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Global Warming Emissions from Hydrogen Vehicles
The document finds that hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs), such as the Hyundai Tucson Fuel Cell SUV, produce significantly lower lifecycle global warming emissions than their gasoline counterparts. While emissions depend on the hydrogen source—with natural gas being the current primary source—the use of renewable hydrogen can reduce emissions by over 50% compared to gasoline. California is highlighted as a leader in this transition through its Zero Emission Vehicle program and SB 1505, which mandates a minimum of 33% renewable hydrogen content at state-supported stations.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Response to “J.P.”’s column “New numbers, same conclusion” posted 22 August 2014 on The Economist Online’s “Free exchange”
The document argues that Dr. Charles R. Frank Jr.'s analysis of electricity technology costs is based on outdated and methodologically flawed assumptions. Amory Lovins asserts that updating nine key variables—including capital costs and capacity factors for solar and wind power—would reverse Frank's conclusions. Lovins specifically critiques the use of national average costs, which he claims are inflated by atypical projects and do not reflect modern competitive practice.
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Document type: Statement
Proposed Greentech Special Economic Zone at Atlantis Pre-feasibility Study Final Report
The report assesses the feasibility of a greentech SEZ in Atlantis, South Africa. It identifies high-potential opportunities in wind turbine components, solar PV components, and solar water heaters, driven largely by government programs like the REIPPP. The study recommends a business case that prioritizes refurbishing existing industrial property over greenfield development to reduce costs and risk. It projects that a moderate demand scenario could create 1,440 direct permanent jobs and attract R650 million in FDI by 2030.
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Document type: Report
An initial critique of Dr. Charles R. Frank, Jr.’s working paper “The Net BeneAits of Low and No-‐Carbon Electricity Technologies,” summarized in The Economist as “Free exchange: Sun, wind and drain”
The author argues that Dr. Charles R. Frank, Jr.'s analysis incorrectly concludes that nuclear and gas combined-cycle plants are more beneficial than wind and solar. By replacing Frank's data with empirical figures from the EIA and DOE, the author asserts that the priority for carbon savings actually shifts to hydro, wind, gas combined-cycle, nuclear, and solar. The critique highlights significant underestimations of renewable productivity and overestimations of gas and nuclear costs and reliability.
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Document type: Research paper
A Mitigation Analysis of CDKN Priority Countries
The report analyzes the mitigation efforts of 14 priority countries and regions, highlighting a wide variation in ambition and activity. While large emitters like India and Indonesia have established legislation and quantitative targets, many other partner countries, particularly in Africa and Small Island Developing States (SIDS), prioritize adaptation due to extreme vulnerability. The analysis identifies key trends, such as the integration of low-emissions paths into economic development strategies and a heavy reliance on donor-funded projects for capacity building and MRV systems.
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Document type: Report
TomorrowNow— Manitoba’s Green Plan: Toward a New Provincial Climate Change and Green Economy Plan Consultations Background Paper
The document outlines Manitoba's current emissions profile, the shortcomings of its previous 'Beyond Kyoto' plan, and the goals for a new integrated approach to climate mitigation and adaptation. It emphasizes the role of the energy and building sectors in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing resilience to extreme weather. The paper also reviews climate policies in other Canadian jurisdictions and proposes guiding principles for the new provincial strategy, including the development of mandatory GHG reporting for large emitters.
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Document type: Briefing
Creating Incentives for Green Economic Growth: Green Energy in South Africa
The document examines South Africa's struggle to transition from a high-carbon, coal-based energy economy to a green economy. It analyzes the role of the state-owned utility Eskom, the impact of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPP), and various financial and regulatory incentives designed to attract private investment in renewables. The author argues that while policy signals are positive, a lack of inter-departmental coordination and the entrenched nature of the minerals-energy complex hinder the transition.
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Document type: Research paper
Misreporting in the Deployment of Wind Power: Evidence from Brazil
The research analyzes wind power contracts under Brazil's PROINFA feed-in tariff scheme, finding that a nonlinear payment structure led wind farms to systematically misreport capacity factors (CFs). By comparing reported and realized CFs for 41 operational projects, the authors demonstrate that reported values clustered around price schedule cutoffs, while realized values did not. This misreporting resulted in wind farms being contracted for 14% more energy than delivered and 12% of first-year payments being over-payments. The paper concludes that a simple 1% interest rate penalty on overpayments would have effectively eliminated the incentive to misreport.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Change and the Kenyan Private Sector
The document highlights that Kenya's economy is highly exposed to climate change, with droughts and flooding estimated to cost approximately 2.4% of GDP annually. It argues that the private sector can mitigate risks and gain competitive advantages through resource efficiency, renewable energy, and product innovation. The Kenya Private Sector Alliance (KEPSA) is identified as a key entity supporting firms in managing these risks and accessing opportunities, such as those outlined in the National Climate Change Action Plan 2013-2017 (NCCAP).
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Document type: Briefing
Climate Proofing Your Business
The document outlines the necessity for businesses in Kenya to 'climate-proof' their operations by assessing risks and implementing adaptation measures. It highlights that climate change impacts—such as temperature increases and rainfall changes—affect all economic sectors, with droughts and flooding estimated to cost Kenya approximately 2.0 per cent of GDP annually. The briefing provides a sector-specific matrix of risks and opportunities and shares examples of Kenyan companies already adapting through supply chain diversification and innovative insurance products. It advocates for the use of risk assessment tools and calls for government leadership in demonstrating climate resilience.
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Document type: Briefing
Kenya’s National Climate Change Action Plan and the Private Sector
The document outlines the financial requirements for Kenya's transition to a low-carbon economy, estimating that Ksh 1,085 billion is needed for the 2013-2017 National Climate Change Action Plan. It identifies key barriers to private investment, such as arduous project development processes, and suggests improvements including the implementation of the draft Climate Change Bill 2014. While Kenya has a strong track record in renewable energy investment and voluntary carbon markets, the briefing warns that compliance carbon markets are currently limited by oversupply and lack of access to the EU-ETS. It lists several domestic and international funding mechanisms available to Kenyan businesses for clean technology and energy efficiency.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate technology in context
The report argues that low-carbon technology adoption in developing countries requires tailored innovation systems rather than a one-size-fits-all approach. It identifies specific needs for the 'bottom of the pyramid' (energy access), the rising middle class (lifestyle and urban planning), and industrial sectors (efficiency and value chain integration). The authors emphasize that the public sector must mitigate risks through financial support and coordination, while international bodies like the UNFCCC's Technology Mechanism should act as brokers to link finance, R&D, and knowledge sharing.
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Document type: Report
Manipulação de Estimativas de Fatores de Capacidade em contratos de energia eólica: evidências de um contrato com tarifa feed-in no Brasil
The analysis of Brazil's PROINFA program reveals that wind farm developers systematically manipulated capacity factor (FC) estimates to maximize tariffs and contracted energy volumes. This behavior led to a 14% shortfall in expected energy production and 12% overpayments in the first year of operation. The study suggests that a simple 1% interest penalty on excess payments would have eliminated the incentive for such manipulation.
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Document type: Executive summary
Misreporting in wind power contracts: Evidence from a feed-in tariff in Brazil
The study analyzes the PROINFA feed-in tariff in Brazil, finding that project developers systematically misreported capacity factors (CFs) due to a tiered price schedule and a lack of penalties for overpayments. This misreporting led to a 14% gap between expected and actual energy production and resulted in 12% of first-year payments being over-payments. The authors suggest that a simple 1% interest rate penalty on overpayments would eliminate this misreporting, making the policy more cost-effective.
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Document type: Executive summary
Power Failure
The U.S. electricity grid is increasingly vulnerable to extreme weather events, with the average annual cost of severe weather rising from $20 billion in the 1980s to $85 billion in the 2010s. Aging infrastructure, graded D+ by the American Society of Civil Engineers in 2013, is susceptible to sea level rise, wildfires, droughts, and heat waves. The report highlights that thermal power plants are particularly at risk due to their heavy reliance on water for cooling, which can lead to production cutbacks or shutdowns when water is too warm or scarce. To improve resilience, the document recommends 'hardening' measures, such as sea walls and burying power lines, alongside the adoption of distributed renewable energy and energy efficiency to reduce overall demand and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
INDONESIA ENERGY SUBSIDY REVIEW
The document examines Indonesia's energy subsidy regime, which in 2013 cost the government IDR 299.8 trillion (US$ 27.0 billion), representing 2.5% of GDP. It details the 2013 price increases for gasoline and diesel, the subsequent social compensation packages, and the challenges of LPG and electricity subsidy reforms. The report argues that these subsidies are regressive, encourage wasteful consumption, and crowd out critical infrastructure and social welfare spending. It provides recommendations for transitioning toward targeted assistance and renewable energy to ensure macroeconomic stability and sustainable growth.
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Document type: Report
Lessons Learned: Fossil Fuel Subsidies and Energy Sector Reform in the Philippines
The Philippines successfully phased out most consumer energy subsidies by deregulating the downstream oil industry in 1998 and restructuring the electricity sector via the Electric Power Industry Reform Act of 2001. To manage the social impacts of these reforms, the government implemented targeted measures including the Pantawid Pamilya Pilipino Program (4Ps) conditional cash transfers, lifeline electricity rates, and the Pantawid Pasada program for public transport operators. While the country has attracted private investment and improved energy efficiency, it continues to face challenges such as high electricity rates, power shortages in Mindanao, and fuel smuggling.
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Document type: Report
Assessing Green Industrial Policy
The report evaluates India's 'Green Industrial Policy' as a blend of market-failure corrections and traditional industrial development goals. While the 'green' objectives—energy access, security, and GHG abatement—have seen success, the industrial policy goals of creating a competitive domestic manufacturing base and fostering R&D have fared poorly. The solar sector has struggled against cheap imports, while the wind sector, though more mature, has seen a decline in global competitiveness and a recent drop in installations following the withdrawal of tax incentives.
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Document type: Report
‘Energetic’ Dialogues in South Africa: The EU Example
The policy brief examines South Africa's energy transition and its strategic partnerships, particularly with the EU. It highlights the shift toward renewable energy sources (RES) and the role of the National Energy Act of 2008 in promoting energy efficiency. While the EU is a key partner through frameworks like the Africa–EU Energy Partnership (AEEP), South Africa also diversifies its engagement via BRICS and IBSA. The document emphasizes South Africa's position as a regional energy hub through the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) and argues for a trilateral approach to energy cooperation involving the EU, South Africa, and the Southern African Development Community (SADC).
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Document type: Policy brief
Strategies for Development of Green Energy Systems in Mongolia
The report analyzes Mongolia's energy transition using four scenarios: a coal-heavy reference case, a 'recent plans' case, an 'expanded green energy' case, and a 'shift in energy export' case. It finds that aggressive energy efficiency and renewable energy deployment could halve territorial GHG emissions by 2035 and reduce overall energy demand by 32% compared to the reference scenario. The study highlights the potential for Mongolia to shift from exporting coal to exporting renewable electricity to Northeast Asia, which would significantly reduce extraction-based emissions and mitigate the economic risk of 'carbon entanglement'.
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Document type: Report