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Split Transition: BRICS Breaks Renewable Records and Fossil Records Too
In 2025, the BRICS nations experienced their largest power capacity expansion on record, characterized by a 'split transition' where both fossil fuels and renewables reached historic highs. While 125 GW of new coal, oil, and gas capacity was added, solar and wind additions totaled 497 GW. This growth was heavily concentrated in China and India, where record renewable deployment began to reduce coal-fired generation despite continued coal capacity expansion. In contrast, other BRICS members like Russia and Iran remain overwhelmingly fossil-based, while Brazil, South Africa, Egypt, and the UAE show varying degrees of renewable growth and fossil fuel reliance.
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Document type: Report
Boom-Bust-Coal-2024-Vietnamese
This document is a Vietnamese translation of excerpts from the 'Boom & Burst Coal 2024' report by Global Energy Monitor and its partners. It analyzes global coal power trends in 2023, highlighting a dichotomy where new construction has hit a 9-year low outside China but an 8-year high within China. The report provides a detailed assessment of Vietnam's energy transition, focusing on the Power Development Plan VIII (PDP8) and the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP), while noting that global coal capacity reached an all-time high in 2023.
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Document type: Report
Boom and Bust Coal 2026
The report identifies a widening gap between coal capacity and generation, particularly in China and India, where new plants are built as 'system insurance' while renewables displace coal in actual output. Globally, the coal pipeline is narrowing geographically, with 95% of construction concentrated in China and India. However, the report notes a significant slowdown in retirements in the U.S. and EU due to policy interventions and energy security concerns. Regional analyses highlight Indonesia's growth in captive coal for industrial processing, the U.S.'s political push to sustain aging plants, and the EU's structural shift toward a coal-free system. The document also examines the impact of the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism on the Western Balkans and the challenges of rebuilding Ukraine's energy system.
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Document type: Report
Decade of defiance
Global Witness reports that 200 land and environmental defenders were murdered in 2021, contributing to a ten-year total of 1,733 killings. The report identifies land inequality, corruption, and shrinking civic space as primary drivers of this violence, with Indigenous peoples disproportionately targeted. Analysis focuses on high-risk regions including Latin America, where over three-quarters of 2021 attacks occurred, and specific countries like Mexico, Colombia, Brazil, and the Philippines. The document advocates for the implementation of the Escazú Agreement and the strengthening of the EU's Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive to end corporate impunity.
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Document type: Report
Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025
The document identifies two sets of drivers influencing Africa's future: external 'megatrends'—including the shift of power from West to East and climate change—and domestic 'African variables' such as population dynamics and governance. It argues that while Africa will not be a primary driver of global scenarios in the coming decades, its importance will grow, and its trajectory will depend heavily on the accountability and decisions of its leadership.
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Document type: Report
Africa's Futures
Africa is experiencing rapid population growth and urbanisation, with a projected population of over 1.8 billion by 2035. While the continent shows a positive overall trend, growth is heterogeneous and often outpaced by population increases, leading to a projected rise in the number of people living in extreme poverty. The report highlights a 'demographic dividend' that remains delayed due to high fertility rates, and notes that while global democratic trends are declining, popular support for democracy in Africa remains strong despite fragile foundations. Security is shifting from large-scale interstate conflicts toward more complex, lower-fatality violence, including urban riots and terrorism. Economic growth is hindered by a lack of structural transformation and a significant infrastructure deficit, particularly in basic services like water and sanitation, which the report argues are more critical for poverty reduction than traditional trade infrastructure.
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Document type: Report
The Global "GO-TO THINK TANKS”
The report provides a comprehensive mapping of the global think tank landscape, identifying 5,080 such institutions worldwide. It specifically highlights the 'go-to' think tanks through a selection process involving peer nominations and expert panels, resulting in a list of the top 10 and top 30 think tanks globally (excluding the US), as well as a separate ranking of the top 30 US-based institutions. The document also analyzes the growth and recent decline in the establishment of new think tanks, attributing these trends to factors such as the information revolution, globalization, and changing donor priorities.
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Document type: Report
Data trends from the African Environmental Defenders Fund
Between 2022 and 2024, the African Environmental Defenders Initiative documented 232 non-lethal attacks against environmental defenders, with 67% occurring in East Africa. Uganda was the most affected country, accounting for 42% of cases, largely driven by opposition to the East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP). The report identifies government (34%) and multinational/investment companies (20%) as the primary perpetrators. Women defenders face specific gendered threats, including the withholding of sanitary products during detention and social stigmatization. The document also details country-specific conflicts, such as conservation-linked violence in Kenya, industrial mining in the DRC, and illegal logging in Madagascar, while highlighting the role of the African Environmental Defenders Fund in providing emergency legal and psychosocial support.
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Document type: Report
Conflict trends: A global overview, 1946–2025
The report finds that 2025 was the third most violent year since 1989, with 245,000 battle-related deaths. It highlights a record high of 65 state-based conflicts and a concerning doubling of international conflicts to eight in 2025. While non-state conflicts decreased slightly, one-sided violence surged to 76,500 fatalities, primarily driven by massacres in Sudan.
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Document type: Research paper
Conflict Trends in Africa, 1989–2019
The paper analyzes conflict dynamics in Africa from 1989 to 2019, noting a record high of 25 state-based conflicts in 2019, many of which are low-intensity or involve the Islamic State. While Africa faces rising non-state conflicts and one-sided violence, it also leads other regions in the number of definitive ceasefires and peace agreements. The study further details the growth of UN peacekeeping operations in the region from 1994 to 2018, highlighting a significant increase in troop deployment peaking in 2010.
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Document type: Research paper
Conflict Trends in Asia, 1989–2019
The document analyzes conflict dynamics in Asia from 1989 to 2019 using UCDP data. It finds that while state-based conflicts are generally declining and often low-intensity, Afghanistan remains a critical exception and the most violent setting in the region and the world. Asia recorded the highest absolute number of ceasefires globally between 1989 and 2018, but peace agreements have declined since 2006. Non-state conflicts in Asia are declining, contrary to global trends, while one-sided violence is generally decreasing but saw a recent increase in 2019 driven by Afghanistan.
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Document type: Research paper
THE YEAR OF THE ELECTRIC CAR SCENARIOS FOR SOUTHERN AFRICA
The document outlines predictable trends and critical unknowns for the Southern African region, noting a decline in solar energy costs and increasing climate vulnerability, while questioning the pace of EV adoption, infrastructure availability, and the role of South Africa's auto-manufacturing protections.
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Document type: Fact sheet
The Dramatic Shift Away from Coal-Fired Electricity in the United States from 2008 to 2016
The document analyzes the decline of coal-fired power in the US, noting that over 20% of the 2016 capacity is uneconomic compared to natural gas. It projects further retirements through 2030 and discusses the economic and environmental implications for local communities.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Southern Forests for the Future
The report examines the ecological and economic importance of southern US forests, noting they provide 18% of global pulpwood despite covering only 2% of world forest area. It details a historical net decline of 40% in forest extent since European settlement and projects that suburban development will convert 19 million acres of forest between 2020 and 2040. The document highlights that 87% of these forests are privately owned, making the implementation of market-based incentives—such as carbon sequestration payments and conservation easements—critical for future sustainability, though current adoption of these measures remains mixed.
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Document type: Report
Eutrophication: Sources and Drivers of Nutrient Pollution
The document describes eutrophication as a growing environmental crisis, noting that over 500 coastal areas are impacted and dead zones increased from 10 cases in 1960 to 405 in 2008. It attributes this trend to human activities, specifically wastewater, agriculture, and nitrogen deposition from fossil fuel combustion. The brief predicts that eutrophication will continue to increase, particularly in the developing world, driven by a projected population of 9.2 billion by 2050, a 54 percent expected increase in global meat consumption between 2002 and 2030, and a 50 percent projected growth in energy consumption from 2005 to 2030.
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Document type: Policy brief
Material Flows in the United States
The report examines material flow trends in the United States across the metal and minerals, nonrenewable organic materials (including fossil fuels), agriculture, and forestry sectors. It argues that while the U.S. possesses high-quality economic data on productivity and employment, conventional economic accounts fail to provide sufficient information regarding the long-term societal costs of environmental degradation. Consequently, the document proposes policy alternatives for the U.S. government to better integrate material flow accounts into decision-making.
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Document type: Report
Heavy Precipitation in the U.S. and the Climate Change Connection
Since the late 1950s, the United States has experienced an increase in heavy precipitation driven by human-caused climate change, which allows the atmosphere to hold more moisture. These events, exacerbated by aging infrastructure and non-permeable land surfaces, increase the risk of urban and flash floods, damage agriculture through soil erosion and crop loss, and disrupt transportation systems.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Fact Sheet: 2012, A Year of Record-Breaking Extreme Weather and Climate
The United States experienced its hottest year on record in 2012, amidst a global trend where each of the last five decades has been the warmest on record. The document highlights the increasing frequency and cost of extreme weather, noting that 2011 and 2012 each saw more billion-dollar disasters than any previous year. Specifically, Hurricane Sandy caused nearly $80 billion in losses for New York and New Jersey, amplified by an 8-inch rise in global sea levels over the last century.
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Document type: Fact sheet
The State of Ocean-Based Climate Action in 2025 Nationally Determined Contributions: A Preliminary Update
The document analyzes the integration of ocean-based climate actions in 2025 NDCs, noting a general upward trend in inclusion among coastal and island nations following the Global Stocktake.
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Document type: Research paper
Extreme Wildfires: A Growing Threat—and a Call to Support Indigenous and Community Leadership
The paper analyzes tree cover loss from 2001 to 2024 across Australia, Brazil, Canada, and the United States, finding that while Indigenous- and community-held lands generally have the lowest deforestation rates, they face increasing risks from extreme wildfires. These risks are driven by climate change, deforestation, and historical fire suppression policies. The study specifically notes a fifteenfold increase in fire-driven tree cover loss on these lands in Brazil and significant losses in Australia during the 2019–20 fire season. The authors recommend securing land rights, reviving cultural burning, funding community-led fire brigades, and ending land-clearing fires to protect biodiversity and climate stability.
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Document type: Research paper