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African Responses to Climate Change
The research paper examines the role of Africa's natural carbon sinks, particularly in the Congo Basin and the Sahel, and evaluates the potential for a global carbon tax to fund the continent's energy transition and conservation efforts. It analyzes various carbon pricing scenarios, concluding that a differentiated payment model aligns best with the Paris Agreement's principles of fairness and historical responsibility.
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Document type: Research paper
Carbon Emissions: Global Picture and Forecast
The report analyzes global carbon emissions, noting that 2023 saw record levels of 36.1 billion tons of CO2 equivalent from fossil fuels. It highlights the dominance of a few producers and the significant impact of coal and methane. While China and the EU are pursuing decarbonization, the US experience fluctuates with political administrations. The report forecasts a peak in emissions by 2037/8, but warns that atmospheric CO2 concentrations could reach 551 ppm by 2063, potentially leading to a 3°C temperature rise. Africa is identified as particularly vulnerable, facing increasing emissions from population growth and significant forest loss, with 100 million hectares cleared over three decades.
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Document type: Report
A Sustainable Asset Valuation Assessment of Nature-Based Solutions in the Jukskei River Catchment in Johannesburg
The Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of the SUNCASA project in Johannesburg's Jukskei River catchment finds that nature-based solutions—including riparian restoration, invasive species removal, and urban tree planting—provide significant net benefits. Over 25 years, these interventions are projected to generate USD 8.6 million in net benefits, with a return of USD 3.06 for every USD 1 invested and a cost recovery period of 7 years. The most significant economic return stems from improved water quality, which is expected to save USD 3.7 million in avoided health costs over 25 years.
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Document type: Report
Strengthening Biomass Carbon Removal and Storage (BiCRS) Protocols
A technical assessment of 25 BiCRS protocols reveals that only 28% are satisfactory, with 72% scoring below satisfactory. The report identifies critical flaws in greenhouse gas accounting, particularly regarding system boundaries, biomass production emissions, and the treatment of uncertainty. It recommends adopting comprehensive system boundaries, standardizing the treatment of biomass baselines, and implementing robust measurement, monitoring, reporting, and verification (MMRV) to protect market and climate integrity.
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Document type: Report
A Sustainable Asset Valuation Assessment of Nature-Based Solutions in the Jukskei River Catchment in Johannesburg, South Africa
The assessment evaluates the viability of nature-based solutions (NbS) in Johannesburg's Jukskei River catchment, including riparian restoration and urban tree planting. Using the SAVi methodology, the report finds that these interventions are economically viable, with a discounted benefit-to-cost ratio (BCR) of 3.06 and cumulative net benefits of ZAR 152 million from 2025 to 2050. The most significant benefits are avoided health costs from water pollution and avoided infrastructure damage from flooding.
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Document type: Report
The Southern Ocean and Antarctica as a strategic imperative for South Africa
The report argues that South Africa must elevate the Southern Ocean and Antarctica in its strategic planning, as the region is critical for global climate regulation, food security, and maritime safety. While South Africa is the only African state party to the Antarctic Treaty, its diplomatic engagement has been inconsistent. The document highlights rising risks from climate change, such as sea-level rise threatening African coasts, and geopolitical tensions, including Russia's seismic surveying and the blocking of Marine Protected Areas by China and Russia. It suggests South Africa leverage its non-claimant status and role as a logistical gateway to enhance its influence, while warning that its under-resourced navy may struggle with increasing search and rescue demands from growing Antarctic tourism and rerouted shipping traffic around the Cape of Good Hope.
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Document type: Report
Green Peatland Economy PSAA
The Indonesian Environmental Fund (IEF) is requesting a grant of USD 886,719 from the Green Climate Fund (GCF) to prepare a full funding proposal for the Green Peatland Economy (GPE) project. The GPE project aims to transition Indonesia's peatlands from drainage-based, high-emission land use to zero-drainage, low-emission models that enhance community resilience and preserve ecosystems. The PPF will fund nine key activities over 13 months, including feasibility studies, gender and social inclusion analyses, market assessments for 'peatland-friendly' commodities, and the development of sustainable financial instruments. The project focuses on five Peatland Hydrological Units (PHUs) across Riau, Central Kalimantan, and South Sumatra provinces.
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Document type: Report
Methane Abatement in Brazilian Cattle
The Brazilian cattle sector accounts for 71% of the country's methane emissions, facing significant financial and biophysical risks from shifting global beef demand and climate instability. The report identifies diversification away from cattle—into non-ruminant meats, plant-based proteins, alternative proteins, and reforestation—as the most effective long-term mitigation strategy, potentially avoiding up to 166.7 Mt CO2e per year. Short-term opportunities include sustainable intensification through silvopasture and improved forage, which can reduce enteric methane by 6-25%. While feed additives and genetic breeding offer targeted reductions, their national impact is limited by scalability or delayed payoffs. The report recommends that investors integrate methane metrics into ESG frameworks and support a dual-track transition of short-term optimisation and long-term diversification.
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Document type: Report
How California Can Seize Momentum to Advance Carbon Dioxide Removal
Despite the veto of SB 643, California can leverage SB 840 and the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund to scale its carbon dioxide removal industry, ensuring it meets its 2030 and 2045 targets while preventing homegrown companies from relocating.
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Document type: Statement
Dangerous Distractions: How agribusiness narratives continue to undermine climate action
The document analyzes the strategies used by agribusiness to delay climate action, focusing on the 24th World Meat Congress and COP30. It identifies key industry narratives—such as the claim that meat is sustainable, essential for health, and that the industry is simply meeting inevitable demand—as tools to distract from the need for dietary shifts and methane reductions. The report highlights the role of industry-funded media, like the film 'World Without Cows', and the influence of agribusiness on the FAO and US dietary guidelines to maintain 'meat primacy' and avoid systemic reform.
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Document type: Briefing
The Decline of Water Storage in Prairie Watersheds
The document highlights the decline of natural water storage in the Canadian Prairies due to drainage and land conversion, which increases vulnerability to climate-driven extremes. It advocates for a combination of wetland conservation and constructed water retention projects to improve water security, reduce flood peaks, and enhance water quality. The brief provides specific examples of successful projects in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba, while outlining a strategic framework for future expansion, including prioritized conservation and increased funding.
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Document type: Policy brief
A Sustainable Asset Valuation Assessment of Nature-Based Solutions in Kigali, Rwanda
The assessment finds that nature-based solutions (NbS) in Kigali—including afforestation, reforestation, agroforestry, and urban tree planting—are economically viable, with a discounted benefit-to-cost ratio (BCR) of 2.09 and cumulative net benefits of RWF 17,039 million from 2025 to 2050. The primary economic driver is the avoidance of flood damage to infrastructure, valued at RWF 17,311 million, alongside significant intangible benefits from reduced water pollution and carbon sequestration. Sensitivity analyses indicate that higher valuations for carbon and water pollution further increase the project's economic viability, with BCRs reaching up to 2.94.
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Document type: Report
Environmental and Social Management Plan for Biological Corridor 08 (Bumthang) for 2026
The ESMP for Biological Corridor 08 (Bumthang) outlines the environmental and social safeguards for a 3-hectare high-value timber plantation planned for 2026. It details the ecological baseline of the 577.90 km² corridor, identifies potential risks such as soil disturbance and restriction of grazing routes, and prescribes specific mitigation measures. The plan also establishes monitoring arrangements, stakeholder engagement protocols, and comprehensive occupational health and safety standards for workers.
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Document type: Report
COEXISTING WITH TIGERS: TOOLS AND APPROACHES FOR MANAGING HUMAN–TIGER INTERACTIONS
The document outlines a structured approach to move from human-tiger conflict to coexistence, utilizing the C2C (Conflict to Coexistence) methodology. It defines conflict and coexistence as dynamic spectrums influenced by risk, tolerance, and management effectiveness. The report details four key outcomes for monitoring—People, Livelihoods & Assets, Wildlife, and Habitat—and proposes a collaborative decision-making process using the nominal group technique to prioritize interventions. It summarizes 29 interventions, ranging from preventative measures like livestock enclosures and predator alert systems to response strategies like cognitive behavioral therapy, and evaluates their effectiveness based on robust evidence. Additionally, it presents nine monitoring tools and a theoretical framework for policy advocacy to support long-term sustainable management of tiger landscapes.
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Document type: Report
U.S. clean energy investments: 2025 Quarter 3 analysis
The report details a shift in U.S. federal priorities that has narrowed incentives for clean energy, primarily through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and executive agency actions. It highlights significant tax credit repeals or restrictions, DOE funding cancellations, and EPA reporting rollbacks that have created deep uncertainty across the electric power, manufacturing, and energy and industry sectors. While some investments accelerated to meet new deadlines, others—particularly in hydrogen, sustainable aviation fuel, and carbon management—have declined or relocated abroad.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change in the American Mind: Politics & Policy, Fall 2025
The report finds that while a majority of registered U.S. voters support clean energy transitions and the Paris Climate Agreement, global warming remains a low priority for most when deciding on congressional candidates. There is strong bipartisan support for protecting workers from extreme heat and opposing the elimination of federal climate research and FEMA, though significant political polarization persists regarding fossil fuel use and the priority level of climate action.
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Document type: Report
Withdrawal of Commission Guidance Regarding the Listing of Voluntary Carbon Credit Derivative Contracts, RIN 3038–AF63 (90 Fed. Reg. 44321)
The Clean Air Task Force (CATF) argues that the CFTC's withdrawal of guidance for voluntary carbon credit derivative contracts risks eroding market integrity and undermining climate progress. CATF highlights systemic quality issues in voluntary carbon markets, particularly in forest carbon credits, and contends that the withdrawal process lacked transparency and legal justification. The organization recommends that the CFTC not only reinstate the guidance but move toward issuing specific regulations for these markets.
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Document type: Statement
Story Spark: Deforestation
The document outlines the current state of global deforestation, noting that 8.1 million hectares were lost in 2024 and that the world is off track to meet the COP26 goal of halting and reversing deforestation by 2030. It identifies agriculture as the primary driver, accounting for 86% of global deforestation over the last decade, and highlights the critical role of old-growth forests in carbon storage. The guide also notes that climate-driven risks, particularly wildfires, have become leading causes of forest loss, with fire becoming the principal driver of tropical forest loss for the first time in 2024.
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Document type: Guide
Does the EU need an Emissions Trading System for Agriculture?
The document assesses the potential for an Emissions Trading System for Agriculture (Agri-ETS) in the EU, arguing that such a system would only be effective if it targets large-scale polluters, avoids free allowances and carbon offsets, and is integrated into a wider suite of reforms. It highlights the risks of 'GHG tunnel vision' and the necessity of reforming the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) to stop subsidising harmful practices. The author advocates for a 'Just Transition Fund for Agri-food' to support small-scale farmers using Agri-ETS revenues.
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Document type: Statement
Putin, Permafrost, and Propaganda
The report analyzes Russia's strategic use of climate-related disinformation to advance geopolitical goals. It details how the Kremlin exploits climate disasters in the West to stoke polarization, suppresses domestic environmental activism to prevent unrest, and manipulates narratives in the Arctic and Africa to secure economic and political influence. The document highlights the intersection of Russian influence with far-right rhetoric and the emerging threat of AI-driven disinformation, while arguing that subnational and international cooperation is essential to counter these efforts as US federal defenses weaken.
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Document type: Report