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AFRICA ENERGY FORECAST: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines the impact of various global carbon tax scenarios on Africa's energy transition and economic future, specifically highlighting the 'Sustainable Africa' scenario.
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Document type: Research paper
INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND INVESTMENT MODEL DOCUMENTATION
The Industrial Transformation Technology and Investment Model (ITTIM) is a free, open-source Excel-based tool designed to map transition pathways for achieving non-emitting industrial sectors. It estimates energy use, CO2 emissions, expenditures, and capital investment needs across various regions and subindustries, utilizing a cumulative six-tier technology framework to mitigate 97% to 99% of industrial energy-related and cement calcination emissions.
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Document type: Guide
Scaling Solar Power for Irrigation in India
This report evaluates the implementation of the Pradhan Mantri Kisan Urja Suraksha evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan (PM-KUSUM) scheme in India, specifically focusing on Component A (decentralized solar plants) and Component C-FLS (feeder-level solarization). While the scheme aims to add 35 GW of solar capacity by March 2026 to improve irrigation and farmer income, it has faced low uptake, achieving only 7% of targets for Component A and 34% for Component C-FLS as of December 31, 2025. The report identifies critical barriers including poor institutional coordination, grid instability, land acquisition challenges, and tariff mismatches, while providing actionable recommendations for the design of future solar irrigation programs.
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Document type: Report
UN SECURITY COUNCIL REFORM: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers outlines principles for reforming the UN Security Council (UNSC) to better reflect current global power dynamics and increase legitimacy. The author argues for an expanded Council that balances representation with functionality and realism, proposing the removal of the veto and the introduction of minimum capacity criteria for membership.
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Document type: Research paper
Introduction: The Current Status of our Climate
This research paper introduction from the Institute for Security Studies provides an overview of the current global climate crisis, highlighting record-breaking temperatures in 2024, the increasing frequency of weather-related disasters, and the rising scale of climate-induced displacement. It emphasizes the gap between current policies and the goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement, while noting the persistent rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations.
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Document type: Research paper
Current Path: Thematic Futures
This report section analyzes the impact of commodity dependence on African economies, detailing the 'resource curse' where heavy reliance on raw material exports correlates with poor governance, political corruption, and slow economic growth. It contrasts the development trajectories of resource-rich and resource-poor nations and discusses the role of sovereign wealth funds and the global energy transition in shaping future demand.
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Document type: Report
UN Security Council Reform: Thematic Futures
This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers outlines the legal mechanisms for amending the UN Charter to reform the UN Security Council and warns that the high threshold for ratification threatens the legitimacy of the entire UN system.
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Document type: Research paper
AFRICA MANUFACTURING FORECAST: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the sectoral composition of economies across different income groups, focusing on the role of manufacturing, services, and ICT in economic development. It compares Africa's development trajectory with those of India, China, and the Asian Tigers, highlighting the impact of industrialization and demographic windows on growth.
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Document type: Research paper
UN Security Council
This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers analyzes the failure of UN Security Council (UNSC) reform, attributing the deadlock to the entrenched positions of negotiating blocks and the P5 members' desire to maintain the veto power and their associated privileges.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa’s Contribution to Carbon Emissions to 2063: Current Path vs Combined Scenario
This research paper analyzes projections for Africa's fossil fuel carbon emissions up to 2063, comparing a 'Current Path' with a 'Combined scenario' that incorporates ambitious development improvements. It identifies a small number of key countries whose energy policies will determine the continent's overall contribution to global emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
The Urgency of Reform
This research paper argues that the UN Security Council (UNSC) requires structural reform due to its eroding authority and a global shift in power. Using forecasting data, the author suggests that future legitimacy depends on including the US, China, and India, while proposing a move away from permanent vetoes toward verifiable criteria for global power and the potential inclusion of regional coalitions.
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Document type: Research paper
Carbon Emissions: Global Picture and Forecast
This report analyzes global carbon emissions from fossil fuels and land use, providing forecasts through 2063. It highlights the dominance of coal, the climate impact of LNG, and the roles of major emitters like China, the US, and India, while detailing the specific environmental pressures facing Africa, including deforestation and water scarcity.
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Document type: Report
Reconductoring: The Path of Least Resistance to Fixing the U.S. Energy Grid
This report by the Environmental and Energy Study Institute examines reconductoring—the process of replacing existing electrical transmission cables with advanced conductors—as a rapid and cost-effective method to increase the capacity of the U.S. energy grid. The author argues that reconductoring can bypass lengthy permitting processes, reduce energy costs, and support the transition to clean energy by enabling the connection of stalled renewable projects and meeting rising electricity demands from electric vehicles and data centers.
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Document type: Report
Solar growth in South Asia has cut fuel imports for power but deeper reductions need electrification and regional grids
This report by Ember examines how the growth of solar power in South Asia is reducing the power sector's exposure to global fossil fuel price shocks, while highlighting that broader fossil fuel dependence persists in transport and industry. The authors argue that further reductions in fuel imports require the electrification of non-power sectors and enhanced regional grid integration, with India serving as a central hub for electricity trade.
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Document type: Report
The Relevance of the United Nations Legally Binding Instrument to Regulate the Activities of Transnational Corporations and Other Business Enterprises as a Structural Lever for Environmental Justice
This briefing paper argues that the proposed United Nations Legally Binding Instrument (LBI) to regulate transnational corporations is a critical structural lever for achieving environmental justice. It contends that existing voluntary frameworks are inadequate to stop corporate-driven ecological destruction and that the LBI can transform the right to a clean, healthy and sustainable environment (RtHE) into enforceable obligations, ensuring corporate liability and access to remedy across transnational value chains.
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Document type: Briefing
La pertinence de l’instrument juridiquement contraignant des Nations Unies pour réglementer les activités des sociétés transnationales et autres entreprises comme levier structurel de la justice environnementale
This briefing paper argues for the necessity of a legally binding United Nations instrument to regulate transnational corporations and other businesses as a structural lever for environmental justice. It contends that current voluntary frameworks are insufficient to ensure corporate accountability for ecological destruction and human rights violations, particularly in the Global South.
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Document type: Briefing
Prospective wind and utility-scale solar pipeline reached almost 5 TW in 2025
The global pipeline for wind and utility-scale solar projects grew by 11% in 2025, reaching 4.9 TW. While China and India lead in construction and prospective capacity, G7 nations show stagnant growth in their pipelines, creating a gap in meeting the COP28 goal to triple renewable energy capacity by 2030.
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Document type: Report
Asian countries most at risk from oil and gas supply disruptions in Strait of Hormuz
This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the vulnerability of Asian nations to energy supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, particularly in the context of geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. It identifies Japan as the country at the highest direct risk due to its extreme reliance on imported fossil fuels and the high volume of its trade passing through the chokepoint. The document argues that transitioning to renewable energy and electrification is the primary strategic path to enhancing energy security and reducing exposure to global price shocks.
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Document type: Briefing
Ember’s response to India’s draft National Electricity Policy- 2026
Ember provides a response to India's draft National Electricity Policy 2026, arguing for a shift from sequential to co-optimised generation and transmission planning to address bottlenecks and stranded assets. The brief recommends integrating grid-enhancing technologies to manage stability as renewable energy penetration increases, unbundling state transmission utilities to allow private sector participation, and reforming DISCOM procurement to avoid over-reliance on long-term coal contracts. It also emphasizes the need for a robust data-sharing and cybersecurity framework to manage the increasing volume of electricity data from private aggregators and smart infrastructure.
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Document type: Policy brief
India's Clean Cooking Shift
The report 'India's Clean Cooking Shift' by the International Institute for Sustainable Development argues for a diversification of India's clean cooking energy sources to reduce reliance on liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and piped natural gas (PNG). It proposes a 'twin-track' strategy: scaling electric cooking (e-cooking) in urban and peri-urban areas and biogas in suitable rural areas to address issues of affordability, import volatility, and service gaps.
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Document type: Report