Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond

The report finds that 27 countries have set national offshore wind targets, with global capacity projected to almost triple from 83 GW in 2024 to 238 GW by 2030. While targets have driven market growth, many countries are expected to miss their 2030 goals due to cost inflation, supply chain pressures, and permitting delays. The analysis highlights a significant gap between current projections and the 413 GW required by 2030 to align with the UAE consensus for tripling renewable capacity.

• A total of 27 countries have established national offshore wind targets, with 22 of these targeting 2030 and 18 setting post-2030 goals. Additionally, there are 27 subnational targets and three regional targets in Europe (North Sea, Baltic Sea, and EU-level).
• Global offshore wind capacity is projected to increase from 83 GW in 2024 to 238 GW by 2030, nearly tripling in six years. However, the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) reduced its 2030 global outlook by 25% over the past year.
• Despite rapid growth, the IEA projects that none of the 12 countries expected to have offshore wind capacity by 2030 will fully meet their targets. The United States is forecast to have the greatest shortfall, while Japan and Korea may only reach about one-third of their 2030 targets.
• There is a gap between current national targets and global climate goals; while national 2030 targets (including China's IEA forecast) reach approximately 395 GW, IRENA indicates that 413 GW is needed by 2030 to track the UAE consensus.
• Seven countries have specific targets for floating offshore wind: the UK (5 GW) and Portugal (2 GW) by 2030, and post-2030 targets for France, Norway, Korea, and the United States. Japan aims for 15 GW of floating wind by 2040.
• China does not have a national target but has 11 coastal provinces with 2025 targets totaling 64 GW. The Beijing Declaration 2.0, signed October 20, 2025, specifies that annual installed wind power capacity during the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) shall include at least 15 GW of offshore wind.
• The World Bank identified 115 countries with offshore wind potential; 88 of these have not yet set targets. Among these, nine are members of the Global Offshore Wind Alliance (GOWA): Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Malta, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Saint Lucia, and Trinidad and Tobago.

APA

Jones, D. (2025). Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond. Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/10/Report-Global-Offshore-Wind-Targets-1.pdf

Chicago

Jones, Dave. Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond. Ember, 2025. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/10/Report-Global-Offshore-Wind-Targets-1.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Jones |first1=Dave |title=Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond |publisher=Ember |date=30 October 2025 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/10/Report-Global-Offshore-Wind-Targets-1.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{jones2025offshore, author = {Jones, Dave}, title = {{Offshore wind targets underpin acceleration to 2030 and beyond}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2025}, month = oct, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/10/Report-Global-Offshore-Wind-Targets-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }