2035년 NDC 강화, 한국 산업경쟁력 열쇠
Summary
The document advocates for a science-based 2035 NDC for South Korea, proposing a minimum 61% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared to 2018. It emphasizes that clear, consistent policies across the power, industry, and transport sectors are essential to attract private investment and maintain global competitiveness, particularly in the face of regulations like the EU's CBAM. Key recommendations include accelerating renewable energy deployment to at least 100GW by 2030, phasing out coal power by 2035, strengthening the K-ETS carbon price, and accelerating the electrification of transport and heavy industry.
Key insights
- To align with a plausible high-ambition pathway toward 2050 net-zero, South Korea should set a 2035 NDC target of at least a 61% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared to 2018 levels.
- The power sector requires a significant increase in renewable energy capacity, with a target of at least 100GW by 2030 and 200GW by 2035, while phasing out all coal-fired power plants by 2035 and abandoning plans to convert coal plants to LNG.
- Industrial competitiveness in heavy industries like steel, petrochemicals, and cement is threatened by low carbon prices and policy inconsistency; the document suggests strengthening the Korea Emissions Trading System (K-ETS) by reducing free allocations for energy-intensive trade-exposed (EITE) sectors.
- South Korea lags behind global competitors in the decarbonization of the petrochemical sector, specifically in the steam cracking process; while international firms have launched large-scale electrically heated steam crackers, no Korean company has officially announced a pilot project for e-crackers as of August 2025.
- The transport sector's current emissions targets for 2030 are insufficient, with average emissions for vehicles under 10 seats projected at 70 g/km by 2030, which exceeds the 45 g/km required by an enhanced 2030 NDC.
- The 2024 Constitutional Court ruling established a legal obligation for the government to strengthen its NDC, stating that the 2030 target was insufficient to protect the fundamental rights of citizens and placed an unfair burden on future generations.
Cite the original document
- APA
- We Mean Business Coalition (2025). 2035년 NDC 강화, 한국 산업경쟁력 열쇠. https://www.wemeanbusinesscoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SFOC-WMBC-NDC강화-국문-초안.pdf.pdf
- Chicago
- We Mean Business Coalition. 2035년 NDC 강화, 한국 산업경쟁력 열쇠. 2025. https://www.wemeanbusinesscoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SFOC-WMBC-NDC강화-국문-초안.pdf.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=We Mean Business Coalition |title=2035년 NDC 강화, 한국 산업경쟁력 열쇠 |date=October 2025 |url=https://www.wemeanbusinesscoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SFOC-WMBC-NDC강화-국문-초안.pdf.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{wemeanbusinesscoalition20252035, author = {{We Mean Business Coalition}}, title = {{2035년 NDC 강화, 한국 산업경쟁력 열쇠}}, institution = {We Mean Business Coalition}, year = {2025}, month = oct, url = {https://www.wemeanbusinesscoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SFOC-WMBC-NDC강화-국문-초안.pdf.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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