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Burundi Combined Agenda 2063: Current Path vs scenario
The document models the potential for Burundi to achieve significant growth and poverty reduction through a combined policy push across sectors like governance, health, and agriculture. While the 'Combined scenario' predicts a dramatic increase in GDP and a sharp decline in extreme poverty by 2043, it also forecasts a higher increase in carbon emissions compared to the current path.
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Document type: Research paper
CABO VERDE DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for Cape Verde projects significant economic growth, with GDP per capita reaching US$15,663 by 2043 and a substantial reduction in extreme poverty. While the service, manufacturing, and ICT sectors are expected to be the primary drivers of GDP, the scenario also predicts an increase in carbon emissions to 0.47 million tons by 2043, necessitating an accelerated energy transition to mitigate environmental degradation.
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Document type: Research paper
Burundi Development Futures
The report analyzes Burundi's development prospects, highlighting a 'Current Path' characterized by slow growth, high poverty, and governance challenges. It models eight sectoral scenarios—Governance, Demographics and Health, Education, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Agriculture, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, and Financial Flows—to demonstrate how targeted interventions could improve GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty. A 'Combined scenario' suggests that an integrated policy push could dramatically increase GDP to US$17.2 billion by 2043 and reduce the extreme poverty rate by 49 percentage points compared to the Current Path, though this would result in higher carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
AFRICA EMPLOYMENT FORECAST: THEMATIC FUTURES
The report warns that Africa's labour force growth is outstripping job supply, leaving many dependent on a low-productivity informal sector. It argues that while agriculture and services will provide most jobs, manufacturing offers the highest long-term impact. To avoid social instability and the risk of a missed demographic dividend, the authors advocate for digitisation to formalise the informal economy, massive upskilling in AI and STEM, and a shift in mindset from seeking jobs to creating them through entrepreneurship.
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Document type: Research paper
Policy barriers to climate finance flows in Asia
The report identifies systemic barriers to climate finance in four Asian countries, highlighting widespread capacity gaps in project preparation and risk assessment, fragmented governance, and regulatory uncertainty. It emphasizes that while national strategies often exist on paper, implementation is hindered by a lack of coordination between ministries and a failure to integrate climate priorities into local government mandates. The study specifically notes the exclusion of vulnerable communities and SMEs from finance flows due to a lack of tailored instruments and information. To unlock resources, the authors recommend building climate literacy, clarifying institutional responsibilities, and deploying blended finance tools to de-risk private investment.
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Document type: Report
The Impact of Slavery and Colonialism
The document argues that the combined effects of various slave trades and subsequent European colonialism fundamentally altered African agriculture. It details how the loss of productive labour and the imposition of export-oriented crop systems undermined domestic food security and regional trade.
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Document type: Research paper
The Contribution of Labour, Capital and Technology to Growth
The report analyzes Africa's economic growth drivers, arguing that while labour-fueled growth is unlikely to emulate other regions due to a late demographic dividend, future growth must rely on physical capital accumulation and multifactor productivity (MFP). It highlights that for low- and lower-middle-income African countries, poor physical capital is the primary drag on growth, whereas upper-middle-income countries are constrained by poor human capital.
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Document type: Report
AGENDA 2063: THEMATIC FUTURES
The document concludes that African development is a non-linear, complex process requiring a shift from 'grand schemes' to the 'mundane functions' of governance and technical implementation. It emphasizes that success depends on national ownership, a social contract between citizens and the state, and consistent investment in knowledge creation and innovation to move up the productivity curve. The author outlines eight requirements for transformation, including strategic prioritization of catalytic interventions like agriculture and digital infrastructure, and the capacity for implementation through capable civil services.
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Document type: Research paper
Carbon Emissions: Global Picture and Forecast
The report analyzes global carbon emissions, noting that 2023 saw record levels of 36.1 billion tons of CO2 equivalent from fossil fuels. It highlights the dominance of a few producers and the significant impact of coal and methane. While China and the EU are pursuing decarbonization, the US experience fluctuates with political administrations. The report forecasts a peak in emissions by 2037/8, but warns that atmospheric CO2 concentrations could reach 551 ppm by 2063, potentially leading to a 3°C temperature rise. Africa is identified as particularly vulnerable, facing increasing emissions from population growth and significant forest loss, with 100 million hectares cleared over three decades.
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Document type: Report
Scaling up national adaptive capacities for climate change-driven natural hazards through strengthening monitoring and early warning systems Armenia
The report identifies systemic gender inequalities in Armenia that amplify climate vulnerability, particularly for rural women who face limited access to land, financial resources, and early warning information. It establishes a Gender Action Plan to ensure inclusive participation in disaster risk management, gender-responsive communication strategies, and the mitigation of gender-based violence risks during climate-related emergencies.
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Document type: Report
Industrial carbon pricing is not the reason for food inflation
The Canadian Climate Institute asserts that industrial carbon pricing has a negligible effect on food prices, estimated at most at 0.1 per cent. The author explains that the policy does not apply to individuals, farmers, or transport companies, and is designed to limit costs for large industrial emitters through thresholds and carbon credits. The text identifies the actual drivers of food inflation as supply chain disruptions, labour shortages, U.S. trade policy, and climate-driven weather extremes such as droughts in Western Canada.
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Document type: Statement
Supporting EUDR Compliance Through Regional Sustainability Standards
The report assesses how the African Organization for Standardisation (ARSO) can align its regional agriculture and forestry standards with the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) to protect market access for African producers. While ARSO possesses a strong governance framework and chain-of-custody requirements, it lacks mandatory forest conversion cut-off dates, plot-level geolocation mapping, and public transparency regarding audit methods. The document argues that updating these standards to match EUDR's strict no-exemption rules and data requirements is essential for African exporters to meet compliance deadlines by late 2026 for large companies and mid-2027 for smaller enterprises.
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Document type: Report
Methane 101: Why It Matters, Where It Comes From, and How to Tackle It
Methane is a potent greenhouse gas that contributes approximately 0.5°C to global temperature increases. Human-made sources—including the fossil fuel industry, landfills, livestock, and agriculture—account for about 55% of methane pollution, while natural sources like wetlands and permafrost account for 45%. Mitigation strategies focus on stopping leaks in the oil and gas supply chain, improving landfill waste management, and altering livestock diets. International efforts include the Global Methane Pledge, aiming for a 30% reduction from 2020 levels by 2030, and EU regulations banning venting and flaring. RMI supports these goals through data tools like the Oil Climate Index plus Gas (OCI+), WasteMAP, and the MiQ certification standard.
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Document type: Guide
SOUTH AFRICA CASE STUDY: NEDBANK NATURE RISK ASSESSMENT JOURNEY APPLYING THE TNFD LEAP APPROACH TO CREDIT PORTFOLIOS
Nedbank implemented the TNFD LEAP framework to assess nature-related dependencies, impacts, risks, and opportunities (DIROs) within its credit portfolio, primarily focusing on the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region. Using a double materiality lens and tools like ENCORE and the WWF Water Risk Filter, the bank identified six priority sectors—real estate, manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, mining and quarrying, energy, and agriculture—based on financial exposure and nature-related scores. While real estate had the highest financial exposure but low nature impact, primary sectors like agriculture and mining showed high dependency and impact. A specific review of a mining client revealed operational interfaces with Critical Biodiversity Areas and Strategic Groundwater Resource Areas, highlighting risks associated with South Africa's water scarcity. The bank is now moving into Phase 2 to quantify financial risks and identify nature-positive lending opportunities.
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Document type: Case study
Coldest Days Warming Up
Analysis of 244 U.S. weather stations shows that 86% of locations have seen an increase in extremely warm winter days since 1970, with the coldest day of the year warming by an average of 7°F across 242 locations.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Unlocking Climate Finance for Women-led Enterprises in Nepal: Ground-level Insights
The document identifies significant structural, gender-based, and climate-related barriers that prevent women-led enterprises in Nepal from accessing formal and climate finance. Based on a survey of 200 enterprises, it highlights a reliance on personal savings and a lack of preparedness for climate shocks. It recommends a multi-stakeholder approach involving policy alignment, tailored capacity building, de-risking financial instruments, and the promotion of cooperatives to improve market power.
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Document type: Policy brief
Farming matters to people and sparks positive associations
The document finds that farming is highly valued in Britain as a crucial part of national identity and food security, with the public viewing farmers as being on the frontline of climate change impacts. It argues that climate policies must be developed in collaboration with farmers to avoid being perceived as punitive, as protecting the food supply and supporting farmers is a top priority for government climate action across all demographic groups.
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Document type: Report
Unlocking Climate Finance for Women-Led Enterprises in Nepal: Ground-level Insights 2022
The report identifies systemic constraints for women-led enterprises (WLEs) in Nepal, particularly in agriculture and forestry, where 70% of women are employed. A survey of 200 WLEs reveals that 65% have been affected by climate shocks, yet 88% rely on personal savings due to collateral gaps and misaligned financial products. While Nepal has a GESI-responsive climate policy framework, implementation gaps persist, with climate finance often remaining gender-neutral. The brief recommends tailored capacity building, the introduction of parametric insurance-linked credit, and the strengthening of women's enterprise associations to bridge the financing gap.
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Document type: Policy brief
End of Year Letter 2025
The Global Resilience Partnership (GRP) reports significant growth in 2025, expanding to over 90 partner organizations. Key activities included launching several innovation challenges—such as the RISE Urban Challenge and the TECH 4 Resilience Challenge—and establishing the Mobilising Business for Resilience (MBR) platform with the IFC to address the adaptation finance gap. The GRP also co-managed the Resilience Hub and launched the Climate Resilience Awards for Business with the WBCSD.
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Document type: Statement
Hedging instruments (forwards, swaps, options)
The document describes how hedging instruments stabilize debt service and reduce refinancing risk for clean energy, transport, and infrastructure projects. It identifies key providers, including commercial banks and multilateral development banks (MDBs), and details the legal and technical requirements for implementation across shallow, emerging, and mature markets. It specifically notes that hedging premiums in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) are high, typically ranging from 6% to 7% of the principal.
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Document type: Guide