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Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond
The report finds that 27 countries have set national offshore wind targets, with global capacity projected to almost triple from 83 GW in 2024 to 238 GW by 2030. While targets have driven market growth, many countries are expected to miss their 2030 goals due to cost inflation, supply chain pressures, and permitting delays. The analysis highlights a significant gap between current projections and the 413 GW required by 2030 to align with the UAE consensus for tripling renewable capacity.
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Document type: Report
온라인 의견참여 국민 절대 다수 2035 NDC 65% 요구… 정부는 2035 NDC 수립 과정에서 50%대 논의를 당장 중단하라
Plan 1.5 argues that the South Korean government's current 2035 NDC consultation process is biased toward industrial interests and excludes marginalized groups. The organization highlights that approximately 95% of online public submissions demand a 65% reduction target aligned with the 1.5°C goal, while criticizing the 50% range as unconstitutional and insufficient.
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Document type: Statement
2035년 NDC 정부안의 가장 낮은 수준 목표에도 자동차 업계 난색 표명
The document refutes claims by the Korea Automotive Mobility Industry Association (KAIA) that the South Korean government's 2035 NDC targets for zero-emission vehicles are unrealistic. While KAIA argues that the EU and California are relaxing bans on internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, the text asserts that EU targets remain firm and California's situation is a matter of ongoing legal dispute. It further argues that strong regulations and government support in China and the US (specifically for Tesla) demonstrate that ambitious climate targets foster innovation and competitiveness rather than hindering it.
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Document type: Statement
FOOD SYSTEM AND CLIMATE ADAPTATION POLICY ENGAGEMENT WORKSHOP WORKSHOP REPORT
The report details a workshop held in October 2025 to align various food system stakeholders—including farm workers, informal traders, and small-scale farmers—with the requirements of South Africa's Climate Change Act (CCA). It argues that current top-down climate responses, such as the Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Plan (CCAMP), reinforce corporate agricultural models and fail to address structural inequalities. The workshop proposes an alternative paradigm based on agroecology, redistributive land reform, and a just transition that integrates labour rights and community agency. It outlines specific policy entry points within the CCA, such as the National Adaptation Strategy and Plan (NASP) and Sector Adaptation Plans, and provides a coordinated action plan for civil society engagement through 2026.
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Document type: Report
The Forest-Climate Nexus for the Brazilian Amazon
The report highlights that natural regeneration in the Brazilian Amazon could capture up to 26 GtCO2, presenting a significant economic opportunity. It proposes the Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM), a jurisdictional results-based payment system that could mobilize up to US$ 784 billion over 30 years at a carbon price of US$ 50 per ton. The RDM is designed to complement other financial tools: JREDD+ for reducing deforestation and the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) for maintaining standing forests. The analysis emphasizes that states like Pará and Mato Grosso have the highest restoration potential due to cumulative deforestation, while Amazonas is the primary beneficiary of standing forest payments.
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Document type: Report
Ten Years of the Paris Agreement: The Present and Future of Extreme Heat
The report highlights that while projected warming has decreased from 4°C in 2015 to 2.6°C today, this level of warming still results in significantly more frequent and intense heat days. It notes that extreme heat waves have become more likely since 2015, with some events now 10 times more likely. Despite the expansion of early warning systems, the report argues that adaptation finance is insufficient to keep pace with the rising costs of inaction on extreme heat.
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Document type: Executive summary
State and Trends of Climate Adaptation Finance in Small Island Developing States
The report finds that international adaptation finance for SIDS is severely insufficient, averaging just over USD 2 billion annually in 2021–2022, while assessed needs are approximately USD 12 billion. It highlights that 44% of this finance was provided as debt, posing macroeconomic risks, and notes a high concentration of funds, with 10 SIDS receiving 67% of tracked finance. The document calls for a six-fold increase in flows, a shift from ODA eligibility to a multidimensional vulnerability index, and improved tracking of both public and private investments.
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Document type: Report
Sovereign Transition: Unlocking the Investment Opportunity
The report outlines a framework for sovereign transition planning based on five pillars: robust targets, a whole-of-government approach, green public financial management (PFM), a diverse policy mix, and transparency. It argues that integrating climate considerations into core budgetary processes (green PFM) is essential for coordinating action across all government departments. To address fiscal constraints and debt overhang, the report suggests alternative financing mechanisms, including carving out transition spending from deficit limits, utilizing GSS+ and sustainability-linked bonds, leveraging national development banks and sovereign wealth funds, and employing central bank monetary tools such as green asset purchases and adjusted collateral frameworks.
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Document type: Report
主权转型:释放投资机遇
The report outlines a framework for credible sovereign transition planning based on five elements: robust targets, a 'whole-of-government' approach, green public financial management, integrated policy tools, and transparency. It addresses the challenge of 'debt overhang' in both developed and emerging markets, suggesting alternatives such as excluding transition spending from deficit calculations and utilizing GSS+ bonds. The document also examines the roles of national development banks, sovereign wealth funds, and central banks in mobilizing private capital and providing low-cost financing for climate action.
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Document type: Report
Fast Track to Net Zero
Methane abatement is critical for near-term climate action, requiring a 45% reduction in global emissions by 2030. The report highlights that the energy sector has the highest technical abatement potential, while agriculture is dominated by behavioural change opportunities. It identifies five national sector archetypes—China's coal, India's smallholder agriculture, Brazil's livestock, Indonesia's waste, and O&G exporters—to provide scalable policy lessons. Significant financing gaps exist, with only USD 13.7bn tracked in 2021/22 against an estimated annual need of USD 48bn. The report advocates for methane-specific targets in NDCs, the use of satellite monitoring to close data gaps, and the implementation of import standards and carbon pricing to drive global supply chain reductions.
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Document type: Report
Viet Nam Power Sector Finance Flows Dashboard
Between 2017 and 2022, Viet Nam's power sector saw a total of USD 64 billion in reported investment, with renewable energy (RE) dominating at 64.54% (USD 41.3 billion) compared to fossil fuels (FF) at 35.13% (USD 22.5 billion). RE growth was primarily driven by generous Feed-in Tariffs (FiTs) and domestic private investment, which provided approximately 80% of RE finance. In contrast, FF finance was dominated by international sources, particularly Japan for coal. While gas investment surged in 2021 as a transitional fuel, coal investment ceased in 2022 following net-zero commitments. Despite RE growth, a significant financing gap remains; BloombergNEF estimates an annual requirement of USD 30.7 billion to meet a net-zero scenario by 2030, far exceeding the USD 6 billion invested in 2023.
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Document type: Report
From Science to Policy: Navigating the Complexities of Emerging Climate Techniques in the Americas
The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), alongside the Alliance for Just Deliberation on Solar Geoengineering (DSG) and The Degrees Initiative, conducted a workshop series culminating in an in-person simulation in Bogota, Colombia. The program aimed to empower policymakers and technical specialists from Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) to navigate the complexities of solar radiation modification (SRM) governance. Participants identified critical needs for regional research to understand local physical and socio-economic impacts, noting a disparity between the region's low greenhouse gas emissions and its high climate vulnerability. Discussions highlighted the risk of SRM creating a "moral hazard" that could divert attention from Paris Agreement commitments, specifically Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). The report emphasizes the necessity of strengthening science-policy interfaces, ensuring the participation of Indigenous Peoples through free, prior and informed consent, and fostering South-South and triangular cooperation to enhance regional data access and institutional knowledge.
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Document type: Report
Innovative Financial Instruments for the Mobilization of Private Sector Investment in Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation in Developing Countries
The report examines eight innovative financial instruments—including the Adaptation Benefit Mechanism, biodiversity credits, carbon taxes, carbon trading, credit guarantees, debt-for-nature/climate resilience swaps, pooled investment funds, and sovereign green/sustainability-linked bonds—to bridge the climate finance gap in developing countries. It identifies common barriers such as limited institutional capacity, lack of robust project pipelines, and underdeveloped local capital markets. The document emphasizes that while these instruments can signal a government's commitment to climate action, their success depends on a supportive enabling environment characterized by effective leadership, clear taxonomies, and robust climate data. For least developed countries (LDCs), the report suggests a phased approach, first strengthening basic financial and legal prerequisites before focusing on 'climate investability'. It concludes with specific recommendations for donors and development partners to provide technical assistance, anchor investments, and pilot projects to scale up private sector mobilization.
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Document type: Report
Reforming the UN climate governance system for an implementation context
The document assesses the UN climate regime's transition to the 'implementation era' following the completion of the Paris Agreement rulebook. It identifies systemic inefficiencies, including a predominance of procedural decisions (87%) over substantive ones, overlapping mandates among 17 constituted bodies, and significant funding gaps for adaptation. The authors argue that the regime is hindered by a de facto veto system based on consensus and the influence of fossil fuel lobbyists. Key recommendations include adopting formal voting rules, closing the Kyoto Protocol's remaining structures to save an estimated €62 million over five years, and operationalizing new governance platforms like a UN Climate Council. The brief also emphasizes the need to address structural drivers of the crisis, such as overconsumption and corporate impunity, while leveraging the 2025 ICJ Advisory Opinion to strengthen legal accountability for both states and non-state actors.
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Document type: Policy brief
La reforma hacia la implementación del régimen de gobernanza de las Naciones Unidas sobre el cambio climático
The document argues that the UN climate regime, comprising the UNFCCC, Kyoto Protocol, and Paris Agreement, is currently hindered by procedural complexity, fragmented institutional structures, and a lack of accountability. It highlights that 87% of recent decisions are merely procedural and recommends a systemic overhaul, including the formal closure of the Kyoto Protocol, the adoption of majority voting to replace consensus, and a shift toward a more active implementation role for the UNFCCC Secretariat. The authors emphasize the need for a new climate finance goal of at least $300 billion annually by 2035 and the integration of ethical considerations and structural causes of the climate crisis into future governance.
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Document type: Policy brief
2035년 NDC 강화, 한국 산업경쟁력 열쇠
The document advocates for a science-based 2035 NDC for South Korea, proposing a minimum 61% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared to 2018. It emphasizes that clear, consistent policies across the power, industry, and transport sectors are essential to attract private investment and maintain global competitiveness, particularly in the face of regulations like the EU's CBAM. Key recommendations include accelerating renewable energy deployment to at least 100GW by 2030, phasing out coal power by 2035, strengthening the K-ETS carbon price, and accelerating the electrification of transport and heavy industry.
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Document type: Briefing
How South Korea ’s 2035 NDC can drive private sector action and investment
The document advocates for South Korea to set a 2035 emissions reduction target of at least 61% relative to 2018 levels to ensure alignment with its 2050 carbon neutrality goal. It emphasizes that a credible NDC must be supported by sectoral pathways in power, industry, and transport to provide the policy certainty required to unlock private sector investment. Key recommendations include phasing out coal power by 2035, reforming the Korea Emissions Trading System (K-ETS) to increase carbon price signals, and accelerating the deployment of breakthrough technologies like hydrogen steelmaking and electrified steam crackers. The briefing also stresses the importance of structured collaboration between the government, businesses of all sizes, and subnational authorities to ensure the NDC is investible and implementable.
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Document type: Briefing
Joint Communiqué on Long-term Low Greenhouse Gas Emission Development Strategies (LT-LEDS) to Inform 1.5°C-Aligned Action
The '2050 is Now' consortium calls for the integration of LT-LEDS into national planning to bridge the gap between short-term NDCs and long-term net-zero goals. The communiqué highlights that while global temperature projections have improved from 4°C to 2.7°C, 2024 was the warmest year on record at 1.55°C above pre-industrial levels. It recommends that COP30 promote LT-LEDS as catalysts for policy action, just transitions, and the mobilization of finance, urging the UNFCCC to prepare a third LT-LEDS Synthesis Report by COP31.
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Document type: Statement
Net Zero Stocktake 2025
The Net Zero Stocktake 2025 finds that while the number of net zero targets continues to rise across companies, cities, and regions, the integrity of these commitments remains low. As of September 2025, 1,935 entities have targets, including 137 national governments and 63% of the Forbes Global 2000. However, only a small fraction of companies, regions, and cities meet all minimum integrity requirements. The report also highlights a gap in planning, with nearly one-third of Forbes Global 2000 companies lacking a clear roadmap, and expresses concern over the lack of dedicated targets for nature-based carbon removals.
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Document type: Report
Submission: South Africa’s Draft Second Nationally Determined Contribution
Natural Justice critiques South Africa's Draft Second NDC, noting that while it introduces tighter 2030 targets and a 2031–2035 carbon budget, it lacks enforceable commitments, funding for adaptation, and a coal phase-out schedule. The submission recommends unconditional emissions reductions, grant-based loss and damage finance, and the integration of human rights indicators and Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC) into climate planning.
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Document type: Statement