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Sierra Leone Combined Agenda 2063 scenario
The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for Sierra Leone projects a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$4,304 by 2043, driven primarily by agriculture and free trade. This scenario is estimated to lift an additional 3.9 million people out of extreme poverty compared to the Current Path, reducing the poverty rate to 10.3%. While the overall economy is projected to grow to US$27.5 billion, with the service, manufacturing, and ICT sectors as the largest contributors, carbon emissions are expected to rise to 3.3 million tons, exceeding the Current Path estimate of 2.2 million tons.
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Document type: Research paper
TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for Togo projects a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$5,969 by 2043, nearly doubling the overall economy to US$51 billion compared to the Current Path. While the scenario predicts a substantial reduction in extreme poverty—lifting an additional 3 million people—it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions to 5 million tons by 2043. Agriculture and Free Trade are identified as the sectors with the highest potential for improving economic development.
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Document type: Research paper
SÃO TOMÉ AND PRÍNCIPE DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The document analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario for São Tomé and Príncipe, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios to project development outcomes by 2043. The scenario predicts a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$7,082 and a substantial reduction in extreme poverty, lifting an additional 88,000 people above the poverty line compared to the Current Path. While the service, manufacturing, and agriculture sectors are identified as the primary GDP contributors, the report notes that this economic growth would lead to a 333.3% increase in carbon emissions, rising from 30,000 tons in 2019 to 130,000 tons by 2043, necessitating an accelerated energy transition.
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Document type: Research paper
GUINEA-BISSAU DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The document projects that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario would significantly increase Guinea-Bissau's GDP per capita to US$7,867 by 2043, lift 900,000 additional people out of extreme poverty, and grow the economy to US$16.4 billion. However, this growth is associated with an increase in carbon emissions to 1.2 million tons by 2043. The Agriculture and Free Trade scenarios are identified as having the greatest potential for improving development.
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Document type: Research paper
GAMBIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for The Gambia projects a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$7,823 by 2043, nearly doubling the overall economy to US$18.5 billion. While the scenario predicts a drastic reduction in extreme poverty—leaving only 0.15% of the population below the poverty line—it also forecasts a rise in carbon emissions to 1.7 million tons, indicating a high cost of environmental degradation.
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Document type: Research paper
LIBERIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The document forecasts that Liberia's GDP per capita will reach US$4,358 by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, driven primarily by agriculture, financial flows, and free trade. This scenario is projected to lift 2.2 million additional people out of extreme poverty and double the size of the economy to US$21.6 billion, though it will also increase carbon emissions to 2.1 million tons due to heightened economic activity.
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Document type: Research paper
NORTH AFRICA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario is projected to significantly increase North Africa's GDP per capita and total GDP by 2043, with the most substantial gains driven by free trade under AfCFTA, manufacturing, and leapfrogging. While the scenario predicts a sharp decline in extreme poverty—particularly in Mauritania and Egypt—it also forecasts a 17% increase in carbon emissions compared to the Current Path, primarily driven by Egypt and Algeria.
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Document type: Research paper
BENIN DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The report projects that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario would significantly increase Benin's GDP per capita to US$7,421 and nearly double the overall economy to US$117.2 billion by 2043. While this path would lift an additional 4.6 million people out of extreme poverty and drive structural transformation toward services and manufacturing, it is also projected to increase carbon emissions to 10.1 million tons, necessitating an accelerated energy transition to mitigate environmental degradation.
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Document type: Report
Size and Quality of Labour in Africa compared with China and India
The document analyzes Africa's labour force relative to China and India, noting that while Africa has a rapidly growing and youthful workforce that could attract labour-intensive industries, it lags significantly in education, health, and overall labour productivity. Forecasts suggest that without substantial improvements in human capital, the productivity gap between Africa and its Asian counterparts will widen by 2043.
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Document type: Research paper
The AfCFTA Implementation Challenges
The AfCFTA faces significant implementation hurdles due to the extreme economic disparity between member states, which may lead to 'winners and losers' where advanced economies benefit while least developed countries (LDCs) face initial welfare losses. Key challenges include the loss of critical tariff revenues for some governments, weak institutional capacities in LDCs, and limited commitment to the free movement of labour. To mitigate these risks, the agreement employs special and differential treatment, granting LDCs and a specific 'Group of 6' (G6) longer phase-out periods for tariff liberalisation, though the authors argue that additional support from the AU Secretariat and private finance is necessary to bridge the development gap.
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Document type: Research paper
AGENDA 2063: THEMATIC FUTURES
The document concludes that African development is a non-linear, complex process requiring a shift from 'grand schemes' to the 'mundane functions' of governance and technical implementation. It emphasizes that success depends on national ownership, a social contract between citizens and the state, and consistent investment in knowledge creation and innovation to move up the productivity curve. The author outlines eight requirements for transformation, including strategic prioritization of catalytic interventions like agriculture and digital infrastructure, and the capacity for implementation through capable civil services.
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Document type: Research paper
Policy Silos: The Disconnect Between Climate and Development Agendas in African Countries
The study finds significant priority divergence between African climate plans (NDCs) and development plans (NDPs), noting that NDCs are often externally driven by international financing and environment ministries, while NDPs are domestically coordinated by economic planning ministries. This disconnect leads to energy transition strategies that may lack pragmatism and overlook economic performance metrics like reliability and affordability. The report recommends establishing inter-ministerial committees and increasing local technical capacity to integrate these frameworks, ensuring climate action supports poverty reduction and economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
Clean Energy Portfolios Can Provide Reliable, Affordable Energy for Jacksonville
RMI analysis indicates that clean energy portfolios—combining solar, storage, and energy efficiency—are lower cost and lower risk than JEA's proposed gas plant. While JEA's 2023 estimates suggested gas was the cheapest option, updated capital costs (which have risen by 139%) and fuel price projections suggest a gas plant could cost $4.8 billion in NPV. In contrast, CEPs are estimated to cost between $2.1 and $3.4 billion depending on energy efficiency levels. Additionally, the gas plant is projected to cause over $1 billion in negative health effects across Florida, whereas CEPs could generate up to $757 million in local economic benefits and thousands of jobs.
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Document type: Report
Scaling Clean Energy with Regional Financing Ecosystems
The briefing outlines how regional financing ecosystems—comprising regional banks, community lenders, economic development organizations, and governments—can unlock capital for clean energy by structuring local projects into investable portfolios. It highlights that a one-size-fits-all approach is ineffective, citing specific high-feasibility opportunities in Minnesota (green steel and transmission) and New Orleans (green buildings and hydrogen). By coordinating diverse financial actors and using public or philanthropic funds to absorb first-loss risk, these ecosystems can address persistent barriers such as lack of predevelopment capital and underwriting friction to ensure inclusive economic benefits from the energy transition.
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Document type: Briefing
GERES – Zones d’Activité Électrifiées (Mali)
The document describes the 'Zones d’Activités Électrifiées' (ZAE) initiative in Mali, which replaces polluting gasoline generators with reliable electricity to support local entrepreneurs. It highlights the installation of 8 ZAEs in rural areas, with 5 more in development, and provides specific economic data from the Moro Moro zone, including the creation of 34 jobs and access to services for approximately 7,300 people. The text also details a success story of a bakery in Koury and mentions the expansion of similar low-carbon development programs to Benin.
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Document type: Case study
Addressing Invasive Carp and Boosting Economic Development through Market-based Solutions
The document argues that while total eradication of invasive carp in the Mississippi River Basin is unlikely, creating sustained market demand—particularly in the growing US pet food sector—can suppress carp density, reduce the risk of spread into the Great Lakes, and improve biodiversity. It highlights the need for a robust supply chain that supports commercial fishers through innovative business models like co-ops and 'hub and spoke' processing. The report also outlines a plan to scale these market-based approaches to other invasive species through a new framework for assessing economic and ecological potential.
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Document type: Report
BRICS and the Human Rights Conundrum
The research paper examines the gap between constitutional human rights declarations and actual implementation within BRICS nations. It argues that the organisation, now expanded to include several non-democratic states, may function as a shield for autocratic regimes to avoid Western-led human rights sanctions while pursuing economic and geopolitical influence. The author highlights systemic violations across member states, including democratic backsliding in Brazil and India, war crimes in Russia, state-sponsored forced labour in China, and systemic corruption and xenophobia in South Africa, concluding that BRICS members often instrumentalise human rights rhetoric to assert regional dominance.
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Document type: Research paper
A College in Lee County, North Carolina, Helps Build the Workforce of Tomorrow
Central Carolina Community College (CCCC) in Lee County, North Carolina, is collaborating with regional businesses and initiatives like Advance NC to train a workforce for advanced manufacturing, including sectors like electric vehicles and semiconductors. Through the E. Eugene Moore Center, the college works with approximately 80 businesses to align training with employer needs while focusing on providing equal access to high-paying jobs for underrepresented groups, including Black and Indigenous communities and women. Additionally, the Chatham Economic Development Corporation is facilitating connections between large incoming companies, such as VinFast and Wolfspeed, and local small business providers to create a comprehensive regional economic response.
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Document type: Case study
Enhancing African Agency Amid Global Geopolitical Competition
The document examines how the competition between the US, China, and Russia affects African states, noting a shift toward non-alignment and the diversification of international relations to avoid becoming geopolitical pawns. It argues that African agency can be strengthened by empowering the African Union (AU), leveraging the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), and demanding partnerships based on mutual benefit rather than great-power rivalry. The Lobito Corridor is cited as a model where competing interests can coexist to provide tangible regional benefits.
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Document type: Research paper
How the Midwest Alliance for Clean Hydrogen (MachH2) benefits Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Michigan
The Midwest Alliance for Clean Hydrogen (MachH2) is projected to create 13,600 direct jobs, including 12,100 in construction and 1,500 permanent positions, through eight major projects in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Michigan.
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Document type: Fact sheet