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N O T I F I C A T I O N
The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI) is expanding its Expert List to provide regional actors with a curated directory of professionals for technical consultations. Nominees must possess authoritative knowledge in one of eight priority themes: Food Security, Energy Security, Water Security, Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, Climate Action, Health and Well-Being, Poverty and Equity, or Clean Air, Water, and Soils. The list currently comprises investigators from IAI-funded projects and members of the Scientific Advisory Committee (SAC) and Science-Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC). Parties must submit nominations by 6 June 2025.
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Document type: Statement
CATF’s Recommendations for the PINC Update: A New Vision for EU Nuclear Leadership
The Clean Air Task Force (CATF) argues that the EU must update its Nuclear Illustrative Programme (PINC) to better support nuclear energy through technology-neutral state aid, streamlined regulatory frameworks for Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), and strengthened domestic fuel supply chains to reduce reliance on Russia.
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Document type: Report
Superhot Rock Methodology Report
The report establishes a methodology for mapping superhot rock (SHR) geothermal resources globally, defining SHR as heat from subsurface formations exceeding 374°C. Using the LithoRef18 global reference model and a 'hydrothermal proxy' to account for non-steady-state heat flow, the study estimates the un-risked global resource. For depths of 4-8 km ('today's resource'), the estimated potential is 3,272 GWe (13,895 GWth). For depths of 8-12.5 km ('tomorrow's resource'), the potential increases to 59,930 GWe (245,581 GWth). The analysis identifies 125 countries with SHR potential, with significant resources in the US, China, Indonesia, and others. The report also analyzes flow rate uncertainties using a database of 33 petrothermal projects, determining a P50 flow rate of 55 l/s for its calculations.
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Document type: Report
National Comprehensive Green Transition Assessment Report for Moldova
The report evaluates Moldova's progress toward climate neutrality by 2050, identifying 'Some Progress' in most sectors but 'Little Progress' in zero pollution. Key challenges include heavy reliance on energy imports, outdated building stock, linear waste management, and a significant financing gap, while enablers include EU accession aspirations and international donor support.
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Document type: Report
Public Readiness and Willingness to Support Initiatives for a Green Transition in Armenia: Country Report
The report finds that while a majority of Armenians recognize the impacts of climate change—particularly on health—and support renewable energy, actual personal engagement in environmental activities remains low at 22%. Public trust in environmental action is highest for educational institutions and lowest for the private sector and NGOs. Significant barriers to participation include a lack of time, financial costs, and indifference.
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Document type: Report
Public Readiness and Willingness to Support Initiatives for a Green Transition in Moldova Country Report
The report finds that while a majority of Moldovans (61%) perceive their understanding of climate change as good or very good, actual engagement in environmental activities is around 57%. Public priorities for environmental protection are led by access to clean water and sanitation and waste management. There is significant concern (65%) regarding dependence on foreign energy sources, with strong support for developing solar and wind power. Educational institutions are viewed as the most important actors in driving environmental action, while corporate sustainability initiatives receive the highest level of public support. Barriers to individual engagement include a lack of time (62%) and financial costs (34%).
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Document type: Report
Public Readiness and Willingness to Support Initiatives for a Green Transition in Ukraine: Country Report
The report finds that while a majority of Ukrainians acknowledge the personal impacts of climate change and support renewable energy development, significant barriers such as financial costs and a perceived lack of common practice hinder individual engagement. Public trust in environmental action is highest for volunteers and youth activists, while the central government is viewed as moderately important but less efficient. Energy security is a major concern, with a strong preference for solar and wind power to reduce foreign dependence.
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Document type: Report
Diversifying nuclear energy supply chains
The Clean Air Task Force outlines the EU's current reliance on Russian nuclear fuel, particularly for VVER reactors, and proposes strategies to enhance supply chain resilience through alternative suppliers, domestic production, and strategic international cooperation.
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Document type: Fact sheet
10th Three Seas Summit: From gas trap to clean power and connectivity
The briefing assesses the energy transition of the Three Seas Initiative (3SI) region, noting that while some countries have reduced gas demand and integrated grids, Russian gas imports rose in 2024 for several members. It warns that planned expansions of LNG and pipeline capacity by 2030 risk creating stranded assets due to declining demand. The author recommends that the 10th Three Seas Summit focus on a 2027 Russian gas phase-out, the creation of a 'Transmission Highway' for clean power, and the development of regional energy hubs.
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Document type: Briefing
UK biomass phase-out is now in sight
The UK government has announced a new subsidy package for Drax Power Station for 2027-2031 that is expected to reduce its electricity generation by 55% and lower its annual emissions to approximately 5.8 MtCO2e. While the strike price for the new Contract for Difference (CfD) mechanism increases to £113/MWh, the overall subsidy is estimated to fall to around £1.2 million per day. The report highlights that Drax remains the UK's largest emitting power station and relies heavily on imported wood pellets, primarily from North America. It argues that delivering 'Clean Power 2030' through wind, solar, and energy storage will further reduce the need for biomass and mitigate the risks associated with delayed and expensive Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) projects.
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Document type: Report
How We Can Eliminate the Need for Mined Minerals by 2050
The briefing outlines a path for the United States to achieve mineral self-sufficiency for electric vehicle (EV) batteries by 2050. It proposes six strategies to reduce mineral demand—including shifting battery chemistries, increasing energy density, and changing mobility patterns—stating that these could limit cumulative mining to 125 million tons. The author argues that while battery recycling currently faces low financial returns due to market volatility and high capital costs, it offers a higher return on investment when social and environmental externalities are priced in. To realize these benefits, the document calls for policy interventions to value recycled materials and investment in domestic midstream manufacturing (refining and processing) to avoid exporting recycled materials and to create between 84,000 and 125,000 US jobs by 2032.
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Document type: Briefing
Türkiye Elektrik Görünümü 2025
In 2024, Türkiye's combined wind and solar electricity generation reached 62 TWh, surpassing the historical peak of domestic coal production (53 TWh in 2019). While solar generation grew by 39% to reach a 7.5% share of total production, wind growth slowed, maintaining a 10.7% share. Despite a record high in total coal generation (122 TWh), making Türkiye the highest coal-producing country in Europe, the overall share of fossil fuels fell to 55%, the lowest since 1993, driven by a decrease in natural gas use. However, renewable growth has not kept pace with a 5.5% increase in electricity demand, which was driven by record temperatures in June and July. Türkiye's new 2035 targets aim to quadruple wind and solar capacity to 120 GW, which could potentially reduce the fossil fuel share of electricity production to below 20%.
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Document type: Report
How the G7 Can Advance Action on Fossil Fuel Subsidies in 2025
G7 countries are on track to miss their 2025 deadline to phase out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies, with total subsidies reaching a record USD 282 billion in 2023. The surge was primarily driven by consumer subsidies for natural gas and petroleum to mitigate energy price volatility following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While some members have implemented domestic reforms or joined coalitions like COFFIS and CETP, the author argues that the G7 must now drop the 'inefficient' qualifier, establish national action plans, and prohibit all subsidies to coal and fossil fuel production to align with 1.5°C climate pathways.
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Document type: Research paper
Energy tax credits: What’s at stake
The policy brief asserts that energy tax credits are critical for commercializing diverse energy technologies to meet rising demand from AI and data centers, while lowering costs for households and strengthening local economies. It highlights specific credits—including 45Y, 48E, 45Q, 45V, and 45X—as vital for the development of baseload power (advanced nuclear, geothermal, fusion), carbon capture, hydrogen, and critical mineral manufacturing. The author warns that repealing these credits or shortening their eligibility would increase energy prices, threaten jobs, and undermine U.S. leadership in global markets, particularly against competitors like China. Additionally, the brief emphasizes that mechanisms like direct pay and transferability are necessary for tax-exempt entities and high-cost projects, such as advanced nuclear, to monetize these incentives.
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Document type: Policy brief
From fossil flows to renewable cooperation - tripling renewables in the Med
The Mediterranean region's renewable power capacity is projected to double from 315 GW in 2023 to 626 GW by 2030, primarily driven by solar and wind. However, this trajectory falls 374 GW short of the TeraMed Initiative's 1 TW goal. To bridge this gap, the region would need to install an additional 54 GW of wind and solar annually beyond current plans, totaling 98 GW per year, which significantly exceeds the historical maximum annual deployment of 45 GW.
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Document type: Report
Fusion on the Grid
The U.S. currently leads the private fusion energy sector with 25 companies and over $6 billion in investment, but faces significant competition from China's state-funded programs. The report highlights fusion's potential to provide clean, firm power, support AI-driven energy demand from data centers, and create a new export market. To maintain leadership, the author recommends a $9.25 billion one-time appropriation for the 2025 Reconciliation Package, reorienting Department of Energy research toward commercialization gaps like breeding blankets, and streamlining regulatory and export frameworks.
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Document type: Report
Siapa Bayar Apa untuk Transisi Hijau?
The report examines Indonesia's energy transition through a lens of national interest, highlighting a significant gap between the high investment needs for Net Zero Emissions (NZE) and the limited availability of domestic and international funding. It argues that foreign climate finance often arrives as debt rather than grants, potentially exacerbating Indonesia's chronic fiscal deficits and public debt. The document analyzes the capacity of the Indonesian banking sector to fund renewable energy projects, finding that while capital adequacy is generally high, systemic bottlenecks in foreign exchange liquidity and long-term stable funding persist. It also evaluates the nascent Indonesian carbon market, noting a lack of clear emission caps (PTBAE) and low carbon prices. The authors propose 'The Indonesian Way,' a strategy focusing on eight action paths, including the dekarbonization of transport and electricity, targeted subsidies, and the development of a domestic green manufacturing ecosystem to reduce technological dependency.
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Document type: Report
Gradul de pregătire a populației și disponibilitatea acesteia de a sprijini inițiativele pentru tranziția verde a Republicii Moldova: Raport de țară
The report finds that while 61% of Moldovans describe their knowledge of climate change as 'good' or 'very good', there is a significant gap between this perception and actual engagement. Public priorities for environmental protection focus on water access and waste management, while energy security is a major concern, with 65% of respondents worried about dependence on external energy sources. Support for the green transition is highest for corporate sustainability and renewable energy, though high costs remain a primary barrier to the adoption of renewable energy in households.
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Document type: Report
Deforestation Cuts the Lights: Itaipu, Belo Monte and the Cost of Forest Loss
Amazon deforestation reduces rainfall and river flow, leading to significant energy and revenue losses for Brazil's largest hydroelectric plants. Together, Itaipu and Belo Monte lose an estimated 3,780 GWh of generation potential annually, equating to approximately US$ 200 million in lost revenue. The report emphasizes the need to integrate forest conservation and restoration policies with energy security strategies to protect the national electricity mix.
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Document type: Report
The final push for EU Russian gas phase-out
The report finds that EU imports of Russian gas increased by 18% in 2024, despite a goal to phase them out by 2027. It highlights a significant misalignment between gas infrastructure expansion and stagnating demand, predicting that supply capacity will exceed demand by 131 bcm by 2030. The document argues that the EU is replacing one fossil fuel dependency with another via LNG, which exposes the region to price volatility and high emissions. It recommends legally binding phase-out targets, reduced gas demand across all sectors, and more efficient use of existing infrastructure to ensure energy security and climate alignment.
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Document type: Report