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The document explains the science of extreme event attribution, which calculates how climate change alters the probability and intensity of specific weather events. It provides a detailed breakdown of how climate change influences heatwaves, floods, tropical cyclones, blizzards, droughts, and wildfires, while cautioning journalists against three common errors: ignoring climate change, attributing events without evidence, or treating climate change as the sole cause. It emphasizes that while global trends are clear for some phenomena (like heatwaves), others (like blizzards) remain highly uncertain.

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  • Regarding tropical cyclones, climate change does not increase the total number of storms but increases the proportion of the most intense (Category 3-5) storms, their rainfall amounts, and the severity of storm surges due to sea-level rise.

Cite the original document

APA
Clarke, B., & Otto, F. (n.d.). 极端天气和气候变化报道. World Weather Attribution. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/wp-content/uploads/CH_WWA-Reporting-extreme-weather-and-climate-change.pdf
Chicago
Clarke, Ben, and Friederike Otto. 极端天气和气候变化报道. World Weather Attribution, n.d. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/wp-content/uploads/CH_WWA-Reporting-extreme-weather-and-climate-change.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Clarke |first1=Ben |last2=Otto |first2=Friederike |title=极端天气和气候变化报道 |publisher=World Weather Attribution |url=https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/wp-content/uploads/CH_WWA-Reporting-extreme-weather-and-climate-change.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{clarkend, author = {Clarke, Ben and Otto, Friederike}, title = {{极端天气和气候变化报道}}, institution = {World Weather Attribution}, url = {https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/wp-content/uploads/CH_WWA-Reporting-extreme-weather-and-climate-change.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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