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O REVELAR DO POTENCIAL: IMPULSIONANDO O CRESCIMENTO E O DESENVOLVIMENTO INCLUSIVOS EM MOÇAMBIQUE
The report analyzes Mozambique's development prospects through 2043 using the International Futures (IFs) modeling platform. It finds that under the current trajectory, Mozambique is unlikely to meet most of its national development goals due to governance failures, infrastructure gaps, and low agricultural productivity. While liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects are expected to boost GDP, they are not projected to significantly reduce extreme poverty without broader structural reforms. The report evaluates eight sectoral scenarios, concluding that infrastructure investment has the highest impact on GDP growth, while a combined approach across all sectors—including agriculture, governance, and trade—offers the most substantial improvements in poverty reduction and per capita income.
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Document type: Report
Global Markers in South Africa's Just Energy Transition
The document argues that a 'Just Energy Transition' in South Africa requires more than decarbonisation; it necessitates a radical socio-economic transformation involving 'energy democracy' and inclusive industrialisation. It highlights the role of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Program (REIPPPP) and the importance of decentralised energy governance and regional leadership to ensure equitable benefits for marginalised communities.
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Document type: Report
Ke Ka Baka La’ng Afrika Borwa E Hloka Tokelo Ya Letseno La Motheo La Batho Bohle?
The document advocates for a Universal Basic Income Guarantee (UBIG) in South Africa, defining it as a regular payment to all adults to ensure basic needs are met. It highlights that while social grants have historically reduced poverty, significant gaps remain for adults aged 18 to 59 due to high unemployment. The text argues that UBIG would not only eliminate hunger for the estimated 18.3 million people lacking sufficient income for basic food but also improve health, education, gender equality, and local economic growth by stimulating spending in communities.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Indlela I-UBIG Engakuhambisela Phambili Ngayo Ukulingana Ngokwesini Nokumanyana Kwabantu
The document outlines how a Universal Basic Income Guarantee (UBIG) can address systemic gender inequalities and social instability in South Africa. It highlights the economic vulnerability of women, who face higher unemployment and perform unpaid care work, and suggests that unconditional cash transfers can increase women's autonomy and reduce intimate partner violence. Additionally, the text argues that UBIG fosters social cohesion by reducing poverty-related crime and increasing trust in local governance, provided the benefit is universal rather than means-tested.
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Document type: Fact sheet
LELOKELELO LA LETLAKALA LA TSHEDIMOŠO YA UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME GUARANTEE (TOKELO YA LETSENO LA MOTHEO LA BATHO BOHLE) KAMOO UBIG E KA GODIŠAGO TOKA YA BONG GOTEE LE KGOKAGANO YA LEAGO
The document outlines how a Universal Basic Income Guarantee (UBIG) can address systemic gender inequalities and social instability in South Africa. It argues that by providing a guaranteed income to all adults, UBIG empowers women—who face higher unemployment and unpaid care burdens—and reduces intimate partner violence. Furthermore, the text asserts that unconditional cash transfers strengthen social cohesion, increase trust in government, and lower crime rates, contrasting these benefits with conditional transfers that can create social division.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Werksgeleenthede Versus Toelaes
The fact sheet challenges the narrative that social grants discourage work or hinder economic growth in South Africa. It argues that income support actually increases autonomy, enables job seeking by reducing poverty, and stimulates local economies through a multiplier effect. The document advocates for a Guaranteed Universal Basic Income (UBIG) to address structural poverty, support unpaid care work—primarily performed by women—and provide workers with the leverage to refuse exploitative employment.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Imisebenzi Xa Ithelekiswa Nenkxaso-Mali
The document challenges the notion that social grants create a 'cycle of dependency' or hinder economic growth in South Africa. It argues that basic income supports job seekers by reducing poverty-related barriers, stimulates local economies through increased spending, and provides a safety net that empowers workers to negotiate better wages and conditions. The text emphasizes that employment and social support are complementary rather than contradictory, particularly for unpaid caregivers and those in structural poverty.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Imisebenzi Iqhathaniswa Nezibonelelo
The document challenges the belief that social grants discourage work, asserting instead that unconditional cash transfers can increase labor market participation and stimulate local economies. It argues that because structural poverty in South Africa prevents many from succeeding through hard work alone, and because essential unpaid care work (primarily by women) is ignored by traditional employment metrics, a UBIG is necessary to ensure a dignified life and provide a safety net that empowers workers to negotiate better conditions.
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Document type: Fact sheet
LELOKELELO LA LETLAKALA LA TSHEDIMOŠO YA UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME GUARANTEE (TOKELO YA LETSENO LA MOTHEO LA BATHO BOHLE) MEŠOMO KGAHLANONG LE TŠHELETE YA MPHIWAFELA: Na pholisi ya mošomo le ya letseno la motheo ke mokgwa wa tša thekišano?
The document challenges the notion that social grants discourage work, asserting instead that a basic income guarantee supports labor market participation by reducing poverty and providing a safety net. It provides evidence from South Africa and other Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs) to show that cash transfers can stimulate local economies, improve educational outcomes, and empower workers to seek better employment conditions. The text emphasizes that UBIG is particularly essential for women, who perform significant unpaid care work, and for the millions of South Africans living in poverty due to systemic economic structures.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Création d'emplois verts grâce aux solutions d’ERD en Afrique de l’Ouest
A fact sheet by the Alliance for Renewable Electrification (ARE) and Konrad Adenauer Foundation (KAS) highlighting the potential for decentralized renewable energy (DRE) to create over 40,000 direct jobs in Ghana and Senegal by 2030. It emphasizes that DRE creates more jobs than fossil fuels or large-scale renewables and provides a pathway to formal employment for women, youth, and informal workers. The document outlines policy recommendations for West African governments, including VAT exemptions for equipment, carbon finance exploration, and gender-inclusive energy policies.
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Document type: Fact sheet
A just coal transition in Indonesia
The report analyzes the complexities of Indonesia's transition away from coal, highlighting a conflict between government/industry priorities—which focus on economic stability and coal derivatives—and the social and environmental priorities of civil society. It identifies significant barriers, including a quasi-monopoly on electricity by the state-owned PLN, deep political ties between coal oligarchs and policymakers, and a lack of coordination between national and regional governments. While initiatives like the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) and Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM) show progress, the report argues that a truly just transition requires economic diversification, reskilling of the workforce, and the reclamation of abandoned mines.
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Document type: Report
Qual É o Risco Climático para os Produtores Rurais na Caatinga?
The report analyzes the high climate vulnerability of the Caatinga biome, highlighting that family farmers—who manage 79% of rural properties in the region—are the most exposed to drought. Using an aridity index, the study demonstrates that increased aridity leads to significant relative losses in the productivity of beans, maize, and livestock compared to other Brazilian biomes. Beyond immediate agricultural losses, the report establishes correlations between increased aridity and worsening socio-economic outcomes, including higher poverty rates, increased infant mortality, higher school delay rates in primary education, and increased unemployment. It argues that a 'just rural transition' in the region requires integrating social policies with low-carbon agricultural technologies to build resilience among the most vulnerable producers.
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Document type: Report
SADC Futures of Green Infrastructure: Visionary Scenarios and Transformative Pathways to Regeneration
The document analyzes the historical 'lock-in' of SADC's infrastructure, which has been driven by colonial mercantile systems and extractive economic imperatives. It contends that current infrastructure is elitist and ecologically unsustainable, failing to meet the needs of the region's growing population. To counter this, the authors propose a 'regenerative' approach based on circular economies and human wellbeing. The paper presents three visionary scenarios—one driven by political response to climate migration, one by bottom-up civic innovation, and one by ESG-led market incentives—to illustrate potential pathways toward sustainable development. It concludes with recommendations for policy reform, including the creation of a Green Infrastructure Task Team and the adoption of community-based public-private partnerships (C-PPPs).
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Document type: Research paper
Development prospects for the Horn of Africa countries to 2040
The Horn of Africa faces severe challenges including governance failure, chronic food insecurity, and high poverty rates, with no countries on track to eliminate extreme poverty by 2030. The region is characterized by a very young population and high dependence on rain-fed agriculture, which is increasingly threatened by climate change and conflict. While Ethiopia and Sudan dominate the regional GDP, most nations suffer from poor infrastructure and dysfunctional health and education systems. The report models an 'Integrated Development Push' scenario involving improvements in governance, agriculture, and human capital, which could significantly increase regional GDP and reduce extreme poverty by 2040.
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Document type: Report
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
Tunisia has achieved high adult literacy and education levels, ranking ninth in Africa for average years of education. However, the system faces significant bottlenecks in upper secondary completion due to language policies requiring French for science subjects. Quality is declining, evidenced by falling PISA scores and a drop in baccalaureate pass rates from 52% in 2016 to 41% in 2018. There are also stark geographical disparities, with resources concentrated in Greater Tunis and coastal areas, leaving rural regions like Kairouan underserved. The report argues that the curriculum is disconnected from job market needs, contributing to economic instability and the historical drivers of the Freedom and Dignity Revolution.
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Document type: Report
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
The document analyzes poverty trends in Tunisia, noting that while extreme poverty (US$1.90/day) is largely eliminated, poverty measured at higher thresholds is projected to increase until 2030. It highlights significant disparities in rural areas and among children, and argues that inefficient energy subsidies threaten fiscal sustainability, suggesting a shift toward targeted social assistance and universal child allowances.
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Document type: Report
TOWARDS A JUST TRANSITION IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN FOOD SYSTEM – KEY ISSUES AND COMPETING PERSPECTIVES
The document analyzes the South African food system as a site of deep social inequality and climate vulnerability. It highlights a dualistic production structure where a small number of large-scale commercial farms dominate, while millions of smallholder farmers lack resources. The paper details the system's vulnerability to climate change—specifically heatwaves, droughts, and rainfall variability—and its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, primarily through livestock and synthetic fertilizers. It critiques 'market-centred' and 'technofix' approaches to sustainability, advocating instead for a 'deep just transition' based on agroecology, food sovereignty, and the redistribution of power and resources to ensure the right to food and decent work for all.
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Document type: Research paper
A Sustainable Asset Valuation of Non-Motorized Transport in Coimbatore
The assessment of Coimbatore's proposed Non-Motorized Transport (NMT) network reveals that while traditional benefit-cost ratios suggest the project is not investment-worthy, a sustainable valuation (S-BCR) shows a ratio of 4.75 per USD invested. The project, which involves 300 km of routes to be completed by 2035, is projected to generate a cumulative net benefit of USD 486.1 million between 2022 and 2045, primarily driven by avoided costs from traffic accidents and improved public health.
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Document type: Fact sheet
RAPPORT SUR LES MARCHÉS MONDIAUX
The report analyzes the global cotton industry, highlighting the growth of sustainable cotton produced under voluntary sustainability standards (VSS) and the challenges posed by climate change and market volatility. It examines the disparity in value distribution across the textile supply chain, where smallholder farmers receive a minimal fraction of retail prices. While VSS like Better Cotton and Organic can improve yields and incomes, the report notes that many sustainable products are sold at conventional prices. It recommends improving contract transparency, internalizing external costs, and developing regional value chains, particularly in West Africa, to enhance resilience and farmer income.
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Document type: Report
The Case for Just Transitions in the Energy, Agricultural, and Ready-Made Garments Sectors in Bangladesh
The report argues that while Bangladesh must transition to a low-carbon, climate-resilient economy, this process must be 'just' to avoid harming vulnerable groups. It examines three key sectors: the ready-made garments (RMG) sector, which faces environmental and labour rights challenges; the energy sector, which is shifting from fossil fuels to renewables; and the agricultural sector, which is highly vulnerable to climate change and shifting toward commercial agribusiness. The document emphasizes that a just transition requires inclusive stakeholder dialogue, reskilling of workers, gender-sensitive policies, and increased international climate finance to support social protection and infrastructure.
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Document type: Report