Summary
This report section analyzes the impact of drought on hydroelectric power generation in Turkey, noting a long-term decline in capacity factors and a resulting increase in reliance on natural gas imports.
Key insights
- Drought has caused a permanent negative impact on hydroelectric production in Turkey. The average capacity factor for hydroelectric plants, which was 38% between 1996 and 2005, has fallen to 26% over the last 10 years. This trend is also evident in the country's three largest plants: Atatürk, Karakaya, and Keban.
- Hydroelectric power and natural gas plants act as substitutes in Turkey's energy mix. Because Turkey remains heavily dependent on imports—with domestic natural gas production meeting only 5% of consumption in 2025—decreases in hydroelectric output lead to increased natural gas consumption and imports.
- The financial cost of drought-induced hydroelectric losses is significant. A 29% production drop (-6.2 TWh) in the three largest plants alone results in an additional $400 million in annual natural gas imports. Extrapolating this effect across all hydroelectric plants in Turkey suggests that drought increases energy imports by an average of $1.8 billion per year.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Ember (2026). Hidroelektrik. https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/hidroelektrik/
- Chicago
- Ember. Hidroelektrik. 2026. https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/hidroelektrik/.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Ember |title=Hidroelektrik |date=8 April 2026 |url=https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/hidroelektrik/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{ember2026hidroelektrik, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Hidroelektrik}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2026}, month = apr, url = {https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/hidroelektrik/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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