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A luta pelo gás de África
The document analyzes the current and planned gas infrastructure in Africa, highlighting a significant imbalance where the majority of investment is directed toward LNG exports to Europe rather than domestic electrification. It details the costs and capacities of LNG terminals, pipelines, and gas-fired power plants, noting that while billions are proposed for development, much of this remains in the proposal stage and faces financial risks due to the transient nature of European energy demand.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate change exacerbated heavy rainfall leading to large-scale flooding in highly vulnerable communities in West Africa
The 2022 rainy season in West Africa saw above-average rainfall and devastating floods, particularly in Nigeria and Niger, where fatalities reached at least 612 and 195 respectively. An attribution study found that climate change made the seasonal rainfall over the Lake Chad region approximately 80 times more likely and 20% more intense, while the 7-day maximum rainfall over the lower Niger Basin became about twice as likely and 5% more intense. Beyond climate change, the flooding was driven by the release of the Lagdo Dam in Cameroon and exacerbated by high poverty rates, political instability, and the location of infrastructure and settlements on flood plains.
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Document type: Research paper
CATALI.5°T Initiative: Concerted Action to Accelerate Local I.5° Technologies – Latin America and West Africa
The report assesses gender dynamics and barriers for climate entrepreneurs and support organizations in Latin America and West Africa, specifically focusing on Mexico, Côte d'Ivoire, and Senegal. It identifies systemic gaps in education, agriculture, and energy, and provides recommendations for the project's Executing Entities to increase women's participation in climate innovation.
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Document type: Report
The Impact of Fertilizer Prices on Africa
The document examines how the war in Ukraine disrupted global supply chains, leading to a sharp increase in fertilizer prices across Africa. It notes that these price hikes, combined with high input costs for natural gas and coal, threaten crop yields and increase food prices. While short-term input subsidies are common, the brief advocates for industrialization and the utilization of Africa's natural gas, coal, and phosphate rock reserves to build domestic fertilizer production capacity.
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Document type: Policy brief
Illicit Financial Flows and Conflict in Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining: Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger
The report analyzes how the 2012 gold rush in the Sahel region coincided with rising religious extremism and organized crime, leading to areas beyond government control in Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger. It focuses on governance frameworks, illicit financial flows, and the links between mining and conflict to help governments restore stability and increase tax revenues.
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Document type: Report
Rapport de cadrage sur les Obligations vertes de l'Union économique et monétaire ouest-africaine (UEMOA)
The report identifies a significant gap between the climate goals of WAEMU member states and their financial capacity to implement them. While there is interest in green bonds, the market is hindered by underdeveloped regional financial infrastructure, a lack of technical expertise in green eligibility and reporting, and a dominance of sovereign debt that crowds out corporate issuers. The document recommends strengthening regulatory frameworks, providing technical assistance for project pipeline development, and utilizing risk-mitigation tools like guarantees to attract a more diverse investor base beyond commercial banks.
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Document type: Report
WAEMU Green Bond Scoping Report
The report finds that while there is interest in Green Bonds in the WAEMU region, the market is in a nascent stage due to underdeveloped financial infrastructure, a lack of government focus on climate regulatory frameworks, and limited technical capacity among stakeholders. It identifies energy, agriculture, and clean transportation as priority sectors and recommends sustained capacity building, the development of regional guidelines, and the use of technical assistance and risk-transfer instruments to attract investors.
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Document type: Report
Less hypocrisy and more investment: how COP27 can support African-led clean energy
The document asserts that high-income countries need to invest US$70 billion annually to meet Africa's renewable energy needs. It highlights the severe lack of electricity access for 570 million people in Africa, specifically noting that over 80 percent of people in Niger lack electricity, and warns that Europe's energy crisis is driving African nations, such as Niger, to pursue natural gas exports to Europe.
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Document type: Statement
Illicit Financial Flows and Conflict in Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining: Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger
The report analyzes how the informality of artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM) in Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger facilitates illicit financial flows (IFFs) and fuels regional conflict. It examines the legal frameworks, the scale of gold smuggling—particularly to the UAE—and the ways non-state armed groups exploit mining sites for funding and recruitment. The document highlights a 'vicious circle' where state absence and corruption drive miners toward informal or militant-controlled sites, while recommending simplified formalization, tax harmonization, and multi-level governance to stabilize the sector.
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Document type: Report
China’s Engagement in West Africa: The Cases of Ghana and Senegal
The document analyzes China's strategic efforts to increase its presence in West Africa, contrasting the deep, multi-sectoral engagement in Ghana with the more recent and technology-focused growth in Senegal. It attributes these differences to the length of diplomatic relations and the lingering influence of former colonial powers, particularly France.
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Document type: Policy brief
Negotiating Africa-EU futures amidst geopolitical turmoil
The author argues that Africa-EU relations are characterized by a historical imbalance and a lack of mutual respect, which is exacerbated by the EU's shift toward a 'geopolitical commission' and the diversion of security resources to Ukraine. The document highlights how the replacement of the African Peace Facility (APF) with the European Peace Facility (EPF) allows the EU to bypass the African Union (AU) in security decisions, prompting African states to seek transactional 'Plan B' partnerships with other global powers like China and Russia. The author contends that African positions on the war in Ukraine are driven by pragmatism rather than Russian influence, and warns that failing to acknowledge this nuance risks further deteriorating the partnership.
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Document type: Research paper
Verhandlungen über die Zukunft der Beziehungen zwischen Afrika und der EU inmitten geopolitischer Turbulenzen
The author argues that EU-Africa relations are characterized by a historical imbalance and a lack of mutual respect, which has been exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war. The document highlights how the EU's shift toward geopolitics and the creation of the European Peace Facility (EPF) may undermine the African Peace and Security Architecture (APSA) by bypassing the AU. It notes that African nations are adopting a pragmatic approach to geopolitical tensions, seeking diverse security partnerships with countries like China, Russia, and the USA to fill funding gaps and reduce dependence on the EU.
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Document type: Research paper
Strengthening the institutional capacity of the Economic and Social Development Agency (ADES) to become a GCF Direct Access Accredited Entity and support the implementation of Chad's climate change programs and strategies
The document outlines a plan to transition the Economic and Social Development Agency (ADES) from a humanitarian organization to a GCF-accredited entity. It identifies critical gaps in ADES's fiduciary standards, environmental and social safeguards (ESS), and gender policies. The proposed 18-month intervention includes updating organizational manuals, training staff on climate finance and GCF investment criteria, and co-developing three project concept notes and one Project Preparation Facility (PPF) request. The goal is to increase Chad's country ownership of climate projects and enhance the implementation of its Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and Country Programme.
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Document type: Report
Africa’s geostrategic alignments in response to the Ukraine war
The document analyzes the varied diplomatic positions of African nations regarding the Ukraine war, noting a split between those condemning Russia and those maintaining neutrality to preserve bilateral ties. It argues that African states should move from being passive bystanders to proactive actors by mediating peace, filling resource gaps created by sanctions, diversifying commodity imports, and strengthening pan-African unity.
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Document type: Research paper
Status of the implementation and resources of the Project Preparation Facility
The Project Preparation Facility (PPF) has disbursed and committed USD 32.8 million (82% of its USD 40 million allocation) to support the development of climate funding proposals. To date, PPF support has enabled 11 approved funding proposals totaling nearly USD 3.0 billion in investment. The Secretariat has reduced processing times by 84% through streamlined approvals and introduced simplified funding and service modalities to better support direct access entities (DAEs). To cover a pipeline of 28 active requests and anticipated new needs, the document requests an additional USD 18.0 million for the remainder of GCF-1.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
The report projects a modest average GDP growth rate of 1.8% for Algeria between 2020 and 2040, which is deemed insufficient to improve livelihoods due to a state-led economic system and heavy dependence on hydrocarbons. It highlights that the country faces critical pressures from climate change, water scarcity, and poor agricultural yields, alongside political instability and regional security threats. The authors argue that Algeria must implement comprehensive social, economic, and governance reforms to diversify its economy and rebuild its social contract.
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Document type: Report
Disaster Risk Reduction in an Unstable World
The document examines the evolution of disaster risk reduction (DRR) from a reactive emergency response model to a proactive strategy focused on reducing vulnerability and exposure. It highlights the disproportionate impact of disasters in countries with poor infrastructure, such as Haiti compared to Chile, and emphasizes the economic benefits of proactive investment, citing Bangladesh as an example. The brief traces the international policy trajectory from the 1960s through the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030, noting a growing integration between DRR and climate change adaptation. It specifically advocates for the protection of wetlands as natural buffers against water-related disasters and calls for a 'whole-of-society' approach combining top-down institutional changes with bottom-up community actions to build resilience in a climate where extreme events are becoming the 'new normal'.
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Document type: Policy brief
Conference report: The Peaceful Application of Nuclear Science and Technology in the Development Agenda
The conference addressed the role of nuclear science and technology in Africa's development, focusing on institutional regulation, the inclusion of women and youth, and the future of nuclear energy and disarmament. Key discussions highlighted the potential of nuclear power to address energy deficits and the use of nuclear isotopes for climate change adaptation in agriculture. Panellists emphasized the need for 'nuclear justice' and the demystification of nuclear technology to overcome public fear and institutional roadblocks.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The report examines the African Union's struggle to deter military coups and combat terrorism, highlighting the limitations of current frameworks and the need for a more holistic approach. It focuses on the Malabo summit's agenda, including the Accra Declaration on unconstitutional changes of government and the establishment of an African Standby Force counterterrorism unit. The document also analyzes the security volatility in the Lake Chad Basin and the fragile humanitarian truce in Ethiopia, arguing for a shift from purely militaristic responses to those incorporating political and social measures.
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Document type: Report
Transitional justice: Testing the waters in the Lake Chad Basin
The report examines the applicability of transitional justice in the Lake Chad Basin (LCB), noting that while the region is not yet post-conflict, there is a need for mechanisms to address mass human rights abuses. It finds that LCB countries are at different stages of conceptualising these tools and that a balance between restorative and retributive justice is necessary. The document highlights the importance of local ownership, the role of traditional and religious conflict resolution mechanisms, and the need to address root causes of violent extremism such as structural inequalities.
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Document type: Report