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Lessons from Rwanda’s threat to withdraw from Cabo Delgado
This research paper analyzes the implications of Rwanda's threat to withdraw its security forces from Mozambique's Cabo Delgado province. It argues that the deployment serves Rwanda's political and economic interests while highlighting Mozambique's inability to independently secure its territory and the transactional nature of EU and US energy-driven security strategies.
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Document type: Research paper
The AfCFTA Introduction
This research paper introduces the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) within the context of Africa's struggle to maximize globalization and diversify its exports. It compares a 'business-as-usual' scenario with the potential economic gains of full AfCFTA implementation by 2043, highlighting the continent's current over-reliance on primary goods and its vulnerability to external policies like the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Conclusion: Challenges to Achieving a Low-Carbon Future
This report by the Institute for Security Studies outlines the challenges Africa faces in transitioning to a low-carbon future, emphasizing that the region will suffer disproportionately from climate change despite its low contribution to the cause. It argues for a gradual energy transition, the necessity of climate finance, and the implementation of a fair global carbon tax to support sustainable development and resilience.
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Document type: Report
African Responses to Climate Change
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines two primary policy responses to climate change in Africa: carbon sequestration through forest regeneration and the implementation of a global carbon tax. It highlights the critical role of the Congo Basin as a carbon sink and analyzes four illustrative global carbon tax scenarios, concluding that a differentiated payment approach aligns best with international equity principles and the Paris Agreement.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa’s Contribution to Carbon Emissions to 2063: Current Path vs Combined Scenario
This research paper analyzes projections for Africa's fossil fuel carbon emissions up to 2063, comparing a 'Current Path' with a 'Combined scenario' that incorporates ambitious development improvements. It identifies a small number of key countries whose energy policies will determine the continent's overall contribution to global emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
Carbon Emissions: Global Picture and Forecast
This report analyzes global carbon emissions from fossil fuels and land use, providing forecasts through 2063. It highlights the dominance of coal, the climate impact of LNG, and the roles of major emitters like China, the US, and India, while detailing the specific environmental pressures facing Africa, including deforestation and water scarcity.
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Document type: Report
Carbon Market Insights: Volume 1, Issue 1
This briefing from the International Institute for Sustainable Development reviews global and regional carbon pricing trends, focusing on Southeast Asia. It analyzes the impact of the European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), the implementation of Paris Agreement Article 6, and provides updates on carbon pricing developments in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Viet Nam.
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Document type: Briefing
Africa in a Multipolar World: Navigating Power in Shifting Global Order, 2025
This report by the Africa Policy Research Institute analyzes the geopolitical landscape of Africa in 2025, characterized by a shift toward a multipolar world. It examines the impact of US strategic retrenchment, the first G20 summit held on the continent, tensions in the Horn of Africa, and the strategic competition over critical minerals along the Lobito Corridor.
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Document type: Report
Afrika in einer multipolaren Welt: Machtpolitik in einer sich wandelnden Weltordnung, 2025 (EN)
This report by the Africa Policy Research Institute analyzes the geopolitical landscape of Africa in 2025, characterized by a shift toward a multipolar world order. It examines the impact of the second Trump administration's transactional approach to US-Africa relations, the outcomes of the first G20 summit held on the continent in South Africa, and the strategic competition over critical minerals along the Lobito Corridor. The document also details increasing instability in the Horn of Africa driven by global and regional power rivalries.
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Document type: Report
Supporting EUDR Compliance Through Regional Sustainability Standards
This report evaluates the agriculture and forestry standards of the African Organization for Standardisation (ARSO) against the requirements of the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR). It identifies strengths in ARSO's governance and traceability frameworks while highlighting critical gaps in geolocation data, forest conversion rules, and transparency that must be addressed to protect African exporters' market access to the EU.
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Document type: Report
Ein Jahr mit bescheidener regulatorischer Klarheit, aber jedes bisschen hilft (EN)
The report analyzes the challenges and institutional developments facing Africa's green technology transition in 2025. It highlights the impact of tightening global trade rules, such as the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism and the uncertainty surrounding the US African Growth and Opportunity Act, alongside the withdrawal of the US from the Paris Agreement. The document details continental efforts to mobilize climate finance, integrate regional power markets, and adopt AI for climate action, while emphasizing the need for affordable decarbonization finance to prevent the marginalization of smaller African firms.
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Document type: Report
The Year of Modest Regulatory Clarity, but Every Little Helps
The report analyzes the state of Africa's green technology transition in 2025, highlighting the tension between increasing technology affordability and tightening global trade and regulatory frameworks. It details the impact of US trade policy shifts, the upcoming EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, and continental efforts to mobilize climate finance and integrate energy markets.
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Document type: Report
Que signifie l’avis consultatif de la Cour internationale de Justice sur le changement climatique pour le droit international des investissements ?
This briefing by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) analyzes the implications of a July 2025 International Court of Justice (ICJ) advisory opinion on climate change for international investment law. It argues that the ICJ's recognition of climate action as a binding legal obligation undermines investor claims based on 'legitimate expectations' for fossil fuel activities and provides states with stronger legal defenses against Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) claims.
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Document type: Briefing
Methane 101: Why It Matters, Where It Comes From, and How to Tackle It
This guide by RMI explains the climate and health impacts of methane, its primary sources, and strategies for reduction. It highlights the role of data and international agreements in curbing emissions and details RMI's specific tools and initiatives for monitoring and certifying low-methane gas production.
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Document type: Guide
International Conversations on Trade and Climate: From the World Trade Organization to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
This research paper by Ieva Baršauskaitė and Antoine Bonnet analyzes the transition of trade-related climate measures from abstract policy debates to practical implementation between 2025 and early 2026. It examines the evolving roles of the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in managing issues of transparency, interoperability, and development equity, positioning the 14th Ministerial Conference (MC14) as a critical juncture for consolidating these international efforts.
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Document type: Research paper
Critical minerals as an observatory for evolving forms of trade cooperation
This research paper examines the evolving landscape of critical minerals diplomacy, arguing that current multilateral trade rules are insufficient to balance the economic security needs of consuming nations with the industrialization goals of resource-rich developing countries. The author analyzes the rise of non-binding sectoral partnerships and plurilateral initiatives led by developed nations, warning that these may reinforce power asymmetries. The paper proposes utilizing the World Trade Organization (WTO) or regional groupings as more neutral platforms to establish a rules-based system that supports sustainable sourcing and domestic value addition in producer economies.
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Document type: Research paper
It is unclear if LNG imports can guarantee Southeast Asia’s energy security
This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines whether increasing liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports can guarantee energy security for Southeast Asian nations. While ASEAN members are investing USD 20.4 billion in LNG infrastructure to meet rising demand and declining domestic supplies, the document argues that this dependence exposes the region to geopolitical supply shocks, price volatility, and competition with Europe. It suggests that investing in domestic renewable energy, upgrading grids, and accelerating the ASEAN Power Grid would provide a more resilient and secure energy future.
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Document type: Briefing
Five things we’ll be watching at the 2026 Mining Indaba
This briefing by the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) outlines five critical themes and questions the organization will monitor during the 2026 Investing in Africa Mining Indaba in Cape Town. The document focuses on the intersection of geopolitics, industrialization, infrastructure, regional cooperation, and the role of civil society in Africa's mineral sector.
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Document type: Briefing
Türkiye ranks fourth in Europe in electric car sales
A report by Ember detailing the rapid growth of battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales in Türkiye, which became Europe's fourth-largest market for new BEVs in 2025, while noting that the overall vehicle fleet remains dominated by fossil fuels.
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Document type: Report
BLACK SOLDIER FLY AGRICULTURE
This briefing by GreenCape examines the commercial challenges facing the Black Soldier Fly (BSF) agriculture sector, specifically regarding large-scale, centralised models. It argues that the industry is caught in a "Commodity Trap" by attempting to displace low-cost bulk proteins and synthetic fertilisers. The document recommends a strategic pivot toward high-performance, functional additives and bioactive soil amendments to justify premium pricing and overcome scaling and regulatory hurdles.
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Document type: Briefing