Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond

This report by Ember, developed for the Global Offshore Wind Alliance (GOWA), provides a comprehensive analysis of global offshore wind targets across national, subnational, and regional levels. It examines current ambitions, deployment projections for 2030, and the potential for expansion in countries without existing targets, while highlighting the gap between political ambitions and projected delivery.

• As of October 2025, 27 countries have established national offshore wind targets. Of these, 22 have targets for 2030, 18 have targets extending beyond 2030, and 7 have specific targets for floating offshore wind.
• Global offshore wind capacity is projected to nearly triple between 2024 and 2030, growing from 83 GW to 238 GW. However, the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) reduced its 2030 global outlook by 25% over the past year.
• Despite growth, the IEA projects that none of the 12 countries expected to have offshore wind capacity by 2030 will fully meet their targets. The United States is forecast to have the greatest shortfall, while Japan and South Korea are expected to achieve only about one-third of their 2030 goals.
• The People's Republic of China does not have a national target but utilizes provincial targets. Eleven coastal provinces have 2025 targets totaling 64 GW. The Beijing Declaration 2.0, signed October 20, specifies that annual installed wind capacity for 2026-2030 should be at least 120 GW, including at least 15 GW of offshore wind.
• Subnational targets exist in 27 states or provinces across five countries. In the US, 11 states have targets totaling 84 GW. Other subnational targets include three provinces in South Korea, 11 coastal provinces in China, Victoria in Australia (up to 9 GW by 2040), and Nova Scotia in Canada (5 GW by 2030).
• There are 88 countries with offshore wind potential that have not yet set national targets. Among these, nine are members of the Global Offshore Wind Alliance (GOWA): Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Malta, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Saint Lucia, and Trinidad and Tobago.
• Regional targets have been established in Europe, including a North Sea target of 65 GW by 2030, a Baltic Sea target of 19.6 GW by 2030, and an EU-wide target of 111 GW by 2030.

APA

Jones, D. (2025). Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond. Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/10/Report-Global-Offshore-Wind-Targets-1.pdf

Chicago

Jones, Dave. Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond. Ember, 2025. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/10/Report-Global-Offshore-Wind-Targets-1.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Jones |first1=Dave |title=Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond |publisher=Ember |date=30 October 2025 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/10/Report-Global-Offshore-Wind-Targets-1.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{jones2025offshore, author = {Jones, Dave}, title = {{Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2025}, month = oct, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/10/Report-Global-Offshore-Wind-Targets-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }