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Con la cabeza fuera del agua. ¿Cuánta gente vive en las zonas costeras vulnerables de EE.UU.?
The document details research by Nina Lam and her team at Louisiana State University using GIS and 2006 census data to map population vulnerability to sea-level rise and storms in 23 US coastal states. It finds that approximately 19 million people live within 1 km of the coast and 11.6 million live in areas below 3 meters elevation, with Florida, Louisiana, and New York having the highest numbers of vulnerable residents.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Heat, Dust, and People
The ADAPTE project uses GIS to map the interaction between air pollution and extreme weather (heat and cold waves) to identify health risks in Latin American cities. Findings indicate that PM10 and NOx levels in Mexico City, Santiago, and Bogota significantly exceed WHO standards. The project identifies varying relative risks (RR) for respiratory and cardiovascular mortality based on season and age group, such as higher respiratory risk for children in Bogota during the cold season.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Calor, polvo y gente
The document details the ADAPTE project, which uses GIS to map social vulnerability and mortality risks linked to air pollution and temperature extremes in Latin American cities. It highlights that PM10 and NOx levels in Mexico City, Santiago, and Bogotá significantly exceed WHO standards and notes that respiratory and cardiovascular mortality risks vary by age group and season, particularly in Bogotá.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Green Streets
The study finds that the average York resident has a carbon footprint of 12.58 tonnes of CO2 per year, with housing and transport accounting for 60% of this total. Analysis of Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOAs) reveals significant variation: the highest footprints are found in city centre, rural, and commuter areas, while the lowest are in disadvantaged urban areas or student-heavy neighbourhoods. The report identifies a gap between green attitudes and actual behaviour, noting that some neighbourhoods with strong green attitudes still maintain high footprints. By combining data on emissions, resident attitudes, and local infrastructure, the report identifies specific neighbourhoods with the 'highest potential' for change. For housing, these include Heworth Without Rural and South Bank Central; for transport, the Holgate and Osbaldwick areas are highlighted. The findings support the 'York Green Streets Challenge', a project targeting 100 households to achieve a 10% reduction in their carbon footprint in 2010.
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Document type: Report
Atlas del Mar Patagónico
The Atlas of the Patagonian Sea identifies key marine environments used by 16 species of top predators, including albatrosses, petrels, penguins, and pinnipeds. By integrating over 283,600 satellite localisations, the report maps critical foraging areas on the continental shelf and slope, highlighting the urgent need for open-ocean conservation beyond coastal breeding sites. It identifies significant threats to biodiversity, such as overfishing, bycatch, and pollution, and argues for an integrated ecosystem management approach to protect the region's high biological productivity.
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Document type: Report
Indicators of Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change for Agriculture in the Prairie Region of Canada
The research establishes a GIS-based index of adaptive capacity for the Canadian Prairies, using six determinants: economic resources, technology, information/skills/management, infrastructure, institutions/networks, and equity. The analysis finds that adaptive capacity is generally higher near large urban centres and lower along the northern boundaries of the agricultural region. While the six determinants align with producer perspectives, the study concludes that aggregated census data only accurately represent a fraction of the specific factors producers identify as critical for adaptation, emphasizing the need for site-specific research to inform policy.
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Document type: Research paper
Subnational Variation in Civil Conflict Risk
The authors argue that traditional country-level conflict analysis fails to account for spatial and temporal variations, as conflicts often occur in peripheral regions and are triggered by sudden events. By combining a global logit regression model with a subnational risk index—incorporating population, socioeconomic status, ethno-political exclusion, distance from the capital, and conflict history—the study maps latent conflict risk across twelve Asian countries. The results demonstrate significant internal variation, highlighting high-risk areas in India, Nepal, and the Philippines, while suggesting that irregular regime changes and previous conflict history are powerful predictors of future violence.
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Document type: Research paper
CARBON LEAKAGE FROM THE EU EMISSION TRADING SCHEME: A COMMENT ON THE CEMENT SECTOR
The paper argues that the EU cement sector is more exposed to carbon leakage than generally assumed, particularly in coastal regions. Using two models with a CO2 price of 30 €/t, the author finds that short-term import levels in coastal regions would rise from 13% to 25%, with an overall EU leakage rate of 65%. In the long term, EU cement capacity is projected to decline by 13% as imports become more attractive during peak demand. The author concludes that while output-based allocation might mitigate financial pressure, a severe world recession would likely induce a similar industrial restructuring to that of a full auctioning scheme.
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Document type: Research paper
Wales’ Ecological Footprint - Scenarios to 2020
The report finds that Wales' 2003 ecological footprint was 5.16 global hectares (gha) per person, which is lower than Scotland, England, or any English region. However, the footprint grew by an average of 1.5% per year between 1990 and 2003, mirroring the growth in Gross Value Added (GVA). The analysis identifies housing, food, and personal travel as the three primary contributors, accounting for 63% of the total footprint. The report models scenarios to 2020, suggesting that while current policies may stabilise the footprint, a combined package of expanded retrofitting, food waste reduction, and sustainable travel initiatives could achieve a 6.6% overall reduction in the total footprint by 2020.
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Document type: Research paper
Indicators of Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change for Agriculture in the Prairie Region of Canada
The research establishes a methodology to measure the adaptive capacity of 53 Census Divisions in the Canadian Prairies, organizing 20 indicators into six determinants: economic resources, technology, information/skills/management, infrastructure, institutions/networks, and equity. The analysis reveals that adaptive capacity is strongly correlated with proximity to major urban centres, with the highest capacity clustered around Winnipeg, Saskatoon, Regina, and Calgary, while the lowest capacity is found along the northern boundaries of the agricultural region. The study argues that while some low-capacity areas are currently north of historic drought zones, future climate projections suggest moisture deficits may extend into these vulnerable regions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for interventions in remote rural areas, such as improving high-speed Internet access, promoting sustainable soil management, and ensuring fair commodity prices.
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Document type: Research paper
Focus on Mali
The report identifies critical stresses on biodiversity, food and fibre provision, water supply, and fuel provision across Mali, linking these ecological declines to threats in human nourishment, water access, energy, and livelihoods. It highlights the southern regions of Sikasso, Mopti, and Segou as high-priority areas due to the convergence of high population density, poverty, and deteriorating ecosystem services.
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Document type: Report
Focus on Mauritania
The report identifies five critically stressed ecosystem services in Mauritania: biodiversity maintenance, food and fibre provision, water supply and regulation, fuel provision, and carbon sequestration. These stresses directly impact human well-being, specifically the ability to be adequately nourished, access clean water, obtain energy for cooking and warmth, and earn a livelihood. The analysis highlights that while all regions are affected, Assaba, Gorgol, and Guidimaka are high-priority areas due to the combination of stressed services, threatened well-being, and higher population density. Key drivers of degradation include prolonged droughts, over-grazing, over-hunting, and poorly planned infrastructure like the Diama dam.
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Document type: Report
Focus on Mozambique
The report identifies five critical stressed ecosystem services in Mozambique: biodiversity, food and fibre provision, water supply/purification/regulation, fuel provision, and flood regulation. It links these ecological stresses to threats in human well-being, specifically the ability to be nourished, access clean water, obtain energy, earn a livelihood, and remain secure against extreme events. The analysis highlights that Gaza, Manica, Nampula, Sofala, and Tete are the most critical regions where all five ecosystem services and well-being constituents are threatened. High population density in Nampula and Zambezia also makes them priority areas due to severe chronic malnutrition and poor water access.
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Document type: Report
Focus on Rwanda
The report identifies four critically stressed ecosystem services in Rwanda: maintenance of biodiversity, food and fibre provision, water supply, purification and regulation, and fuel provision. These stresses are linked to threats in human well-being, specifically the ability to be adequately nourished, access clean water, obtain energy for warmth and cooking, and earn a livelihood. The analysis highlights Kibungo and Butare as priority areas where multiple ecosystem services and well-being constituents are simultaneously under threat. The report argues that increasing food production through land expansion is unfeasible and recommends agricultural intensification and improved watershed management.
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Document type: Report
Focus on Tanzania
The report identifies four critically stressed ecosystem services in Tanzania: maintenance of biodiversity, food and fibre provision, water supply/purification/regulation, and fuel provision. These ecological declines directly threaten human well-being, specifically the ability to be adequately nourished, access clean water, obtain energy for cooking and warmth, and earn a livelihood. Morogoro is highlighted as a priority region because it experiences stress across all four ecosystem services and well-being constituents. Pervasive water scarcity and income poverty are noted as mutually reinforcing challenges affecting all mainland regions, driven largely by a high reliance on subsistence farming and a population growth rate of five per cent annually.
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Document type: Report
ADAPTACIÓN AL CALENTAMIENTO GLOBAL: ¿DÓNDE Y A QUÉ ADAPTARNOS?
The document analyzes temperature trends in the central Peruvian Andes using MODIS satellite data, finding that warming is occurring across the region but intensifies with altitude. It highlights the risk to high-mountain ecosystems and water supplies, urging for targeted research and adaptation policies for high-risk regions and crops.
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Document type: Policy brief
5-f4c76b48d4628256.pdf
This report identifies and maps National Strategic Water Source Areas (SWSAs) across South Africa, Lesotho, and Swaziland, defining them as areas that supply a disproportionate amount of mean annual runoff relative to their land area. The document evaluates the ecological condition, protection levels, and threats to these areas—including land cover modification and mining—while also providing an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) for the proposed Yzermyn Underground Coal Mine in Mpumalanga.
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Document type: Report
BRIEF OVERVIEW OF POTENTIAL ECOSYSTEM IMPACTS OF MARINE PHOSPHATE MINING IN THE WESTERN CAPE, SOUTH AFRICA
The report warns that bulk marine sediment mining in the Western Cape would likely cause the 'effective destruction and removal of the benthic ecosystem' within mined areas, with recovery potentially taking decades or being permanent. It highlights significant spatial overlaps between proposed prospecting areas and vulnerable benthic habitats, priority conservation regions, and commercial trawl fisheries. Potential impacts include acoustic disturbance to marine mammals and fish, water-column chemistry alterations leading to hypoxia, and the re-suspension of heavy metals. The author argues that the permanent alteration of sea floor habitats is 'inevitable' with deep-sea dredging and calls for a cautious approach to protect biodiversity and sustainable fishery resources.
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Document type: Report
dr-pixley-ka-isaka-seme-lm-final-sdf-2020-bf4ef95fc1e0ab14.pdf
The Dr Pixley ka Isaka Seme Local Municipality's Spatial Development Framework (SDF) 2020 provides a long-term spatial vision to transform the region's apartheid-era layout into a sustainable, integrated environment. The plan identifies a nodal hierarchy with Volksrust and Vukuzakhe as primary nodes, and Amersfoort, Perdekop, and Wakkerstroom as secondary nodes, with Daggakraal as a rural node. Key strategies focus on densification to prevent urban sprawl, the protection of high-potential agricultural land, and the development of tourism, particularly in the Wakkerstroom wetland area. The framework also addresses critical infrastructure backlogs, projecting a need for 10,234 additional housing units by 2040 and significant increases in water and electricity demand. Environmental management is central, with specific guidelines to protect biodiversity and mitigate climate change through 'green infrastructure' and eco-friendly building materials.
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Document type: Report
Blue-Green Municipalities: Economic analysis of selected counties in São Paulo State
The report analyzes the impact of the Green-Blue County Program on forest cover in 28 selected counties in São Paulo State, Brazil, amidst expanding sugarcane production. Using multiple and simple linear regression models, the study examines the relationship between forest cover changes and various socioeconomic, agricultural, and policy indicators. While the quantitative models showed limited statistical significance in explaining forest cover variability, the analysis suggests that 'green' certified counties generally experienced higher forest preservation and restoration compared to 'non-green' counties. The report concludes that the program's broad scope and the low weighting of forest-specific directives may limit its direct impact on vegetation cover, and suggests that more targeted policies and primary data collection are needed to better understand land use drivers.
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Document type: Report