Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025

This monograph by the Institute for Security Studies examines the external 'megatrends' and internal 'African variables' that will shape Africa's global position by 2025, emphasizing that the continent's future depends on the leadership and accountability of its decision-makers.

• The future of Africa is being shaped by two sets of factors: external 'megatrends' over which the continent has little control, and domestic 'African variables'. The external trends include the shift of global power from West to East, climate change, globalisation, and the complexity of state power and interdependence. The domestic variables include trade, population dynamics, peace and stability, and governance/democratisation.
• While the region's importance is expected to increase steadily, African developments are not projected to be a substantive driver or factor in global scenarios for the next two to three decades, occurring against a backdrop of industry and influence shifting from the West to the East.
• The trajectory of Africa's future will be decided by the leadership and daily decisions of its elected and unelected 'Big Men', specifically regarding democratic accountability, conflict of interest, and contacts, rather than the scale of their ideas.

APA

Cilliers, J. (n.d.). Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.org/research/monographs/africa-in-the-new-world-how-global-and-domestic-developments-will-impact-by-2025

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie. Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025. Institute for Security Studies, n.d. https://issafrica.org/research/monographs/africa-in-the-new-world-how-global-and-domestic-developments-will-impact-by-2025.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |title=Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |url=https://issafrica.org/research/monographs/africa-in-the-new-world-how-global-and-domestic-developments-will-impact-by-2025 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliersndafrica, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie}, title = {{Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, url = {https://issafrica.org/research/monographs/africa-in-the-new-world-how-global-and-domestic-developments-will-impact-by-2025}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }