More Coffee-Harming Heat Due to Carbon Pollution

Analysis by Climate Central indicates that all 25 analyzed coffee-producing countries, representing 97% of global production, experienced an increase in 'coffee-harming heat' (temperatures above 30°C) between 2021 and 2025 due to carbon pollution. The top five producers—Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—saw an average of 57 additional days of such heat annually. Brazil, the largest producer, experienced 70 extra days of coffee-harming heat per year on average. These conditions threaten both arabica and robusta coffee varieties, with arabica being more sensitive to heat. The report warns that land suitable for coffee farming could decrease by 50% by 2050 without adaptation, potentially leading to deforestation as farmers move to higher elevations.

• Between 2021 and 2025, all 25 analyzed coffee-growing countries, which together account for approximately 97% of global production, experienced an increase in coffee-harming heat caused by climate change.
• The five largest coffee-producing nations—Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—which provide 75% of the global supply, faced an average of 57 additional days per year of temperatures exceeding the 30°C threshold due to climate change.
• Brazil, the world's leading coffee producer, saw an average of 70 additional days of coffee-harming heat annually, with its primary coffee-growing state, Minas Gerais, experiencing 67 extra days.
• Among the 25 countries analyzed, the highest number of additional coffee-harming heat days were recorded in El Salvador (99), Nicaragua (77), and Thailand (75).
• Without adequate adaptation, the amount of land suitable for coffee cultivation may be reduced by 50% by the year 2050.

APA

Climate Central (2026). More Coffee-Harming Heat Due to Carbon Pollution. https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/more-coffee-harming-heat-due-to-carbon-pollution-2026

Chicago

Climate Central. More Coffee-Harming Heat Due to Carbon Pollution. 2026. https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/more-coffee-harming-heat-due-to-carbon-pollution-2026.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Climate Central |title=More Coffee-Harming Heat Due to Carbon Pollution |date=18 February 2026 |url=https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/more-coffee-harming-heat-due-to-carbon-pollution-2026 |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{climatecentral2026more, author = {{Climate Central}}, title = {{More Coffee-Harming Heat Due to Carbon Pollution}}, institution = {Climate Central}, year = {2026}, month = feb, url = {https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/more-coffee-harming-heat-due-to-carbon-pollution-2026}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }