Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025

The document identifies two sets of drivers influencing Africa's future: external 'megatrends'—including the shift of power from West to East and climate change—and domestic 'African variables' such as population dynamics and governance. It argues that while Africa will not be a primary driver of global scenarios in the coming decades, its importance will grow, and its trajectory will depend heavily on the accountability and decisions of its leadership.

• The future of Africa is influenced by four external 'megatrends' over which the continent has limited control: the global shift of power from the West to the East, the effects of climate change, globalisation, and the nature of state power, interdependence, and complexity.
• Domestic developments, termed 'African variables', also shape the continent's future, specifically population dynamics, trade, peace and stability, and governance and democratisation.
• Although Africa's global importance is expected to increase steadily, it is not anticipated to become a substantive driver of global scenarios within the next twenty to thirty years.

APA

Cilliers, J. (n.d.). Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.org/research/monographs/africa-in-the-new-world-how-global-and-domestic-developments-will-impact-by-2025

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie. Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025. Institute for Security Studies, n.d. https://issafrica.org/research/monographs/africa-in-the-new-world-how-global-and-domestic-developments-will-impact-by-2025.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |title=Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |url=https://issafrica.org/research/monographs/africa-in-the-new-world-how-global-and-domestic-developments-will-impact-by-2025 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliersndafrica, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie}, title = {{Africa in the New World: how Global and Domestic Developments will Impact by 2025}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, url = {https://issafrica.org/research/monographs/africa-in-the-new-world-how-global-and-domestic-developments-will-impact-by-2025}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }