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2024 Winter Package
Climate Central's analysis of U.S. data from 1970 to 2024 shows that winter is the fastest-warming season for 74% of analyzed locations. Average winter temperatures rose by 4°F across 235 locations, with the highest warming seen in the Upper Midwest, Northeast, and Ohio Valley. The report notes a decrease in freezing nights and shorter cold streaks, alongside an increase in warmer-than-normal winter days. These trends impact western water supplies, residential energy use, the $27 billion fruit and nut industry, and the prevalence of disease-carrying pests.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Flooding
The document details how climate-driven flooding, including extreme rainfall and sea level rise, disproportionately affects children's physical and mental health. It highlights risks such as respiratory issues from mold, mental health distress, and displacement, while noting that socioeconomic disparities exacerbate these vulnerabilities. The text provides guidance for caregivers on disaster preparedness and advocates for community resilience and rapid carbon emission cuts to protect future generations.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Improving the Resilience of Vulnerable Coastal Communities to Climate Change Related Impacts in Viet Nam
The project successfully enhanced the climate resilience of vulnerable coastal communities in Viet Nam by exceeding targets for storm-resilient housing and mangrove restoration. It constructed 4,966 houses (target: 4,000) and restored 4,028 hectares of mangroves, sequestering approximately 1.12 million tons of CO2 equivalent. The project also established early warning systems in 24 high-risk communes and developed a risk data repository for 28 coastal provinces. While highly effective and aligned with national strategies, the evaluation noted limitations in women's participation in technical leadership roles and a need for more robust long-term environmental impact monitoring.
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Document type: Report
Transformando la gestión del agua mediante el control de incendios en la Chiquitania
The report examines the degradation of the Chiquitano Dry Forest due to agricultural expansion, deforestation, and intensifying forest fires, highlighting the risk of total forest disappearance by 2050 and the need for sustainable water management tools.
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Document type: Report
Terminal Evaluation (TE) of the WWF-GEF Project “Securing the Future of Protected Natural Areas in Peru”
The project achieved a 'Satisfactory' overall rating, successfully mobilizing over USD 20 million for conservation and signing a Single Memorandum of Understanding to align with the broader Peru Natural Legacy (PdP) initiative. Key successes include improving management effectiveness scores (METT) across four pilot areas and institutionalizing a gender approach within SERNANP. However, the project faced challenges from political instability, high personnel turnover, and the COVID-19 pandemic, which hindered the maintenance of conservation status in some areas and limited private sector engagement.
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Document type: Report
Comprensión y Proyección de los Cambios en el Ciclo Hidrológico de la Cordillera Americana
The project examines hydroclimate variability in the American cordillera, specifically in western Canada, Mexico, the Altiplano, and Southern South America. Using tree-ring data, glacier studies, and streamflow records, the research analyzes the relationships between precipitation, runoff, and climatic drivers like ENSO and PDO over the last 300 years. Key outputs include long-term drought and precipitation reconstructions for central Mexico and the Bolivian Altiplano, as well as snowpack and river reconstructions for the Southern Andes.
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Document type: Executive summary
Warmer Fall, Later Freeze
Climate Central's analysis of 200 U.S. cities shows that the first fall freeze is arriving later in 85% of locations, delaying the date by an average of 11 days since 1970. This trend, alongside a 2.4°F average increase in fall temperatures across the contiguous U.S., extends growing seasons and disrupts ecological cues, leading to prolonged allergy seasons, lingering pests, and reduced yields for the U.S. fruit and nut industry.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Electric School Buses
As of June 2024, the U.S. has 12,174 committed electric school buses, representing a 19-fold increase since June 2019. While these vehicles currently make up only about 3% of the national fleet, over 234,000 students now ride them, with the highest adoption rates in the West and South regions. The transition is largely driven by the EPA's Clean School Bus Program, which provides $5 billion from 2022 to 2026 to reduce the 8.4 million metric tons of carbon pollution emitted annually by school bus fleets and mitigate health risks associated with diesel exhaust.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Climate change and high exposure: increased costs and disruption to lives and livelihoods from flooding associated with exceptionally heavy rainfall in Central Europe
An attribution study on the September 2024 Central European floods finds that human-induced climate change roughly doubled the likelihood of such an event and increased its intensity by 7%. While improved forecasting and emergency management reduced fatalities compared to the 1997 and 2002 floods, the scale of the event overwhelmed infrastructure in several urban centres, causing damages estimated at several billion Euros.
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Document type: Research paper
The US Petrochemical Buildout: America’s Next Big Climate Mistake
A CIEL analysis finds that 118 planned or underway petrochemical projects in the US could add 153.8 million metric tonnes of CO2 equivalent emissions annually, potentially increasing the sector's share of US greenhouse gas emissions from 5.2% to over 7%. The report highlights that ten megaprojects account for half of these potential emissions and that ammonia production is a significant growth area, with 95% of proposed US ammonia production derived from methane gas. Furthermore, the buildout is concentrated in already polluted areas like Louisiana's "Cancer Alley" and the Ohio River Valley, deepening environmental injustices.
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Document type: Report
Desarrollo de habilidades en grupos científicos interdisciplinarios mediante el estudio de los impactos socioecologicos de la generacion de bioenergia en las Americas
The project utilized a study of bioenergy's socio-ecological impacts to build interdisciplinary skills among a team of 10 scientists and 8 students from social, natural, and engineering sciences. The team conducted 800 qualitative interviews and 1,000 quantitative surveys across Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Mexico, and the USA, with specific ecological data collected on birds and pollinators in Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico. Successes were noted in knowledge generation (one published article), funding (including an IAI Seed Grant proposal), team retention over two years, and the creation of a free online workshop on transdisciplinary teamwork. The project aims to inform policy improvements to increase sustainable energy benefits and socio-ecological resilience while minimizing negative impacts.
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Document type: Executive summary
Flujo de información y política uso de diagnósticos climáticos y pronósticos de ciclones para el manejo adaptativo de los recursos hídricos ante incertidumbres climáticas en el oeste de América del Norte
The project addresses climate-related risks in western North America, specifically focusing on weather extremes, water scarcity, and food security. It aims to strengthen adaptive management by promoting the exchange of climate information between scientists and policymakers in northwestern Mexico and the southwestern United States, while examining the role of cyclone precipitation in reservoir storage and the tradeoffs between water augmentation and energy consumption.
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Document type: Executive summary
ADAPTE - Adaptación a los impactos de la contaminación del aire y los extremos climáticos en la salud en ciudades latinoamericanas
The ADAPTE project assesses how air pollution and extreme weather interact to affect human health in Mexico City, Santiago, Buenos Aires, and Bogotá. It finds that suspended particles and nitrogen oxides in these cities significantly exceed WHO standards, with respiratory and cardiovascular mortality risks varying by city, season, age, and socio-economic status.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Estrategias efectivas de adaptación y reducción de riesgos por fluctuaciones de precios y cambios climáticos: lecciones de la crisis del café en Mesoamérica
The document examines the impacts of economic and climatic variability on coffee farmers in Mesoamerica. It finds that while climate change can push crops out of their optimal range, producers often perceive market volatility as a greater threat. Adaptation strategies include crop diversification and migration, while systemic improvements require better access to information, credit, insurance, and local organization. The text also warns that deforestation for alternative crops increases erosion and reduces carbon sinks, and notes that slow-onset processes like climate change are often neglected in political agendas compared to medium-term drivers.
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Document type: Research paper
Plan de adaptación multiactor para hacer frente a los bosques bajo riesgo creciente de incendios
The MAP-Fire project (2019–2022) focused on the 'MAP' region (Madre de Dios in Peru, Acre in Brazil, and Pando in Bolivia) to address the increasing risk of forest fires driven by climate change and land-use changes. Key achievements include the development of a real-time fire monitoring platform, the quantification of significant economic losses in Acre, Brazil, and the identification of air quality crises linked to fire events. The project also integrated fire risk education into public schools and provided technical reports to governments to support National Determined Contributions (NDCs) and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction.
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Document type: After-action report
Disenfranchised by Climate Change
The report examines the intersection of climate change and democratic processes, detailing how extreme heat, floods, and wildfires disrupt voter registration, polling access, and ballot counting. It provides evidence of recent climate-driven disruptions in the US, India, and Pakistan, and analyzes temperature anomalies in 60 countries during the 2024 election cycle. The authors advocate for systemic changes, such as flexible voting arrangements, improved risk mapping, and updated emergency statutes, to protect the fundamental right to vote on a warming planet.
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Document type: Report
A Decade of Climate Finance Innovation: Impact Lessons from the Lab
Since 2014, the Global Innovation Lab for Climate Finance has supported 78 instruments that mobilized over USD 4 billion, including USD 1.6 billion from the private sector. The report highlights the necessity of balancing innovation with 'actionability'—ensuring projects are bankable and scalable. Key strategies for unlocking private capital include blended finance to mitigate chronic risks, aggregation to handle small-ticket investments, and the use of Theory of Change (ToC) frameworks to quantify social and environmental impacts. Case studies illustrate successes like Brazil's Green FIDC, which achieved 100% private funding, and challenges like South Africa's Climate Adaptation Notes, which stalled due to an unreliable project pipeline. The document also emphasizes the importance of gender-responsive finance and the need for systemic regulatory shifts to make low-carbon investment the default for institutional investors.
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Document type: Report
INSTRUMENT ANALYSIS
The Clean Utilities for Affordable Housing instrument aims to raise USD 54 million (ZAR 976 million) to provide renewable energy as a service to affordable housing residents in South Africa. By partnering with major landlords to aggregate demand and using a catalytic subordinated funding vehicle to derisk investments, the model attracts commercial senior debt to fund solar installations. The first phase targets 28,000 housing units over five years, aiming to generate 1,352 GWh of renewable energy and avoid 1,369 ktCO2e. The instrument is designed to be financially sustainable, with a projected Fund internal rate of return (IRR) of 20-30% in the base case, and intends to expand into township retail and the Kenyan market.
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Document type: Report
INSTRUMENT ANALYSIS
The Growth Next-Generation Agriculture (GAN) is a proposed BRL 250 million (USD 44.4 million) blended finance debt fund designed to support the transition to regenerative agriculture in Brazil. By providing working capital to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that produce biological inputs (bio-inputs), GAN enables these SMEs to offer credit to farmers, reducing the sector's reliance on synthetic fertilizers and pesticides. The instrument utilizes a Brazilian financial structure involving Fundo de Investimento em Direitos Creditórios (FIDC) investing in Agricultural Receivables Certificates (CRAs), supported by a proprietary AI credit assessment tool from Traive Finance. The fund includes a technical assistance facility managed by Folio Institute to train farmers and SMEs in regenerative practices. GAN targets environmental outcomes including the transition of 2 million hectares to regenerative practices and the annual avoidance of 2,312 tons of CO2e.
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Document type: Report
INVESTHER CLIMATE RESILIENCE BOND
The InvestHER Climate Resilience Bond is Uganda's first gender-focused resilience bond, designed to raise USD 25 million in local currency to close the gender gap in the agrifood system. The instrument targets growth-stage agri-SMEs and local financial service providers (FSPs) to increase the adoption of climate-smart agriculture (CSA) among women farmers. It utilizes a dual-tranche structure (commercial and concessional) and a grant-funded technical assistance (TA) facility to address barriers such as high collateral requirements and lack of female-tailored financial products. The bond aims to reach approximately 3,825 agri-MSMEs, with nearly 100% being women-owned or led, and impact 470,000 hectares of farmland.
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Document type: Report