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CDKN Research Consultation Workshop report
The CDKN Research Consultation workshop, held on 24 September 2010, gathered 40 UK-based researchers to refine a research framework focused on 'Climate Compatible Development' (CCD). The proposed framework consists of four themes: Impacts, Responding to a Changing Climate, Evaluating Climate Compatible Development, and Policy Processes. Funding is planned across three streams: a Long-Term Strategy (£30-250K), a Short-Term Strategy (under £30K), and an Innovation Fund (£10-50K). Key discussions highlighted the need for better integration between climate science and policy-making, the importance of addressing energy access in developing countries, and the necessity of developing indicators to measure adaptive capacity at the local level.
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Document type: Report
Furthering the Understanding of the Adaptation Space of Organizations
The report examines climate change adaptation within the water supply and wastewater (WW) sector of the Stockholm region, focusing on four regional organizations: Norrvatten, Roslagsvatten, Käppalaförbundet, and Stockholm Vatten. Using a framework of organizational learning, the study distinguishes between building adaptive capacity and implementing adaptive decisions. Findings indicate that while the sector is actively building adaptive capacity through regional cooperation and research, there is limited evidence of implementing costly adaptive decisions. The 'actual adaptation space' is primarily constrained by 'price sensitive politics', where the high cost of infrastructure changes and the time lag between investment and benefit make it difficult to justify fee increases to municipal politicians. Additionally, uncertainties regarding the timing and magnitude of climate impacts lead some organizations to demand higher levels of factual evidence before committing to large-scale investments.
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Document type: Research paper
Decision Making and Climate Change Uncertainty: Setting the Foundations for Informed and Consistent Strategic Decisions
The author argues that climate change adaptation should be treated as a continuous, learning-based process rather than a set of static decisions. The proposed framework rests on four pillars: establishing flexible socio-institutional frameworks, managing knowledge and information, maintaining a portfolio of diverse adaptation options, and implementing continuous monitoring and evaluation. The paper emphasizes the deep interconnection between adaptation and development, suggesting that policies addressing poverty and inequality simultaneously build adaptive capacity. It highlights the need for 'bottom-up' participatory processes and the creation of enabling environments that allow citizens to adapt autonomously. Using Quito, Ecuador, as an example, the text illustrates the importance of bridging the gap between scientific research and policy through dedicated bodies like the Quito's Climate Change Panel.
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Document type: Research paper
Comparative Destination Vulnerability Assessment for Thailand and Sri Lanka
The report examines six case study destinations—Khao Lak, Patong, and Phi Phi Don in Thailand; and Hikkaduwa, Anuradhapura, and Kataragama in Sri Lanka—to identify drivers of tourism system vulnerability. It introduces a Destination Sustainability Framework (DSF) to analyze how exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive responses interact with socio-political contexts. Findings indicate that established destinations with diversified markets and strong institutional networks, such as Patong, recovered more quickly than newer or more isolated sites like Khao Lak and Phi Phi Don. In Sri Lanka, recovery was hampered by the civil conflict and weak local governance. The report concludes that resilience is strengthened by diversified livelihoods, robust social networks, and strong public-private collaboration, while it is undermined by corruption, poor infrastructure, and social exclusion of minority groups.
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Document type: Report
Climate-related vulnerability and adaptive-capacity in Ethiopia’s Borana and Somali communities
The document reports that pastoral communities in Ethiopia's Borana and Somali zones are facing unprecedented climate variability, including increasing temperatures and drought frequency, which are rendering traditional coping strategies ineffective. It identifies significant barriers to adaptation, such as land degradation, resource conflicts, and limited access to information and financial services. The brief recommends that the Ethiopian government protect pastoral land, improve weather information sharing, and enhance social safety nets. It advises civil society to integrate climate projections into programming and leverage traditional knowledge, while urging international donors to provide funding flexibility for climate emergencies.
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Document type: Policy brief
Climate‐related vulnerability and adaptive‐capacity in Ethiopia’s Borana and Somali communities
The report assesses the vulnerability of pastoral and agro-pastoral communities in Ethiopia's Borana and Shinile zones, highlighting that recurrent droughts and increasing temperatures are rendering traditional coping strategies ineffective. While communities suggest diversifying livestock and livelihoods, their adaptive capacity is constrained by land degradation, conflict, and limited access to services. The study recommends that the Ethiopian government and international donors prioritize pastoral land protection, improve climate information sharing, and support community-led adaptation strategies.
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Document type: Report
Indicators of Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change for Agriculture in the Prairie Region of Canada
The research establishes a GIS-based index of adaptive capacity for the Canadian Prairies, using six determinants: economic resources, technology, information/skills/management, infrastructure, institutions/networks, and equity. The analysis finds that adaptive capacity is generally higher near large urban centres and lower along the northern boundaries of the agricultural region. While the six determinants align with producer perspectives, the study concludes that aggregated census data only accurately represent a fraction of the specific factors producers identify as critical for adaptation, emphasizing the need for site-specific research to inform policy.
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Document type: Research paper
Food System Scenarios: Exploring Global / Local Linkages
The paper argues for a multi-scale scenario methodology that integrates local livelihood dimensions with global stressors to better understand food insecurity and climate vulnerability. It identifies four key challenges: the need for global scenarios to include socioeconomic vulnerability and adaptive capacity, the requirement for consistent treatment of vulnerability across scales (household to world), the integration of livelihood analysis into long-term food security scenarios, and the necessity of participatory stakeholder processes.
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Document type: Research paper
Bellagio Framework for Adaptation Assessment and Prioritization
The Bellagio Framework, developed by the World Resources Institute in 2009, provides a systematic approach to climate adaptation by identifying core functions all countries must perform. It categorizes these into planning, management, and service delivery functions to help governments and funders assess strengths, identify gaps, and coordinate investments.
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Document type: Research paper
Understanding Adaptive Policy Mechanisms through Farm‐level Studies of Adaptation to Weather Events in Saskatchewan, Canada
The report examines how farmers in southern Saskatchewan adapt to weather events such as hailstorms, frost, drought, and flooding. It identifies zero-tillage farming as a key adaptation measure and analyzes the extension activities of the Saskatchewan Soil Conservation Association (SSCA) as a policy instrument. The analysis finds that the SSCA's success in promoting zero-tillage is due to several adaptive policy mechanisms, including integrated assessment, multi-perspective deliberation, formal review, subsidiarity, and the encouragement of self-organizing networks.
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Document type: Report
Adaptation: Needs, Financing and Institutions
The document argues that adaptation is essential because some climate impacts are already unavoidable, regardless of mitigation efforts. It highlights a critical funding gap for developing countries, where current financial flows may need to increase by two orders of magnitude. The authors emphasize that adaptation is an iterative process linked to broader development goals, such as poverty reduction and good governance. To improve effectiveness, the paper recommends 'mainstreaming' adaptation into national planning and creating transparent, principle-based funding mechanisms, such as levies on carbon market transactions, to ensure that support for developing nations is new and additional rather than absorbed into existing official development assistance.
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Document type: Briefing
Indicators of Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change for Agriculture in the Prairie Region of Canada
The research establishes a methodology to measure the adaptive capacity of 53 Census Divisions in the Canadian Prairies, organizing 20 indicators into six determinants: economic resources, technology, information/skills/management, infrastructure, institutions/networks, and equity. The analysis reveals that adaptive capacity is strongly correlated with proximity to major urban centres, with the highest capacity clustered around Winnipeg, Saskatoon, Regina, and Calgary, while the lowest capacity is found along the northern boundaries of the agricultural region. The study argues that while some low-capacity areas are currently north of historic drought zones, future climate projections suggest moisture deficits may extend into these vulnerable regions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for interventions in remote rural areas, such as improving high-speed Internet access, promoting sustainable soil management, and ensuring fair commodity prices.
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Document type: Research paper
INTEGRATING SOCIAL VULNERABILITY INTO WATER MANAGEMENT
The paper argues that social vulnerability in water management is not a static property of a location but a dynamic process rooted in human behavior, social networks, and multi-scale interactions. It identifies six core attributes of social vulnerability: differential exposure, dynamic processes, the role of human actors, the influence of social networks, multi-scale construction, and the presence of multiple stresses. To move beyond static 'snapshot' indicators, the authors propose a four-stage progression for water planning: introducing differential socio-economic vulnerability, capturing dynamic changes, representing multiple attributes of vulnerable groups, and modeling the decisions of actors to build adaptive systems. The document provides a checklist for designing vulnerability assessment protocols and suggests that a formal vulnerability science is necessary to improve adaptive management of environmental change.
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Document type: Research paper
Food System Scenarios: Exploring Global/Local Linkages
The document argues that existing 'top-down' global food system scenarios often fail to capture the multi-scale nature of vulnerability and the specific dynamics of local livelihoods. To bridge this gap, the authors propose using 'livelihood systems' as an intermediate scale to link global drivers—such as climate change and market forces—to local food security outcomes. The paper demonstrates this approach through case studies in India and South Africa, using data from the Global Scenario Group's PoleStar system and national food security frameworks. It concludes that a 'bottom-up' participatory approach, which maps the exposure of specific livelihood groups (e.g., nomadic pastoralists or smallholder farmers) to various stressors, provides a more realistic basis for adaptation and policy intervention than aggregated global projections.
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Document type: Research paper
Linking Water Scarcity to Population Movements: From Global Models to Local Experiences
The report examines the gap between global water scarcity models and the local realities of migration. It argues that while global indicators identify high-stress regions, they fail to account for local coping mechanisms, social vulnerability, and the diverse reasons people move. The authors contend that water scarcity is rarely the sole driver of large-scale refugee movements; instead, it interacts with political and economic factors. The document advocates for a livelihoods-based approach to policy that enhances community resilience and recognizes migration as a potential adaptive strategy rather than merely a crisis of 'environmental refugees'.
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Document type: Report
Poverty and Vulnerability to Environmental Stress: Working with Multiple Dimensions of Poverty
The briefing examines the relationship between poverty and vulnerability to environmental stress, asserting that traditional income-based definitions of poverty are insufficient for guiding vulnerability reduction. It proposes a multidimensional framework encompassing economic, human, political, socio-cultural, and protective capabilities. The text explains how these dimensions interact with the three components of vulnerability—exposure, sensitivity, and resilience—and highlights how a lack of diverse assets and political marginalization increases the risk of chronic poverty and environmental degradation.
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Document type: Briefing
A Step Forward? Assessing the Zero Draft of the Post-2015 Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
The briefing by ODI and CDKN argues that while the Zero Draft of the Post-2015 Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction shows some progress in inclusion and environmental considerations, it fails to provide a coherent structure or a strong narrative linking disaster risk reduction (DRR) to climate change, poverty, and sustainable development. The authors highlight critical gaps in financial commitments, the treatment of conflict-affected states, and the lack of detailed implementation plans for science and technology.
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Document type: Briefing
Local communities are integral to driving climate change adaptation
The document advocates for the integration of local communities in climate adaptation, highlighting tools like Community Based Vulnerability Assessments (CBVA) and the Local Adaptive Capacity (LAC) framework to identify hazards and assess resilience. It emphasizes that local networks are most effective when they maintain strong links with national and regional organizations to influence policy and share information.
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Document type: Fact sheet
catalystsofchange-projectreport-12bc452e10895e5f.pdf
The report investigates how local multi-stakeholder platforms can catalyze the integration of Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA) in India. Focusing on the arid regions of Leh and Barmer, the project utilized household surveys, resource mapping, and the installation of an Automatic Weather Station to identify climate-induced risks and policy gaps. Key findings indicate that while local communities perceive clear trends in rising temperatures and erratic precipitation, government policies remain fragmented and compartmentalized. The project successfully implemented community-led initiatives, such as a radio program in Barmer and a climate school in Leh, to amplify local voices and provide scientific weather data for agricultural adaptation. The report concludes that the district level is the most optimal point for the convergence of DRR and CCA to drive upward policy transformation.
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Document type: Report
COP29 | UN CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE 2024 Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) Background
The Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) aims to increase worldwide climate resilience by strengthening adaptive capacity and reducing vulnerability. Following the agreement on targets and a framework at COP28, COP29 discussions are expected to focus on establishing measurable progress metrics, securing adaptation finance, and improving accountability for National Adaptation Plans.
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Document type: Fact sheet