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334 documents from NewClimate Institute
Aligning Transport Investments with the Paris Agreement
An analysis of the European Investment Bank's (EIB) transport portfolio since 2015 reveals that approximately half of the investments are aligned with the Paris Agreement. To achieve full alignment and support European transport decarbonisation, the report recommends that the EIB develop a strategic project pipeline focusing on modal shift, rail electrification, shipping decarbonisation, and electric mobility infrastructure, while establishing a negative list of ineligible projects and increasing transparency regarding induced emissions.
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Document type: Report
Climate neutrality claims
The document analyzes the proliferation of 'climate neutrality' and 'net zero' targets among governments and corporations, noting that while some contribute positively to climate goals, others lack transparency and may obscure a lack of ambition. It emphasizes the need for clear information on coverage, target years, and the role of offsets to prevent the misrepresentation of climate action.
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Document type: Research paper
Exploring the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Emission Projections
The report analyzes how the COVID-19 pandemic affects global emission pathways toward Paris Agreement goals, estimating a 2020 CO2 reduction of 4% to 8% depending on lockdown duration. It projects a potential 2030 emission reduction of 2.5 to 4.5 GtCO2e relative to pre-pandemic projections, though this could be offset by a rebound to fossil fuels. Additionally, it introduces a classification framework for recovery measures, finding that 31% of Germany's June 2020 stimulus package consists of 'green' measures.
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Document type: Report
Correcting Course: The Emission Reduction Potential of International Cooperative Initiatives
The analysis finds that the full implementation of 17 major international cooperative initiatives (ICIs) could reduce global emissions in 2030 by 18 to 21 GtCO2e/year beyond current national policies. This would help align the global emissions trajectory with a 2°C-consistent pathway, although a gap remains for a 1.5°C-consistent pathway. The most significant contributions come from cities, regions, businesses, and forestry initiatives.
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Document type: Research paper
Fair contributions versus fastest possible reductions
The authors contend that because urgent global emission reductions are required, the focus must shift from whether a national pathway is 'fair' to how quickly emissions can be reduced in all countries. They propose a framework where developed countries, whose domestic potential may be lower than their fair share responsibility, provide financial and non-financial support to developing countries to implement high-ambition reductions and avoid sectoral lock-ins. This support should target difficult-to-decarbonize sectors such as energy supply, industry, buildings, and transport, utilizing instruments like international climate finance and Article 6.4 market mechanisms.
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Document type: Research paper
Paris Agreement Compatible Sectoral Benchmarks Summary Report
The Climate Action Tracker has established 'highest plausible ambition' benchmarks for four key sectors—Power, Transport, Industry, and Buildings—to guide the global transition to net-zero emissions by 2050. The report provides specific targets for 2030 and 2050, both globally and for seven major economies (Brazil, China, EU, India, Indonesia, South Africa, and the US), emphasizing that while starting points differ, all sectors must decarbonise by mid-century to meet the 1.5°C goal. Key priorities include the immediate phase-out of coal in developed nations by 2030, a rapid shift to zero-emission vehicles, and significant emissions intensity reductions in cement and steel production.
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Document type: Report
Options for supporting carbon dioxide removal
The document analyzes strategies for scaling Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) to meet IPCC 1.5°C goals. It recommends supporting biological CDR through domestic regulation rather than carbon markets due to non-permanence risks, and suggests targeted R&D and pilot support for technological CDR (BECCS, DACCS, enhanced weathering, and mineral carbonation). Crucially, it argues that separate targets for emissions and removals are superior to combined net-zero targets to prevent the diversion of attention from essential emission reductions and to prepare for a future net-negative CO2 phase.
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Document type: Research paper
Making Long-Term Low-GHG Emissions Development Strategies a Reality
The document outlines a framework for policy makers to create long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies (LTS) as requested by Article 4 of the Paris Agreement. It proposes that an LTS should be an ongoing visioning exercise integrated into continuous planning and harmonized with Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). The guide suggests three levels of comprehensiveness for LTS development—ranging from base to detailed—to accommodate different country starting points, and identifies eight key aspects for policy makers to address based on their specific national situations.
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Document type: Guide
Zwei neue Klimaschutzziele für Deutschland
The document argues that Germany's existing climate targets, specifically the goal to reduce emissions by 55% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels, are outdated because they were based on the assumption of stagnating global emissions and a higher temperature limit of 2°C. The analysis finds that Germany has nearly exhausted its fair CO2 budget and would need to reach zero emissions by 2030 to make a just contribution. Since zero emissions by 2030 is deemed politically unrealistic, the author proposes a dual strategy: achieving net-zero emissions domestically well before 2050 (e.g., by 2040) and establishing an ambitious goal to help other countries reduce their emissions through financial support, innovation, or atmospheric greenhouse gas removal.
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Document type: Research paper
Options for improving the emission unit eligibility criteria (EUCs) under the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA)
The paper evaluates the current Emission Unit Eligibility Criteria (EUCs) for CORSIA, focusing on additionality, baselines, permanence, avoidance of double counting, and causing no net harm. While finding the current criteria mostly sufficient in conceptual coverage, the authors recommend detailed elaborations on program requirements and procedures to align with best practices. Key recommendations include excluding non-additional project types, requiring vetted methodologies for baselines, establishing 100-year permanence thresholds with buffer reserves, expanding the scope of double claiming, and implementing strict social and environmental safeguards.
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Document type: Research paper
Good Practice Database Summary Report
The analysis of 52 new good practice cases for the GPD identifies consistent success factors for climate action, including stakeholder engagement, political buy-in, and alignment with national or international frameworks. It also notes emerging trends such as the role of innovation in addressing complex challenges, increased focus on transparency in line with the Paris Agreement's Enhanced Transparency Framework, and the integration of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to align climate and development agendas.
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Document type: Executive summary
Beyond national climate action: the impact of region, city and business
The analysis assesses the impact of commitments from 79 regions, approximately 6,000 cities, and nearly 1,600 companies within ten major emitting economies. If fully implemented, these individual commitments could reduce 2030 emissions by 3.8%–5.5% compared to current national policy projections. The study finds that such action could lead the European Union, Japan, and India to overachieve their nationally determined contributions (NDCs), and could serve as a primary driver for climate action in the United States following national policy rollbacks.
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Document type: Research paper
The Mongolian electricity sector in the context of international climate
The report examines the Mongolian electricity sector's transition toward the Paris Agreement goals and the public health costs of coal power. It highlights that planned coal capacity expansions, particularly the Shivee Ovoo plant, would significantly increase premature deaths and years of life lost by 2050, while noting that Mongolia requires international financial and technical support to implement renewable energy and decouple heat and electricity supply.
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Document type: Report
A Roadmap for the Power Supply Sector in Argentina
The report evaluates the energy transition in Argentina's power sector, highlighting the need to align long-term Paris Agreement temperature goals with NDC processes to avoid carbon lock-in. It identifies opportunities for leadership in renewables-based hydrogen and synthetic fuels, while noting that grid limitations are the primary short-term barrier to increasing renewable energy participation.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change and Sustainable Development in the Kenyan Electricity Sector
The report evaluates emission pathways and technology options for Kenya's electricity sector to ensure alignment with the Paris Agreement and sustainable development goals. It argues that avoiding coal and limiting natural gas in favor of geothermal, mini-grids, and energy efficiency is essential for a Paris-compatible trajectory. The document highlights a misalignment between previous climate documents and actual sector planning, recommending integrated planning processes and the creation of a Long-term Strategy to provide transparency and a clear economic vision.
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Document type: Report
Net-Zero Energy Housing Virtual Article 6 Pilot
The NewClimate Institute explored the construction of Net-Zero Energy Buildings (NZEBs) in Cartagena, Colombia, as a virtual Article 6 pilot. The study found that NZEBs are currently non-existent or uncommon in Colombia and Latin America, with a price premium of approximately 15% over standard buildings. Due to underdeveloped supply chains for solar PV and dehumidification systems, as well as insufficient domestic regulations, the project is considered additional and inaccessible without foreign support, meaning Colombia could likely export mitigation outcomes via Article 6 without endangering its own Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC).
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Document type: Case study
Renewable Heating Virtual Article 6 Pilot
The NewClimate Institute proposes a virtual Article 6 pilot in Khovd, Mongolia, to replace coal-based district heating with ground source heat pumps (GSHP). The project aims to reduce GHG emissions and air pollution while testing the application of Article 6 carbon market mechanisms, arguing that the project is additional due to high upfront costs and low local technological maturity.
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Document type: Research paper
Tracking climate-related investments and finance flows
The document examines the role of sustainable finance taxonomies and national climate strategies in tracking and mobilizing climate finance. It specifically highlights the EU Taxonomy as a potential tool for implementing climate finance landscape methodology and argues that linking national strategies with investment landscapes can help avoid carbon lock-in and bridge the gap between current financial flows and low-emission transition goals.
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Document type: Research paper
Supporting vulnerable CDM projects through credit purchase facilities
The paper evaluates the role of six major credit purchase facilities in sustaining vulnerable CDM projects. While these facilities procured only 2.5% of the total potential CER supply (120 million CERs) from 2013 to 2020, they had a disproportionate impact on vulnerable projects, procuring 20% of the potential supply from highly vulnerable projects and reducing the remaining potential supply from 171 million to 137 million CERs.
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Document type: Research paper
Ambition in the making: Analysing the preparation and implementation process
The article analyzes the first round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) through surveys of government representatives and stakeholders, primarily in developing and emerging economies. It finds that while the NDC preparation process improved political awareness, institutional coordination, and national climate policy processes, significant gaps remain in analytical capacity, financial resources, and technical expertise. The authors argue that addressing these resource gaps and improving stakeholder involvement is essential for setting realistic yet ambitious targets in future NDC cycles.
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Document type: Research paper