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This report by Ember analyzes the impact of drought on hydroelectric power generation in Türkiye, detailing how declining water availability increases reliance on natural gas imports and threatens energy security.

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  • Drought has caused a long-term decline in the efficiency of hydroelectric plants in Türkiye, with the average capacity factor dropping from 38% during 1996–2005 to 26% over the last decade. This trend is specifically evident in the country's three largest plants: the Atatürk, Karakaya, and Keban dams.
  • Short-term annual fluctuations in hydroelectric generation due to drought can exceed 20 TWh, which represents more than 5% of Türkiye's electricity consumption. This volatility is noted as being larger than the 19 TWh increase resulting from the doubling of solar generation over the previous two years.
  • Because hydropower and natural gas plants substitute for one another in Türkiye, drought-induced declines in hydro generation lead to increased natural gas consumption and imports. The long-term impact of drought on energy imports is estimated at an average of $1.8 billion per year, while the decline at the three largest plants alone has led to an additional $400 million in annual gas imports.

Cite the original document

APA
Ember (2026). Hydropower. https://ember-energy.org/chapter/hydropower/
Chicago
Ember. Hydropower. 2026. https://ember-energy.org/chapter/hydropower/.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Ember |title=Hydropower |date=8 April 2026 |url=https://ember-energy.org/chapter/hydropower/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{ember2026hydropower, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Hydropower}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2026}, month = apr, url = {https://ember-energy.org/chapter/hydropower/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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