreasing due to global warming. For recreational runners in the U.S., the current average chance of optimal temperatures is 27%, and this is projected to decline in 46 of 51 analyzed U.S. marathons by 2045 if high levels of heat-trapping pollution continue. The analysis highlights regional disparities, with the Northwest having the best current odds (55%) and the Southwest the worst (14%). Beyond performance, the document notes that rising heat and humidity increase risks of heat-related illness and that climate-driven air quality issues, such as wildfire smoke, further threaten runner health.
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Document type: Briefing
Story Spark: AI and Data Centers
The document outlines the climate and community risks associated with the proliferation of AI data centers, noting their high energy and water demands and their tendency to rely on fossil fuels. It provides practical advice for journalists to report on local data center capacity, utility rate increases, and pollution, while citing specific examples of community struggles in the US and AI's varied roles in climate adaptation and forecasting.
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Document type: Guide
Cascading hydroclimatic hazard impacts
The study uses an integrated approach combining hydroclimatic hazard impact and supply-driven input-output models to estimate damages to Sweden's food, electricity, and water supply. Between 2005 and 2022, combined hydroclimatic hazards caused EUR 8.4 billion in economic losses across the agriculture, electricity, and insurance sectors, with floods contributing the highest share of damage.
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Document type: Research paper
How China’s transition is reshaping the global energy landscape
China's massive scale in producing solar, wind, batteries, and electric vehicles has significantly lowered global costs, with solar module prices falling over 70% between 2022 and mid-2025. This manufacturing capacity allows China to potentially supply the entire world's solar needs for 2030 as defined by the IEA. These affordable technologies are facilitating an 'energy leapfrog' in emerging markets across Africa, Asia, and Latin America, where some countries now have higher solar shares in power generation than the US. Consequently, China's own fossil fuel demand is approaching a plateau, and the global demand for fossil fuels is projected to be in structural decline by 2030.
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Document type: Report
Methane from coal mining is a blind spot in steel’s climate impact
The report argues that methane emissions from coking coal mining are a significant but under-accounted 'blind spot' in the steel industry's climate impact. It highlights that coking coal is more methane-intensive than thermal coal and that Australian mines, which supply over half of the global seaborne coking coal market, consistently underreport these emissions. Using IEA data and GWP20 metrics, the report estimates that mining emissions can add 10% to 17% to the emission intensity of blast furnace steel, with some 'gassiest' mines potentially doubling the climate footprint. It concludes that nearly half of these emissions could be abated using existing technologies at a cost lower than the market price of Australian Carbon Credit Units.
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Document type: Report
Créditos de Carbono na Amazônia
The report introduces a dynamic economic model to determine the additionality of REDD projects in the Brazilian Amazon, finding that 77% of the carbon traded is additional. It highlights regional variations, noting higher additionality in agribusiness-consolidated areas and lower additionality in isolated regions like Portel, while suggesting that higher carbon prices would further increase additionality rates.
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Document type: Report
REPEALING FEDERAL TAILPIPE EMISSIONS STANDARDS WOULD RAISE HOUSEHOLD COSTS, HARM PUBLIC HEALTH, AND DAMAGE THE ECONOMY
The report argues that repealing federal tailpipe emissions standards would significantly harm the United States by increasing household energy costs, causing premature deaths due to increased air pollution, and reducing GDP and employment. Using the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS), the analysis finds that such a repeal would lead to a slower adoption of zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs), higher gasoline prices, and a cumulative GDP loss of $710 billion between 2026 and 2050.
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Document type: Report
OLIE- EN GASVERKENNING: DIE WESKUS
TotalEnergies (TEEPSA) is seeking environmental authorisation for oil and gas exploration in the southern Deepwater Orange Basin (DWOB) block, involving the drilling of up to seven wells at depths between 500m and 3,900m. The project faces legal challenges in the Western Cape High Court regarding northern block activities and potential risks to marine life, fishing livelihoods, and indigenous cultural heritage. Public comments on the draft Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) are open until 10 September 2025.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Tangguh LNG: Big project, huge risks
The briefing examines the Tangguh LNG project in West Papua, Indonesia, highlighting its environmental and social impacts and the role of multilateral development banks (MDBs) in its financing. It argues that the proposed expansion to Train 4 and the implementation of carbon capture, utilisation, and storage (CCUS) are 'false solutions' that prolong fossil fuel dependency. The document criticises the ADB, IFC, and AIIB for inadequate Paris Alignment methodologies and energy policies that allow continued gas investment. It recommends that MDBs cease all fossil fuel funding, plug financial intermediary loopholes, and strengthen accountability mechanisms for affected Indigenous communities.
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Document type: Briefing
Solar and flexibility: key to Türkiye’s rising cooling challenge
Türkiye's cooling-related electricity consumption reached 10 TWh in 2024, growing by 26% since 2022. This trend is shifting peak electricity demand from winter to summer, with the gap between summer and winter peaks widening to 9.1 GW by 2025. The report projects that cooling demand could reach 35 TWh by 2035, with peak hourly demand potentially hitting 85 GWh. To address this, the study recommends expanding distributed solar power, which aligns with peak cooling hours, implementing energy storage (including pumped-storage hydro), and improving data collection on air conditioner ownership to enhance demand forecasting.
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Document type: Report
Consultation Submission on the Draft NDC of South Africa
The Global Climate and Health Alliance (GCHA) argues that South Africa's draft NDC should align emissions targets with a 1.5°C trajectory to avoid health hazards and better quantify the health-related costs of air pollution. The submission recommends developing integrated climate-health surveillance systems, expanding the reach of impact-based early warning systems to rural areas, and engaging the Department of Health across sectors to maximize co-benefits. It highlights that PM2.5 air pollution caused an estimated 42,000 deaths in 2023 and costs the economy approximately USD 52 billion annually, suggesting that meeting WHO guidelines could save 30,000 lives per year.
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Document type: Statement