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The scramble for Africa’s gas
This December 2022 briefing by Global Energy Monitor examines the planned US$245 billion expansion of gas infrastructure in Africa. It highlights a significant imbalance where investments in LNG export terminals and pipelines for international markets—driven by Europe's short-term energy crisis following Russia's invasion of Ukraine—far outweigh investments in domestic power generation and renewable energy, creating a high risk of stranded assets.
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Document type: Briefing
La Ruée pour le Gaz Africain
This December 2022 report by Global Energy Monitor analyzes the expansion of gas infrastructure in Africa, highlighting a significant imbalance where investments are heavily skewed toward export terminals rather than domestic energy access. The report warns that the surge in interest driven by Europe's need to replace Russian gas creates a high risk of 'stranded assets' and diverts funding from renewable energy and local electrification.
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Document type: Report
A luta pelo gás de África
This December 2022 briefing by Global Energy Monitor examines the expansion of gas infrastructure in Africa, highlighting a significant trend toward export-oriented projects driven by Europe's energy crisis following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The report warns that prioritizing LNG exports over domestic energy needs and renewable energy investments risks creating stranded assets and hindering universal electricity access on the continent.
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Document type: Briefing
Mapambano ya kumiliki gesi ya Afrika
This report by Global Energy Monitor analyzes the expansion of gas infrastructure in Africa, highlighting a significant trend toward export-oriented projects driven by Europe's short-term energy needs following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The document argues that the focus on Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) exports and pipelines risks creating 'stranded assets' and diverts investment from domestic energy access and renewable energy.
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Document type: Report
How global decarbonisation can turn into an industrial development opportunity in Africa
This briefing from the Africa Policy Research Institute argues that the global decarbonisation agenda presents both socio-economic risks and industrial opportunities for Africa. It advocates for an 'African Green deal' to leverage the continent's mineral resources for economic diversification and industrialisation, rather than remaining a source of raw materials for the global energy transition.
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Document type: Briefing
Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030 (July 2020)
This document describes the approach and methodology used for a special report titled "Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030 (July 2020)". It outlines the use of the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform to model three scenarios against a pre-pandemic baseline, focusing on economic growth, poverty, and Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) targets through 2030.
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Document type: Report
Methane Corporates
A November 2022 briefing by Global Energy Monitor (GEM) identifies 30 fossil fuel companies responsible for 43% of the energy sector's global methane emissions. The analysis breaks down emissions by fuel sector (oil/gas and coal) and ownership type (national/state-owned vs. international/investor-owned), highlighting the disproportionate impact of a small number of large producers.
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Document type: Briefing
The Impact of Fertilizer Prices on Africa
This policy brief examines how the war in Ukraine has disrupted global supply chains and increased fertilizer prices across Africa, threatening food security and crop yields. It argues that while short-term input subsidies are necessary, African nations must pursue long-term industrialization to build local fertilizer manufacturing capacity using the continent's own natural gas, coal, and phosphate rock reserves.
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Document type: Policy brief
Ensuring that COP27 is Truly an ‘African COP’
This policy brief by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the priorities and challenges for African nations leading up to COP27 in Egypt. It highlights the continent's push for climate justice, increased financial support for adaptation and loss and damage, and a 'just transition' that allows for the temporary use of natural gas to ensure energy security.
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Document type: Policy brief
JUST ENERGY TRANSITIONS AND NATURAL GAS IN AFRICA: BALANCING CLIMATE ACTION AND STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
This discussion paper by the African Climate Foundation examines the tension between utilizing Africa's significant natural gas resources for economic development and the risks posed by the global transition to low-carbon energy. It argues that while gas provides short-term revenue and energy security, long-term investments in gas infrastructure are increasingly risky due to falling renewable energy costs and international climate targets. The paper advocates for a shift toward renewable energy (RE) to support industrialization and electrification, provided that climate finance is scaled up.
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Document type: Research paper
Korea and Africa: Partnerships on Climate and Energy
This research paper by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the evolving relationship between the Republic of Korea and Africa, focusing on opportunities for collaboration in climate change and energy transition. It analyzes Korea's carbon-neutrality goals and the African Union's Climate Change and Resilient Development Strategy (2022–2032) to identify synergies in renewable energy, green minerals, smart cities, and sustainable agriculture.
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Document type: Research paper
Developments in Africa’s Free Trade Area: Opportunities for Korean Investors
This research paper analyzes the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and identifies strategic opportunities for Korean investors and the Korean government to reverse a decline in trade with Africa. It highlights the potential for Korea to leverage its expertise in capital goods, automotive manufacturing, and clean energy to integrate into emerging African regional value chains.
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Document type: Research paper
Renewable energy in North Africa
This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the renewable energy landscapes of Egypt and Morocco within the broader context of North Africa. It details the region's high technical potential for solar and wind, the current dominance of fossil fuels (gas in Egypt and coal in Morocco), and the strategic shifts toward renewable energy and green hydrogen to enhance energy security and export potential.
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Document type: Briefing
Peace & Security Council Report
The July 2022 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the complexities of Africa's regional economic communities (RECs), the partnership between the United Nations and the African Union (AU), the identity crisis of the African Standby Force (ASF), and the systemic challenges in eradicating extreme poverty across the continent.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This special report examines the factors influencing foreign direct investment (FDI) and remittances in Algeria, highlighting significant gaps in investment compared to other middle-income countries and the regulatory hurdles hindering growth.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This conclusion section of a special report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the economic and political challenges facing Algeria. It argues that the country requires a comprehensive overhaul of its governance and economic structures—specifically moving away from hydrocarbon dependence and improving human capital utilization—to achieve inclusive development and growth by 2040.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This report section examines poverty and equality in Algeria, noting significant reductions in income poverty and human development deficits, while highlighting persistent regional disparities and the challenges posed by unemployment and oil price volatility.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This introduction to a special report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Algeria's socio-economic and political challenges leading up to 2040. It highlights a projected modest GDP growth rate of 1.8% between 2020 and 2040, which the authors argue is insufficient to improve livelihoods given the country's dependence on hydrocarbons, high unemployment, and a state-led economic system. The document emphasizes the urgent need for comprehensive structural reforms to address governance issues, climate change impacts on agriculture, and regional security threats.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This document is the front matter and acknowledgments section of a special report titled "Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040," published by the Institute for Security Studies. It provides information on the authors, the African Futures & Innovation (AFI) program, and licensing terms, but does not contain the report's analytical findings or data.
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Document type: Report
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
This report outlines Tunisia's development from its 1956 independence to 2022. It highlights early social gains in gender equality and education under Habib Bourguiba, followed by a period of non-inclusive growth and cronyism under Zine El Abidine Ben Ali. The 2010 Freedom and Dignity Revolution, sparked by economic desperation, ousted Ben Ali but left the country facing weakened macroeconomic indicators, political fragmentation, and unfulfilled promises of structural reform.
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Document type: Report