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ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' trajectory—based on existing policies—against various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario, analyzing impacts on GDP, poverty, demographics, and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a development forecast for Eswatini up to 2043. It outlines a 'Current Path' (CP) based on existing policies and evaluates 11 sectoral intervention scenarios, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economic growth, poverty reduction, health, and energy transition, highlighting Eswatini's high per capita income relative to its peers despite endemic poverty and a high HIV/AIDS burden.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a development forecast for São Tomé and Príncipe up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, and energy transitions for the island nation.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for the Central African Republic (CAR) up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (CP) baseline with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The report highlights CAR's status as one of the world's least developed countries, characterized by extreme poverty, low life expectancy, and high levels of violent conflict. While the CP predicts modest economic growth, the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario suggests that intersectoral policy pushes could significantly increase GDP per capita and drastically reduce extreme poverty.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report conclusion by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the development trajectory of Algeria, identifying systemic barriers to prosperity and proposing a multi-sectoral policy framework to leverage the country's natural resources and human capital for sustainable growth.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for Cape Verde up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy production, and the potential impacts of improvements in stability, health, education, and trade.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a development forecast for Seychelles up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty, energy, and carbon emissions, highlighting the country's high-income status in Africa but persistent challenges with poverty and food security.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This document provides a concluding analysis and a set of policy recommendations for the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS), highlighting structural challenges in agriculture, energy, and manufacturing that may prevent the region from achieving sustainable development targets by 2043.
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Document type: Report
Fracking for shale gas in South Africa: blessing or curse?
This research paper examines the potential economic and environmental implications of hydraulic fracturing (fracking) for shale gas in South Africa, presenting three distinct scenarios to evaluate the trade-offs between economic growth and ecological preservation.
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Document type: Research paper
Sustainable Energy Solutions for South Africa: Ensuring Public Participation and Improved Accountability in Policy Processes
This report summarizes a two-day meeting hosted by the Institute for Security Studies' Corruption and Governance Programme in September 2010, which brought together the South African Civil Society Energy Caucus to discuss governance, public participation, and accountability in South Africa's energy policy processes.
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Document type: Report
Green Cape 2040: Towards a smarter grid
This policy brief examines the impact of small-scale photovoltaic (PV) adoption on municipal revenue in South Africa's Western Cape and proposes a sequential policy approach involving advanced metering infrastructure, smart grid investment, and local PV manufacturing to mitigate financial losses.
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Document type: Policy brief
af15_2-570fdd8d7eb02998.pdf
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines the challenges facing South Africa's electricity sector, specifically the gap between energy planning and grid planning. Using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting model, the author develops three scenarios to 2050—Current Path, Efficient Grid, and Smarter Grid—to demonstrate how integrated planning, operational flexibility, and coherent policies for small-scale embedded generation (SSEG) can improve economic growth and reduce poverty and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
aueucoll011008-00d0cdbed12eb6da.pdf
A joint declaration from the European Commission and the African Union Commission following their fourth College-to-College meeting on 1 October 2008 in Brussels. The document outlines agreements to implement the Africa-EU Strategic Partnership across eight thematic areas, including security, governance, economic integration, health, energy, climate change, migration, and science and technology.
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Document type: Statement
pb-146-german2-e39bc015d867cf05.pdf
This policy brief summarizes the book 'Africa First!' by Jakkie Cilliers, which analyzes the current development trajectory of Africa and proposes a scenario for economic growth and poverty reduction by 2040. The document highlights a growing economic divergence between Africa and the rest of the world, attributing the slow progress to unproductive economic structures, slow demographic transitions, and weak governance.
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Document type: Policy brief
Defenders demands
A statement from the second annual African Environmental Defenders Regional Convening in 2024 outlining demands for the protection of environmental and land defenders, the adoption of a regional treaty, and a shift toward community-led conservation and rights-based climate solutions.
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Document type: Statement
comments-on-the-national-petroleum-policy-1_kenya-85ffde1335b40783.pdf
Natural Justice provides comments on the draft National Petroleum Policy 2026, arguing that its objective to promote petroleum exploration and production contradicts Kenya's goals for a just energy transition and decarbonization. The organization urges the government to prioritize renewable energy alternatives and phase out fossil fuels rather than integrating oil and gas into the economy.
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Document type: Statement
THE LAMU COUNTY BIOCULTURAL COMMUNITY PROTOCOL
The Lamu County Bio-Cultural Community Protocol (BCP) is a communal document developed by the indigenous communities of Lamu County, Kenya, to document their traditional knowledge, natural resource management systems, and concerns regarding large-scale development projects. It outlines the distinct livelihoods of the Bajun, Swahili, Orma, Sanye, and Aweer peoples and asserts their rights to land, culture, and a healthy environment under Kenyan and international law.
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Document type: Report
loi-n-c2-b02012-31-du-31-decembre-2012-portant-code-general-des-impots-2-79b4aa64a1c8dc51.pdf
Loi n° 2012-31 of December 31, 2012, establishes the General Tax Code (Code général des Impôts) of Senegal. The law aims to modernize the fiscal system by simplifying rules, expanding the tax base, and creating an 'incentive common law' to promote economic growth and improve the business environment. It covers direct taxes (corporate and income tax), indirect taxes (VAT, specific taxes on alcohol, tobacco, and petroleum), registration duties, stamp duties, and land taxes, while detailing administrative procedures for audits, recovery, and disputes.
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Document type: Report
minutes-of-the-public-hearing-for-the-lcp-ac64de736402f2c7.pdf
Minutes from a public hearing held on August 26, 2016, in the Kwasasi area regarding the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) for the proposed Amu Power coal-fired power plant in Lamu. The meeting, moderated by the County Commissioner of Lamu and attended by NEMA officials, Amu Power representatives, and local stakeholders, served as a forum for the public to express support or opposition to the project.
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Document type: Report
The Three Ps
This guide by Natural Justice outlines a Just Energy Transition (JET) framework for African communities based on the "Three Ps": Principles, Policies and laws, and Practicalities. It advocates for energy democracy, community-owned renewable energy, and the application of environmental and restorative justice to ensure that the transition to clean energy does not repeat historical patterns of exploitation. The framework emphasizes the necessity of Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC), the right to a healthy environment, and the need for climate reparations and grants from the Global North to address energy inequality and historical carbon emissions.
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Document type: Guide