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ENMAK 2030+ Transpordi ja liikuvuse stsenaariumid
The report analyzes three scenarios for Estonia's transport sector: 'Non-intervening' (BAU), 'Low-intervention' (VS), and 'Knowledge-based' (EE). The BAU scenario predicts a nearly 60% increase in energy consumption by 2030 compared to 2012 levels. The EE scenario, which employs systemic policies including road user charges and land-use planning, aims to stop energy consumption growth, potentially achieving a 2% reduction by 2030. The analysis highlights that private and corporate spending on vehicle imports, maintenance, and fuel (approximately 1.5-1.7 billion EUR annually) far exceeds public infrastructure and passenger transport spending (approximately 400 million EUR annually). Environmentally, the EE scenario is the only one to project a decrease in CO2 equivalent emissions, forecasting a 36% reduction by 2030 compared to 2012.
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Document type: Report
Roadmap to a Low Carbon Electricity System in the U.S. and Europe
The report identifies that current investor-owned utility and independent power producer models are ill-suited for the low-carbon transition, potentially raising renewable energy costs by up to 20%. It proposes a systemic evolution across five segments: generation (matching financing to risk profiles), transmission (improving renewable integration), market operation (valuing flexibility), distribution (adapting to distributed generation), and customer management (integrating demand response and electric vehicles). The document highlights the emergence of new financing models like YieldCos as a way to provide secure cash flows and lower costs.
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Document type: Executive summary
Implementing Sustainable Public Procurement in South Africa: Where to start
The report argues that South Africa's existing legal and policy frameworks, particularly those addressing social equity and industrial development, provide sufficient space to implement sustainable public procurement (SPP) without requiring new legislation. While the social pillar of SPP is well-established through Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment (B-BBEE) and preferential procurement, the environmental pillar is less formalized but gaining traction through renewable energy targets and subnational initiatives. The document highlights that government spending represents 29.1% of GDP, offering significant leverage for sustainable development. It identifies a decentralized procurement system that allows provinces and municipalities, such as the City of Cape Town and Western Cape, to run pilot projects. The report recommends aligning SPP with existing investment incentives and developing specific technical guidance to scale up 'green' procurement.
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Document type: Report
Obama Administration FY 2015 Budget Proposal: Sustainable Energy, Buildings, Transportation and Climate
The Obama administration's FY 2015 budget proposal emphasizes a "all of the above" energy strategy and the 2013 Climate Action Plan. Key financial highlights include a $1 billion Climate Fund for community adaptation, a $56 billion resilient infrastructure package, and a 26 percent increase in Department of Transportation funding to address an $86 billion maintenance backlog. The budget proposes making renewable energy tax credits permanent and eliminating $4 billion in fossil fuel subsidies. Significant funding increases are directed toward the DOE's Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy ($2.3 billion) and various sustainable transportation and building initiatives, while the EPA's overall budget is reduced by 3.8 percent.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Lessons Learned: Fossil Fuel Subsidies and Energy Sector Reform in the Philippines
The Philippines successfully phased out most consumer energy subsidies by deregulating the downstream oil industry in 1998 and restructuring the electricity sector via the Electric Power Industry Reform Act of 2001. To manage the social impacts of these reforms, the government implemented targeted measures including the Pantawid Pamilya Pilipino Program (4Ps) conditional cash transfers, lifeline electricity rates, and the Pantawid Pasada program for public transport operators. While the country has attracted private investment and improved energy efficiency, it continues to face challenges such as high electricity rates, power shortages in Mindanao, and fuel smuggling.
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Document type: Report
Staying with the leaders
The document examines Europe's position within a global 'leading group' of countries advancing energy efficiency, renewable energy, and carbon pricing. It argues that staying in this group is essential for Europe to attract investment, drive innovation, and reduce dependence on energy imports. The authors contend that energy prices are not the primary driver of global competitiveness for most industries, as 92% of German manufacturing spends less than 1.6% of revenue on energy. For the small minority of energy-intensive sectors, the report asserts that price differentials are primarily caused by natural resource endowments rather than climate policies, and that existing 'Carbon Leakage' protections in the EU ETS mitigate competitive risks. The report concludes that a coordinated European low-carbon strategy can create net-employment gains and maintain international credibility in climate negotiations.
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Document type: Report
STEPPING UP: BENEFITS AND COST OF ACCELERATING FORT COLLINS' ENERGY AND CLIMATE GOALS
The report proposes an 'accelerated scenario' for Fort Collins to reach an 80% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2030, twenty years ahead of its original 2050 target. This path involves reducing building energy use by 31%, achieving a carbon-neutral electricity system, and reducing transportation energy use by 48%. The analysis indicates that while this requires higher upfront capital, it would result in a net present value benefit of $260 million by 2030 and $2.0 billion by 2050 compared to business-as-usual. Key strategies include the deployment of distributed solar PV, increased wind capacity, smart growth urban planning, and the adoption of electric vehicles.
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Document type: Report
Energiasäästupotentsiaal Eesti transpordis ja liikuvuses
The report analyzes Estonia's transport energy consumption from 2000–2012, noting a 33% increase driven primarily by road transport, which accounts for approximately 90% of the sector's energy use. It evaluates 24 measures across four categories: vehicle fuel efficiency, sustainable modes of transport, land-use planning, and fiscal measures. Key findings suggest that the highest energy-saving potential lies in shifting to more efficient conventional vehicles (A-B energy classes) and implementing smart fiscal tools like kilometer-based road charges and a Tallinn congestion charge. The report concludes that while electric vehicles have marginal impact in the short term, systemic changes in urban planning and public transport are essential for long-term demand management.
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Document type: Report
Reducing climate risk: Climate change mitigation and bioenergy
The document details SEI's multi-scale approach to climate mitigation, focusing on sub-national policy for cities, the necessity of limiting fossil-fuel infrastructure to meet the 2°C target, and the strategic use of modern bioenergy in developing countries. It highlights the use of the LEAP system for low-carbon planning and describes ongoing efforts to integrate social variables into technical climate analysis.
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Document type: Briefing
Millions of People Could Use Electric Vehicles
A 2013 survey by the Union of Concerned Scientists and Consumers Union found that 42% of U.S. households meet the basic requirements to use today's electric vehicles, compared to less than 1% who owned one at the time. Specifically, 42% were eligible for PHEVs and 25% for BEVs. The report suggests that widespread adoption could halve projected U.S. oil use and reduce global warming pollution.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Reinventing Fire: Three Energy Gamechangers for China and the World
The report proposes a transition for China from fossil fuels to a system based on radical efficiency and renewable energy. It identifies three key areas for innovation: ultralighting and electrifying vehicles to eliminate oil dependence, using 'integrative design' to drastically reduce energy use in industry and buildings, and shifting toward a hybridized, distributed electric grid. The authors suggest these changes can be driven by profit and business innovation rather than just regulation.
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Document type: Report
ALTERNATIVE TRAJECTORIES FOR DECARBONIZING URBAN TRANSPORTATION
The document argues that without major intervention, transportation carbon emissions will double by 2050. It identifies a combination of reduced passenger car demand, improved vehicle efficiency, increased electric vehicle adoption, and a decarbonized electricity grid (via renewables, nuclear, or CCS) as the necessary path to significant reductions. A case study based on a Spanish city with 360,000 inhabitants demonstrates that while modal shifts and fuel switches (like CNG or biodiesel) offer modest gains, the most aggressive reductions occur when these are paired with a transition to nuclear or CCS-equipped power generation.
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Document type: Policy brief
Decarbonising urban transportation
The research paper evaluates strategies to decarbonise urban transportation, focusing on modal shifts, fuel switching, and electricity decarbonisation. Using a Spanish urban area as a model, it finds that aggressive measures—including a 50% reduction in car demand, improved fuel economy, and a shift to nuclear or CCS-equipped power—are necessary to significantly lower emissions and health burdens from particulate matter.
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Document type: Research paper
Green Industrial Policy and the World Trading System
The document analyzes green industrial policy—policies supporting industries that produce environmentally preferable goods—within the context of the global trading system. It identifies various market failures, such as environmental externalities and capital market imperfections, that justify government intervention. However, it warns of governance failures, including rent-seeking and the risk of picking unsuccessful 'winners.' The author argues that while traditional industrial policy is often mercantilist, green industrial policy can provide global benefits, potentially justifying special trade rules or exemptions for climate-related measures and least-developed countries.
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Document type: Briefing
Electric vehicles are a key component to cut projected U.S. oil use in half in 20 years
The document highlights the economic and environmental advantages of electric vehicles (EVs) over gasoline-powered cars, noting that fuel savings can offset higher purchase prices and that EVs produce fewer global warming emissions regardless of the electricity grid's composition. It positions EVs as a central pillar of the 'Half the Oil' plan to reduce U.S. oil dependency through efficiency, biofuels, and advanced vehicle technology.
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Document type: Fact sheet
The Aspirations of the Green Industrial Revolution: a historical perspective
The author expresses skepticism that current green technologies, such as renewables and electric vehicles, can drive a 'Green Industrial Revolution' (GIR) similar to the steam engine or electricity. While the potential market for energy services is substantial, the author argues that these technologies are unlikely to produce the drastic direct productivity gains (price drops) or the profound indirect economic reorganizations necessary to stimulate a decades-long growth wave. Instead, the author suggests that significant growth would require either hypothetical technological breakthroughs or 'techno-autonomous' reorganizations like the functionality economy.
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Document type: Research paper
HALF THE OIL
The 'HALF THE OIL' plan outlines a pathway for the United States to halve its projected oil use by 2035. The strategy relies on two main pillars: efficiency (improving passenger and commercial vehicles, and retrofitting buildings) and innovation (scaling electric vehicles, cellulosic biofuels, and smart transportation systems). The plan argues that these steps will save billions of dollars, reduce pollution, and establish U.S. leadership in transportation technology.
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Document type: Report
Issue Brief: Federal Funding for U.S. Transit and Roadway Infrastructure
The U.S. Highway Trust Fund (HTF), which relies on federal fuel taxes that have not been adjusted since 1993, is facing insolvency due to rising costs and declining fuel consumption. The document argues that current funding is insufficient, contributing to a 'D' grade for national infrastructure and an annual funding gap of $112 billion. It evaluates several solutions, including indexing fuel taxes to inflation or construction costs, increasing the per-gallon tax rate, and transitioning to a vehicle miles traveled (VMT) fee to better align costs with infrastructure wear, particularly from heavy trucks.
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Document type: Briefing
Federal Funding for U.S. Transit and Roadway Infrastructure
The U.S. Highway Trust Fund (HTF), which relies on fuel taxes unchanged since 1993, faces insolvency due to rising costs and declining fuel consumption. The document argues that current funding is insufficient to maintain a state of good repair, citing a $112B annual funding gap. It evaluates several solutions, including indexing fuel taxes to inflation, increasing the per-gallon tax rate, implementing vehicle miles traveled (VMT) fees, or shifting to a fuel sales tax, while highlighting the interdependence of highway and transit systems for economic efficiency.
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Document type: Policy brief
Imagine a University
Amory Lovins advocates for universities to move beyond reductionist thinking by employing 'integrative design' to optimize buildings and campus systems. He suggests that by engaging students in hands-on, transdisciplinary projects, universities can transition from high energy costs to 'negative costs' through extreme efficiency and onsite renewables. The text emphasizes that the goal for all waste—energy, materials, and water—should be zero, transforming campuses into regenerative microcosms of a sustainable economy.
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Document type: Statement