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PURE Rural Mozambique Climate Project: Driving Mozambique’s climate resilience through energy access and climate-smart Productive Use of Renewable Energy
The report assesses the intersection of gender inequality and climate vulnerability in rural Mozambique to inform the design of the PURE Rural Mozambique Climate Project. It identifies systemic barriers—including patriarchal social norms, low female literacy (49% nationwide), and limited access to land and credit—that hinder women's participation in the energy sector and their ability to adopt productive technologies. The project aims to deploy 30-40 solar mini-grids and use Results-Based Financing (RBF) to incentivise the uptake of climate-smart equipment. Key strategies include targeting 'time-saving' appliances to reduce women's labour burden, implementing SEAH (Sexual Exploitation, Abuse, and Harassment) safeguards, and linking 5-10% of RBF milestone payments to GESI-specific results, such as the percentage of female mini-grid customers.
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Document type: Report
It is unclear if LNG imports can guarantee Southeast Asia’s energy security
The document examines the trend of ASEAN countries increasing LNG import infrastructure, with planned investments of USD 20.4 billion. It argues that LNG fails to provide true energy security due to its sensitivity to geopolitical shocks, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East, and competition for supply with Europe. The author suggests that Southeast Asian nations should instead prioritize domestic renewable energy, leverage their own solar manufacturing capacity, and accelerate the ASEAN Power Grid to enhance resilience and reduce import dependency.
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Document type: Briefing
Temporary carbon units from carbon farming and EU agri-food climate policy
The report argues that temporary CRCF units from carbon farming are currently of low quality due to insufficient management of non-permanence and additionality risks, making them unsuitable for offsetting emissions. It assesses proposed EU agri-food policies—including an Agricultural Emissions Trading System (AgETS) and Mandatory Climate Standards (MCS)—concluding that allowing these units as offsets would undermine environmental integrity. The authors recommend shifting toward activity-based payments, either through a reformed Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) or other public funding mechanisms, to promote carbon farming without the integrity risks associated with result-based crediting.
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Document type: Report
Roteiro de Financiamento Climático Para Investimentos na América Latina e no Caribe - Anexos
The document outlines a comprehensive methodology for evaluating investment risks and attributes in the livestock sector across Latin America and the Caribbean, specifically distinguishing between small-scale and large-scale commercial farms. It establishes a scoring system across six risk categories—governance, financing, physical climate, market, infrastructure, and nature—and compares these against the risk tolerances of public and private investors. The annexes also model three financial scenarios: Business-as-Usual (BAU), Enhanced Financial Strategies (IFS), and Enhanced Financial and Policy Strategies (IFPS), predicting how targeted interventions can shift capital composition from predominantly public to increased private investment. Geographic analysis highlights Brazil's relative stability and market dominance, while noting higher risks in Argentina and Mexico.
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Document type: Report
Fiche de renseignement : changements climatiques et tempêtes
The document details the link between rising global temperatures and the intensification of extreme weather events in Canada, such as hail, windstorms, and hurricanes. It highlights significant insured losses in provinces like Alberta, Quebec, and Ontario, and notes a trend of tornado-prone areas shifting eastward. The text emphasizes the need for improved early warning systems, resilient building codes, and nature-based coastal protections to adapt to these increasing risks.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Country Brief: Sustainable Cooling for All in Ghana
Ghana faces significant cooling gaps, with 12.9 million people at high risk and 16.6 million at medium risk due to lack of access to cooling and electricity. While refrigeration and air-conditioning (RAC) demand is projected to rise from 7.04 TWh in 2015 to 20.9 TWh by 2050, the country aims to align this growth with its net-zero 2060 target by shifting toward renewables and energy-efficient cooling.
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Document type: Briefing
Lost water, lost culture: the dark side of Chilean salmon
The document details the expansion of salmon aquaculture in Chile, highlighting the ecological damage caused by open-net cages and the violation of Indigenous rights, particularly for the Kawésqar people. It argues that the industry faces increasing financial, legal, and regulatory risks due to its environmental footprint and failure to conduct proper due diligence.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Flooding
The document details how climate-driven flooding, including extreme rainfall and sea level rise, disproportionately affects children's physical and mental health. It highlights risks such as respiratory issues from mold, mental health distress, and displacement, while noting that socioeconomic disparities exacerbate these vulnerabilities. The text provides guidance for caregivers on disaster preparedness and advocates for community resilience and rapid carbon emission cuts to protect future generations.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Risks and opportunities for nature-based solutions in Latin America and the Caribbean
Nature-based solutions (NbS) are being integrated into climate strategies across Latin America and the Caribbean to address biodiversity loss and climate change. While they offer significant economic and ecological potential—such as protecting coastal resilience and sequestering carbon—they cannot replace the need for deep emissions reductions from fossil fuels. The document warns that vague definitions of NbS can lead to 'greenwashing' by polluting corporations and risk the displacement of Indigenous and local communities through land grabs and monoculture plantations. For NbS to be sustainable, the author argues they must be based on local knowledge, ensure Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (FPIC), and be supported by diverse financing mechanisms beyond voluntary safeguards.
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Document type: Briefing
Finding economic value in nature beyond carbon
The briefing highlights that ecosystem services are worth over USD 150 trillion annually, while biodiversity loss costs the global economy more than USD 5 trillion per year. It asserts that the economic costs of nature destruction often exceed the benefits of exploitation, citing examples like EU nitrogen pollution and the Gulf of Mexico's dead zone. The text emphasizes that nature-related risks are transboundary, where deforestation in the Amazon or Southeast Asia impacts regional rainfall and coral reefs. It concludes that investing in biodiversity is significantly more affordable than the energy transition to net-zero, though a funding gap of approximately USD 830 billion per year remains.
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Document type: Briefing
Pedal to the Metal
The 2024 Global Steel Plant Tracker and Global Blast Furnace Tracker data show a growing momentum toward electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking, with 49% of capacity under development using this route. However, significant carbon lock-in risks persist as 308 mtpa of new coal-based blast furnace capacity is under development, primarily in Asia. India has surpassed China as the top overall steel developer, though China remains the largest operator of emissions-intensive capacity. While direct reduced iron (DRI) capacity is increasing, its climate impact depends on the transition to green hydrogen reducing agents, as much current capacity relies on methane or coal.
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Document type: Report
Gas decarbonization pathways for the Baltic states and Finland
The paper evaluates four pathways—Business-as-usual, Renewable Methane, Renewable Hydrogen, and Cost Minimal—to transition the Baltic states and Finland away from fossil gas. It finds that full decarbonization by 2050 is feasible, with the Cost Minimal scenario offering the highest economic benefits and fastest emission reductions. The study details the necessary wind power capacities, investment requirements (EUR 11.3 billion for the CM scenario), and policy actions needed to integrate regional markets and scale up renewable gas production.
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Document type: Research paper
Kas ja kuidas on võimalik dekarboniseerida Balti riikide ja Soome gaasiturgu?
The report evaluates four decarbonisation scenarios for the Baltic-Finnish gas market, concluding that full decarbonisation by 2050 is feasible. It identifies the 'cost-minimising' (CM) scenario as the most economically viable, combining biomethane and renewable hydrogen to reduce total system costs by 44% compared to a business-as-usual approach. The analysis emphasizes the critical role of wind energy to power hydrogen production and suggests a coordinated regional strategy involving infrastructure alignment, carbon taxation, and the phase-out of fossil fuel heating in new buildings.
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Document type: Report
Espejo de Tarapacá Chile Final Evaluation Report
The Espejo de Tarapacá project, designed to combine a 300 MW pumped-storage hydroelectric (PSH) plant and a 561 MW-AC photovoltaic (PV) solar plant in Chile, was formally closed in October 2022 before construction began. Despite initial alignment with Chile's decarbonization goals, the project failed because the Project Company could not secure a power-purchase agreement (PPA) or private investors. The evaluation found that the project's relevance declined as the Chilean government prioritized market competition and lithium-based storage over the preferential treatment requested for PSH. While the project failed its primary energy goals, it achieved some positive social outcomes through community engagement in San Marcos and Rio Seco, including women's empowerment and the establishment of a community office. The report concludes that the GCF lacked sufficient risk analysis during formulation, was too slow in reviewing restructuring proposals, and failed to provide the promised high-level policy advocacy to the Chilean government.
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Document type: Report
Flood insurance risks in Canada
The document examines the challenges of flood insurance in Canada, where approximately 1.5 million high-risk homes lack affordable coverage. It argues that while a proposed federal low-cost insurance program could provide a necessary safety net, it must be integrated into a broader resilience strategy to avoid 'moral hazard' and financial instability. The author recommends specific design measures—such as excluding new builds, phasing in risk-based premiums, and incentivizing mitigation—alongside government restrictions on floodplain development and improved risk disclosure in real estate.
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Document type: Policy brief
Terrorism, Extremism, Disinformation and Artificial Intelligence
The document examines how AI technologies—specifically generative AI, large language models (LLMs), and recommender systems—can be exploited to scale disinformation, impersonate individuals via deepfakes, and automate political micro-targeting. It contrasts these risks with AI's potential to detect harmful content and enhance counter-speech. The briefing also reviews emerging regulatory frameworks in the EU, UK, and US, and discusses ethical principles like accountability and 'Constitutional AI' as means to govern these technologies.
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Document type: Briefing
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
The report examines Tunisia's agricultural sector, highlighting low crop yields, high food dependence, and significant crop waste. It argues that state intervention has prioritised food security over agricultural development, hindering productivity. Furthermore, it details the severe threats posed by climate change, including rising temperatures, sea-level rise, and reduced agricultural output, which threaten the country's economy, infrastructure, and public health.
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Document type: Report
Global access to cooling gaps in 2022
In 2022, 1.2 billion rural and urban poor were at high risk due to lack of cooling access, an increase of 28 million from 2021. An additional 2.47 billion lower-middle-income people are at medium risk, while 1.36 billion middle-income people are at low risk. The report highlights that while electricity access has improved, income and urbanization trends drive cooling demand, with significant risks concentrated in Africa and the 'Critical 9' countries.
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Document type: Report
Üleminek kliimaneutraalsele elektritootmisele 8. aruanne: lõpparuanne
The report evaluates eight scenarios for Estonia's electricity sector to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. It identifies 'All Technologies' and 'Renewables and Storage (offshore wind)' as the most balanced options in terms of cost, risk, and feasibility. The analysis emphasizes the critical need for large-scale battery storage, grid reinforcement, and simplified planning processes. While nuclear energy could offer the lowest prices in 2050, it is deemed the highest risk due to a lack of domestic history and potential implementation delays. The report concludes that the final choice is a political decision, as most scenarios can meet carbon neutrality goals.
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Document type: Report
Transitioning to a climate-neutral electricity generation
The study evaluates eight electricity generation pathways for Estonia, concluding that 'All technologies' and 'Renewable + Storage (offshore wind)' offer the best balance of benefits, costs, and feasibility. While all pathways can reach carbon neutrality by 2050, they require substantial investments averaging €8.0 billion. Key findings highlight the necessity of onshore wind, solar PV, and a massive build-out of battery storage (up to 9.3 GW by 2050) to manage intermittency. The report recommends streamlining planning processes, expanding the balancing market, and implementing risk-reduction instruments like contracts for difference to attract investment.
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Document type: Report