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Climate extremes in the UK are driving up lamb prices for consumers
Analysis by Zero Carbon Analytics indicates that consecutive climate extremes in the UK—including the 2022 drought, the 2023/2024 wet winter, and the 2025 drought—have repeatedly driven up farmgate lamb prices. The 2023/2024 wet winter had the most significant impact, increasing prices by an estimated 25%. For the 2.6 million UK households that regularly purchase lamb, these events added up to GBP 168 to their grocery bills. The report highlights a 'climate premium' on traditional Easter lamb roasts since 2023, with price increases ranging from 7% to 21%. The findings suggest that while biological grass systems show some recovery, the market buffer of hay stocks has been progressively depleted, increasing the sensitivity of prices to new climate shocks.
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Document type: Briefing
Technical appendix for Climate extremes in the UK are driving up lamb prices for consumers
The document details a rolling-window ordinary least squares (OLS) regression model used to analyze the impact of climate extremes on UK lamb prices. It finds that both short-term drought (6-month window) and prolonged wet conditions (12-month window) drive prices up, while a 'pork falsification test' confirms this mechanism is specific to grass-fed lamb. Robustness checks, including CPI deflation and out-of-sample prediction, support the validity of the climate transmission signal. The analysis specifically isolates a 'drought premium' of 92p/kg farmgate for the 2025 drought and notes that the hay market's sensitivity to rainfall anomalies has strengthened over time.
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Document type: Research paper
Recalibrating UK hydrogen towards a demand-led, systems-based approach
The UK's current hydrogen strategy is criticised for misaligning production targets with actual demand, leading to high public costs and inefficient funding. The author recommends prioritising hydrogen for industrial clusters and low-carbon fuels, strengthening methane emission standards, and redesigning the Hydrogen Allocation Round (HAR) to support the entire value chain from production to end-use.
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Document type: Policy brief
A record year for British solar
In the first half of 2025, record-breaking solar generation in Great Britain offset lower-than-average wind speeds, limiting the increase of gas power. Solar generation rose by 32% to 9.91 TWh, with a peak grid level of 14 GW on 8 July. Analysis shows that low-wind and low-solar days coincide only 2% of the time, demonstrating a natural balance in the British climate. While gas generation increased overall in H1 2025 to compensate for lower power imports, it fell to 21% of electricity generation in June. The report advocates for doubling energy storage capacity by 2030 and transitioning gas and biomass plants to a strategic reserve by the early 2030s to further reduce costs and emissions.
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Document type: Report
Three things to know
Research indicates that while 74% of people in Britain consider climate change important, there is deep distrust in politics and a tendency to avoid the topic due to negative feelings. The report recommends that communicators ditch technical jargon, focus on positive future visions, and avoid overestimating opposition to net zero. For policymakers, it suggests prioritizing local infrastructure that lowers energy bills, accelerating inclusive solar panel roll-out, cracking down on pollution, and investing in genuine local engagement to counter top-down distrust.
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Document type: Report
“Get them out, keep them out”: How social media fuelled violent attacks against migrants in Northern Ireland
In June 2025, Northern Ireland experienced eight nights of violent unrest, centered in Ballymena, targeting Roma and Romanian migrants following an alleged sexual assault. Social media platforms, particularly Facebook, TikTok, and YouTube, were used to spread hate speech, doxx the locations of families seeking shelter, and livestream violence for profit. The report argues that platforms failed to mitigate these risks in real-time, potentially violating the UK's Online Safety Act (OSA), and calls for a coordinated government response to bridge online and offline risk monitoring.
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Document type: Briefing
Get a Load of This
The report addresses the surge in US electricity demand, noting that utility integrated resource plans covering 48% of sales expect load to grow 20% from 2023 to 2035. It argues that traditional forecasting is inadequate for new large loads—specifically data centers and industrial reshoring—which possess unique load shapes, high uncertainty, and 'flight risk'. The authors recommend that regulators shift toward scenario-based forecasting, increase the frequency of updates (e.g., quarterly), and implement 'least-regrets' capital investments and risk-shifting tariffs to protect ratepayers from the costs of forecast errors.
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Document type: Report
A low-biomass clean power system for the UK is achievable
Ember modelling indicates that the UK can reduce biomass power generation by 55% to just 2% of total electricity generation by 2030 without compromising grid stability. This low-biomass pathway involves reducing biomass capacity by 2 GW—retaining only the equivalent of one unit at Drax—and replacing the lost generation primarily through increased power imports (6.9 TWh) and a slight increase in gas use (2.9 TWh). The report highlights that biomass power is significantly more expensive than gas or wind, costing £138/MWh under a Contract for Difference, and poses energy security risks due to its total reliance on imports, as Drax consumed 5.8 million tonnes of non-UK wood biomass in 2023. Despite the reduction in biomass, the UK would remain a net exporter of electricity, totaling 60 TWh annually.
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Document type: Research paper
The Nuts and Bolts of Performance-Based Regulation
The document argues that traditional cost-of-service regulation (COSR) creates perverse incentives—such as 'gold plating' and 'capex bias'—that hinder the affordable deployment of clean energy and demand-side management. It proposes a transition toward Performance-Based Regulation (PBR), which compensates utilities based on target outcomes rather than costs. The guide details a 'Four Pillars Model' for comprehensive PBR: incentivizing cost-efficiency, removing the throughput incentive, equalizing capex and opex incentives, and incentivizing targeted outcomes. Key tools discussed include revenue decoupling, multi-year rate plans (MYRPs), and performance incentive mechanisms (PIMs). The text contrasts incremental PBR, which layers tools onto COSR, with comprehensive PBR, which fundamentally restructures the regulatory framework, citing Hawaii's 2020 framework as a comprehensive example.
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Document type: Guide
2024 summary & recommendations
The 2024 Britain Talks Climate research indicates strong, cross-demographic support for government leadership in tackling climate change and nature loss. While people are hopeful about the prospect of government investment, there is significant anxiety regarding the personal costs of transition and a feeling of being uninformed. The report recommends that the UK government lead a collective national effort, ensure the transition is fair and affordable—particularly for low-income households—and implement a national public engagement strategy to build trust and normalize clean energy technologies like heat pumps.
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Document type: Executive summary
The impact of the Retained EU Law (Revocation and Reform) Bill on the regulation of pesticides in the UK
The briefing argues that the Retained EU Law (Revocation and Reform) Bill could weaken UK pesticide regulation by granting ministers broad powers to revoke or amend EU-derived laws via secondary legislation with limited scrutiny. It highlights risks such as the 'sunset' clause causing accidental law expiry and the potential shift from a 'hazard-based' to a 'risk-based' authorisation approach. Specifically, the document warns that the Bill could be used to relax restrictions on neonicotinoids, contradicting the UK's 25 Year Environment Plan and the EU-UK Trade and Co-operation Agreement.
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Document type: Briefing
Taking on City Hall: The Challenges of Greening Prague
The Czech Greens, as part of Prague's governing coalition since 2014, struggle to implement sustainable urban visions against pro-business forces and a legacy of neoliberalism. Key conflicts center on restricting the power of private developers to ensure the provision of public goods and expanding public transport to reduce car dependency. While the party has successfully lowered public transport costs and improved developer transparency through new planning centers and public participation, they face significant opposition from coalition partners and developers who favor suburban expansion. The party also views the improvement of regional transport links as a strategic way to bridge the political divide between pro-European urban centers and Eurosceptic rural areas.
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Document type: Case study
Processes controlling DOC in pore water during simulated drought cycles in six different UK peats
The study found that dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations in UK peatlands decrease during drought due to acidification, as measured by acid neutralising capacity (ANC), rather than being primarily driven by soil biota.
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Document type: Research paper
Managing Climate Extremes and Disasters for Ecosystems: Lessons from the IPCC SREX Report
The document highlights the critical role of healthy ecosystems in reducing the impacts of climate extremes and disasters. It argues that ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) is often a more cost-effective and accessible strategy than hard engineering, providing co-benefits for livelihoods and biodiversity. The brief details how climate extremes—such as heat waves, droughts, and floods—can lead to species extinction, regime shifts in ecosystems, and the transformation of carbon sinks into sources. It emphasizes that disaster risk is driven not only by climate events but by vulnerability and exposure resulting from skewed development. The report advocates for a paradigm shift toward transformational changes in governance and the integration of disaster risk management (DRM) with climate change adaptation (CCA) to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Policy brief
Tenurial Rights and Community-based Conservation
The report examines the critical role of land and resource tenure in community-based conservation, contrasting the often-destructive nature of state-owned 'public' tenure with the adaptive and sustainable characteristics of community-based systems. It argues that when states delegitimize local tenure, they often create 'open access' conditions that lead to biodiversity loss and resource pillaging. Conversely, secure community tenure—characterized by flexible, overlapping rights and deep ecological knowledge—tends to support long-term resource stability. The authors advocate for the official state recognition of community perimeters rather than the detailed codification of customary laws, which can disrupt local flexibility. While acknowledging that tenure alone does not guarantee conservation success, the text concludes that the erosion of community rights is a primary driver of environmental degradation in many developing nations.
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Document type: Report