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Rethinking the Concept of International Disciplines on Fossil Fuel Subsidies
The authors argue that voluntary initiatives to reduce fossil fuel subsidies have failed, as evidenced by 2023 subsidies reaching $794 billion. They propose a binding WTO agreement based on the Agreement on Climate Change, Trade and Sustainability (ACCTS) model, which uses the Standardized Carbon Rate Measurement (SCRM) to ensure carbon prices remain above committed levels. The paper suggests that successful subsidy removal depends on a state's ability to transition to green energy and recommends a WTO waiver on local content requirements to support this transition.
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Document type: Research paper
Hydropower
Drought in Türkiye has led to a permanent decline in hydroelectric output, with the average capacity factor of plants falling from 38% (1996–2005) to 26% over the last decade. This decline is compensated by natural gas power plants, increasing the country's reliance on energy imports. The long-term impact of drought on energy imports is estimated at an average of $1.8 billion per year, with the three largest dams alone (Atatürk, Karakaya, and Keban) contributing to $400 million in additional annual gas imports.
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Document type: Report
Rüzgar ve Güneş
Turkey experienced record growth in wind and solar energy capacity in 2025, with combined new installations reaching 6.5 GW and total installed capacity for both sources hitting approximately 40 GW. Solar electricity generation doubled between 2023 and 2025, rising from 18.4 TWh to 37.3 TWh. While Turkey leads in its immediate region, its overall renewable energy share of electricity production (43% in 2025) remains below the European Union average of 48%.
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Document type: Report
Hidroelektrik
The report finds that drought has caused a permanent decline in Turkey's hydroelectric capacity factors, leading to a reliance on natural gas to compensate for the loss, which increases energy imports by an estimated 1.8 billion dollars annually.
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Document type: Report
Wohin geht die Reise: Kann Nigeria seine Wirtschafts- und Klimaziele gleichzeitig erreichen?
The document analyzes the tension between Nigeria's 'Renewed Hope' National Development Plan (NDP) 2026-2030 and its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0). It highlights a historical coupling of economic growth and carbon emissions, where a 1% GDP increase has led to a 3.11% rise in emissions. While initiatives like Mission 300 and the DARES project promote renewable energy for electricity access, heavy industries like steel and cement remain reliant on fossil fuels, risking 'carbon lock-in'. The paper identifies a significant annual climate finance gap of USD27.2 billion and discusses the role of natural gas as a transition fuel under the 'Decade of Gas' initiative, despite concerns regarding alignment with 1.5°C goals.
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Document type: Research paper
The price of gas: the hidden costs of European banks’ support for gas power expansion
Between 2021 and 2024, European banks provided US$41.9 billion to companies developing over 320 new gas power plants globally, with 63% of this funding coming from a small group of French and UK banks. The report links gas reliance to electricity price volatility, air pollution causing premature deaths, and the climate crisis, urging banks to shift funding from gas expansion to renewables.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Energy demand and production in the Combined scenario
The report forecasts that Africa's energy demand will rise significantly due to population growth and economic expansion, with the 'Combined scenario' projecting demand 26% above the 'Current Path' by 2050. While production is expected to increase—particularly through renewables—demand will still outpace supply, increasing reliance on energy imports. Despite a rapid transition away from fossil fuels, Africa's share of global CO2-equivalent emissions from fossil fuels is projected to rise to 10.4% by 2050 in the Combined scenario.
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Document type: Report
Towards a Viable Africa Energy Policy
The paper argues for a rapid increase in non-fossil energy production to mitigate climate vulnerability in Africa. It highlights the potential for renewables to reach 750 GW by 2030 and the role of nuclear and hydropower, while noting that fossil fuel sectors remain primary drivers of foreign direct investment. The authors model an 'Energy Policy scenario' for 2050 that increases production across solar, wind, nuclear, and hydro, potentially reducing the number of Africans without electricity by 184 million.
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Document type: Research paper
AFRICA ENERGY FORECAST: THEMATIC FUTURES
The report explores how a differentiated global carbon tax—where rates are based on a country's income classification—could reduce fossil fuel emissions and foster economic growth in Africa. Under the 'Sustainable Africa' scenario, the African economy is projected to be 58% larger by 2050 than the 'Current Path', with significant reductions in extreme poverty and near-total electricity access, despite a larger economy. The document also highlights Africa's potential as a carbon sink through reforestation and land management to attract investment and carbon credits.
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Document type: Research paper
YPCCC Insights on Climate Change and the 2026 U.S. Primaries
The document analyzes U.S. public opinion on climate change as a voting priority for the 2026 primaries, highlighting that 35% of registered voters view global warming as a 'very important' issue. It details voter preferences for candidates who support climate action, opposition to the reversal of the EPA's 'endangerment finding', and the perceived link between global warming and the cost of living.
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Document type: Fact sheet
YPCCC Resources on 2026 Primary Elections
The document outlines the role of global warming as a voting priority for U.S. registered voters ahead of the 2026 elections. It details voter preferences for candidates who support climate action, support for regulating carbon dioxide, and the intersection of climate change with the cost of living. The data highlights significant partisan divides, with strong support for climate action among Democrats and lower, though present, support among some Republicans.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Crossed wires: Grid capacity could block EU energy security
Ember's analysis reveals a significant gap between planned renewable energy expansion and available grid capacity in Europe, with at least 120 GW of projects at risk. While some distribution grids can support household electrification, transmission bottlenecks threaten large-scale wind and solar projects, particularly in countries like Austria, Bulgaria, and Poland. The report advocates for 'non-wire solutions' and administrative reforms to unlock capacity and ensure energy security.
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Document type: Report
Rapid Transition to Energy Sovereignty
The European Union remains vulnerable to global energy shocks due to a high dependency on fossil fuel imports, nearly 60% of its primary energy supply. While the EU has reduced reliance on Russian gas, it has increased exposure to US LNG, which the report identifies as a significant political and economic risk. To achieve energy sovereignty, the report proposes five key actions: accelerating electrification (where 89% of demand is technically electrifiable), enhancing grid interconnectivity, deploying energy storage and demand flexibility, decarbonising heavy industry through green public procurement and product mandates, and leveraging the EU Methane Regulation (EU MER) to disincentivise high-emitting imports. Financing this transition will require an average of EUR1.5tn per year through 2050, primarily driven by private capital and the GSS+ bond market.
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Document type: Report
Landscape of Climate Finance in Ethiopia
Ethiopia's climate finance averaged USD 2.3 billion annually in 2022/23, significantly below the USD 10.6 billion annual requirement of its NDC 3.0. The country is heavily dependent on international public finance, which accounted for over 93% of flows, while private investment remains minimal at less than 5%. Adaptation finance dominates the landscape, reflecting high vulnerability in the agriculture and water sectors, whereas mitigation finance is concentrated in energy and remains insufficient. Despite institutional reforms and the launch of the Ethiopian Securities Exchange, macroeconomic constraints and limited project preparation capacity hinder the mobilization of domestic and private capital.
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Document type: Report
SPILLOVER EFFECTS: THE FOSSIL FUEL– DEBT TRAP IN THE GLOBAL SOUTH
The report analyzes how high debt-service obligations and fossil fuel reliance create a structural trap for Global South nations, where fiscal pressures force governments to prioritize short-term liquidity and fossil fuel extraction over long-term renewable energy transitions. Through case studies of Colombia, Egypt, Guyana, Jordan, and Sri Lanka, it demonstrates that this nexus is systemic, often reinforced by the conditionalities of International Financial Institutions (IFIs) and the interests of multinational corporations. The document advocates for comprehensive debt cancellation, the end of fossil fuel finance, and a global transition framework based on 'extraction equity' to dismantle these structural barriers.
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Document type: Report
Leveraging Copper for Economic Transformation
Zambia, the world's 10th-largest copper producer, seeks to diversify its economy by moving beyond raw mineral exports. While the country has strong midstream capacity, refining and downstream manufacturing remain limited. The report identifies critical bottlenecks, most notably unreliable electricity and high logistics costs, and recommends a phased strategy: first scaling smelting and refining to capture immediate revenue, then building the infrastructure and skills necessary for high-value manufacturing. It emphasizes that Zambia's low-carbon energy mix is a strategic advantage for attracting global buyers seeking sustainable copper.
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Document type: Report
Mapping India’s Energy Policy 2026
The document is a reference list for a digital story on India's energy policy in 2026, citing sources related to power subsidies, clean energy, LPG pricing, and the financial performance of electricity distribution companies.
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Document type: Report
Incentivos fiscales en las leyes nacionales de inversión
The report analyzes 105 national investment laws in EMDEs, finding that 67.6% explicitly provide incentives, with tax incentives being the most dominant. It highlights a systemic gap in coordination between Investment Promotion Agencies (IPAs), which typically lead the design and administration of these laws, and Ministries of Finance (MFs), which are often marginalized in the legal text. This fragmentation leads to risks of revenue loss, inefficient resource allocation, and exposure to Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) claims. The document notes a trend toward centralizing tax incentives into unified legal frameworks to improve transparency and fiscal discipline, as seen in Ghana and Honduras.
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Document type: Report
Community Information Pamphlet: Proposed Boegoebaai Port, Special Economic Zone and Regional Renewable Energy Infrastructure
The document describes a Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) conducted by the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) for proposed large-scale developments in the Namakwa region. These developments include a deep-water port, a Special Economic Zone (SEZ), green hydrogen projects, and supporting infrastructure such as desalination plants and rail. The SEA is divided into two work packages: WP1, focusing on the port and SEZ site, and WP2, which assesses the cumulative regional impacts on ecology, water, heritage, and socio-economics. The pamphlet invites community comments on the WP2 findings by May 8, 2026.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Land and the Just Transition: A guide for local government
The document argues that land is a strategic public resource central to South Africa's just transition, rather than merely a financial asset. It outlines how municipalities can use spatial planning, inclusive governance, and tenure protection to balance the land-intensive needs of renewable energy and climate adaptation with the need to redress historical spatial inequalities. The guide identifies significant municipal constraints, including dire finances, lack of consolidated land information, and complex overlaps with traditional authorities, while offering a roadmap for advancing distributive, restorative, and procedural justice through land administration.
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Document type: Guide