Search Climate Insights Directory
218 results
Annual Performance Report
The KawiSafi Ventures Fund achieved final fund close in October 2018 and expanded its portfolio with a new investment in Redavia, a commercial and industrial solar company. In 2018, portfolio companies in Kenya and Rwanda offset 243,622 tons of climate-warming emissions and impacted 2,962,971 lives. Since its inception, the fund has averted 455,474 tons of emissions and reached 5,539,543 individuals. The fund's impact targets were adjusted following the fund close to 1,011,900 tons of emissions averted and 10,119,000 lives impacted. KawiSafi reports a cost of $66.67 per ton of CO2eq reduced and has leveraged GCF's anchor investment at a 2.3:1 match. The fund also implemented a responsible investing policy and conducted ESG reviews, finding portfolio companies to be at maturity levels 2 to 3 on the ESG scale. Gender-specific outcomes include 49% of impacted lives being women and the training of over 2,800 women in the solar sector.
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Document type: Report
Africa and climate change
The report highlights that while Africa has contributed minimally to global warming, it is disproportionately vulnerable due to high levels of extreme poverty and low state capacity. It projects that without significant intervention, the number of people in extreme poverty will rise until 2040, peaking at 590 million. The document argues that prioritizing human development—specifically education, healthcare, and water infrastructure—is essential to increasing adaptive capacity. It contrasts the 'Current Path' with a 'Green Road' scenario where inclusive, sustainable growth effectively eliminates extreme poverty by mid-century and significantly reduces the population lacking access to improved water.
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Document type: Report
Anzana Electric Group – “Songa Energy” Small Hydro Projects (Burundi)
Virunga Power and Songa Energy are collaborating to develop two small hydro projects in Burundi with an estimated cost of USD 32 million. The partnership aims to leverage Virunga Power's expertise in contracting and stakeholder engagement to navigate Burundi's challenging regulatory environment and lack of private renewable energy precedents. Following these initial projects, the partners intend to establish a rural utility through a private concession involving further renewable energy projects and inter-connected distribution assets.
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Document type: Case study
SMALLHOLDER FORESTRY VEHICLE INSTRUMENT ANALYSIS
The Smallholder Forestry Vehicle is a proposed financial instrument designed to enable forestry companies in Africa to access long-term, low-cost finance by aggregating smallholder tree production contracts into a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV). By separating the high-risk establishment and harvest phases from the lower-risk growth phase, the vehicle aims to attract institutional investors, including pension funds and impact investors. A proof-of-concept facility targeting US$ 35 million in coastal Kenya is proposed to demonstrate risk-adjusted returns and climate resilience benefits, such as land restoration and diversified income for farmers. The analysis suggests that the instrument can leverage significant private capital and be replicated across other East African nations to meet land restoration targets.
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Document type: Report
Kenya to 2030 and beyond
The report evaluates Kenya's development prospects to 2040, highlighting a contrast between strong human capital (health and education) and a significant deficit in core infrastructure (water and sanitation). While Kenya is a regional leader in ICT and renewable energy, it faces challenges from a large youth bulge, corruption, and climate-driven food insecurity. The report presents three scenarios: 'Stuck in Traffic' (current path), 'Tuko Kazi' (positive interventions), and 'Bila Hopes' (stagnation and instability).
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Document type: Report
CHINA, JAPAN, INDIA AND THE EAST AFRICA BLUE ECONOMY
The document analyzes the engagement of China, Japan, and India in East Africa, particularly Kenya and Tanzania, highlighting the strategic importance of maritime ports and transport corridors. It details significant infrastructure projects, such as the LAPSSET Corridor and the Mombasa port upgrades, while noting a persistent trade imbalance where East African nations export raw materials and import high-value finished goods. The author argues that while these investments offer growth opportunities, they require improved governance to ensure sustainable and inclusive development.
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Document type: Policy brief
Green Securitisation
The document details various green asset-backed securities (ABS) and aggregation mechanisms used to fund low-carbon transitions. It highlights specific instruments such as synthetic ABS, PACE ABS, solar ABS, and green covered bonds, providing examples of issuers and the types of underlying assets—ranging from energy-efficient mortgages to electric vehicle leases—that enable institutional investors to finance smaller-scale green assets.
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Document type: Briefing
Blended Finance in Clean Energy: Experiences and Opportunities Annexes
The document outlines a methodology for identifying high-impact clean energy markets in developing economies based on private sector attractiveness, energy access, and climate relevance. It identifies Tier 1 countries—including India, South Africa, Kenya, and Rwanda—and analyzes their specific investment barriers, such as off-taker risk in India and currency volatility in South Africa. Additionally, it provides case studies on blended finance structures, ranging from project-level interventions like the Lake Turkana Wind Farm to fund-of-funds like GEEREF, illustrating how concessional capital and guarantees are used to leverage private investment.
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Document type: Report
NEW YORK DECLARATION ON FORESTS PROGRESS ASSESSMENT GOALS SUMMARY
The report highlights a critical lack of aggregate global data to measure progress in reducing deforestation caused by basic needs. It uses the distribution of clean cookstoves and related funding as proxy indicators, noting that while annual distributions reached approximately 20 million, the number of stoves meeting clean and efficient standards declined from nearly 15 million in 2014 to 13 million in 2015. Financial support also showed a downward trend between 2012 and 2015, with Official Development Assistance (ODA) for fuelwood dropping from USD 81 million to USD 3.2 million and carbon offset transactions falling from USD 65 million to USD 15 million.
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Document type: Report
2018 Progress Assessment Goal 4 Update
The 2018 Progress Assessment for Goal 4 highlights the difficulty in quantifying the impact of basic needs on deforestation due to limited data. While the distribution of clean cookstoves in developing countries nearly doubled between 2015 and 2016, financial support for woodfuel interventions declined. The report identifies several drivers of deforestation linked to poverty, including swidden agriculture, subsistence migration, and charcoal production, and presents case studies from Peru, Guatemala, Brazil, Mexico, Ghana, and Côte d’Ivoire demonstrating the potential of sustainable landscape approaches, community forestry, and agricultural intensification to reduce forest loss.
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Document type: Report
FEEDING THE WORLD IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: AN ADAPTATION ROADMAP FOR AGRICULTURE
The document argues that global agricultural production has declined by 1-5% per decade over the last 30 years due to climate change, necessitating an urgent transition to climate-resilient systems. It identifies critical risks, including heat stress, extreme weather, and pests, which disproportionately affect smallholder farmers and women in the tropics. The authors propose a roadmap based on five pillars: promoting resilient and low-emission technologies, expanding digital climate information, mobilizing innovative finance, strengthening farmer organizations, and delivering enabling policies. The paper highlights successful examples of 'no regret' options, such as stress-tolerant crop varieties and sustainable intensification, and emphasizes the need for context-specific, participatory approaches to scale these solutions.
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Document type: Research paper
Small-scale renewable energy technologies in East Africa
The report examines the deployment of small-scale renewable energy (solar PV, wind, biogas, hydro) in East Africa, highlighting Kenya as the regional leader in market maturity and local content regulation. While off-grid solutions like solar home systems and mini-grids are expanding, the report identifies significant barriers to localisation, including a lack of local manufacturing, inadequate access to seed capital for SMEs, and fragmented institutional coordination. It recommends a regional approach to policy alignment, the development of e-learning platforms for vocational training, and the use of impact investment to build sustainable local value chains.
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Document type: Report
Seeing political settlements through the city: A framework for comparative analysis of urban transformation
The article introduces a framework for comparative urban research in the developing world, asserting that urban transformations—including land use, construction patterns, and environmental regulation—reveal the underlying national political settlements and clientelism. The author illustrates this approach through narrative sketches of Kampala, Kigali, and Addis Ababa.
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Document type: Research paper
Getting Numbers Right: Revisiting Woodfuel Sustainability in the Developing World
The paper finds that emission reductions from 286 woodfuel carbon-offset projects across 51 countries are 41%–59% lower than expected, estimating actual reductions between 57 and 81 MtCO2e compared to the expected 138 MtCO2e. It advocates for the use of spatial assessments to identify woodfuel 'hotspots' in East, West, and Southern Africa and South Asia, where approximately 300 million people face acute woodfuel scarcity, to better target interventions for reducing deforestation and degradation.
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Document type: Research paper
Exploring Tanzania’s Investment Competitiveness in East Africa
This research paper examines Tanzania's capacity to attract foreign investment, highlighting the shift from socialist governance to a model that relies on foreign capital for job creation and social upliftment. It identifies key competitive advantages and proposes structural reforms to improve the country's investment destination status.
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Document type: Research paper
African politics meets Chinese engineers: The Chinese-built Standard Gauge Railway Project in Kenya and East Africa
The document analyzes the Mombasa-Nairobi Standard Gauge Railway (SGR), a US$3.8 billion project financed largely by China. It argues that most controversies surrounding the project—including corruption, land disputes, and labor tensions—stem from Kenya's neo-patrimonial political culture and governance failures rather than Chinese predatory behavior. While the SGR has provided local employment and skills training, the authors highlight concerns over its economic viability, the lack of transparent bidding, and the environmental impact on wildlife corridors in Tsavo National Park.
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Document type: Research paper
Awash in Green and Gold: The Emerging Restoration Economy in Kenya
The case study highlights the growth of Kenya's restoration economy through examples like GreenPot Enterprises and Honey Care Africa. It demonstrates that restoring degraded landscapes—using bamboo for soil stabilization or apiaries for pollination—can generate significant revenue and improve farmer incomes. While Kenya's strong GDP growth and government commitment to restore 5.1 million hectares by 2030 provide a supportive environment, the report identifies a critical gap in growth capital, specifically investments in the $3-10 million range needed for scaling.
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Document type: Case study
Freedom of movement
The document examines the gap between Africa's formal legal commitments to freedom of movement and the actual practice of migration governance. While the African Union and various Regional Economic Communities have established frameworks to promote labour mobility and economic integration, implementation remains inconsistent. West Africa is highlighted as the most advanced model, whereas Southern Africa is noted for a securitised approach to migration. The brief argues that aligning regional policies and improving communication on the net benefits of migration are essential for unlocking the continent's development potential.
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Document type: Policy brief
AFRICA’S CLIMATE
The report assesses climate variability and future projections across central, eastern, western, and southern Africa, highlighting a critical gap in observational data and a lack of consensus among climate models. It details regional risks—such as the 'east African climate change paradox' and the vulnerability of the Congo rainforest—while providing country-specific analysis for Malawi, Rwanda, Senegal, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia. The document emphasizes the need for improved high-resolution modelling and better communication of scientific uncertainty to support adaptation in agriculture, water, energy, and urban infrastructure.
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Document type: Report
Changing Lives with Solar Microgrids
EarthSpark International has deployed a 93 kW solar microgrid in Les Anglais, Haiti, providing 24-hour clean power to approximately 2,000 people. The project demonstrates that microgrids can bridge the gap between small solar home systems and traditional grid extension, enabling industrial use and reducing household energy costs by 80%. To overcome technical gaps, EarthSpark developed 'SparkMeter' for customized tariffs and prepay services. Despite logistical hurdles and a lack of clear regulatory frameworks in Haiti, the model aims to scale to 80 microgrids serving 200,000 people over five years.
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Document type: Case study