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Sierra Leone Combined Agenda 2063 scenario
This research paper presents the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Sierra Leone, integrating 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social development by 2043. The scenario projects significant increases in GDP per capita and a substantial reduction in poverty compared to a 'Current Path' forecast, though it also predicts higher carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Togo, forecasting economic, social, and environmental outcomes by 2043. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral improvements to project significant increases in GDP per capita and poverty reduction, while noting a corresponding increase in carbon emissions compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.
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Document type: Research paper
The Demographic Dividend
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies explains the concept of the demographic dividend, focusing on the first dividend where the working-age population grows relative to dependants. It details the metrics used to identify this window of opportunity and compares the timing, peak ratios, and durations of this dividend across various global economies, with a specific focus on Africa and Nigeria.
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Document type: Research paper
GUINEA-BISSAU DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper presents the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Guinea-Bissau, an integrated forecast combining 11 sectoral scenarios to estimate economic and social outcomes by 2043. The scenario projects significant increases in GDP per capita and overall economic size, alongside a reduction in extreme poverty, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.
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Document type: Research paper
LIBERIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Liberia, forecasting the economic and social impacts of integrating 11 sectoral policy interventions by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP per capita, a substantial reduction in extreme poverty, and a shift in the economy's sectoral composition, though it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions due to heightened economic activity.
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Document type: Research paper
Scaling Clean Energy with Regional Financing Ecosystems
This briefing by RMI argues for the creation of regional financing ecosystems to bridge the gap between available clean energy capital and local project implementation. It posits that localized strategies, which coordinate regional banks, community lenders, and economic development organizations, can overcome systemic barriers such as misaligned risk appetites and deal fragmentation to ensure an inclusive energy transition.
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Document type: Briefing
Developing Cleantech Clusters in Southwestern Pennsylvania
This report analyzes how Southwestern Pennsylvania can leverage its industrial legacy in steel and glass, alongside its current strengths in robotics and AI, to develop cleantech clusters. It identifies battery manufacturing, solar component manufacturing, and green buildings as high-potential sectors that could diversify the regional economy and create jobs, provided the region improves coordination and addresses specific workforce gaps.
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Document type: Report
Bring in the Billions
This report by RMI discusses how US states can maximize the economic potential of federal clean energy incentives, primarily through tax credits. It emphasizes that while residential tax credit adoption is higher than predicted, most states are not currently on track to achieve their full investment potential and should implement administrative programs, demand-pull policies, and sector-specific guidance to secure these funds.
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Document type: Report
Natural Infrastructure and Prairie Prosperity
This report, commissioned by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) and authored by the Delphi Group, analyzes the economic contributions and growth potential of the natural infrastructure sector in the Canadian Prairies (Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba). It quantifies current jobs and GDP and models future growth based on different public investment scenarios to strengthen the business case for nature-based water solutions.
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Document type: Report
The Economic Tides Just Turned for States
RMI's analysis of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) quantifies the potential economic and health benefits for US states, highlighting that ambitious adoption of clean energy technologies could secure significant investment, create thousands of jobs, and improve public health outcomes by 2030.
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Document type: Report
Iniciativa Conjunta sobre Facilitación de las Inversiones para el Desarrollo de la OMC: Avances desde 2022 y el camino hacia la CM13
This report by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) and CUTS International analyzes the progress of the World Trade Organization (WTO) Joint Initiative on Investment Facilitation for Development (IFD) as of February 2023. It details the current state of the draft agreement, highlighting key pillars such as transparency, administrative streamlining, and special treatment for developing nations, while outlining the remaining challenges and the path toward the 13th Ministerial Conference (MC13).
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Document type: Report
Seeds of Opportunity
This report by RMI examines the economic development potential for rural American communities resulting from the expansion of onshore wind and utility-scale solar energy through 2030.
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Document type: Report
Does the Manaus Free Trade Zone Have an Impact on Industry Efficiency?
This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) and PUC-Rio analyzes whether the tax exemptions provided by the Manaus Free Trade Zone (ZFM) have improved the productive and energy efficiency of industries in the region compared to the rest of Brazil between 2003 and 2015. The study concludes that despite significant fiscal incentives, there is no evidence of efficiency gains at either the aggregate or sectoral levels.
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Document type: Report
Climate-related disasters in China
This research paper uses China as a case study to examine how economic development influences vulnerability to climate-related disasters, finding that while economic growth reduces human fatalities, it is associated with an increase in direct economic losses.
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Document type: Research paper
O PAPEL DA CANA-DE-AÇÚCAR NO DESENVOLVIMENTO ECONÔMICO
This executive summary describes a study by the Climate Policy Initiative and PUC-Rio on the economic and environmental impacts of sugarcane mill expansion in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. The findings indicate that the arrival of these mills significantly restructured local municipal economies, increasing GDP, population, and tax revenues while shifting land use from pasture to sugarcane and reducing deforestation.
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Document type: Executive summary
THE CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES OF AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION IN MATOPIBA
This research paper analyzes the drivers and socioeconomic impacts of agricultural expansion in the Matopiba region of Brazil between 1995 and 2012. The author finds that expansion was heavily concentrated in the Cerrado biome, driven by technological innovations in soil management and soy varieties. This shift led to significant increases in GDP per capita and improved access to basic consumer goods and electricity, though it had no significant effect on migration or educational investments.
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Document type: Research paper
Water as a Constraint on Economic Development 2014-2015 Research Project Progress Report
This progress report by GreenCape examines water availability and quality as constraints on economic development in the Berg Water Management Area (WMA) and specifically Saldanha Bay. It identifies a disconnect between linear municipal planning processes and the actual water demands of proposed industrial projects, suggesting that current growth-percentage-based projections may underestimate short-term needs. The report proposes an integrated systems approach to planning, explores 'smart' water allocation based on economic productivity, and evaluates a Water Exchange Network to reduce freshwater intake through industrial water cascading.
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Document type: Report
The Green Economy and the BRICS Countries: Bringing Them Together
This research paper examines the development of green economies within the BRICS nations, analyzing how individual national economic priorities and policy approaches have led to varying levels of adoption and skepticism toward green growth.
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Document type: Research paper
Modeling Pessimism: Does Climate Stabilization Require a Failure of Development?
This research paper examines how assumptions regarding income growth in low-income countries within climate-economics models affect global emissions reduction goals, arguing that underestimating the development potential of the poorest nations leads to weaker mitigation targets.
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Document type: Research paper
Development without Carbon
This report by the Stockholm Environment Institute examines the relationship between economic development in low-income countries and global greenhouse gas emissions budgets. It argues that many climate-economics models rely on overly pessimistic growth projections for the poorest nations, which inadvertently weakens the urgency for high-income countries to reduce their own emissions. The author proposes three scenarios—Without Development, Development with Carbon, and Development without Carbon—to demonstrate how rapid economic growth in the developing world, if not coupled with strong decarbonization policies and funding from rich nations, could lead to a failure of global climate targets.
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Document type: Report