Search Climate Insights Directory
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Made in Europe public procurement
The report analyzes the use of local content requirements (LCRs) in EU public procurement, which accounts for approximately 15% of GDP and 11% of greenhouse gas emissions. It argues that while LCRs can create lead markets for low-carbon products in sectors like steel and cement, they risk increasing costs and trade tensions if not paired with ambitious environmental standards. The document evaluates LCR applications in India, Canada, and China to provide recommendations for the Industrial Accelerator Act and the future EU Public Procurement Act.
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Document type: Report
Toward a More Responsible Critical Minerals Supply Chain Supporting Indonesia’s Energy Transition
The report assesses the ESG practices of Chinese companies in the critical minerals sector, noting that while there has been progress in risk management and due diligence, significant gaps persist when compared to international benchmarks. Using Indonesia's nickel industry as a case study, it argues that aligning Chinese standards with global frameworks is essential for supply chain credibility and market access. The document recommends that the Chinese government accelerate the alignment of mining ESG standards with global benchmarks, introduce financial incentives for verifiable ESG performance, and establish bilateral technical cooperation and research centres in resource-rich countries.
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Document type: Report
Infrastructure Spending in Africa
Africa's infrastructure spending is robust relative to GDP but insufficient given population growth, with financing heavily reliant on governments and development partners. Public investment is severely constrained by high sovereign debt, with debt servicing costs often exceeding infrastructure spending. Private investment remains low due to high capital costs and risk perceptions, though specific countries like South Africa and Egypt have seen success through targeted policy frameworks. Development finance is also facing a decline due to geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures.
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Document type: Report
Technological Leapfrogging and the Formalisation of Africa’s Informal Sector
The paper examines the role of technological leapfrogging in transitioning Africa's large informal economy into the formal sector. It highlights that in 2024, the informal sector accounted for 58% of the labour force and 27% of GDP, with projections suggesting a decline to 50% of the labour force and 24% of GDP by 2050. The author identifies digital ID systems as the critical first step for formalisation, noting that roughly half of the world's one billion people without official identification live in Africa. The document asserts that digitisation—including biometric IDs, mobile payment solutions, and PAYG models—can expand the tax base and improve access to credit and social protections without imposing heavy compliance costs on small-scale operators.
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Document type: Research paper
Rewiring Resilience: AI for Climate-Adaptive Power Grids in Asia-Pacific
The Asia-Pacific region is experiencing rapid renewable energy growth and rising electricity demand, which increases grid variability. Simultaneously, escalating climate extremes—such as heatwaves, droughts, and floods—create operational disruptions. The report argues that traditional reactive repairs and infrastructure hardening are insufficient, advocating for 'systemic adaptation' that accounts for cross-sector interdependencies. AI is presented as a critical tool to scale this adaptation by fusing fragmented datasets, orchestrating siloed analytical models, and augmenting decision-making under complexity.
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Document type: Report
Plataformas digitales y autos eléctricos: nueva puerta de acceso a tecnologías limpias en América Latina
The analysis examines the emergence of direct imports of electric vehicles from China via digital platforms like Alibaba in Latin America and the Caribbean. It highlights cases in Costa Rica and Antigua and Barbuda where this method reduced costs or provided access to unavailable technology, while noting challenges regarding after-sales service, quality standards, and technical support.
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Document type: Research paper
Global Shock, Local Pain: What the Strait of Hormuz Disruption Means for Food Security in Nigeria
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a global fertiliser supply shock that threatens Nigerian food security by increasing agricultural production costs and food prices. Despite record domestic urea production in 2024, Nigeria remains vulnerable due to the export of most urea and a continued reliance on imported blending materials from Russia, Morocco, and China. These external shocks compound existing internal strains, including regional insecurity and infrastructure gaps, disproportionately affecting smallholder farmers who cannot absorb rising costs. The document argues for a pivot toward emergency procurement, improved trade finance, and expanded domestic blending capacity to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Briefing
How Trump can play a strong hand at the Beijing summit
The document analyzes the geopolitical context of a 2026 summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, noting China's perceived advantage due to US unpredictability and legal rulings on tariffs. It highlights the tension surrounding nuclear weapons, following the expiration of New START and US allegations of Chinese nuclear testing, while suggesting that paths for meaningful engagement on strategic stability still exist.
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Document type: Research paper
Clean energy stocks gain in value during Iran war
The US-Israel invasion of Iran in February 2026 has accelerated the global transition to clean energy as 23 countries announced new measures to reduce fossil fuel vulnerability. Clean energy ETFs have outperformed oil and gas ETFs in early May 2026, with renewable energy funds attracting over USD 3 billion in April 2026. Investor sentiment is shifting, with a rise in those ranking renewables top for one-year returns (14% vs 9% in 2025) and a decline in the perceived necessity of natural gas for the transition, particularly in Asia. While the cost of capital remains significantly higher in emerging markets (12.95%) compared to Europe (5.02%), geopolitical instability is prompting a reassessment of risk premiums in favor of domestic renewables.
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Document type: Briefing
Solving the Gridlock: America’s Electric Supply Chain Opportunity
The US electric grid faces severe supply chain constraints, with lead times for large power transformers reaching up to four years and prices for power line cables doubling since 2019. Domestic production is insufficient, meeting only 20% of demand for large power transformers in 2025. To address this, the document proposes a three-pronged federal strategy: easing near-term bottlenecks through allied partnerships and production ramps; expanding domestic capacity via manufacturing tax credits and low-cost scaling capital; and promoting innovation in next-generation grid hardware. It also highlights subnational opportunities for states to attract investment through tailored workforce training and industrial clustering.
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Document type: Policy brief
From “soft law” to hard obligations
The research paper examines the 'hybrid environment' of the Belt and Road Initiative, where binding 'hard law' (treaties and contracts) operates alongside 'soft law' (MoUs and policy frameworks). It highlights the risk of 'creeping obligations' where non-binding commitments harden into commercial obligations and discusses the dual identity of Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) as both commercial and sovereign actors. The author recommends that host countries strengthen domestic legal frameworks, reform outdated investment treaties, and explicitly clarify the legal status of SOEs in contracts to protect public interest regulation and avoid unexpected legal claims.
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Document type: Research paper
The BRICS Power Play: Competing Interests in Global Energy Governance
The report argues that the expanded BRICS bloc is not a coherent actor but a collection of competing interests, where fossil-industrial interests often conflict with climate rhetoric. It categorizes members into five functional actor groups and proposes a five-axis 'Climate and Energy Compass' and a focus on climate finance reform to facilitate a just and sovereign energy transition.
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Document type: Report
Imperfect agreements can protect and implement the rule of law and sustainable development: a new way of working at the WTO
The document proposes a shift toward 'imperfect agreements' to overcome deadlock in the WTO, suggesting that flexible, iterative, and often plurilateral arrangements can serve as stepping stones to formal law. It highlights various mechanisms, such as targeted trade deals, the use of GATS schedules for additional commitments, and interim agreements like the E-Commerce Agreement, as ways to maintain institutional relevance and implement sustainable development goals. The author contends that these dynamic approaches allow members to coordinate on urgent issues, such as digital trade and essential supplies, without waiting for full multilateral consensus.
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Document type: Briefing
Urging EMA to affirm its commitment to the endangerment finding and to withdraw support for repealing the vehicle GHG emissions standards
Nineteen clean freight advocates are calling on members of the Truck & Engine Manufacturers Association (EMA) to withdraw support for the repeal of the U.S. EPA's Phase 3 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions standards for medium- and heavy-duty vehicles. The authors argue that the EMA's decision to intervene in litigation to repeal these standards and the Endangerment Finding undermines public health, climate protections, and the U.S.'s ability to comply with the Paris Agreement. They claim that this regulatory instability hinders manufacturer investment and risks U.S. competitiveness against domestic competitors like Tesla and global competitors such as BYD. The letter suggests that companies should distance themselves from the EMA or withdraw membership to signal support for durable clean transportation policy.
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Document type: Statement
AFRICA EMPLOYMENT FORECAST: THEMATIC FUTURES
Africa faces a critical gap between rapid labour force growth and the creation of formal jobs. By 2043, the labour force is expected to almost double from its 2023 level of 576 million. While the services sector continues to dominate GDP, a 'Combined' scenario involving pro-growth policies could increase Africa's GDP to US$8.9 trillion by 2043, compared to US$6.4 trillion on the 'Current Path'.
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Document type: Research paper
Size and Quality of Labour in Africa compared with China and India
The document analyzes Africa's labour force relative to China and India, noting that while Africa has a rapidly growing and youthful workforce that could attract labour-intensive industries, it lags significantly in education, health, and overall labour productivity. Forecasts suggest that without substantial improvements in human capital, the productivity gap between Africa and its Asian counterparts will widen by 2043.
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Document type: Research paper
AFRICA EMPLOYMENT FORECAST: THEMATIC FUTURES
The report argues that African governments must rely on social grants and employment schemes to support populations not absorbed by the economy. It highlights South Africa's expansive but potentially unsustainable grant system and the Expanded Public Works Programme. The text discusses the transition from conditional to universal grants and the use of biometric identification systems, like India's Aadhaar, to reduce corruption. A critical barrier identified is Africa's low tax-to-GDP ratio (16.5%), exacerbated by tax breaks for investors, which limits the funding available for these social protections.
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Document type: Report
Orbits of Influence: Emerging Threats to U.S. Space Security and Foreign Policy Implications
Mallory Stewart testifies that the U.S. must lead the development of international guardrails and rules of responsible behavior in outer space to avoid unintentional escalation and prevent China and Russia from defining future space security policy. Stewart emphasizes the need for the State Department to lead a unified space diplomacy policy, improve interagency coordination, and restart bilateral and multilateral space security dialogues to strengthen alliances and protect U.S. national security and commercial interests.
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Document type: Statement
A WTO-Compatible Climate Club That Solves Our Climate Problem
The authors argue that the Paris Climate Agreement's 'name and shame' approach fails because it ignores the science of cooperative agreements on common resources. They propose a climate club where members commit to net-zero CO2 emissions by 2050, using a combination of high import tariffs and export taxes on non-members, a uniform tariff surcharge (up to 10%) on non-member imports, and penalties for members who miss intermediate goals. To ensure WTO compatibility, the proposal relies on GATT Articles XX(b) and XX(g), allowing any regulatory approach that achieves emissions reductions. The plan includes a Multilateral Fund for developing countries and suggests similar structures for methane and nitrous oxide, drawing inspiration from the Montreal Protocol.
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Document type: Research paper
Strengthening the Environmental Benefits of Anaerobic Digestors Through Robust Measuring, Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification
The report finds that methane emissions from anaerobic digestion (AD) systems typically range from 0.5% to 6% of total production, with some plants reaching 41%, which is significantly higher than average levels in the oil and gas industry. Current regulatory frameworks in countries like France and Germany often prioritize worker safety over methane mitigation, and the United States lacks dedicated federal or state regulations for AD methane emissions. The report emphasizes that digestate storage is frequently the largest emission source, particularly in the U.S. where lagoons are often uncovered. It recommends implementing robust, facility-level MMRV, mandatory leak detection and repair (LDAR) programs, and the use of conservatively high default emission factors in carbon crediting methodologies to incentivize actual emission reductions.
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Document type: Report