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Climate Adaptation Investment Planning: Lessons Learned
The report details the Climate Adaptation Investment Planning (CAIP) framework, a five-step process designed by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) to bridge the gap between national adaptation planning and financial implementation. Piloted between 2022 and 2025 in Armenia, Bhutan, Cambodia, Indonesia, Mongolia, and Nepal, the framework emphasizes aligning adaptation with national fiscal cycles, using systemic climate risk diagnostics, and grouping priorities into comprehensive investment packages. Key findings indicate that while most adaptation packages yield high economic returns, financial viability for private investment remains limited and sector-dependent. The report advocates for a country-led, iterative approach that integrates ministries of finance from the outset to ensure adaptation is embedded in public financial management systems.
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Document type: Report
CLIMATE ADAPTATION, JUSTICE AND EQUITY: CONCEPTUALISING A ‘JUST ADAPTATION’ IN SOUTH AFRICA
The report critiques South Africa's National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy (NCCAS) 2020 and its 2025 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) for failing to address the root causes of current vulnerability, such as poverty and inequality. It argues that focusing solely on system resilience—such as 'climate smart agriculture'—without reducing existing vulnerabilities like food insecurity leads to 'maladaptation' and risks a 'downward spiral of undevelopment.' The author proposes shifting from 'incremental adaptation' (technical adjustments) to 'transformative adaptation' (system transitions), incorporating a distributive justice framework similar to that used in energy transitions to ensure that the structural causes of vulnerability are dismantled.
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Document type: Report
désinformation climatique Les médias à l’épreuve de la
The report identifies 815 cases of climate misinformation across 44 audiovisual channels in Brazil, Spain, France, and Poland. It finds that private media are significantly more porous to disinformation than public media, with 85% of cases occurring in private outlets. A strong negative correlation exists between the volume of climate coverage and the prevalence of disinformation, meaning media that cover climate issues more frequently tend to spread less misinformation. The study highlights a shift toward 'new climate denial,' which focuses on obstructing climate action and attacking renewable energy rather than denying the existence of warming. Renewable energy is a primary target, often linked to narratives of lost sovereignty, anti-EU sentiment, and social decline. The report recommends improved journalist training, stricter guest selection protocols, and increased accountability for broadcasters.
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Document type: Report
desinformación climática Los medios de comunicación ante el reto de la
The report identifies 815 cases of climate disinformation across 44 audiovisual channels in four countries, finding that private media are significantly more prone to spreading such content than public media. It highlights a negative correlation between the volume of climate coverage and the prevalence of disinformation, suggesting that consistent reporting reduces the risk of misinformation. The analysis reveals distinct national narratives: France focuses heavily on renewable energy costs and inefficiency; Poland links climate policy to anti-EU sentiment and industrial decline; Brazil emphasizes agribusiness virtues and climate denial; and Spain shows a unique susceptibility to 'chemtrails' conspiracy theories. The document recommends journalist training on obstructionist discourses, more rigorous guest selection for TV sets, regular environmental coverage, and the establishment of accountability frameworks for disinformation spreaders.
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Document type: Report
NO BASTA CON MÁS RENOVABLES: SIN JUSTICIA, LA ENTRADA DE RENOVABLES PUEDE PROFUNDIZAR LAS DESIGUALDADES EXISTENTES
The document highlights a paradox in the energy transition across Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico: while renewable capacity grew by approximately 29% between 2020 and 2023, social barriers and a continued reliance on fossil fuel investment hinder a just transition. It emphasizes that technical success does not guarantee social license, citing non-binding participation mechanisms in Chile and territorial conflicts in Mexico and Colombia. The report calls for a shift from mere 'socialization' to 'real participation' to prevent community displacement and ensure energy justice, including clean cooking and affordable tariffs.
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Document type: Fact sheet
DATOS PARA EXIGIR UNA HOJA DE RUTA DE SALIDA ORDENADA Y JUSTA DE COMBUSTIBLES FÓSILES EN 2026
This fact sheet presents data to justify a transition away from fossil fuels in Latin America and the Caribbean, emphasizing the risk of stranded assets and the region's high vulnerability to climate impacts. It highlights a contradiction where the region possesses the world's cleanest electricity grid yet continues to increase fossil fuel production and consumption. The document calls for the elimination of fossil fuel subsidies—which totaled USD 52.8 billion in 2024—and the implementation of a 'Just Transition Mechanism' following COP30 to support labor reconversion and community sovereignty.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Mitra dalam Gas: Bagaimana Investasi ADB di Clifford Capital Terus Mendukung Gas Fosil di Asia
The report examines the Asian Development Bank's (ADB) 95 million USD equity investment in Clifford Capital, a Singapore-based financial intermediary. It argues that ADB's use of financial intermediaries (FIs) creates a transparency gap that allows continued support for fossil gas projects, contradicting the bank's stated goals of Paris Agreement alignment. The document highlights specific projects in Indonesia and Bangladesh as examples of environmental and social harm resulting from such investments and calls for a phased exit from fossil gas funding.
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Document type: Report
Adapting to climate-related health risks: The economic case for climate services for health
The report argues that investing in climate services for health (CSfH) provides high economic returns, ranging from US$3.60 to $68.40 per dollar invested, due to the modest cost of implementation relative to the high value of lives saved. It defines CSfH through seven key activities—including early warning systems, disease surveillance, and resilient infrastructure—and estimates that a median-sized developing country requires an annual investment of US$12 to $18 million. Despite these returns, the study finds significant barriers to uptake, including a lack of integrated meteorological data in health surveillance systems and poor cross-agency collaboration between meteorological and health institutions.
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Document type: Research paper
The Lagos Plan of Action and Structural Adjustment
The report examines the shift in African development from state-led industrialization and the pan-Africanist Lagos Plan of Action (1980) to the market-oriented Structural Adjustment Programmes (SAPs) of the 1980s. It argues that while the Lagos Plan sought collective self-reliance, it failed due to a lack of national integration and monitoring. Conversely, SAPs—driven by the 'Washington Consensus'—forced devaluation, privatization, and spending cuts in health and education, which the author contends led to a 'race to the bottom,' stunted industrialization, and a decline in per capita income between 1980 and 1994.
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Document type: Report
20 State Futures in the Global South
The report analyzes the evolution of state governance in the Global South, identifying a disconnect between political participation and institutional capacity. It employs a horizon scan across five domains and develops four scenarios—the Growth World, Sustainable World, Divided World, and World at War—to model potential governance trajectories. Key findings highlight the rise of hybrid governance, the destabilizing effect of extreme inequality, and the urgent need for anticipatory governance to manage systemic shocks like the global debt crisis and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
Responsible Commodities Facility – Deforestation and Conversion Free: Finance for soy production in the Cerrado, Brazil (RCF-DCF Project)
The Gender and Social Inclusion Plan for the RCF-DCF Project in Brazil's Cerrado region aims to integrate a gender lens into soy production investment strategies. The plan sets targets to ensure 50% of investee farms have at least one female owner and 100% of contracts require compliance with Brazilian legislation on gender equality and Sexual Exploitation, Abuse, and Harassment (SEAH). It also details awareness-raising activities, including 10 farmer field days and the creation of educational materials, to promote gender equality and women's leadership in agribusiness.
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Document type: Report
Gender Assessment EcoEnterprises Partners IV
The report assesses gender disparities in Belize, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Panama, and Peru to inform the EcoEnterprises Partners IV investment strategy. It identifies systemic barriers—including financial exclusion, limited land rights, and climate vulnerability—that disproportionately affect rural, Indigenous, and Afro-descendant women. The document details a 'gender-lens' investment approach, utilizing a proprietary toolbox of 32 tools and alignment with the 2X Challenge to promote women's leadership and economic empowerment in MSMEs and sustainable agriculture.
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Document type: Report
Report of the 60th meeting of the IAI Executive Council
The 60th meeting of the IAI Executive Council addressed the critical financial impact of the United States' withdrawal from the institute, which could lead to a two-thirds decrease in operational resources. The Council decided to form an ad hoc advisory committee to develop restructuring recommendations and scheduled an Extraordinary Conference of the Parties for March 9, 2026. Despite these challenges, the Directorate reported progress in diversifying funding through agreements with development banks like CAF and FONPLATA, and advancing research on climate-induced migration, the climate-environment-health nexus, and forest-related projects.
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Document type: Report
Legal framework for the possible use of international credits towards the 2040 EU climate target under the European Climate Law
Carbon Market Watch advises the European Commission against incorporating international credits into the EU's 2040 climate target. The organization argues that such a move would ignore scientific advice for 90-95% domestic emission reductions, violate the spirit of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, and expose the EU to significant financial and reputational risks. The document highlights systemic failures in carbon credit integrity, including over-crediting and human rights violations, and estimates that relying on credits for 5% of the target could result in EU emissions being 50% higher than a fully domestic target, costing up to €49.7 billion.
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Document type: Statement
The energy security fallout: from fossil fuel fragility to electric independence
The report highlights the systemic risks of fossil fuel dependency, noting that three-quarters of the global population live in importing countries that spent $1.7 trillion on imports in 2024. It argues that the current crisis in the Middle East, particularly the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, serves as a catalyst for Asia to transition to electric technologies. The document asserts that scaling EVs, solar, wind, and heat pumps could reduce fossil fuel import bills by approximately 70%, with EVs already displacing 1.7 million barrels of oil per day in 2025.
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Document type: Report
Weak by Design: How Agribusiness Organize in Congress to Trap Environmental Reforms in Brazil and Chile
The research examines the 2012 Brazilian New Forest Code and the 2022 Chilean Water Code reform to demonstrate how economic elites intentionally design weak institutions. By analyzing legislative debates and elite interviews, the author argues that environmental degradation can result from regulations that are designed to be ineffective, even when fully enforced, regardless of whether the legislative environment is ideologically cohesive or fragmented.
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Document type: Research paper
Dangerous Distractions
The briefing argues that the meat and dairy industry exploits narratives of efficiency and food security to obstruct transformative changes to food systems and the adoption of sustainable diets. It notes that despite scientific consensus, only 4% of nationally determined contributions (NDCs) include quantified, time-bound agricultural methane reduction targets. The document specifically analyzes industry messaging from the World Meat Congress and COP30 to illustrate how these actors hinder the inclusion of food systems in official climate conference texts.
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Document type: Briefing
Unplanned urbanisation fuels landslide disasters amid emerging rainfall trends
In February 2026, intense rainfall in Minas Gerais, Brazil, caused over 70 deaths and displaced nearly 10,000 people, with Juiz de Fora being the most affected city. While climate models project a 7% increase in February rainfall with future warming, the immediate severity of the disaster was driven by high social vulnerability and unplanned urban expansion on steep slopes. Risk assessments had previously identified 130,000 residents in high-risk zones in Juiz de Fora. The study found that while early warnings were issued, topographical constraints and a lack of evacuation options hindered their effectiveness.
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Document type: Research paper
Progressing the Transition Away From Fossil Fuels
The document outlines a framework for transitioning away from fossil fuels (TAFF), emphasizing that roadmaps must be anchored in scientific alignment, the CBDR-RC principle, and national ownership. It argues that national plans should integrate energy access, subsidy reform, and economic diversification, while international efforts require structured producer-consumer coordination and reform of global finance systems. The guide aims to support 2026 initiatives, including the Brazilian COP 30 Presidency's global roadmap, to address the misalignment between current fossil fuel production plans and climate science.
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Document type: Guide
Book and Claim Framework for the Iron and Steel Sector
The RMI framework establishes rules for the issuance, transfer, and retirement of Book-and-Claim Units (BCUs) for low-emissions iron and steel. It introduces a dual functional-unit system (iron and crude steel) with eligibility thresholds anchored to ResponsibleSteel's Decarbonization Progress Level 3 (DPL3). To prevent fossil lock-in, the framework mandates route-specific criteria, including a 2035/2040 phase-out for BF-BOF eligibility and strict 90% capture rates for CCS/CCUS. It defines rigorous accounting methods—direct and enhanced substitution—to prevent over-claiming and double counting, while prohibiting on-product claims to maintain the incentive for physical green steel procurement.
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Document type: Report