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G7 economies increasingly exposed to climate risks through globalised supply chain
The report argues that G7 economies face significant economic risks due to the interconnectedness of global supply chains, where climate-driven disruptions in production hubs—particularly in Africa, Asia, and Latin America—transmit shocks to industrialised nations. It cites examples such as the 2011 Thailand floods and recent flooding in Durban, South Africa, to illustrate how extreme weather causes global price spikes and production delays. Specific analyses for the US, Germany, UK, and Japan reveal vulnerabilities in sectors ranging from ICT and automotive manufacturing to food security. The document concludes that because labour cost differentials continue to drive the offshoring of production, G7 nations must cooperate globally and fulfill adaptation funding commitments to secure their own supply chains.
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Document type: Report
Africa is a strategic techno-geopolitical theatre. Will the continent’s leaders take advantage of this?
The document examines Africa's position as a 'techno-geopolitical theatre' where major powers—including China, the US, and the EU—are competing to establish technological spheres of influence through infrastructure investments and policy frameworks. It warns that while these investments can drive digital transformation, they risk reducing Africa to a pawn in geopolitical struggles. The author highlights the danger of relying on non-neutral service providers and cautions African governments against using digital regulations for citizen surveillance and repression, urging instead a focus on securing digital interests and fostering innovation for a young population.
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Document type: Research paper
The Growth in Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Commercial Aviation
The document analyzes the growth of commercial aviation and its contribution to climate change. It details the composition of aircraft emissions, the significant warming effect of contrail-induced cirrus clouds, and the projected recovery of air traffic following the COVID-19 pandemic. While aircraft efficiency has improved, the overall volume of passengers and freight is expected to increase, potentially tripling emissions by 2050. The brief also discusses regulatory efforts, such as ICAO's CO2 standards, and the disproportionate per capita fuel consumption in the United States.
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Document type: Briefing
Tackling Australia’s Coal Mine Methane Problem
Australia's coal mines are a major source of methane, with evidence suggesting official reports significantly underestimate the actual emissions. The report highlights that a small number of 'super-emitter' mines contribute a disproportionate amount of emissions and warns that proposed new coal projects will further increase these levels. It advocates for a transition to direct measurement over emission factors, the adoption of ventilation air methane (VAM) abatement technologies, and the phasing out of coal, particularly the gassiest mines, to meet climate targets.
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Document type: Report
Quo Vadis, World Trade Organization?
The World Trade Organization (WTO) is facing a critical need for reform across its negotiating function, dispute settlement system, committee transparency, and Secretariat role. While members generally agree on the need for change, they are divided on the approach: some advocate for 'coalitions of the willing' to modernize the agenda, while others, particularly developing countries, prioritize the Doha Development Agenda and the preservation of special and differential treatment (SDT). The dispute settlement system remains crippled by the United States' refusal to appoint new Appellate Body members since 2019. Divergent priorities exist between the EU, US, African Group, India, and LDCs, with disagreements extending to whether reform should proceed via working groups or General Council review processes.
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Document type: Research paper
Mining Royalties and Socioeconomic Development in Pará
The briefing analyzes the impact of the Financial Compensation for the Exploration of Mineral Resources (CFEM) in Pará, Brazil. It finds that mining royalties do not foster economic growth or improve local welfare, as funds are frequently diverted to wages and pensions despite regulations. The authors recommend stricter spending limits and the creation of financial instruments to manage revenue volatility.
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Document type: Briefing
The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism must replace EU carbon market freebies
The author contends that free ETS allowances violate the 'polluter pays' principle and have failed to reduce emissions in the EU cement industry, which saw gross CO2 emissions rise from 103 million to 108 million tonnes between 2013 and 2019. The text asserts that the cement industry gained approximately €3.5 billion in 'over allocation' profits following the 2008 recession, which were invested in plants outside Europe rather than in Best Available Techniques (BAT) within the EU. Consequently, the author calls for the full implementation of CBAM and the complete phase-out of free allowances by the end of the decade to ensure a level playing field and meet the goals of the Fit for 55 package.
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Document type: Statement
Estimating the price premium of high energy-efficient washing-machines in Spain: A hedonic approach
The study finds that consumers in Spain pay an 11% price premium for high energy-efficiency washing machines, an increase from 4.15% in 2012. Using a hedonic price model on 739 market observations, the authors identify that brand reputation, spin-drying performance, and built-in designs are also significant price drivers.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate resilience planning in mountainous regions in Nepal
Nepal faces significant climate vulnerabilities, including flash floods, landslides, and water scarcity, with temperatures projected to rise up to 1.8°C even if global warming is limited to 1.5°C. While the country has a robust set of national policies and a federal structure that empowers local governments, the implementation of climate resilience at the municipal level is hindered by a lack of technical capacity, unclear jurisdictional responsibilities, and limited financial resources. The brief recommends establishing 'resilience cells' to coordinate inter-ministerial efforts, integrating climate indicators into local budget performance measures, and adopting integrated planning that combines mitigation, adaptation, and disaster risk reduction through nature-based solutions.
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Document type: Policy brief
Promotion and protection of human rights in the context of mitigation, adaptation, and financial actions to address climate change, with particular emphasis on loss and damage
The document outlines how climate-induced loss and damage (L&D) violates fundamental human rights and calls for the establishment of a Loss and Damage Finance Facility (LDFF) and the operationalization of the Santiago Network (SNLD) based on human rights standards. It highlights specific examples of L&D in South Africa, India, Pakistan, and the Arctic, arguing that wealthy nations have an extraterritorial obligation to provide compensation and support. The authors advocate for inclusive Loss and Damage Needs Assessments (LDNAs), universal social protection schemes, and legal protections for climate-induced displacement.
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Document type: Report
Accessibility in the Legal Amazon: Digital Solutions
The document examines the potential of information and communication technologies (ICT) to improve economic accessibility in the Legal Amazon. It reviews global evidence showing that mobile and broadband services increase productivity, employment, and market access in developing regions. In the Legal Amazon, the brief identifies significant gaps in 3G/4G mobile internet access in rural areas and broadband access in both urban and rural sectors compared to the rest of Brazil, recommending targeted infrastructure investments to overcome these barriers.
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Document type: Policy brief
Financial Aggregation for Cities
The report defines financial aggregation as the use of instruments to combine multiple investments, projects, or participants to scale urban climate finance. It identifies key barriers to city-level investment, such as poor municipal creditworthiness and high upfront costs, and proposes supply-side aggregation (combining investor commitments) and demand-side aggregation (pooling project needs) as solutions. The document provides case studies from Africa, Asia, and South America, and emphasizes that these tools require a supportive 'enabling environment' characterized by fiscal autonomy and technical capacity.
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Document type: Report
The Nuclear Sea-Launched Cruise Missile
The briefing outlines three primary risks of reintroducing nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missiles (SLCM-N) to the U.S. Navy: operational complications and costs, the 'discrimination problem' where adversaries cannot distinguish nuclear from conventional strikes, and the risk of incentivizing other states to pursue similar capabilities, thereby lowering the threshold for nuclear use.
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Document type: Briefing
The Growth in Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Commercial Aviation
The document analyzes the climate impact of commercial aviation, noting that while aircraft efficiency has improved, the rapid growth of the industry—particularly in developing nations—continues to drive up total emissions. It details the contributions of CO2 and non-CO2 effects like contrails, the regulatory landscape including ICAO standards, and the projected recovery of air traffic following the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Document type: Policy brief
Setting a structural agenda for a green economic recovery from COVID-19
The paper argues that COVID-19 recovery should move beyond short-term stimulus to 'structural reforms' that are systemic, long-lasting, and general purpose. It introduces a 'Green Structural Recovery Menu' featuring ten high-level measures, including green fiscal reform and natural capital investment. The authors provide a toolkit of prioritisation criteria—categorised as conventional, advanced, and systemic/political—to help governments align policies with specific goals like job creation or planetary boundaries. The report identifies significant gaps in current agendas, particularly regarding gender integration, nature-based solutions, and support for MSMEs. It also addresses the financing challenge for the global south, suggesting debt-for-nature swaps and blended finance. Case studies from countries such as South Korea, Indonesia, and Pakistan illustrate the practical challenges and mixed results of implementing these reforms.
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Document type: Research paper
PEDAL TO THE METAL
The report finds that the global steel industry is not on track to meet IEA Net-zero 2050 targets, as the shift from carbon-intensive BF-BOF to cleaner EAF technology is too slow. Current capacity under construction is more heavily weighted toward BF-BOF than the existing operating fleet. Asia, particularly China and India, is the primary hotspot for new BF-BOF capacity. This trend creates a significant stranded asset risk estimated between 345 and 518 billion USD. Additionally, the report highlights that accounting for coal mine methane could increase the sector's reported emissions footprint by 27%.
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Document type: Report
Despite Glasgow Climate Pact, 2030 climate target updates have stalled
The briefing reports that 2030 climate target updates have stalled since COP26, leaving the world on track for 2.4°C of warming based on current targets and 2.7°C based on current policies. Despite the Glasgow Climate Pact's request for governments to strengthen their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) by the end of 2022, no major emitter has updated its target. The report highlights a significant emissions gap, noting that global emissions in 2030 would be twice as high as the 1.5°C limit allows without increased action. It suggests four pathways for governments to update targets: full NDC updates, expanding NDC coverage (specifically for China regarding non-CO2 gases), participating in new sectoral initiatives, or implementing policies to overachieve existing targets.
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Document type: Briefing
Global reaction to energy crisis risks zero carbon transition
The report argues that governments are reacting to the energy crisis by prioritizing short-term fossil fuel security over long-term decarbonization, risking a 'gold rush' for new gas infrastructure and domestic production. While some progress in renewables and green hydrogen is noted, the authors highlight a prevalence of 'bad practices' such as fossil fuel subsidies, tax cuts for petrol, and the expansion of LNG facilities. The document provides a framework of 'do's and don'ts', urging governments to instead focus on energy efficiency, electrification, behavioral changes, and the reinvestment of fossil fuel windfall profits into clean energy to avoid stranded assets and irreversible warming.
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Document type: Report
CUTTING BILLS AND CREATING JOBS THE ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES OF THE CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION
The report examines the economic opportunities of transitioning to net-zero emissions by 2050 across several major economies. It argues that public investment can drive innovation and growth through signalling, crowding-in private capital, and reducing unit costs. While fossil fuel-exporting nations like the US, Canada, and Indonesia may face long-term GDP losses as global demand for hydrocarbons falls, the report finds that most subject economies—including the EU, UK, India, Japan, and South Africa—experience net gains in GDP and employment. The transition is predicted to significantly reduce household expenditure on fossil fuels, improve public health by reducing pollution, and enhance energy security, particularly for the EU in the context of reducing dependence on Russian gas.
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Document type: Report
CUTTING BILLS AND CREATING JOBS: THE ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES OF A CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION
The report argues that an accelerated clean energy transition is economically beneficial, reducing household energy bills, creating jobs, and increasing GDP growth compared to business-as-usual scenarios. It outlines specific policy levers—such as decarbonizing power systems by 2035/2040 and phasing out coal—that can drive these gains. Modelling shows significant per capita energy savings in G7 nations and substantial job creation in developing economies like India and Indonesia.
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Document type: Executive summary