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A Healthy Legacy for New Brunswick: Support Bill 23
CAPE NB advocates for the passage of Bill 23 in New Brunswick, arguing that enshrining the right to a healthy environment is a critical preventative health measure that reduces strain on the medical system and protects vulnerable populations.
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Document type: Statement
Technical appendix for Climate extremes in the UK are driving up lamb prices for consumers
The document details a rolling-window ordinary least squares (OLS) regression model used to analyze the impact of climate extremes on UK lamb prices. It finds that both short-term drought (6-month window) and prolonged wet conditions (12-month window) drive prices up, while a 'pork falsification test' confirms this mechanism is specific to grass-fed lamb. Robustness checks, including CPI deflation and out-of-sample prediction, support the validity of the climate transmission signal. The analysis specifically isolates a 'drought premium' of 92p/kg farmgate for the 2025 drought and notes that the hay market's sensitivity to rainfall anomalies has strengthened over time.
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Document type: Research paper
Survey Research Results
A February 2026 survey of 749 registered Hawai‘i voters reveals that 85% view rising homeowners insurance costs as a serious problem, with 79% of homeowners experiencing rate increases in the last 2-3 years. While voters attribute these increases to various factors, including insurance industry profits (31%) and climate change (19%), there is significant support for state intervention. Specifically, 82% favor greater regulations to limit policy cancellations, and 61% support legislation allowing the State of Hawai‘i to sue oil and gas companies to recover insurance-related costs stemming from extreme weather disasters worsened by climate change.
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Document type: Briefing
Exploring Climate Preparedness
The analysis finds a very weak correlation between a country's institutional readiness and its citizens' perceived personal preparedness for extreme weather. While some countries like Vietnam show high levels of both, others like Armenia have high institutional readiness but low personal preparedness, and the Philippines shows high personal preparedness despite lower institutional readiness. The study emphasizes that climate resilience requires tailored strategies based on these distinct gaps, noting that 48 of the 68 examined countries rank in the bottom half of global institutional readiness.
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Document type: Research paper
Increasingly severe rainstorms pose growing risk for people and structures build in the floodplains
A study by World Weather Attribution on the impact of nine named storms in the western Mediterranean, finding that while evidence is uncertain, there is a trend toward increased intensity of extreme heavy rainfall events, particularly in northern regions, exacerbated by urban development in floodplains.
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Document type: Research paper
More Coffee-Harming Heat Due to Carbon Pollution
Analysis by Climate Central indicates that all 25 analyzed coffee-producing countries, representing 97% of global production, experienced an increase in 'coffee-harming heat' (temperatures above 30°C) between 2021 and 2025 due to carbon pollution. The top five producers—Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—saw an average of 57 additional days of such heat annually. Brazil, the largest producer, experienced 70 extra days of coffee-harming heat per year on average. These conditions threaten both arabica and robusta coffee varieties, with arabica being more sensitive to heat. The report warns that land suitable for coffee farming could decrease by 50% by 2050 without adaptation, potentially leading to deforestation as farmers move to higher elevations.
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Document type: Research paper
Five Things to Know About Earths Hottest Year
2025 was Earth's third-warmest year on record, with average temperatures 1.3°C above pre-industrial levels. This continues a heat streak driven by fossil fuel pollution, pushing the planet toward the 1.5°C long-term warming limit, which could be exceeded by 2030. While global electricity demand is increasingly met by renewables, the U.S. has recently rolled back clean energy policies and withdrawn from key international climate agreements.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Five Things to Know About Climate Change in 2025
In 2025, the U.S. experienced 23 billion-dollar weather and climate disasters costing $115 billion, ranking it the third-highest year on record. The year was dominated by a record 21 billion-dollar severe storm events and the costliest wildfire in U.S. history, the Los Angeles wildfires. Since 1980, the frequency of such disasters has surged, with the average time between events dropping from 82 days in the 1980s to just 10 days in 2025.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Power After the Storm
The report analyzes power outage data from 2014 to 2024 in the central United States, specifically the MISO+ region, finding that all of the 100 worst outage days were caused by extreme weather. It highlights that the 10 most severe events occurred after 2020 and were often compound disasters, such as hurricanes combined with flooding or winter storms with tornadoes. The document argues that climate change is intensifying these risks—increasing the frequency of derechos, the rainfall of hurricanes, and the potential for severe winter outbreaks—while disproportionately impacting socially vulnerable communities. It recommends that utilities, states, and regional operators implement comprehensive climate risk assessments, accelerate the clean energy transition, and engage in meaningful community partnership to build a resilient grid.
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Document type: Report
When climate hits home
The report finds widespread concern about climate impacts across the political spectrum, with a strong public demand for government-led adaptation efforts. Respondents primarily link climate change to economic risks, such as the cost of living and job security, and view adaptation as a necessary complement to, rather than a replacement for, emissions reductions.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change in the American Mind: Beliefs & Attitudes
A survey of 1,068 American adults in Spring 2026 reveals that 68% believe global warming is happening, with 59% attributing it primarily to human activity. While 66% of respondents express worry about global warming and a majority perceive it as an environmental, scientific, or agricultural issue, social engagement remains low, with 69% rarely or never discussing the topic with family and friends.
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Document type: Report
Unequal Evidence and Impacts: Limits to Adaptation to Extreme Weather in 2025
The report analyzes 22 extreme weather events in 2025, noting that despite weak La Nina conditions, global temperatures remained exceptionally high due to human-driven emissions. It emphasizes that warming of approximately 1.3°C has intensified heatwaves, droughts, and floods, with a specific focus on how women and marginalized groups bear a disproportionate burden. The document also identifies a critical gap in climate science, where a lack of observational data in the Global South hinders confident analysis of rainfall events. Finally, it argues that while adaptation is necessary, events like Hurricane Melissa in the Caribbean demonstrate that adaptation has limits and cannot replace the urgent need for rapid emission reductions.
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Document type: Report
Climate change is leading to less and worse tasting sparkling wine
Climate change is driving global wine production to historic lows, with sparkling wine facing specific threats to its quantity and quality. Extreme weather in France, Spain, and Italy has led to reduced yields and price increases for labels like Cava and Prosecco. Higher temperatures are accelerating ripening, which alters the balance of sugar and acid, potentially resulting in higher alcohol levels and less fizzy wines. Projections suggest that if global temperatures rise by 2°C, over half of suitable wine-growing regions could shrink, with up to 90% of traditional areas in southern Europe becoming economically unviable. Adaptation strategies, such as relocating vineyards or using protective technology, are costly and may fail to preserve the unique cultural and flavour characteristics of traditional sparkling wines.
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Document type: Briefing
Food Trade Chokepoints & US National Security in 2040
The report argues that maintaining secure maritime food trade is a US national security imperative, as disruptions to key chokepoints—specifically the Suez Canal, Panama Canal, and Strait of Malacca—can trigger cascading global risks. Using a strategic foresight approach, the authors analyze four scenarios based on the uncertainty of international cooperation and port infrastructure resilience. They find that climate stressors, such as a projected global warming increase of over 2°C by 2040, threaten agricultural productivity and port operability. These vulnerabilities can be exploited by hostile actors, such as Al-Shabaab in Somalia, to weaponize food and destabilize regions. The report recommends that the US incorporate maritime food trade resilience into its National Security Strategy, invest in climate-resilient infrastructure, and revitalize flexible development assistance to prevent the erosion of soft power and protect military supply chains.
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Document type: Report
Attribution Science 101
The document introduces attribution science as a method to measure how human-caused climate change affects the likelihood, frequency, and intensity of weather events by comparing current observations with simulated 'counterfactual' worlds. It details Climate Central's specific tools, such as the Climate Shift Index (CSI) for air and sea surface temperatures and the Tropical Cyclone CSI for hurricane wind speeds. The guide distinguishes between different types of attribution—event, trend, source, and impact—and notes that while temperature-related events are highly quantifiable, other severe weather like tornadoes remains an active area of research.
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Document type: Guide
Del Potencial a la Acción: OMEC y Conservación Inclusiva en México
The document examines Ejido Noh-Bec, a 24,122-hectare community-managed forest in Quintana Roo, Mexico. It highlights the ejido's transition from external concessions to self-management, its achievement of FSC certification, and its resilience following Hurricane Dean in 2007. The study details a governance model involving an Assembly and an inclusive Advisory Council, as well as a diversified economy based on sustainable timber, chicle extraction, and ecotourism. While the ejido maintains a 1,200-hectare conservation reserve called 'El Huasteco,' it faces challenges from climate-related extreme weather, illegal logging linked to the Tren Maya project, and bureaucratic hurdles regarding CITES and carbon credit schemes.
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Document type: Case study
At COP30, we must act to stop fossil fuels destroying our health
The Global Climate and Health Alliance calls for COP30 to produce a commitment to phase out fossil fuels and prioritize health in climate action to prevent further health destruction and build resilient health systems.
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Document type: Statement
Running Out of Cool Days
The report finds that 86% of analyzed global marathons will see a decline in the odds of optimal running conditions by 2045. While elite women are more resilient to heat, elite men are most affected, particularly at the Tokyo Marathon, which is projected to see the largest decline in ideal conditions among the Abbott World Marathon Majors. The analysis highlights that the 2025 Tokyo and Berlin Marathons experienced unusual heat made two to three times more likely by climate change. Shifting race start times to sunrise is identified as a potential adaptation to increase the likelihood of optimal temperatures for most runners.
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Document type: Report
Cartographie de la désinformation climatique dans les médias mainstream français et brésiliens
The report analyzes climate disinformation in French and Brazilian mainstream media, finding that in France, disinformation is systemic and often linked to political and economic interests, while in Brazil, it manifests as a strategic 'invisibilization' of environmental issues driven by the agribusiness sector. It recommends strengthening media regulation, improving journalist training, and integrating disinformation detection into emergency response systems for extreme weather events.
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Document type: Report
climate disinformation Mapping in French and Brazilian mainstream media
The report analyzes climate disinformation in French and Brazilian mainstream media, finding that while France sees a high volume of structured disinformation narratives—particularly regarding energy and mobility—Brazil experiences a 'media invisibility' of environmental issues driven by agribusiness and political influence. It highlights the role of public broadcasting as a bulwark in France and warns that disinformation during extreme weather events can undermine emergency responses. The authors recommend strengthening media regulation, improving journalist training, and institutionalizing semi-automated disinformation detection systems.
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Document type: Report