Despite Glasgow Climate Pact, 2030 climate target updates have stalled

The briefing reports that 2030 climate target updates have stalled since COP26, leaving the world on track for 2.4°C of warming based on current targets and 2.7°C based on current policies. Despite the Glasgow Climate Pact's request for governments to strengthen their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) by the end of 2022, no major emitter has updated its target. The report highlights a significant emissions gap, noting that global emissions in 2030 would be twice as high as the 1.5°C limit allows without increased action. It suggests four pathways for governments to update targets: full NDC updates, expanding NDC coverage (specifically for China regarding non-CO2 gases), participating in new sectoral initiatives, or implementing policies to overachieve existing targets.

• Progress on updating 2030 climate targets and sectoral initiative participation has stalled since COP26, contradicting the Glasgow Climate Pact's agreement to update national targets in 2022.
• Current global trajectories are far from the 1.5°C limit; the world is projected to warm by 2.4°C based on 2030 targets and 2.7°C based on current policies.
• There is a severe emissions gap for 2030, with projected emissions being double the amount allowed to maintain a 1.5°C limit.
• Only six countries submitted updated NDCs in 2022: Bolivia, Central African Republic, Côte d’Ivoire, El Salvador, Guatemala, and Haiti, though none of these represented a further strengthening of previous targets.
• The EU is identified as a primary candidate to lead NDC updates because its plans to increase the 2030 renewable target from 40% to 45% would result in overachieving its current NDC.
• Participation in sectoral initiatives has been limited; Qatar is the only major country to join the Global Methane Pledge since COP26, while major emitters like China, India, and Russia have not joined.
• The commitment to stop financing fossil fuel infrastructure abroad has been weakened by the need for alternative natural gas suppliers following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, exemplified by Germany considering LNG infrastructure support for Senegal.

APA

Höhne, N., Moisio, M., Hare, B., Stockwell, C., & Ramalope, D. (2022). Despite Glasgow Climate Pact, 2030 climate target updates have stalled. NewClimate Institute. https://climateactiontracker.org/documents/1051/CAT_2022-06-03_Briefing_MidYearUpdate_DespiteGlasgowTargetUpdatesStalled.pdf

Chicago

Höhne, Niklas, Mia Moisio, Bill Hare, Claire Stockwell, and Deborah Ramalope. Despite Glasgow Climate Pact, 2030 climate target updates have stalled. NewClimate Institute, 2022. https://climateactiontracker.org/documents/1051/CAT_2022-06-03_Briefing_MidYearUpdate_DespiteGlasgowTargetUpdatesStalled.pdf.

Wikipedia

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BibTeX

@techreport{hhne2022despite, author = {Höhne, Niklas and Moisio, Mia and Hare, Bill and Stockwell, Claire and Ramalope, Deborah}, title = {{Despite Glasgow Climate Pact, 2030 climate target updates have stalled}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2022}, month = jun, url = {https://climateactiontracker.org/documents/1051/CAT_2022-06-03_Briefing_MidYearUpdate_DespiteGlasgowTargetUpdatesStalled.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }