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A TOOLKIT FOR ZAMBIAN POLICYMAKERS AND URBAN PLANNERS
The document outlines the challenges of urban food insecurity in Zambia, drawing on household surveys from 14 cities. It advocates for a diverse urban food system that integrates formal and informal sources, such as street vending and urban agriculture. The toolkit details how the Constituency Development Fund (CDF) can be used for food-system investments and maps specific local and national policies—including those related to land, energy, and climate change—that can be leveraged to improve food access and affordability.
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Document type: Guide
Using Climate Risk Assessment to Measure Adaptation Success at the National Level
The report explores how repeating national climate risk assessments (CRAs) can support the monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) of national adaptation efforts. While CRAs are traditionally used to inform planning, the author argues they can also track changes in vulnerability over time to assess adaptation success. Analysis of 12 countries reveals a shift toward viewing CRAs as continuous learning processes rather than static reports, with a growing consensus that updates should occur roughly every five years to align with policy cycles. However, the report finds that fully standardized approaches to repeating CRAs are often impractical due to evolving science and shifting policy priorities. Instead, it suggests a flexible approach where only specific components are standardized. Early adopters like Germany and the United Kingdom have begun using CRAs to evaluate NAP effectiveness, though they face methodological challenges, including the time lag between implementing measures and seeing tangible risk reductions.
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Document type: Report
Zambia Takes an Inclusive Approach to Developing a Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning Framework for its National Adaptation Plan
Zambia has revised its monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) framework for its National Adaptation Plan (NAP) to improve coherence across national policies and ensure inclusive, sub-national engagement. The framework aims to provide evidence-based reporting, promote accountability, and integrate gender-responsive measures across nine priority sectors. Key efforts include aligning indicators with the 8th National Development Plan and Nationally Determined Contributions, and establishing a data flow process from ward and district levels up to national ministries.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Utiliser l’évaluation des risques climatiques pour mesurer la réussite de l’adaptation au niveau national
The report explores how national climate risk assessments (CRAs) can transition from one-off planning documents to iterative tools for monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL). Based on analysis from 12 countries, it argues that while periodic CRAs are essential for evidence-based National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), a fully standardized approach is often impractical due to evolving scientific knowledge and shifting policy priorities. The document highlights that countries like Germany and the UK are beginning to use CRAs to assess whether vulnerability is decreasing, though methodological challenges remain, such as the time lag between adaptation action and observable risk reduction.
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Document type: Report
SADC Futures of Green Infrastructure: Visionary Scenarios and Transformative Pathways to Regeneration
The document analyzes the historical 'lock-in' of SADC's infrastructure, which has been driven by colonial mercantile systems and extractive economic imperatives. It contends that current infrastructure is elitist and ecologically unsustainable, failing to meet the needs of the region's growing population. To counter this, the authors propose a 'regenerative' approach based on circular economies and human wellbeing. The paper presents three visionary scenarios—one driven by political response to climate migration, one by bottom-up civic innovation, and one by ESG-led market incentives—to illustrate potential pathways toward sustainable development. It concludes with recommendations for policy reform, including the creation of a Green Infrastructure Task Team and the adoption of community-based public-private partnerships (C-PPPs).
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Document type: Research paper
Portfolio Overview
The GCF Risk Dashboard for Q2 2023 reports that portfolio-level risks remain within Board-approved tolerances, with no non-performing loans and liquid assets at approved levels. As of 30 June 2023, the portfolio consists of 216 approved funding proposals totaling USD 12.03 billion in equivalent terms. Funding is distributed across Africa (36%), Asia-Pacific (34%), and LATAM & Car. (26%), with a focus on mitigation (41%) and adaptation (23%), alongside cross-cutting projects. The fund's commitment authority increased significantly due to a USD 1 billion contribution from the United States. While concentration risks are within limits, the portfolio is skewed toward International Accredited Entities and the 'Energy access and power generation' sector. The report also tracks several projects facing implementation delays and identifies a projected 12-month forward liquid asset portfolio of USD 8.9 billion.
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Document type: Report
After the Paris Summit: a global financial architecture that works for Africa
The author assesses the outcomes of the Paris summit for a new global financial pact, noting the emergence of a unified African voice demanding debt restructuring, increased climate finance, and equal representation in global institutions. While acknowledging progress such as Zambia's debt restructuring and the World Bank's debt pause for disaster-hit countries, the author emphasizes the need for a 'Marrakesh Declaration' to solidify Africa's position ahead of future summits in Nairobi, Marrakesh, and Dubai.
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Document type: Statement
El futuro de la tributación de los recursos naturales: 10 ideas de política fiscal para movilizar los ingresos provenientes de la minería
The report examines the current state of mining taxation and proposes ten innovative policy ideas to increase government revenue. It highlights the shift toward critical minerals for the energy transition and the risks posed by automation and profit shifting. The proposed ideas include minimum profit sharing, production sharing contracts, state equity, state-owned enterprises, variable royalties, the 'Sixth Method' for transfer pricing, carbon pricing, development taxes for communities, competitive bidding for licenses, and remote monitoring for quarries. It also provides a framework for evaluating these reforms and discusses the legal challenges associated with fiscal stabilization clauses and international investment treaties.
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Document type: Report
La fiscalité minière du futur : 10 idées de politique fiscale pour mobiliser les revenus du secteur minier
The document argues that traditional mining tax regimes (corporate income tax and royalties) are often insufficient or vulnerable to profit shifting. It proposes ten alternatives, including variable royalties, production sharing contracts, and state equity participation, while addressing the impact of the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the need for better production monitoring through remote sensing technology.
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Document type: Report
O futuro da tributação de recursos: 10 ideias de políticas para mobilizar a receita fiscal da mineração
The guide examines the current state of mining taxation, highlighting challenges such as base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS), and proposes ten innovative policy ideas to improve revenue mobilization. These include minimum profit shares, production sharing contracts, variable royalties, and the 'Sixth Method' for transfer pricing. It also addresses the impact of the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and suggests the implementation of domestic carbon pricing and remote monitoring technologies for industrial minerals. The document emphasizes the need for transparent governance, professional board management for state-owned enterprises, and a balanced approach to fiscal stability clauses to ensure sustainable development.
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Document type: Guide
Consideration of funding proposals – Addendum VI Funding proposal package for FP211
The "Hardest-to-Reach" (H2R) programme aims to provide clean, climate-resilient off-grid solar (OGS) energy to 72.4 million people across 16 sub-Saharan African countries. The initiative utilizes a two-pronged financing approach: a $50 million grant-funded Market Support Facility (MSF) to support market entry and capacity building for new players, and a $200 million blended finance Market Expansion Facility (MEF) providing impact-linked loans to scale existing OGS companies. The programme targets a mitigation outcome of 5.1 million tCO2eq avoided and an adaptation outcome of 54.3 million first-time energy access beneficiaries. It emphasizes gender inclusivity, targeting 32% female customers and creating approximately 13,922 green jobs, including 4,641 for women.
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Document type: Report
Cost of Capital for Renewable Energy Investments in Developing Economies And the need for a Global Credit Guarantee Facility
The research identifies a significant gap between solar radiation potential and installed capacity in lower-income countries, driven by high costs of capital linked to sovereign, political, and off-taker risks. To address this, the authors propose a Global Credit Guarantee Facility (GCGF) with a suggested capitalization of USD 6.6 billion to provide partial guarantees for cross-border debt. The paper models two approaches for the GCGF's impact: one reducing overall risk premiums by an average of 6% and another reducing them by 3% by focusing solely on default rates. The facility aims to mobilize approximately USD 120 billion in debt to meet the 2030 solar targets of shortlisted emerging market and developing economy countries.
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Document type: Research paper
New Trends in Chinese Infrastructure Lending to Africa
The document identifies a sharp decline in Chinese infrastructure lending to Africa since 2016, driven by debt sustainability concerns, China's domestic economic contraction, and global shocks. In response, three trends have emerged: a diversification of lenders and partners, a shift toward 'small is beautiful' projects with smaller loans and shorter repayment windows, and the adoption of new funding models like build-operate-transfer (BOT) and integrated investment, construction and operation (IICO) to reduce sovereign debt loads.
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Document type: Policy brief
Societal Transformation Through Long-term Decarbonisation and Climate-Resilience Planning
The document examines Long-Term Strategies (LTSs) as economy-wide planning instruments mandated by the Paris Agreement to guide countries toward net-zero emissions by mid-century. It highlights that while LTSs provide a vital link between short-term Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and long-term goals, global adoption is currently insufficient to limit warming to 1.5°C. For African nations, the author argues that LTSs must balance mitigation with adaptation and socio-economic development. The briefing outlines best practices for LTS development, including policy coherence, stakeholder engagement, high-level political leadership, and the use of strategic foresight tools, while citing specific examples from countries like South Africa, Nigeria, and Ethiopia.
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Document type: Briefing
SADC Futures of Green Industrialisation: A Call for an Alternative Paradigm?
The document critiques current green industrialisation (GI) strategies in the SADC region for remaining tethered to linear economic growth models and 'greenwashing'. It proposes a 'regenerative' alternative based on principles of holism, biomimicry, and African indigenous philosophies like Ubuntu and Ukama. Through scenario analysis, the authors present three possible futures: a business-as-usual scenario (Scenario A), a dystopian 'Apocalyptic Africa' (Scenario B) marked by extreme climate disasters and resource wars, and a 'Regenerative Revival' (Scenario C). The brief concludes that SADC must move beyond surface-level policy changes to shift deeper mental models and paradigms, recommending the use of strategic foresight, the empowerment of youth, and a 'bottom-in' approach to reach marginalised populations.
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Document type: Policy brief
Risk mitigation and transfer for renewable energy investments
The report examines how risk mitigation and transfer (RMT) instruments, provided largely by development finance institutions (DFIs), enable renewable energy projects in SADC countries. While RMTs have been essential for reaching financial close in high-risk markets like Malawi and Mozambique, they are proving insufficient for new projects in countries facing severe debt distress, such as Zambia. The report highlights the 'halo effect' of the World Bank Group as a deterrent against payment defaults and recommends that debt restructuring packages explicitly protect climate investments.
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Document type: Report
Programme for Integrated Development and Adaptation to Climate Change in the Zambezi Watercourse (PIDACC-Zambezi)
The PIDACC-Zambezi programme seeks USD 100 million from the Green Climate Fund (GCF) to complement a total budget of USD 312.3 million. It targets the Zambezi Watercourse, where climate change is causing increased drought, flooding, and reduced hydropower potential. The programme focuses on four components: building community resilience through infrastructure and agribusiness, strengthening integrated landscape management, enhancing adaptive and institutional capacity, and programme coordination. Key targets include benefiting 3.79 million direct beneficiaries, restoring 970,000 hectares of degraded land, and reducing emissions by 37.1 million tCO2eq. The initiative emphasizes the use of digital technologies, carbon farming via the Boomitra model, and the establishment of a Direct Credit Window to de-risk private sector investment in agribusiness.
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Document type: Report
The SEI Urban Toolbox for Liveable Cities
The SEI Urban Toolbox for Liveable Cities is a living digital resource hosted on the weADAPT platform, designed to gather SEI-developed tools for city officials, residents, and community groups. Developed through a four-phase co-design process involving internal reviews and workshops with stakeholders in Thailand, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Zambia, and Colombia, the toolbox focuses on improving environmental conditions, health, and well-being. Key findings from stakeholder workshops emphasized a strong demand for tools that foster citizen science, participatory mapping, and open data access to inform decision-making. The toolbox organizes resources into four main domains: residents' wellbeing, neighbourhood conditions, environmental quality and ecosystem services, and cross-cutting issues.
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Document type: Briefing
Entender Y Adaptarse Al Impuesto Mínimo Global: Una Guía Para Los Países En Desarrollo
The document explains the mechanics of the GloBE rules, which aim to ensure a 15% minimum effective tax rate (ETR) for large multinational enterprises (MNEs) with consolidated revenues of €750 million or more. It outlines three primary policy responses for developing countries: implementing a Qualified Domestic Minimum Top-up Tax (QDMT) or a general national minimum tax, revising existing tax incentives that lower the ETR, or focusing on other priorities if the impact is minimal. The guide also provides a step-by-step methodology for countries to assess their exposure using country-by-country (CBC) reports and analyzes legal obstacles, such as fiscal stabilization clauses in investment contracts and Bilateral Investment Treaties (BITs), that may hinder tax reforms.
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Document type: Guide
Comprendre et s’adapter à l’impôt minimum mondial: un guide pour les pays en développement
The document explains the mechanics of the GloBE rules, which aim to ensure large multinational enterprises (MNEs) pay a minimum effective tax rate of 15%. It outlines three primary response options for developing countries: introducing a locally collected minimum tax (either a Qualified Domestic Minimum Top-up Tax or a general national minimum tax), reviewing and reforming tax incentives that lower the effective tax rate below 15%, or focusing on other priorities if the impact is negligible. The guide also provides a step-by-step methodology for assessing a country's exposure based on available data and analyzes legal obstacles, such as fiscal stabilization clauses in investment contracts and Bilateral Investment Treaties (BITs), that may hinder tax reforms.
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Document type: Guide