4531-4a744474cbfe91cd.pdf

This report analyzes three transport and mobility energy consumption scenarios for Estonia up to 2050, with a detailed cost-benefit analysis through 2030. It compares a 'Business-as-Usual' (BAU) approach, a 'Low-Intervention' (VS) scenario, and a 'Knowledge-Based' (EE) energy-efficient scenario, evaluating their impacts on energy use, greenhouse gas emissions, and public finances.

• Between 1995 and 2010, energy and fuel consumption in the transport sector increased by over 33%, with nearly 90% of this consumption and growth originating from road transport.
• The 'Business-as-Usual' (BAU) scenario predicts that transport energy consumption will increase by nearly 60% by 2030 compared to 2012 levels, driven by increased car ownership and road freight growth.
• The 'Knowledge-Based' (EE) scenario aims to stop the growth of transport energy consumption, projecting a 2% decrease by 2030 compared to 2012, and a reduction in CO2 equivalent emissions of 36% by 2030.
• The 'Low-Intervention' (VS) scenario results in energy consumption growth that is nearly half that of the BAU scenario, increasing by approximately 34% by 2030.
• Private and corporate spending on importing cars, maintenance, and fuel is significantly higher than public spending on infrastructure and passenger transport; the former is estimated at 1.5-1.7 billion euros annually, while the latter is around 400 million euros per year.
• Air pollutant emissions (NOx, PM2.5, SO2, and HC) are projected to decrease across all three scenarios by 2050, largely due to the adoption of Euro 5 and Euro 6 emission standards and lower sulfur content in fuels.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (n.d.). 4531-4a744474cbfe91cd.pdf. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/4531.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. 4531-4a744474cbfe91cd.pdf. n.d. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/4531.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=4531-4a744474cbfe91cd.pdf |url=https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/4531.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitutend45314a744474cbfe91cdpdf, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{4531-4a744474cbfe91cd.pdf}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, url = {https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/4531.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }