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The author contends that recent farmer protests in Europe and India stem from systemic issues including unfair trade agreements, corporate price-gouging, and a subsidy system that favors large-scale industrial farming. The document criticizes the European Commission's decision to scrap pesticide targets and loosen environmental requirements, arguing that these 'U-turns' ignore the root causes of farmer distress. Instead, the author proposes a 'just transition' that includes a carbon border adjustment mechanism for agriculture, a rethink of the Mercosur trade deal, and a CAP that rewards environmental stewardship over land ownership.

The report highlights a divide between emerging middle powers (IBSA) and Germany regarding the war in Ukraine, the dominance of the US dollar, and the role of BRICS+. While IBSA respondents prefer mediation in conflicts and view the US dollar's dominance unfavourably, German respondents support Ukraine and view the dollar's role as favourable. Despite these differences, there is shared optimism for the G20 and a common interest in the 2030 Agenda, specifically regarding technology transfer and global public investment.

The document identifies a short-term opportunity for African gas producers to fill global supply gaps caused by the war in Ukraine, but warns that new infrastructure investments face a high risk of becoming stranded assets as the world moves toward net-zero.

The European Union has signed Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) with the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Zambia to secure critical raw materials (CRM) essential for green and digital transitions. These agreements aim to reduce the EU's heavy reliance on imports from quasi-monopolistic suppliers, particularly China. However, the paper identifies significant obstacles, including the DRC and Zambia's lack of comprehensive national CRM policies, high levels of corruption and political instability, and the continued dominance of Chinese mining interests in both countries. The author argues that for these partnerships to succeed, the EU must prioritize industrial and economic alignment over geopolitical security agendas and find ways to de-risk investments for the European private sector, potentially by strengthening state-owned mining companies in the partner countries.

The report analyzes the energy strategy of the Three Seas Initiative (3SI) countries, finding that planned LNG and pipeline capacity will significantly exceed projected gas demand by 2030. It warns that this creates a risk of stranded assets and security vulnerabilities due to global price volatility. The author advocates for shifting investment from gas infrastructure to wind, solar, and grid interconnectors, noting that 3SI countries could reach a 67% renewable electricity share by 2030.

The document examines the intersection of food insecurity, climate change, and conflict, noting that while food security is beginning to be mainstreamed into multilateral processes, there is a critical lack of climate finance for green transitions in food systems. It highlights how food insecurity can increase security risks and be exploited by terrorist organizations for recruitment, urging a shift away from donor-driven approaches and policy silos to treat food security as a predictive tool for stability.

A joint call from organisations to the European Commission to implement a legislative framework for sustainable food systems, advocating for a multi-DG governance approach and a shift toward agroecological practices and plant-rich diets to address climate and biodiversity crises.

The document examines how African nations have responded to the Russia-Ukraine war, highlighting a trend toward non-alignment and a reluctance to support punitive measures against Russia. It argues that African responses are driven by a combination of historical grievances with Western leadership (such as the 2011 NATO intervention in Libya and COVID-19 vaccine inequity) and strategic national interests. The report details the economic opportunities arising from Europe's shift away from Russian energy, specifically regarding natural gas and critical minerals, while warning that geopolitical rivalry between the US, Russia, and China may undermine regional security initiatives like the Accra Initiative. It concludes by advocating for a foreign policy based on 'non-alignment' and 'indivisible security' to avoid becoming proxies in a new Cold War.

The document analyzes Russia's strategic pivot toward Africa as a means to diversify partners and evade Western sanctions following the invasion of Ukraine. It argues that while Africa is not a central priority for the Kremlin, it serves as a critical 'theater' for projecting power, securing natural resources, and challenging US-led unipolarity. The paper details Russia's approach across several sectors, including arms sales, nuclear energy, and mining, while highlighting the role of the Wagner Group in providing security in exchange for resource access. It concludes that Russia leverages African support at the UN to maintain its status as a global power and to promote a multipolar international system.

The Targeting Natural Resource Corruption (TNRC) project, implemented from 2018 to 2024 by WWF and a consortium of partners, focused on mitigating the impact of corruption on biodiversity, fisheries, and forests. With a $10 million knowledge project and $20 million in country-based investments, the initiative developed over 150 resources via a Knowledge Hub and trained more than 1,200 NGO staff. The project field-tested anti-corruption interventions in six countries and co-founded the Countering Environmental Practitioners Forum, which now includes over 600 global members.

The IEJ criticizes President Ramaphosa's SONA for lacking concrete plans to address South Africa's economic crises, poverty, and unemployment. The organization urges MPs to question the President on the sustainability of the Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant, the risks of private sector-led infrastructure and energy transitions, the 'starvation' of public services by the National Treasury, and the failure to hold state capture perpetrators accountable. The IEJ specifically calls for a transition to a Universal Basic Income Guarantee and the use of the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account (GFECRA) to fund developmental priorities.

The author contends that treating climate change, pandemics, and economic instability as separate issues leads to fragmented solutions that may worsen other crises. Drawing on the concept of 'crisis tribes'—groups defined by the specific traumas they have experienced—the text argues that current dominant policy responses often prioritize narrow interests over systemic health. To counter this, the Green Economy Coalition proposes a 'new eco-social contract for a shared global green deal' focused on building global partner networks, developing national eco-social contracting prototypes, and establishing a collective global green economy architecture to ensure a fair transition for all nations.

The authors identify a category of 'risks of response' where climate policies trigger security dynamics, exemplified by widespread farmer protests across Europe. These protests, driven by grievances over fuel subsidies and environmental regulations, have escalated into violence and provided opportunities for far-right parties to foment instability. The text warns that this 'green backlash' could slow the transition and increase global security risks if not managed with better risk assessments and ameliorating measures.

The global soybean sector, valued at USD 155 billion, is dominated by Brazil, the United States, and Argentina. While production has surged, it has driven significant deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon and Cerrado. Voluntary Sustainability Standards (VSSs) like RTRS and ProTerra aim to mitigate these impacts, but their adoption remains low, representing only 1.6% to 2.3% of global production as of 2021. The report finds that VSS compliance offers limited financial incentives for most farmers, with premiums often being minimal or non-existent, though organic soy commands significantly higher prices. Climate change threatens future yields, necessitating the development of resilient cultivars and the establishment of deforestation-free supply chains.

Saudi Arabia was the world's largest arms importer between 2015 and 2019, relying heavily on the US and European allies for major weapon systems. While the Kingdom has attempted to diversify ammunition sources and develop a domestic defence industry under Vision 2030, it remains constrained by the need for interoperability with NATO-standard systems and a lack of an indigenous industrial base. The brief concludes that achieving full self-reliance would take decades, leaving the Kingdom vulnerable to the policy shifts of its primary suppliers.

The document argues that Ukraine's transition to a sustainable economy requires confronting powerful financial-industrial interest groups that have historically profited from resource extraction and corruption. It recommends integrating anti-corruption and environmental agendas, increasing community-led decentralised recovery, and leveraging wartime self-help initiatives in energy and agriculture to ensure a truly green reconstruction.

The Greening Transportation Infrastructure Development (GRID) Integrated Program, approved by the Global Environment Facility (GEF) in February 2024, provides nearly $27 million over five years to mainstream biodiversity into transportation infrastructure. Led by WWF with support from ADB and UNEP, the program implements national projects in Malaysia, Nepal, the Philippines, Suriname, and Ukraine. These projects focus on improving policy environments, participatory planning, innovative financing, and technical capacity to create nature-positive, low-carbon, and climate-resilient infrastructure, such as ports and highways.

The document details Kazakhstan's efforts to eliminate its inherited Soviet nuclear and biological weapons legacies and its current leadership roles in the NPT and the proposed International Agency for Biological Safety (IABS). It recommends that Kazakhstan push for the elimination of tactical nuclear weapons, the creation of a nuclear weapons database, and the formalization of the IABS to address gaps in the Biological Weapons Convention.

An attribution study by the World Weather Attribution initiative found that human-induced climate change doubled the likelihood of the heavy precipitation associated with Storm Bettina and increased its intensity by approximately 5 percent. In contrast, the study found no clear evidence that climate change influenced the wind speeds of the event, attributing observed decreases in wind speed to natural variability. The analysis notes that warming increases the proportion of precipitation falling as rain rather than snow, exacerbating flood damages, and that the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war increased the vulnerability of affected populations.

A coalition of 60 trade ministers asserts that the global trading system must move beyond "business as usual" to support the Paris Agreement. They advocate for breaking silos between trade, finance, and environment ministries to catalyze investment in clean energy, support climate-vulnerable nations, and reform the global financial system to promote net-zero trade finance and sustainable supply chains.