Utiliser l’évaluation des risques climatiques pour mesurer la réussite de l’adaptation au niveau national

The report explores how national climate risk assessments (CRAs) can transition from one-off planning documents to iterative tools for monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL). Based on analysis from 12 countries, it argues that while periodic CRAs are essential for evidence-based National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), a fully standardized approach is often impractical due to evolving scientific knowledge and shifting policy priorities. The document highlights that countries like Germany and the UK are beginning to use CRAs to assess whether vulnerability is decreasing, though methodological challenges remain, such as the time lag between adaptation action and observable risk reduction.

• Periodic national climate risk assessments are critical for ensuring that National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) remain evidence-based and reflect current and future vulnerabilities.
• There is a growing consensus among countries that climate risk assessments should be updated approximately every five years to align with adaptation policy cycles and global climate commitments.
• A fully standardized approach to repeating risk assessments is often unrealistic or counterproductive because it may prevent countries from integrating new scientific insights, such as systemic risks.
• Germany and the UK have begun using periodic CRAs to evaluate the effectiveness of their adaptation strategies, specifically to determine if national vulnerability is decreasing.
• Measuring adaptation success remains methodologically difficult due to the long time required for measures to reduce risk and a lack of available impact evaluations.
• Some countries are shifting toward viewing climate risk assessments as continuous learning processes rather than static reports produced at a single point in the NAP cycle.
• In the UK, a gap was identified where 21 of 56 risks identified in the second CRA had no related actions in the second NAP, including 13 categorized as 'more urgent'.
• Sweden has decentralized its risk assessment process, requiring all national sectoral agencies and regional administrations to conduct regular assessments and report progress annually.

APA

Dekens, J. (2023). Utiliser l’évaluation des risques climatiques pour mesurer la réussite de l’adaptation au niveau national. NAP Global Network. https://napglobalnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/napgn-fr-2024-climate-risk-assessment.pdf

Chicago

Dekens, Julie. Utiliser l’évaluation des risques climatiques pour mesurer la réussite de l’adaptation au niveau national. NAP Global Network, 2023. https://napglobalnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/napgn-fr-2024-climate-risk-assessment.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Dekens |first1=Julie |title=Utiliser l’évaluation des risques climatiques pour mesurer la réussite de l’adaptation au niveau national |publisher=NAP Global Network |date=July 2023 |url=https://napglobalnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/napgn-fr-2024-climate-risk-assessment.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{dekens2023utiliser, author = {Dekens, Julie}, title = {{Utiliser l’évaluation des risques climatiques pour mesurer la réussite de l’adaptation au niveau national}}, institution = {NAP Global Network}, year = {2023}, month = jul, url = {https://napglobalnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/napgn-fr-2024-climate-risk-assessment.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }