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Peace & Security Council Report
The November 2022 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines political instability in Tunisia, counter-terrorism strategies in the Sahel, and the security risks posed by acute food insecurity across Africa.
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Document type: Report
The Impact of Fertilizer Prices on Africa
This policy brief examines how the war in Ukraine has disrupted global supply chains and increased fertilizer prices across Africa, threatening food security and crop yields. It argues that while short-term input subsidies are necessary, African nations must pursue long-term industrialization to build local fertilizer manufacturing capacity using the continent's own natural gas, coal, and phosphate rock reserves.
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Document type: Policy brief
Ensuring that COP27 is Truly an ‘African COP’
This policy brief by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the priorities and challenges for African nations leading up to COP27 in Egypt. It highlights the continent's push for climate justice, increased financial support for adaptation and loss and damage, and a 'just transition' that allows for the temporary use of natural gas to ensure energy security.
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Document type: Policy brief
Negotiating Africa-EU futures amidst geopolitical turmoil
This research paper by Dr. Toni Haastrup analyzes the strained relationship between the African Union (AU) and the European Union (EU), arguing that geopolitical tensions—specifically Russia's invasion of Ukraine—have marginalized Africa as a priority for the EU and reinforced historical power imbalances.
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Document type: Research paper
JUST ENERGY TRANSITIONS AND NATURAL GAS IN AFRICA: BALANCING CLIMATE ACTION AND STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
This discussion paper by the African Climate Foundation examines the tension between utilizing Africa's significant natural gas resources for economic development and the risks posed by the global transition to low-carbon energy. It argues that while gas provides short-term revenue and energy security, long-term investments in gas infrastructure are increasingly risky due to falling renewable energy costs and international climate targets. The paper advocates for a shift toward renewable energy (RE) to support industrialization and electrification, provided that climate finance is scaled up.
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Document type: Research paper
Korea and Africa: Partnerships on Climate and Energy
This research paper by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the evolving relationship between the Republic of Korea and Africa, focusing on opportunities for collaboration in climate change and energy transition. It analyzes Korea's carbon-neutrality goals and the African Union's Climate Change and Resilient Development Strategy (2022–2032) to identify synergies in renewable energy, green minerals, smart cities, and sustainable agriculture.
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Document type: Research paper
Renewable energy in North Africa
This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the renewable energy landscapes of Egypt and Morocco within the broader context of North Africa. It details the region's high technical potential for solar and wind, the current dominance of fossil fuels (gas in Egypt and coal in Morocco), and the strategic shifts toward renewable energy and green hydrogen to enhance energy security and export potential.
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Document type: Briefing
Peace & Security Council Report
The July 2022 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the complexities of Africa's regional economic communities (RECs), the partnership between the United Nations and the African Union (AU), the identity crisis of the African Standby Force (ASF), and the systemic challenges in eradicating extreme poverty across the continent.
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Document type: Report
Africa’s geostrategic alignments in response to the Ukraine war
This research paper examines the diverse responses of African nations to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and proposes four strategic options for the continent to advance its political, economic, and social interests amid the shifting geopolitical landscape.
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Document type: Research paper
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This introduction to a special report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Algeria's socio-economic and political challenges leading up to 2040. It highlights a projected modest GDP growth rate of 1.8% between 2020 and 2040, which the authors argue is insufficient to improve livelihoods given the country's dependence on hydrocarbons, high unemployment, and a state-led economic system. The document emphasizes the urgent need for comprehensive structural reforms to address governance issues, climate change impacts on agriculture, and regional security threats.
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Document type: Report
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
This report outlines Tunisia's development from its 1956 independence to 2022. It highlights early social gains in gender equality and education under Habib Bourguiba, followed by a period of non-inclusive growth and cronyism under Zine El Abidine Ben Ali. The 2010 Freedom and Dignity Revolution, sparked by economic desperation, ousted Ben Ali but left the country facing weakened macroeconomic indicators, political fragmentation, and unfulfilled promises of structural reform.
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Document type: Report
Russia's play for influence in Africa could be curtailed by its lack of financial muscle
This research paper examines Russia's efforts to expand its diplomatic and security influence in Africa, arguing that while Moscow has increased its presence since the Cold War, its ambitions are severely limited by a lack of financial resources compared to rivals like China, the US, and the EU. The author contends that Russia's strategy relies heavily on security partnerships and 'non-interference' rhetoric, which cannot substitute for the large-scale infrastructure and financial aid provided by other global powers.
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Document type: Research paper
The Climate-Conflict Nexus in Africa: A Conflict-Sensitive Approach
This report by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the complex relationship between climate change and violent conflict in Africa. It argues that while climate change acts as a 'risk multiplier' that can exacerbate existing political, social, and economic tensions, the link to violence is indirect and highly contextual. The document emphasizes the need for conflict-sensitive climate adaptation strategies, particularly in fragile contexts, and calls for the Global North to fulfill climate finance commitments to support the Global South.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
This February 2022 report from the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the composition and challenges of the newly elected African Union Peace and Security Council (PSC), the outcomes of the February 2022 AU Summit regarding governance and conflict prevention, and the ongoing debate over equitable regional representation within the Council. It also examines the tensions between the African Union and the European Union regarding the green energy transition and critiques the application of the principle of subsidiarity in the relationship between the AU and Regional Economic Communities (RECs).
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Document type: Report
كيف يتغ مناخ شمال أفريقيا بالفعل
This fact sheet, published by the Climate and Development Knowledge Network in 2022, summarizes findings from the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report specifically for North Africa. It details observed climate changes, such as rising temperatures and shifting precipitation patterns, and projects future risks including increased heat-related mortality, biodiversity loss, and threats to food and water security. The document also outlines adaptation strategies, the necessity of increased climate finance, and the specific vulnerabilities of coastal cities and cultural heritage sites in the region.
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Document type: Fact sheet
FACTSHEET NORTH AFRICA
This fact sheet summarizes the IPCC's Sixth Assessment Report for North Africa, highlighting that the region is warming twice as fast as the global average. It details severe impacts on health, food security, and economies, while emphasizing the need for transformative adaptation and increased finance to mitigate future risks like sea-level rise in coastal cities and increased heat-related mortality.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Youth Ambassadors for Peace: how did they fare?
This policy brief evaluates the first cohort of African Youth Ambassadors for Peace (AYAPs), who served a two-year tenure ending in February 2022. It examines their role in mainstreaming youth into the African Union's (AU) peace and security agenda, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on their activities, and provides recommendations for future cohorts to sustain and upscale youth participation in peacebuilding.
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Document type: Policy brief
Peace & Security Council Report
The 2021 AU Peace and Security Council (PSC) report notes a positive shift toward addressing climate-induced insecurity but criticizes the council for ignoring governance deficits as root causes of conflict. The report highlights the PSC's response to military coups in Mali, Guinea, and Sudan, while noting a controversial endorsement of a military transition in Chad. Looking toward 2022, it warns of potential electoral violence in Kenya, Angola, and Senegal, and identifies several conflict hotbeds, including Ethiopia and Libya. It also emphasizes the ongoing threat of violent extremism in the Sahel, Lake Chad Basin, and Mozambique, while noting the AU's struggle with member state funding and the need for strategic autonomy.
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Document type: Report
Walking with the Bear? Russia and the A3 in the UN Security Council
This policy brief analyzes the relationship between Russia and the three elected African member states (A3) in the UN Security Council (UNSC) from 2014 to 2020. Using statistical voting data, the authors argue that Russia's influence over the A3 is often exaggerated, as African states remain more aligned with the P3 (US, UK, and France) and act largely independently of Russian vetoes and abstentions.
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Document type: Policy brief
Peace & Security Council Report
This July 2021 issue of the Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines critical security and political challenges across Africa. It focuses on the African Union's (AU) struggle to implement maritime security strategies, the rise of cybercrime and the legislative responses in South Africa, the ten-year legacy of the Arab Spring in North Africa, and the impact of the June 2021 elections on Ethiopia's structural divisions.
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Document type: Report