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The impact of climate change in Africa
The document argues that Africa is disproportionately vulnerable to climate change despite being among the lightest polluters. It highlights critical threats to water and food security, the potential for climate change to act as a 'threat multiplier' for conflict, and the urgent need for improved climate information and financial compensation from developed nations for adaptation.
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Document type: Research paper
Natural Resources Conflict Management Processes and Strategies in Africa
The document examines how natural resources—both through abundance and scarcity—fuel social and armed conflicts in Africa. It argues that traditional peace processes often fail by focusing on 'high politics' (like power-sharing) while ignoring the underlying political economy of resource distribution. Using the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), the International Conference on the Great Lakes Region (IC/GLR), and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) as examples, the author advocates for integrating natural resource management into diplomatic and mediation frameworks to achieve sustainable peace.
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Document type: Research paper
TABLEAU CHRONOLOGIQUE DU DÉVELOPPEMENT DURABLE
This fact sheet by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) traces the evolution of the sustainable development movement. It highlights a progression from early environmental warnings, such as Rachel Carson's 1962 book, through the establishment of major international frameworks like the 1992 Rio Earth Summit and the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, to contemporary challenges including the 2008 global financial and food crises and the 2009 Copenhagen climate negotiations.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Climate Change Adaptation and Decision Making in the Sudan
Sudan is highly vulnerable to climate change due to its reliance on rain-fed agriculture, with projections indicating significant declines in crop yields and increased water scarcity by 2060. The document argues that while the country has established frameworks like the Environmental Protection Act of 2001 and the National Adaptation Program of Action (NAPA), effective adaptation is hindered by political instability, top-down planning, and land tenure conflicts. It recommends a comprehensive approach including land tenure reform, a national early warning system, and the integration of climate risks into all levels of national development planning.
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Document type: Research paper
Summary Report
The seminar, co-organized by the Institute for Security Studies and the Ethiopian International Institute for Peace and Development, highlighted Africa's vulnerability to climate change and the necessity of a united African position for the Copenhagen talks. Key discussions centered on the EU's commitment to a 30% emission reduction by 2020 and a pledge of 100 billion Euros for developing countries, as well as the need for technology transfer and financial compensation for Africa. The event also detailed the institutional framework of the African Union's common position, including the role of a ten-country committee headed by Ethiopia's Prime Minister Meles Zenawi.
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Document type: Report
Concept Paper: Expert Roundtable: Climate Change and Transboundary Water Conflicts in Africa: Legal, Policy and Institutional Challenges
The document serves as a framework for a workshop hosted by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) in Mombasa, Kenya, in September 2009. It argues that climate change, water scarcity, and energy deficits are critical drivers of conflict and underdevelopment in Africa. The paper highlights the Nile River Basin as a primary area of concern due to the lack of a comprehensive agreement binding all riparian states and the increasing competition for water resources among growing populations. It identifies the vulnerability of pastoralist communities to drought and the inadequacy of the African Union's response to climate change. The workshop aims to develop strategies for the joint management of water resources, assess the 'Helsinki Rules' for international water utilization, and explore the role of international actors and civil society in preventing water-related conflicts.
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Document type: Briefing
Understanding of the natural resource conflict dynamics
The document analyzes the conflict dynamics of the Tuareg in North Africa and the Sahel, arguing that the violence is rooted in the loss of traditional livelihood resources and systemic political exclusion. It examines how post-independence land reforms, severe droughts in the 1970s and 1980s, and the industrial exploitation of uranium and gold have marginalized the Tuareg. The paper details the specific trajectories of conflict in Mali and Niger, the assimilation policies in Algeria, and the destabilizing role of Libya. It concludes that peace requires a comprehensive approach addressing the root causes of poverty and resource inequality rather than treating the Tuareg as terrorists.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate change, population pressure and conflict in Africa
The document examines how anthropogenic climate change and rapid population growth intensify resource competition and instability in Africa. It highlights the continent's low adaptive capacity due to poverty and weak governance, while noting that resource scarcity does not linearly lead to war but can also foster cooperation.
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Document type: Research paper
Rising Temperatures, Rising Tensions
The report argues that while climate change is not the sole cause of conflict, it acts as a 'threat multiplier' in the Levant. It identifies six primary security threats, including increased competition for water, intensified food insecurity, and destabilizing forced migration. The authors emphasize that the region's history of conflict and deep distrust undermine its adaptive capacity, making it more vulnerable to environmental shocks. To mitigate these risks, the report proposes four strategies: fostering a culture of conservation, implementing community-level adaptation, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and enabling regional cooperation through shared resource management.
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Document type: Report
Rapid Trade and Environment Assessment (RTEA) 2009 National Report for Namibia
The 2009 Rapid Trade and Environment Assessment (RTEA) for Namibia argues that the country should pivot from a bulk export model toward high-value niche sectors based on its comparative advantages in biodiversity and dryland landscapes. The report identifies significant opportunities in carbon markets, ecotourism, and indigenous natural products, while warning against 'green protectionism' and technical barriers to trade, such as EU sanitary requirements for red meat. It highlights the vulnerability of Namibia's water and agricultural sectors to climate change and recommends the establishment of a national forum on trade and environment to coordinate inter-ministerial policies and international negotiating positions.
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Document type: Report
WORKSHOP REPORT CLIMATE CHANGE AND TRANSBOUNDARY WATER RESOURCES CONFLICTS IN AFRICA: LEGAL, POLICY AND INSTITUTIONAL CHALLENGES
The document details a 2009 workshop organized by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) focusing on the intersection of climate change and transboundary water conflicts in Africa, with a heavy emphasis on the Nile River Basin. It examines how environmental degradation, population growth, and uneven water distribution exacerbate tensions between riparian states. The report highlights the role of regional bodies like the Nile Basin Initiative (NBI), IGAD, and ECOWAS, and argues that while climate change acts as a 'threat multiplier,' it can also serve as an incentive for regional cooperation. Key recommendations include the ratification of the UN Convention on the Law of Non-Navigational Uses of International Watercourses, the establishment of joint management frameworks, and the integration of climate adaptation into national planning and donor programs.
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Document type: Report
The Nile: Is it a curse or blessing?
The document examines the hydropolitics of the Nile Basin, focusing on the tensions between upstream states, particularly Ethiopia, and downstream states, Egypt and Sudan. It argues that colonial-era agreements and Egypt's pursuit of 'prior appropriation' rights have created an inequitable distribution of water, hindering development in upper riparian states. The author suggests that cooperation through frameworks like the Nile Basin Initiative and the adoption of the Helsinki Rules for equitable sharing are necessary to avoid future conflict and ensure food and energy security.
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Document type: Research paper
NEPAD should re-design Africa’s economy
The author contends that sub-Saharan Africa's underdevelopment stems from the mismanagement of economic surpluses by political elites who exploited their power to maintain high living standards and fund failing industrial projects. Comparing the divergent paths of Ghana and South Korea since 1965, the text argues that current frameworks like Nepad fail to address the power imbalance between elites and producers. To achieve development, the author proposes introducing freehold land ownership for peasants, granting producers direct access to world markets for cash crops, and establishing independent financial and technical institutions supported by foreign donors.
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Document type: Research paper
South African Army Vision 2020 Volume 2
The document evaluates the South African Army's role in the evolving African security architecture, focusing on the African Standby Force (ASF) and SADC Brigade. It analyzes the nature of African conflict, the necessity of rapid deployment capabilities, and the impact of cultural intelligence and professionalization on mission success. The report highlights significant challenges for the South African National Defence Force (SANDF), including budget constraints, human resource crises due to HIV/AIDS and aging personnel, and the risks associated with the privatization of security. It concludes that while the SANDF possesses high technical capabilities, its effectiveness as a lead nation is hindered by structural deficiencies and a lack of political prioritization of defense funding.
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Document type: Report
voces de comunidades afectadas por el cambio climático
The document presents a series of case studies from Australia, Brazil, Honduras, Malaysia, Mali, Peru, Swaziland, Tuvalu, and the United Kingdom. It emphasizes that populations in the Global South are disproportionately vulnerable due to their dependence on land and water. The report documents specific impacts such as glacial retreat in Peru, sea-level rise in Tuvalu, and extreme droughts in Mali and Swaziland. It argues that institutional responses are often insufficient or driven by neoliberal interests, advocating instead for agroecology, traditional knowledge, and a global movement for climate justice.
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Document type: Report
Climate change and forced migration: Observations, projections and implications
The document examines the complex relationship between anthropogenic climate change and forced migration, arguing that while precise numerical predictions (such as 200 million migrants by 2050) are tentative, the 'carrying capacity' of many regions will be compromised. It distinguishes between slow-onset climate processes and sudden climate events, noting that non-climate drivers like governance and poverty are equally critical. The author outlines three scenarios—'The Good', 'The Bad', and 'The Ugly'—based on IPCC emission storylines, and highlights that the poorest countries will bear the heaviest burden of displacement. The paper concludes that forced climate migrants currently 'fall through the cracks' of international law and national adaptation strategies, which often view migration as a failure of adaptation rather than a tool for it.
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Document type: Research paper
TABLEAU CHRONOLOGIQUE DU DÉVELOPPEMENT DURABLE
This fact sheet outlines the evolution of sustainable development through a timeline of milestones. It tracks the emergence of environmental awareness in the 1960s, the establishment of international frameworks like the UN Environment Programme and the Montreal Protocol, and the formalization of the 'sustainable development' concept via the Brundtland Report. The timeline also documents ecological disasters, the rise of environmental NGOs, and the development of climate-specific initiatives such as the IPCC and the Kyoto Protocol.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Growing into Risk
The report argues that China's pursuit of high GDP growth has led to severe environmental degradation, which in turn triggers internal security risks such as violent protests and mass migration. Internationally, China's need to secure energy, water, and timber resources drives an assertive foreign policy, leading to territorial disputes and the 'export' of environmental degradation to trading partners. The document highlights critical scarcity in water and energy, deteriorating air quality contributing to the 'Asian Brown Cloud', and the impact of domestic logging bans on international timber trade.
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Document type: Report
THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE
The document outlines a timeline of milestones in sustainable development, beginning with the 1962 publication of Silent Spring. It tracks the emergence of environmental NGOs like Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth, the establishment of international frameworks such as the Montreal Protocol and the Kyoto Protocol, and major UN summits including the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro and the 2002 World Summit on Sustainable Development in Johannesburg. The timeline also highlights critical environmental crises, such as the Bhopal chemical leak and the Exxon Valdez oil spill, alongside the development of global goals like the Millennium Development Goals.
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Document type: Fact sheet
The Role of South Africa in Global Structural Policy
The document analyzes South Africa's transition from a pariah state to a regional hegemon and global middle power, examining its macroeconomic shifts, socio-economic challenges, and foreign policy. It details South Africa's engagement with the WTO, the AU, and the EU, while highlighting domestic risks such as HIV/AIDS, unemployment, and political succession. The paper concludes by proposing three future scenarios for South Africa and corresponding strategies for German development cooperation.
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Document type: Research paper