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Can Sudan's resources be shared? Implications of the Southern Sudan referendum
The seminar highlighted the economic interdependence of Northern and Southern Sudan, noting that while oil and water resources are critical for the viability of both regions, they could serve as unifying factors for peace. Key challenges identified include the governance of the oil sector, the distribution of Nile basin water, the status of the Abyei region, and the presence of Darfur rebels in the South.
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Document type: Report
Climate change and irrigated agriculture towards a better understanding of driving forces and feedbacks between decision makers and biophysical environments and their impacts on hydrological cycle and land use
The project investigates how climate variability and land use changes affect irrigated agriculture, specifically examining the Rio Segundo basin in Argentina and the Maipo river basin in Chile. Findings indicate that in Rio Segundo, agricultural expansion was driven by globalization and increased rainfall, with soy bean area growing nearly 18 times. In the Maipo river basin, analysis suggests that permanent water rights could fail to meet increased demand under global warming in 40-50% of cases, compared to a current failure rate of 6-20%.
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Document type: Fact sheet
The Economics of Climate Change in Kenya
The report finds that existing climate variability already costs Kenya up to 2% of GDP annually, with future climate change potentially adding a loss of 2.6% of GDP per year by 2030. Adaptation needs are estimated at $500 million per year for 2012, rising to $1-2 billion per year by 2030. The study also identifies significant opportunities for low-carbon growth, noting that over 80% of selected energy-related emission reduction options can be realized at a net negative cost.
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Document type: Report
Minutas de la 28ª reunión del Comité Asesor Científico del IAI
The 28th SAC meeting in Miami reviewed the status of IAI's Cooperative Research Networks (CRN II) and Small Grants Programme for Human Dimensions (SGP-HD), emphasizing the need for better scientific integration across projects and increased institutional visibility. Key discussions included the development of a Latin American optical phenology network, the creation of science-society interaction proposals, and the importance of translating scientific achievements into policy briefs.
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Document type: Report
Informe de la Dirección Ejecutiva
The IAI Executive Directorate reports on the second year of the CRN II projects and the first year of the SGP-HD program, highlighting achievements in biodiversity monitoring, stakeholder engagement, and high-profile scientific recognition, including the 2008 Nobel Peace Prize for several affiliated researchers. The report details the establishment of a phenology monitoring network in Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, and the launch of a MacArthur Foundation-funded project on Andean biodiversity. It also outlines capacity-building efforts through joint colloquia and training institutes focused on climate change adaptation in Latin America.
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Document type: Report
Analyse et gestion du changement climatique et de ses effets sur l’eau : projets de recherche allemands
The document details various German-led research initiatives focused on the intersection of climate change and water. It covers regional climate modeling for Germany, the impact of extreme weather on biogeochemical cycles, global water scarcity, and specific case studies such as the GLOWA projects in the Elbe and Jordan River basins. Additionally, it discusses aquatic ecosystem vulnerabilities through the AQUASHIFT program and proposes a risk-management approach for coastal flood protection in Hamburg.
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Document type: Report
Growing Unrest: The links between farmed and fished resources and the risk of conflict
The paper argues that agricultural and marine commodities can function as conflict resources, similar to oil or diamonds, by providing funding for rebel groups and governments through trade taxation. It highlights that commodity price volatility and competition over land and water increase political instability and conflict risks. The author recommends that the UN Security Council impose sanctions on these resources when linked to conflict financing, broaden the mandates of UN Expert Panels, and ensure peacekeeping missions are equipped to monitor and secure natural resources.
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Document type: Research paper
Informe del SAC-XXVII - Toronto
The 27th SAC meeting in Toronto focused on the transition of leadership, with Juan Valdés and Maria Carmen Lemos appointed as President and Vice President. The committee established three specialized commissions to manage the science-policy interface, science integration, and governance. Key operational updates included the launch of an IDRC project on land use and biofuels, the planning of a colloquium on water resources in Mendoza, and the development of a science-policy proposal for CRN II projects. The SAC also prioritized improving the IAI's communication strategies and reaffirmed its commitment to scientific excellence and the development of the next generation of global change scientists within its strategic plan.
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Document type: Report
FLORIDA AND CLIMATE CHANGE
The report argues that the cost of inaction regarding climate change for Florida is immense, projecting annual costs of $345 billion by 2100 across four major categories: tourism, hurricane damages, residential real estate, and electricity. Under a 'business-as-usual' scenario, Florida faces a 10°F temperature increase and 45 inches of sea-level rise by 2100, which would inundate 9% of its land area and severely disrupt key industries like agriculture and fisheries. The authors contrast this with a 'rapid stabilization' case, where immediate global emissions reductions limit warming to 2°F and sea-level rise to 7 inches by 2100.
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Document type: Report
Our Changing Climate
The report warns that California faces significant risks from global warming, with projected temperature increases between 3°F and 10.5°F by the end of the century. These changes threaten to severely reduce Sierra Nevada snowpack, increase the frequency of large wildfires, degrade air quality, and disrupt the state's $30 billion agriculture industry. The document emphasizes that while some changes are unavoidable, the most severe consequences can be avoided by reducing heat-trapping emissions to levels that keep warming within the lower range of 3 to 5.5°F.
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Document type: Report
Nuestro Clima Cambiante
The report analyzes how varying levels of greenhouse gas emissions will lead to temperature increases in California, ranging from 3 to 10.5 °F by the end of the century. It details severe risks including a 70-90% reduction in Sierra Nevada snowpack, increased frequency of extreme heat and wildfires, and rising sea levels that threaten coastal infrastructure. The document emphasizes that while some changes are inevitable, the most severe outcomes can be avoided through aggressive emission reductions, aligned with California's executive goals to return to 1990 emission levels by 2020.
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Document type: Executive summary
Programa Anual 11_CoPXIII/DWD/Español
The IAI's 2006/07 annual plan focuses on transitioning from a purely scientific excellence program to one that integrates policy relevance and adaptation to global change. Key initiatives include the launch of the Cooperative Research Networks II (CRN II), the conclusion of CRN I, and the implementation of six strategic goals approved in 2002. The plan emphasizes administrative rationalization, the expansion of the Data Information System (DIS), and increased cooperation with Argentina, Brazil, and Canada. Capacity building will be driven by 'seed grants' and multidisciplinary training institutes focused on the science-policy interface, including collaborations with organizations like the UN's ISDR and the IICA.
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Document type: Report
The First Ten Years of IAI: Observing, Measuring, Understanding and Documenting Changes in the Environment of the Americas
The report details the evolution of the IAI, from its establishment by 11 countries in 1992 to its operational phase in Brazil. It outlines the institute's mission to build scientific capacity and collaborative research networks to understand global environmental changes in the Americas. The document tracks the progression of the IAI Science Agenda, the implementation of various funding mechanisms such as Start-up Grants, Initial Science Programs (ISP), and the Collaborative Research Network (CRN) program, and the results of these initiatives in terms of publications, student training, and policy-relevant findings.
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Document type: Report
Os Dez Primeiros Anos do IAI: Observações, Medições, Compreensão e Documentação das Mudanças Ambientais das Américas
The report details the first ten years of the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), an organization established in 1992 to study global environmental changes across the Americas. It outlines the IAI's institutional structure, the evolution of its scientific agenda, and the implementation of various funding programs including the Initial Science Program (ISP), the Collaborative Research Network (CRN), and the Small Grants Program (SGP). The document highlights the IAI's focus on climate variability, biodiversity, land use, and human dimensions, emphasizing the creation of multinational research networks and the development of scientific capacity in member nations.
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Document type: Report
Los Diez Primeros Años del IAI: Observaciones, Mediciones, Comprensión y Documentación de los Cambios Ambientales en las Américas
The report details the first ten years of the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), outlining its mission to understand global environmental changes in the Americas. It describes the evolution of the IAI's scientific agenda, the establishment of its organizational structure, and the implementation of various funding programs including the Initial Science Program (ISP), the Collaborative Research Network (CRN), and the Program to Expand Scientific Capacity in the Americas (PESCA). The document highlights the institute's focus on climate variability, biodiversity, land use, and human dimensions, while documenting the creation of the Data Information System (DIS) and the hosting of several Summer Institutes to foster interdisciplinary cooperation across member nations.
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Document type: Report
Los Diez Primeros Años del IAI: Observaciones, Mediciones, Comprensión y Documentación de los Cambios Ambientales en las Américas
The report details the first ten years of the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), outlining its mission to understand global environmental changes in the Americas. It describes the evolution of its scientific agenda from seven initial themes to four broad categories, the implementation of various grant programs (Initial Grants, Initial Scientific Program, and Cooperative Research Networks), and the establishment of its headquarters in Brazil. Key achievements include the funding of 14 Cooperative Research Networks (CRNs) with a US$10 million investment, the training of hundreds of scientists and students, and the creation of the IAI-DIS data system. The document also lists specific research projects focusing on climate variability, biodiversity, and human dimensions across North, Central, and South America.
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Document type: Report
GATS, Water and the Environment
The document argues that the GATS creates a 'lock-in' effect that conflicts with the flexibility required for adaptive water management. It identifies twelve areas of potential conflict, including market access restrictions on water extraction, the use of technical standards for pollution control, and the requirement for sustainability impact assessments. The authors recommend that WTO members refrain from new commitments in water-sensitive sectors and amend the GATS to include a specific environmental exception for natural resources.
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Document type: Research paper
Adenda_documento 7 CE-XVII & CoP-X
The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI) has updated its Scientific Agenda to better reflect regional interests and the evolution of global change research. The agenda is organized into four broad themes: understanding climate variability in the Americas, conducting comparative studies of ecosystems and biodiversity, analyzing changes in the composition of the atmosphere and waters, and investigating the human dimensions and policy implications of global change. The IAI aims to promote cooperative research and information exchange to understand the integrated impact of past, present, and future global change on regional and continental environments in the Americas.
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Document type: Briefing
THE IAI SCIENCE AGENDA
The IAI Science Agenda establishes a framework for collaborative research in the Americas, focusing on climate variability, ecosystem comparative studies, chemical composition of the environment, and the human dimensions of global change. It aims to advance understanding of the integrated impact of global change on regional and continental environments to inform public policy and sustainability.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate Change and Midwest Power Plants
The report highlights that six Midwest states (Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio) are home to 140 power plants that release approximately 2% of global man-made CO2 and 25% of all US power plant CO2. It predicts that without aggressive emissions reductions, the region could see temperature increases of 5-10°F in the 21st century, leading to significant risks for the Great Lakes water levels, crop yields, and human health. The document advocates for cleaning up old coal plants, transitioning to renewable energy, and increasing individual energy efficiency to mitigate these risks.
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Document type: Report