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Lições do relatório SREX IPCC na América Latina e no Caribe: Gerenciando Extremos Climáticos e Desastres
The document translates the global findings of the IPCC SREX report into a regional context for Latin America and the Caribbean, emphasizing that disaster risk is increasing due to rising vulnerability and exposure. It details observed and projected climate extremes—such as increased heatwaves and variable precipitation—and argues for the integration of disaster risk management (DRM) with climate change adaptation (CCA) and sustainable development. The report highlights the importance of both incremental and transformational changes, including the use of risk transfer mechanisms like insurance and the necessity of global greenhouse gas mitigation to avoid the most severe impacts.
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Document type: Report
Lessons from the IPCC SREX Report in Latin America and the Caribbean: Managing Climate Extremes and Disasters
The report highlights that disaster risk in Latin America and the Caribbean is increasing due to heightened exposure and vulnerability, even independent of climate change. It details observed and projected trends in temperature and precipitation extremes across the region and argues for the integration of disaster risk management (DRM) with climate change adaptation (CCA) to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Lien Social, conflit et violence en Haïti
The study examines the relationship between social cohesion, trust, and violence in Haiti, focusing on the Southern region. It argues that intense urbanization and rural migration have led to the formation of slums where traditional social bonds are dissolved and trust in institutions is low, creating an environment where social conflicts are more likely to escalate into violence. While low trust is a general trait across rural and urban communities, the specific lack of 'vertical' social bonds in slums increases the risk of violent mobilization. The author recommends strengthening social cohesion through production-based cooperatives and reforming the relationship between political elites and urban masses.
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Document type: Research paper
The Social Bond, Conflict and Violence in Haiti
The report examines the relationship between social cohesion, trust, and violence in southern Haiti, focusing on the impact of rural migration and the formation of urban slums. It argues that the breakdown of traditional social bonds and a lack of trust in both interpersonal relations and institutions like the state, NGOs, and MINUSTAH create an environment where social unrest is more likely to turn violent. The study highlights that 'vertical' social bonds—those linking different social backgrounds—are particularly weak in slums, making these areas breeding grounds for political mobilization through violence. It recommends fostering social cohesion through productive cooperatives and renewing the relationship between political leadership and the urban masses.
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Document type: Report
Development without Carbon
The report argues that many climate-economics models rely on a 'no-development' assumption for the poorest countries, which underestimates future emissions and weakens the urgency for rich countries to reduce their own emissions. By comparing three scenarios—'Without Development', 'Development with Carbon', and 'Development without Carbon'—the author demonstrates that if low-income countries achieve rapid economic growth similar to India's, the global emissions budget will be exhausted much faster unless aggressive decarbonization policies and financial support from wealthy nations are implemented. A case study of Latin America and the Caribbean illustrates these dynamics, showing that cumulative regional emissions could double if growth accelerates without policy intervention.
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Document type: Report
Development without Carbon: Climate and the Global Economy through the 21st Century
The report argues that many climate-economics models rely on overly pessimistic growth projections for the poorest countries, which artificially reduces the perceived urgency for rich countries to cut emissions. By comparing three scenarios—'Without Development', 'Development with Carbon', and 'Development without Carbon'—the author demonstrates that if low-income countries achieve genuine economic development, the global emissions budget will be exceeded unless aggressive decarbonization policies and financial support from high-income nations are implemented. A case study of Latin America and the Caribbean illustrates how regional emissions could double under a high-growth, no-policy scenario, but could be significantly reduced through targeted support for low-carbon technology and emissions intensity reductions.
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Document type: Report
Rationale for shifting to a green economy
The document argues that Caribbean states are highly vulnerable to ecological limits, climate change, and economic instability, necessitating a shift toward a 'green economy'. It identifies systemic barriers such as political disincentives, brain drain, and outdated regulations, while proposing a foundation based on human security, good governance, and pan-Caribbean cooperation. The proposed green economy model emphasizes reducing dependency on high-carbon energy imports, optimizing domestic supply chains, and implementing 'triple bottom line' business principles to ensure long-term prosperity and social equity.
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Document type: Briefing
Reefs at Risk Revisited
The Reefs at Risk Revisited analysis finds that approximately 75 percent of global coral reefs are threatened by local and global pressures, with local threats affecting over 60 percent. Without intervention to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and local pressures, threatened reefs could increase to over 90 percent by 2030 and nearly all reefs by 2050. While over 25 percent of reefs are in marine protected areas, only 6 percent are effectively managed. The report identifies 27 nations as most vulnerable to reef degradation, including Haiti, Indonesia, and the Philippines.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Speech by Minister Maite Nkoana‐Mashabane to the South African Institute off International Affairs (SAIIA) on the topic ‘The relationship between South Africa and the Emerging Global Powers’
The document argues that the rise of emerging powers—specifically the BRIC nations—provides an opportunity for South Africa and the broader African continent to shift the global economic center of gravity toward the South. Minister Nkoana‐Mashabane emphasizes that South Africa seeks to balance its memberships in IBSA and BRIC to amplify the voice of developing nations in multilateral processes and the reform of Bretton Woods Institutions. For Africa to transition into an emerging power itself, the Minister identifies four critical priority areas: Infrastructure, Intra-trade, Industry, and Integration. The speech frames these geopolitical shifts not as a zero-sum game, but as a means to address shared global challenges including climate change and energy security through cooperation between the developed and developing worlds.
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Document type: Statement
Regional implications of the AGF recommendations: Latin America and Caribbean region
The document outlines the climate finance requirements for the Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) region, estimating annual mitigation needs between US$40–80 billion and adaptation needs between US$18–21 billion by 2030. It highlights the region's unique emissions profile, where land-use change is the primary driver of greenhouse gases, particularly in South America. The briefing argues that the AGF's recommendations for public-private partnerships and carbon-based revenue sources offer significant opportunities, provided that the region secures an equitable share of adaptation grants and establishes a robust framework for reducing emissions from deforestation (REDD+).
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Document type: Briefing
Regional implications of the AGF recommendations: Small Island Developing States
The document examines how the AGF's goal of mobilising US$100 billion annually can support SIDS, noting that while public grants are essential for adaptation, private capital can be leveraged for mitigation. It highlights risks such as the impact of international transport levies on trade and tourism, and the potential for non-LDC SIDS to be underserved by existing aid patterns.
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Document type: Briefing
Classifying Ecosystem Services for Economic Valuation: the case of Forest Water Services
The paper examines the conceptual conflicts in classifying ecosystem services for economic valuation, specifically comparing the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA) framework with an output-based approach. Through an analysis of 25 valuation studies of tropical forest water services in Central and South America, the authors find that the MEA framework can lead to double counting and underestimation of values. They argue that valuation should focus on final outputs (benefits to humans) rather than ecological processes to ensure accuracy.
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Document type: Research paper
Efficiency and Micropower for Reliable and Resilient Electricity Service: An Intriguing Case-Study from Cuba
Between 2004 and 2007, Cuba transitioned from a fragile, centralized power system plagued by frequent blackouts to a more resilient model. This was achieved through 'La Revolución Energética', which combined the mass replacement of inefficient appliances (lamps, refrigerators, air conditioners) with the installation of 1,854 diesel and fuel-oil-fired microgenerators. This decentralized architecture improved resilience against hurricanes and reduced oil consumption per kWh compared to central plants, while the country began shifting toward long-term renewable goals including wind, solar, and bagasse cogeneration.
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Document type: Case study
Information Needs for Climate Risk Management
The author argues that while information needs for climate adaptation are context-specific, responsive, proactive, and robust planning strategies overlap in their reliance on identifying vulnerabilities, hazards, and risks. The paper details the necessity of integrating historical observations, real-time data, and probabilistic forecasts to manage climate variability and long-term change, while emphasizing that 'no regrets' strategies can improve efficiency but may overlook critical trade-offs. It highlights the importance of participatory approaches and the need to plan for 'surprises'—low-probability, high-impact events—by moving beyond a sole reliance on historical records.
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Document type: Research paper
Brazil as a Regional and Emerging Global Power
Since 2000, Brazil has leveraged sustained economic growth and reduced social inequality to expand its global political influence and diplomatic presence. While it has become an undisputed regional power in South America through the creation of institutions like Mercosur and mediation of regional conflicts, the document argues that Brazil remains a "reluctant emerging power." Its global ambitions are tempered by internal social inequalities, a public wary of the costs of assertive foreign policy, and a strategic preference for "partial adaptation" over revolutionary change to the global order. The author suggests that for Brazil to sustain its emergence, it must move beyond risk-averse diplomacy and define a clear vision for global governance.
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Document type: Policy brief
IBSA Six Years On: Co-operation in a New Global Order
The IBSA Forum has successfully fostered political coordination and South-South dialogue, most notably through its development fund and a 96% vote convergence at the United Nations. While trade integration is hampered by regional constraints, the forum has seen success in science, technology, and revenue service cooperation. The author recommends that IBSA focus on development efforts and trade facilitation rather than overarching trade agreements, positioning itself as a development-oriented complement to the economically driven BRIC grouping.
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Document type: Policy brief
An Overview of Brazilian Foreign Policy in the 21st Century
The document examines Brazil's shift toward a more ambitious, multi-polar foreign policy under President 'Lula' da Silva, characterized by a desire for UN Security Council reform, strengthened South-South cooperation, and a proactive role as a democratic stabilizer in South America.
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Document type: Policy brief
WOULD PREFERENTIAL ACCESS TO THE EU ETS BE SUFFICIENT TO OVERCOME CURRENT BARRIERS TO CDM PROJECTS IN LDCs?
The research paper examines the marginal role of Least Developed Countries (LDCs) in the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and evaluates whether preferential access to the EU ETS can increase their participation. It finds that such access is insufficient unless underlying barriers—including limited institutional capacity, lack of financing, and high transaction costs—are addressed. The authors use supply-demand scenarios for 2013-2020 and a comparison with the Lomé Conventions in agricultural trade to argue that financial incentives for high-value projects and reduced access costs are more critical than market access alone.
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Document type: Research paper
Global Europe: The tyranny of “free trade”, the European way
The document analyzes the 'Global Europe' strategy, which shifts the EU from multilateralism toward 'WTO+' bilateral free trade agreements. It argues that this approach focuses on 'competitiveness' and securing raw materials, often at the expense of social and environmental protections in the Global South. The report details negative impacts in Central America, Africa, the Caribbean, and Asia, specifically highlighting threats to food sovereignty, the displacement of peasant communities for agrofuels, and the erosion of domestic policy space through the liberalization of services and government procurement.
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Document type: Report
Europa Global: los verdaderos intereses de la estrategia comercial de la UE para someter a los pueblos a la tiranía del “libre comercio”
The report analyzes the 'Global Europe' strategy as a political and economic tool used by the EU to secure access to raw materials, energy reserves, and open markets in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. It argues that 'Association Agreements' go beyond trade in goods to include the liberalization of services, investments, and government procurement, which the author claims undermines the sovereignty of developing nations. The document highlights specific negative impacts, such as the promotion of agrofuels in Central America, the pressure on African nations to sign Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) to maintain tariff preferences, and the role of European financial institutions like the European Investment Bank in funding extractive projects. It concludes that the strategy prioritizes corporate competitiveness over human rights and environmental sustainability.
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Document type: Report