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Climate Change in the American Mind
The October 2017 survey indicates an upward trend in American concern about global warming, with 71% believing it is happening and 47% feeling certain of it. While 54% attribute it to human activity, only 15% are aware of the strong scientific consensus. Emotional responses are predominantly negative, with 55% feeling disgusted and 52% feeling helpless. Perceived risks are at record highs, with 44% reporting personal experience of its effects and 42% believing people in the U.S. are being harmed "right now." Despite this, optimism for a human-led solution remains low, with only 5% confident that humans can and will successfully reduce global warming.
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Document type: Report
Euro-Mediterranean heat summer 2017
The summer of 2017 saw extreme heat across Southern Europe, including the 'Lucifer' heat wave in early August. World Weather Attribution analysis indicates that human-induced climate change significantly increased the likelihood of these events. A summer as hot as 2017 is now estimated to have a 1 in 10 annual chance in the Euro-Mediterranean region and is projected to become normal weather by the middle of the century under continued greenhouse gas emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
Informe a la 25a Conferencia de las Partes
The report outlines the SPAC's efforts to bridge the gap between scientific knowledge and decision-making in the Americas. It provides strategic recommendations for the IAI regarding visibility, policy engagement, and financing, while detailing the outcomes of a multi-sectoral workshop in Argentina that integrated scientific research on health, coasts, land use, weather forecasting, and urban environments into local governance.
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Document type: Report
COSTS OF POLLUTION IN CANADA
The report finds that pollution costs Canada tens of billions of dollars annually, though full costs are obscured by data gaps. Urban smog is the most quantified pollutant, costing $36 billion in 2015. Other significant impacts include the $12.2 billion in combined current and future liabilities for contaminated sites, the $1.6 billion cost of climate-related heat waves in 2015, and substantial ecosystem and property value losses in Lake Erie due to algal blooms. The document highlights critical data gaps regarding persistent organic pollutants (POPs), heavy metals, and greenhouse gas emissions.
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Document type: Executive summary
COSTS OF POLLUTION IN CANADA
The report finds that pollution imposes very significant costs on Canadian families, businesses, and governments, with direct welfare costs alone estimated at $39 billion in 2015. It highlights substantial data gaps regarding persistent organic pollutants, heavy metals, and climate change, while detailing specific impacts such as urban smog, algal blooms in Lake Erie, and the long-term liabilities of contaminated sites and nuclear legacy wastes.
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Document type: Report
Prospects and Challenges: Mozambique’s Growth and Human Development Outlook to 2040
The report assesses Mozambique's development outlook to 2040, arguing that while natural gas production will drive significant GDP growth from the mid-2020s, it will not automatically reduce absolute poverty without concerted investments in human capital and governance. Using scenario analysis, the authors demonstrate that integrated pushes in family planning, health, education, agriculture, and governance can significantly reduce extreme poverty and infant mortality, whereas stalled development and delayed gas production could lead to a sharp increase in the number of people living in extreme poverty.
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Document type: Report
Building a Climate-Resilient City: Disaster preparedness and emergency management
The document outlines strategies for Alberta's cities to improve disaster preparedness in the face of climate change, emphasizing the integration of extreme weather projections, the creation of system redundancies, and the use of green infrastructure and building codes to reduce long-term costs.
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Document type: Policy brief
10 key signs of climate change
The document outlines twelve key signs of climate change, including rising global, ocean, and soil temperatures, increasing ocean acidity, and rising sea levels. It attributes these phenomena to the buildup of heat-trapping gases caused by the burning of fossil fuels and the destruction of tropical forests. The text highlights specific regional impacts, such as the rapid warming of the Gulf of Maine and the thawing of permafrost in the Arctic, and notes the resulting increase in extreme weather events and shifts in species ranges.
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Document type: Fact sheet
U.S. Heat February 2017
The analysis finds that February 2017 was the second warmest February on record for the contiguous United States, with temperatures 3.1°C above the 1981–2010 normal. By combining historical observations with CMIP5, HadGEM3-A, and Weather@Home model ensembles, the study concludes that the probability of such a warm event has increased more than threefold due to human-induced greenhouse gas emissions. While the 2017 event had a return period of approximately 12 years in the current climate, it would have been a 1-in-160-year event around 1900. Projections suggest that by 2050, temperatures like those seen in February 2017 will be 'completely normal', occurring roughly every three years.
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Document type: Research paper
Assessing Human Vulnerability to Climate Change from an Evolutionary Perspective
The case study examines human vulnerability to extreme events, asserting that it is determined by both exogenous hazards and endogenous characteristics of human systems. It argues that an evolutionary perspective provides critical insights into adaptive capacity, which is often limited by structural and historical factors. To demonstrate this, the text compares the root causes of vulnerability in Haiti and Chile following their 2010 earthquakes. The author contends that qualitative research methods are necessary to uncover these structural and historical root causes, citing the Global Islands’ Vulnerability Research Adaptation and Policy Development Project as a model for community-based qualitative assessment.
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Document type: Case study
GIVRAPD: Microinsurance Component Contrasting Coping in the Caribbean and the Indian Ocean
The document outlines a research project comparing community adaptation and microinsurance demand in four Small Island Developing States (SIDS). It specifically focuses on comparing 2011 data from the Caribbean with new survey data from Mauritius and the Seychelles to analyze socio-economic profiles, financial behavior, and coping mechanisms in response to extreme weather.
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Document type: Research paper
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The document describes a process for integrating climate science, social analysis, and emergency response to improve decision-making after extreme weather events. It emphasizes the need for policy makers and officials to determine how to rebuild and prepare for future climate shifts by utilizing both historical experience and scientific data on climate change.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Raising Risk Awareness
The document describes a process for improving disaster response and recovery by integrating climate science and social analysis. It emphasizes that determining the influence of climate change on extreme events, combined with an analysis of exposure and vulnerability, allows policy makers and community members to make informed decisions to 'build back better' and ensure systems are resilient to future climate risks.
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Document type: Fact sheet
The drought in Kenya, 2016–2017
The 2016–2017 drought in Kenya, declared a national emergency in February 2017, was primarily driven by sea surface temperature patterns, specifically La Niña. While attribution analysis found no strong climate change signal in rainfall trends, it concluded that temperatures during the drought were hotter than they would have been without human-induced climate change. The drought severely impacted 23 counties, leaving up to 4 million people in need of food aid by April 2017, though it was less extreme than the 2010–2011 event.
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Document type: Research paper
Untold Stories of People Impacted by Climate Change
The document highlights the vulnerability of the Asia Pacific region to climate change, specifically focusing on how extreme weather and slow-onset disasters drive migration. Through case studies in Sri Lanka, Papua New Guinea, and the Philippines, it illustrates the loss of livelihoods, food insecurity, and social disruption facing marginalized communities. It concludes that current legal systems fail to recognize 'climate refugees' and urges governments to implement human-rights-based resettlement and adaptation strategies.
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Document type: Report
Building a Climate-Resilient City
The document argues that Alberta's cities must move beyond historical climatic patterns to build resilience against more frequent and intense extreme weather events. It emphasizes integrating climate projections into emergency planning, investing in robust and redundant infrastructure, and fostering community resourcefulness through participatory engagement.
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Document type: Briefing
Mindanao, Philippines BUILDING RESILIENCE FOR PEACE: WATER, SECURITY, AND STRATEGIC INTERESTS IN
The document analyzes how ecological challenges, such as severe droughts and storms, exacerbate social instability and violent conflict in Mindanao, Philippines. It highlights the displacement of millions due to both climate events and conflict, which creates opportunities for terrorist groups like ISIS to establish footholds. The text emphasizes the geostrategic importance of the region to the United States and recommends that U.S. policy support water-related programs and collaborative governance to build climate resilience and promote peace.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Water, Security and U.S. Foreign Policy
The executive summary outlines how water-driven stresses—caused by both human mismanagement and climate change—undermine governance and livelihoods, leading to migration, conflict, and the rise of insurgencies, which in turn destabilize U.S. foreign interests.
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Document type: Executive summary
U.S. Deep Freeze December 2016
The December 2016 cold air outbreak in the United States was found to be a common winter occurrence and not evidence that global warming is increasing the extremity of cold weather. Analysis of stations in Boulder, Colorado, and New Orleans, Louisiana, indicates that cold extremes are generally decreasing in intensity, particularly in New Orleans where the coldest day of the year is 3.2°F warmer than a century ago. The study concludes that while northerly wind patterns show no significant trend, the Arctic source regions for this cold air are warming rapidly, leading to a general decrease in the intensity of such outbreaks in both observations and climate models.
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Document type: Research paper
Hurricane Matthew: Friends of the Earth Haiti sends this message to governments at the UN Climate Talks
Friends of the Earth Haiti calls for a compensation fund and increased support for the Green Climate Fund to assist fragile economies recovering from climate-related disasters, citing Haiti's economic losses of over US$10bn over 12 years despite its minimal contribution to global warming.
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Document type: Statement