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93 results
An example of local assessment of future drought. Las Tunas province, Cuba
The study finds that drought events in Las Tunas province, similar to the severe 2003-2005 event, are projected to become more frequent and intense through 2050, driven by reduced precipitation and increased evaporation from rising temperatures.
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Document type: Case study
Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note: Infrastructure in the Kampala Urban Area
The document evaluates the vulnerability of Kampala's infrastructure to climate change, specifically focusing on flooding and temperature increases. It projects a significant rise in annual flood damages by 2050 and estimates the cost of climate-proofing buildings and roads between US$3.3 billion and US$3.7 billion for the period 2015-2050.
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Document type: Briefing
Effect of climate change on water availability in the Font D’Or catchment, Saint Lucia
The study uses the Kestrel-Integrated Hydrological Model and CARIWIG climate data to project river flows in Saint Lucia's Font D’Or catchment. Results from two climate models, Echam5 and HADCM3Q0, generally predict a decrease in surface water availability, with the most severe reductions occurring in the HADCM3Q0 scenarios. These decreases, particularly during the rainy season, threaten water supplies for the tourism and agriculture sectors.
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Document type: Case study
Sea Level Rise • Flooding • Sea Surges • Erosion • Salination of land and water
The document outlines how climate-driven events like sea level rise, temperature increases, and extreme weather lead to human consequences such as dislocation, disease, and infrastructure damage, which in turn violate rights to life, health, water, and housing.
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Document type: Fact sheet
FF_NEW
This fact sheet from the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research details the probability of burns and forest fires in South American protected areas from August to October 2020, based on a report by Cemaden, INPE, and the Met Office Hadley Center.
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Document type: Fact sheet
IISD Experimental Lakes Area and Climate Change
The IISD Experimental Lakes Area (IISD-ELA) reports that mean annual air temperatures in Northwestern Ontario have increased by 0.42°C per decade since 1969, exceeding the global average. This warming is contributing to shorter lake ice cover durations, which are projected to decline by another 20–30 days by 2070. The document also notes that lake trout are experiencing habitat loss due to rising surface temperatures and low bottom-water oxygen, and their average length has decreased since the 1970s due to longer summer periods restricting food access. Additionally, the report highlights a trend of lakes becoming darker in Europe and North America due to increased dissolved organic carbon from precipitation.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Microsoft Word - midwest.doc
The document details how a warming climate will increase the frequency and severity of heat waves and heavy precipitation in the Midwest, leading to higher mortality, infrastructure damage, and agricultural losses. It highlights specific risks to the Great Lakes shipping industry due to falling water levels and the threat to public health from water-borne diseases and combined sewer overflows in cities like Chicago and Milwaukee.
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Document type: Fact sheet
City-Scale, City-Relevant Climate Hazard Indicators Under 1.5°C, 2.0°C, and 3.0°C of Global Warming
The document introduces a data set providing 14 city-relevant climate hazard indicators for 996 large cities, based on NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 downscaled climate simulations. It compares a 1994-2014 historical baseline against three warming scenarios (1.5°C, 2.0°C, and 3.0°C) to assist city decision-makers in strategic planning and risk management. Key findings indicate that at 3.0°C of warming, cities will experience heatwaves that are 28% longer and 25% more frequent on average than at 1.5°C, alongside increased energy demand for cooling and higher transmission risks for arboviruses.
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Document type: Research paper
Assessing Physical Climate Risks for the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development's Power Generation Project Investment Portfolio
The paper presents a new methodology using machine learning and climate science to assess physical climate risks for power generation portfolios. Pilot testing on the EBRD's thermal and hydro assets indicates that annual generation losses could increase from 0.76 TWh (0.4%) in the baseline period to 7.0 TWh (3.3%) under RCP4.5 and 7.4 TWh (3.5%) under RCP8.5 by 2030. The analysis identifies water stress and rising water temperatures as the primary drivers of loss for thermal assets, while hydro assets are primarily affected by reduced precipitation and upstream water consumption. The study further finds that combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants are more resilient than coal-fired plants, and that once-through cooling systems are the most vulnerable cooling technology.
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Document type: Research paper
极端天气和气候变化报道
The document explains the science of extreme event attribution, which calculates how climate change alters the probability and intensity of specific weather events. It provides a detailed breakdown of how climate change influences heatwaves, floods, tropical cyclones, blizzards, droughts, and wildfires, while cautioning journalists against three common errors: ignoring climate change, attributing events without evidence, or treating climate change as the sole cause. It emphasizes that while global trends are clear for some phenomena (like heatwaves), others (like blizzards) remain highly uncertain.
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Document type: Guide
Les évènements météorologiques extrêmes et le changement climatique
The document explains the science of extreme event attribution, detailing how researchers use climate models and historical data to determine if climate change made a specific event more likely or intense. It provides specific guidance on reporting various phenomena—heatwaves, floods, tropical cyclones, snowfall, droughts, and wildfires—highlighting where scientific confidence is high and where uncertainties remain.
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Document type: Guide
Food crisis in Central Sahel in 2022 driven by chronic vulnerability with uncertain role of climate change
The report examines the 2022 food crisis in the Central Sahel, which followed an erratic 2021 rainy season characterized by delayed onset and short duration. Using three observational datasets and multiple climate models, the study finds that it is impossible to significantly link these specific monsoon characteristics to anthropogenic climate change due to large uncertainties and discrepancies. Instead, the crisis is attributed to chronic vulnerabilities, including extreme poverty, armed conflict, political instability, and global economic shocks such as the war in Ukraine and the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Document type: Research paper
CLIMATE-SMART SNOW LEOPARD LANDSCAPE MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR THE NEPAL EASTERN HIMALAYA GSLEP PRIORITY LANDSCAPE
The management plan for Nepal's Eastern Himalaya Landscape (EHL) aims to protect snow leopard populations and their ecosystems against climate change and anthropogenic threats. It identifies 11 critical conservation sites and sets a goal to secure at least 100 breeding-age snow leopards by 2020. The plan is structured for implementation in two phases from 2017 to 2026, focusing on climate resilience, livelihood security, and transboundary cooperation.
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Document type: Executive summary