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Как да отразяваме екстремното време и връзката му с климатичните промени
The document explains attribution studies—which use climate models to determine if and how much human-induced climate change affected a specific event—and provides guidance on reporting various extreme phenomena. It details how global warming increases the probability and intensity of heatwaves and heavy precipitation globally, while the effects on droughts, wildfires, and tropical cyclones vary by region or specific metric. It emphasizes that while climate change influences the risk and intensity of these events, human factors like land use and water management also contribute to whether an event becomes a disaster.
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Document type: Guide
Enhancing the National Adaptation Plan Process for the Sultanate of Oman
The proposal outlines a comprehensive framework to enhance Oman's climate adaptation capabilities across five priority sectors: water resources, agriculture, fisheries and marine resources, infrastructure (including urban areas and tourism), and public health. It identifies six primary barriers, including inadequate legal frameworks and limited private sector engagement. The project aims to deliver a validated National Adaptation Plan, a National Climate Change Adaptation Policy, and a national financing strategy, while establishing a gender-sensitive monitoring framework and an online climate risk portal. The project is implemented by UNIDO with a total requested amount of USD 2,948,130.00.
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Document type: Report
CLIMATE SECURITY IN MAINLAND SOUTHEAST ASIA: A SCENARIOS-BASED ASSESSMENT
The report examines how climate change acts as a risk multiplier in Mainland Southeast Asia, specifically Burma, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand, and Vietnam. It identifies state governance capacity and social and economic inequality as the primary drivers of regional insecurity. Through four scenarios—ranging from 'Paralyzed States, Vulnerable Populations' to 'Building Resilience, Strengthening Communities'—the analysis explores how these drivers influence outcomes like food insecurity, forced migration, and the proliferation of criminal networks. The document recommends that external stakeholders support policies to reduce inequality, engage regional security services for cooperation, and utilize ASEAN as a platform for climate risk mitigation to navigate the geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China.
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Document type: Report
Saint Lucia’s First Adaptation Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
Saint Lucia is highly vulnerable to climate change due to its small size, location in a high-risk cyclone and volcanic belt, and economic reliance on agriculture and tourism. To address these risks, the country established a Climate Change Adaptation Policy and a Nationally Determined Contribution in 2015, followed by the initiation of its National Adaptation Plan (NAP) process in 2017 and the subsequent publication of the 2018–2028 NAP.
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Document type: Report
Twelve months WWA without Geert Jan
World Weather Attribution (WWA) reports on its activities from October 2021 to October 2022, during which it published eight rapid analyses and several peer-reviewed papers. These studies examined the role of human-induced climate change in events such as heatwaves in India, Pakistan, and the UK, as well as flooding and droughts in various regions. The organization emphasizes that while climate change is a major driver for heatwaves, its role in other events like tropical cyclones can be less clear, often compounding with high levels of vulnerability to increase human impacts.
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Document type: Statement
Billion-dollar disasters in 2022
The U.S. has seen a steady increase in the frequency and cost of billion-dollar weather and climate disasters since 1980. In 2022, by September 30, the country had already experienced 15 such events totaling $29.3 billion in losses, exceeding the historical annual average of seven. The time between these disasters has shrunk from 82 days in the 1980s to an average of 18 days between 2017 and 2021, reducing the time available for recovery and preparation. While hurricanes are the most costly event type, the overall trend of increasing extremes is linked to human-caused greenhouse gas emissions, with projections suggesting further intensity without rapid emissions cuts.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Consideration of funding proposals – Addendum I Funding proposal package for FP191
The project, 'Enhancing Adaptation and Community Resilience by Improving Water Security in Vanuatu,' is a climate adaptation investment requesting USD 23.3 million in GCF grants. It targets 85,650 direct beneficiaries across 750 communities. The initiative focuses on three outcomes: empowering communities to plan climate-resilient water resources through updated Drinking Water Safety and Security Planning (DWSSP), constructing and upgrading climate-resilient rural water infrastructure via the Capital Assistance Programme (CAP), and strengthening provincial and national institutions. The project addresses risks such as increased temperatures, extreme precipitation, and sea-level rise, which threaten water quality and availability. It specifically emphasizes gender equality by mandating 40% female representation in Rural Water Committees (RWCs) and designing infrastructure to meet the specific needs of women, children, and the elderly.
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Document type: Report
Summer 2022 in Review
Summer 2022 was the third hottest on record for the contiguous U.S., with significant influence from climate change on both daytime and nighttime temperatures. Using the Climate Shift Index, the analysis shows that nearly half of the contiguous U.S. experienced 15 or more days where average temperatures were at least twice as likely due to climate change. The period was also marked by extreme precipitation in Missouri and Kentucky, widespread wildfires burning over 6.7 million acres, and severe drought affecting 94% of Hawaii and 85 consecutive weeks in Puerto Rico.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Surging Weather-related Power Outages
Between 2000 and 2021, the U.S. experienced 1,542 major weather-related power outages, with 83% of all reported major outages attributed to weather. The average annual number of these events increased by approximately 78% in the 2011-2021 decade compared to 2000-2010. Severe weather, winter weather, and tropical cyclones were the primary drivers, with the Southeast, Midwest, and Northeast regions most affected. To address these vulnerabilities, the document suggests solutions such as microgrids, smart grid technologies, grid hardening, and bidirectional charging for electric vehicles.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Hurricane Intensity and Impacts
The document examines how human-caused climate change and warming sea surface temperatures are increasing the proportion of intense tropical cyclones and the frequency of rapid intensification events. It highlights that tropical cyclones are the costliest weather disasters in the U.S., with 73% of billion-dollar storms since 1980 having undergone rapid intensification. The text notes that while landfalling hurricane frequency in the continental U.S. remained stable from 1900-2017, economic losses have risen due to increased population and wealth along the Gulf and East Coasts.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Papua New Guinea, Climate and Security
The document analyzes how climate change interacts with socio-political fragility in Papua New Guinea, highlighting risks such as food insecurity, illegal logging, and escalating tribal violence. It argues that these stressors, combined with geopolitical competition from China, threaten regional security. The author recommends that the U.S. provide technical assistance for renewable energy, establish a climate data platform, and support local NGOs and military disaster response capacity to mitigate these risks.
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Document type: Briefing
Within the Health, Climate, and Security Nexus: Prevention is Better than a Cure
The document examines the critical intersection of WASH services, climate change, and global health security, illustrating how water scarcity and infrastructure failure exacerbate disease transmission and political instability. It highlights specific instances in West Africa, India, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo where the lack of basic water services in healthcare facilities increased vulnerability to Ebola and other health crises. The author advocates for the U.S. Government to leverage its global water and climate strategies to promote sector-inclusive policies and funding that prioritize prevention over response.
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Document type: Statement
Strengthening science-based and climate-informed decisionmaking processes in Mauritius climate-sensitive sectors for impactful and cost-effective climate change programming
The document outlines a 24-month readiness project for Mauritius, implemented by the Organisation of African, Caribbean and Pacific States (OACPS). It aims to bridge the 'usability gap' where national experts struggle to translate scientific evidence into actionable climate interventions. The project focuses on creating a functional climate service network, developing data collection tools, and training stakeholders to integrate climate science into sectoral policies and GCF funding applications. Key target sectors include agriculture, water resources, and coastal zones. The proposal also emphasizes gender mainstreaming, aiming for 50% female representation in working groups and training, and includes a regional exchange visit to the Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme (SPREP) in Samoa.
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Document type: Report
Climate change increased rainfall associated with tropical cyclones hitting highly vulnerable communities in Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi
A collaborative scientific analysis concludes that greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions contributed to the increased likelihood and intensity of heavy rainfall during Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Cyclone Batsirai in early 2022. While Tropical Storm Ana was a rare event for Malawi and Mozambique (1 in 50 years), Cyclone Batsirai was more common for Madagascar (1 in 2 years). The study highlights that existing vulnerabilities, including prior flooding, conflict in northern Mozambique, and drought in southern Madagascar, exacerbated the humanitarian impacts.
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Document type: Research paper
Exploring the Environment-Conflict-Migration Nexus in Asia
The report analyzes how climate change acts as a 'threat multiplier' in Asia, compounding existing social, political, and economic vulnerabilities to exacerbate conflict and drive migration. Focusing on Afghanistan, Myanmar, and Bangladesh, it examines how environmental stressors like droughts and floods intersect with ethnic discrimination and political instability. It highlights the specific vulnerabilities of displaced populations, such as the Rohingya and Afghans, who often reside in hazard-prone urban slums or camps. The document argues that national and regional policies frequently omit the climate-conflict-migration nexus and recommends that humanitarian agencies and policy-makers integrate these linkages to build long-term resilience and support safe, regular migration.
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Document type: Report
FICHA INFORMATIVA ÁFRICA AUSTRAL
The document details how Southern Africa is experiencing temperature increases above the global average, increased frequency of heatwaves and droughts, and significant economic losses. It projects severe future risks to food security, human health, and biodiversity, while emphasizing the need for transformative adaptation and increased climate finance to build resilience.
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Document type: Fact sheet
FACTSHEET SOUTHERN AFRICA
Southern Africa has experienced warming exceeding the global average, leading to increased heatwaves, droughts, and economic losses. Future projections indicate severe risks to food systems, human health, and biodiversity, with significant GDP losses if warming reaches 2°C. Adaptation requires transformative, equity-based approaches and a substantial increase in climate finance and research funding for African institutions.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Climate Change in the Indian Mind, 2022
A 2022 report by the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication and CVoter based on a survey of 4,619 Indian adults. It finds that while general awareness of the term 'global warming' remains low, a large majority of Indians believe it is happening, is human-caused, and is personally important. There is strong public support for renewable energy, the Paris Climate Agreement, and government action, alongside high reported vulnerability to extreme weather events like droughts and floods.
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Document type: Report
Working with Nature to Strengthen Climate Resilience in Southern Africa’s Marine and Coastal Zones
The project, funded by the European Union under the GCCA+ Programme, aims to strengthen the use of marine and coastal ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) in Southern Africa. It focuses on improving national climate policies, promoting community participation, and establishing a regional Community of Practice to enhance the resilience of coastal communities against climate risks such as sea level rise and tropical storms.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Extrémy počasí a klimatická změna
The document explains 'event attribution' as a scientific method to determine how much human-induced climate change affects the probability and intensity of specific weather extremes. It provides a detailed breakdown of how climate change influences heatwaves, floods, tropical cyclones, snowfalls, droughts, and wildfires, while cautioning against oversimplifying these events as having a single cause. The guide emphasizes that while some trends (like heatwaves) are globally certain, others (like floods or droughts) vary by region and are influenced by local human factors such as land use and water management.
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Document type: Guide